Kingsgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, Kingsgrove's population is estimated at 13,661 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 780 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,881. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 13,481 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and 166 new addresses validated since the Census date. Kingsgrove's population density is 3,022 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally. The area's 6.1% growth since census is within 1.4 percentage points of its SA4 region (7.5%). Overseas migration contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth nationally, with Kingsgrove expected to grow by 328 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 0.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Kingsgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Kingsgrove has averaged approximately 56 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 283 homes. As of FY-26, 42 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.4 new residents are associated with each dwelling constructed annually between FY-21 and FY-25. This indicates that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and potential for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $531,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, there have been $18.8 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Currently, 50% of dwelling approvals are for detached homes and 50% for attached dwellings, indicating a shift towards higher-density living compared to the area's existing housing composition of 82% houses. Kingsgrove has around 277 people per dwelling approval, suggesting characteristics of a low density area.

According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, Kingsgrove is projected to gain 44 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kingsgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones include Sydney Metro City & Southwest - Sydenham to Bankstown (T3 Bankstown Line Conversion), Campsie Private Hospital, Bexley North High Density Residential Development, and Salvation Army Bexley North Subdivision. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Kingsgrove shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Kingsgrove's workforce is well-educated with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 3.2% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.7%.

As of September 2025, 7,307 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was at 53.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The area had a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, health care & social assistance had limited presence with 11.8% employment compared to 14.1% regionally. Many residents commuted elsewhere for work, based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 3.7%, labour force by 4.2%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.5 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points during this period. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differed significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kingsgrove's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Kingsgrove's income level is slightly above average nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Kingsgrove is $50,225 and the average income stands at $68,694. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 and average income is $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Kingsgrove would be approximately $54,675 (median) and $74,780 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 59th percentile with a weekly income of $1,898, while personal income sits at the 31st percentile. Distribution data shows 28.6% of Kingsgrove's population (3,907 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, mirroring the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 58th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kingsgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Kingsgrove's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 82.2% houses and 17.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsgrove stood at 42.3%, with 31.3% of dwellings mortgaged and 26.4% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, while the median weekly rent was $500. Nationally, Kingsgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsgrove features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households account for 78.9% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 14.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.1%, with lone person households at 18.7% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Kingsgrove performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Kingsgrove's educational qualifications trail Greater Sydney's regional benchmarks. As of 2021, 29.7% of Kingsgrove residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common, held by 21.7% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (16.6%). Educational participation is high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2021 census. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsgrove has 125 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 52 individual routes that facilitate 7,959 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located just 144 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 1,137 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to approximately 63 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsgrove's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Kingsgrove.

There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population, which totals around 7,389 people. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.6 and 4.9% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 75.7%, declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 0% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 20.5% of Kingsgrove's residents are aged 65 and over, numbering approximately 2,800 people. Health outcomes among seniors in Kingsgrove are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Kingsgrove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsgrove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.4% of its population born overseas and 57.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Kingsgrove is Christianity, accounting for 64.7% of the population. This contrasts with the Greater Sydney region where no specific religion was found to be dominant.

The top three ancestry groups in Kingsgrove are Greek (17.1%), Chinese (16.1%), and Other (14.5%). Notably, Lebanese people make up 6.9% of Kingsgrove's population, Macedonian people account for 1.1%, and Vietnamese people comprise 2.3%. These percentages differ significantly from the regional averages in Greater Sydney.

Kingsgrove's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Kingsgrove is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group constitutes 7.4% of the population in Kingsgrove, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Sydney. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group makes up 11.2% of the population in Kingsgrove. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.7% to 13.9%, while the 0 to 4 age group has decreased from 5.5% to 4.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Kingsgrove, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 29% (an increase of 290 people), reaching a total of 1,301 from 1,010. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 82% of the total population growth in Kingsgrove, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25-34 and 15-24 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.