Kingsgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The estimated population of Kingsgrove, based on ABS updates and AreaSearch validation as of February 2026, is approximately 13,661. This figure represents a growth of 780 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,881. The increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 13,481 by AreaSearch following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 164 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,022 persons per square kilometer, placing Kingsgrove in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth rate of 6.1% since the census is within 1.5 percentage points of its SA4 region's growth rate of 7.6%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 82.0% of Kingsgrove's overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. These projections indicate that Kingsgrove is expected to grow by 333 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of 1.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Kingsgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Kingsgrove averaged approximately 56 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 283 homes. As of FY-26, 43 approvals have been recorded. Historically, from FY-21 to FY-25, there has been an average of 0.5 new residents per year per dwelling constructed. This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of these dwellings is $531,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, there have been $18.8 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. New building activity is evenly split between detached and attached dwellings, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 82.0% houses.

Kingsgrove has around 277 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kingsgrove will gain approximately 153 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kingsgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones include Sydney Metro City & Southwest - Sydenham to Bankstown (T3 Bankstown Line Conversion), Campsie Private Hospital, Bexley North High Density Residential Development, and Salvation Army Bexley North Subdivision. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Kingsgrove shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Kingsgrove has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 3.2%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.0%.

As of December 2025, 7,360 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.0% below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation is somewhat lower than standard (66.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). According to Census responses, 45.4% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services.

The area has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Health care & social assistance has limited presence with 11.8% employment compared to 14.1% regionally. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 5.0%, labour force grew by 5.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsgrove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Kingsgrove had a median income among taxpayers of $50,225 and an average income of $68,694 in the financial year 2023. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 for the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 2023 to September 2025 (an increase of 8.86%), estimated incomes would be approximately $54,675 (median) and $74,780 (average) as of September 2025. According to the Census, household income ranks at the 59th percentile ($1,898 weekly), while personal income sits at the 31st percentile. Income distribution shows that 28.6% of Kingsgrove's population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 range (3,907 individuals), similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 58th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kingsgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kingsgrove's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.2% houses and 17.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsgrove stood at 42.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.3% and rented dwellings at 26.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Kingsgrove was $500, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Kingsgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsgrove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.9% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 14.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.1%, with lone person households at 18.7% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kingsgrove performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Kingsgrove's educational qualifications trail Greater Sydney's regional benchmarks. Among residents aged 15 and over, 29.7% hold university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15 and over holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (16.6%). Educational participation is high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsgrove has 125 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 52 routes, facilitating 7,959 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 144 meters to the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 80%, while trains account for 12%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 45.4% of residents work from home, which may be partly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 1,137 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 63 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Kingsgrove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kingsgrove's health outcomes show exceptional results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 54% (~7,389 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Arthritis and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 6.6 and 4.9% of residents respectively. About 75.7% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 21.0% (2,868 people) are aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population, ranking nationally in line with broader trends.

Kingsgrove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsgrove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.4% of its population born overseas and 57.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kingsgrove, accounting for 64.7% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Kingsgrove are Greek (17.1%), Chinese (16.1%), and Other (14.5%).

These percentages are significantly higher than their respective regional averages of 1.9%, 8.4%, and not specified. Notably, Lebanese (6.9%) and Macedonian (1.1%) ethnic groups are overrepresented in Kingsgrove compared to the regional averages of 2.6% and 0.4%, respectively. Additionally, Vietnamese ethnicity is also relatively higher at 2.3%.

Kingsgrove's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Kingsgrove is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 75-84 age group constitutes 7.7% of Kingsgrove's population, compared to the 25-34 cohort which makes up 11.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.7% to 14.2%, while the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 6.6% to 7.7%. Conversely, the 0 to 4 age group has decreased from 5.5% to 4.5%. Population forecasts for Kingsgrove in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 56%, reaching 767 people from 491. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 80% of total population growth, reflecting Kingsgrove's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.