Kingsgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The estimated population of Kingsgrove as of May 2026 is around 13,878 people. This figure reflects an increase of 997 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,881 people in the suburb. AreaSearch validated this estimate by examining the latest ERP data release from the ABS (June 2025) and considering additional 165 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 3,070 persons per square kilometer for Kingsgrove, placing it in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 7.7% since the 2021 census surpassed both the SA4 region (6.5%) and the state average, indicating its status as a growth leader in the area. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in Kingsgrove.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest lower quartile growth for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. Kingsgrove is expected to grow by 306 persons to the year 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total gain of approximately 2.1% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Kingsgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Kingsgrove has seen approximately 56 new homes approved annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 283 homes were approved, with a further 51 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, 0.8 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings in Kingsgrove is $531,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY-26, there have been $18.8 million in commercial approvals. New development consists of 50% standalone homes and 50% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the current housing mix of 82% houses. This trend reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 279 people per dwelling approval, Kingsgrove shows a developing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kingsgrove is forecasted to gain 287 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Kingsgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely affecting the region. Notable projects include Sydney Metro City & Southwest - Sydenham to Bankstown (T3 Bankstown Line Conversion), Bexley North High Density Residential Development, Salvation Army Bexley North Subdivision, and Sydney Metro City and Southwest. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Kingsgrove shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Kingsgrove has an educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.2%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 5.6%.

As of December 2025, 7,538 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.0% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Kingsgrove is 66.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 45.4% of residents work from home. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services.

The area has a high specialization in transport, postal & warehousing (1.4 times the regional level). However, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 11.8% compared to the regional average of 14.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.6%, while labour force grew by 5.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2% and labour force grow by 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsgrove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Kingsgrove suburb had a median income among taxpayers of $50,225 and an average income of $68,694. Nationally, this is slightly above the average. In Greater Sydney, the median income was $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Kingsgrove would be approximately $55,408 (median) and $75,783 (average) as of March 2026. According to census data, household income ranks at the 59th percentile ($1,898 weekly), while personal income sits at the 31st percentile. The largest income segment comprises 28.6% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (3,969 residents). High housing costs consume 16.8% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 58th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kingsgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Kingsgrove, as per the latest Census data, 82.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 17.8% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsgrove stood at 42.3%, with mortgaged properties at 31.3% and rented ones at 26.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Weekly rent median in Kingsgrove was $500, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Kingsgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,600 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsgrove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 78.9% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 14.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.1%, with lone person households at 18.7% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kingsgrove performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Kingsgrove's educational qualifications trail Greater Sydney's benchmarks. As of 2021, 29.7% of Kingsgrove residents aged 15+ held university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 21.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills were prominent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (16.6%).

Educational participation was high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2021 census. This included 9.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsgrove has 125 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 52 individual routes, collectively facilitating 7,959 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 144 meters from the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 80%, while trains account for 12%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 45.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 1,137 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 63 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Kingsgrove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kingsgrove's health outcomes demonstrate remarkable results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 54% (~7,506 people) of Kingsgrove's total population has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in Kingsgrove, affecting 6.6 and 4.9% of residents respectively. A significant 75.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. As of 2021, 20.9% (2,900 people) of Kingsgrove's residents are aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Kingsgrove align broadly with the general population, ranking nationally on par.

Kingsgrove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsgrove's cultural diversity is notable, with 41.4% of its population born overseas and 57.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kingsgrove, accounting for 64.7%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Greek (17.1%), Chinese (16.1%), and Other (14.5%).

These percentages are significantly higher than their respective regional averages of 1.9%, 8.4%, and not specified. Additionally, Lebanese (6.9%) and Macedonian (1.1%) ethnicities are notably overrepresented in Kingsgrove compared to the regional averages of 2.6% and 0.4%, respectively. Vietnamese ethnicity is also slightly overrepresented at 2.3%.

Kingsgrove's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Kingsgrove is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group comprises 7.6% of the population in Kingsgrove, compared to a lower prevalence of the 25-34 cohort at 11.6%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.7% to 14.1%, while the 0 to 4 cohort has decreased from 5.5% to 4.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Kingsgrove, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 28% (291 people), reaching a total of 1,346 from 1,054. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 78% of total population growth, reflecting Kingsgrove's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 45 to 54 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.