Kingsgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Kingsgrove's population is estimated at around 13,505, reflecting an increase of 624 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Kingsgrove by AreaSearch in June 2024 indicated a resident population of 13,486. This estimate considers an additional 166 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density is 2,987 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kingsgrove's growth rate of 4.8% since the census is within 0.7 percentage points of its SA4 region (5.5%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth, with Kingsgrove expected to grow by 328 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 1.5% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Kingsgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Kingsgrove averaged around 60 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 301 homes. As of FY-26, 35 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 0.4 new residents per year per dwelling constructed was observed. This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice while creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of new dwellings is $535,000. In FY-26, there have been $6.3 million in commercial approvals, suggesting the area's residential character. New building activity consists of 48.0% detached dwellings and 52.0% attached dwellings, focusing on higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 82.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options.

Kingsgrove has around 218 people per dwelling approval, characteristic of a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kingsgrove is expected to grow by approximately 200 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kingsgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects potentially impacting the area. Notable ones include Campsie Private Hospital, Bexley North High Density Residential Development, Salvation Army Bexley North Subdivision, and Sydney Metro City & Southwest.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Kingsgrove shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Kingsgrove has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 3.0% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.5%.

As of June 2025, 7,311 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Kingsgrove was 53.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Notably, the area has a high concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, health care & social assistance has limited presence, with 11.8% employment compared to 14.1% regionally. Many residents commute elsewhere for work, as indicated by the count of Census working population to local population. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 2.5%, while labour force grew by 2.7%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kingsgrove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Kingsgrove's median income among taxpayers was $50,232 in financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $68,709 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median and average incomes were $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes in Kingsgrove would be approximately $56,566 and $77,373, based on a 12.61% growth since financial year 2022 as per the Wage Price Index. Census data indicates that household income ranks at the 59th percentile ($1,898 weekly), while personal income sits at the 31st percentile. Income distribution shows that 28.6% of Kingsgrove's population (3,862 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income in Kingsgrove, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 58th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kingsgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Kingsgrove, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.2% houses and 17.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Sydney metro had 0.0% houses and 0.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsgrove was at 42.3%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged at 31.3% or rented at 26.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kingsgrove was $2,600, aligning with Sydney metro's average. The median weekly rent figure was $500, compared to Sydney metro's $0 and $0. Nationally, Kingsgrove's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,600 compared to the Australian average of $1,863. Meanwhile, rents in Kingsgrove were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $500 per week.

Kingsgrove features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households account for 78.9% of all households, including 40.4% that are couples with children, 22.8% that are couples without children, and 14.6% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.1%, consisting of lone person households at 18.7% and group households at 2.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Kingsgrove performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Kingsgrove's educational qualifications lag behind regional benchmarks. 29.7% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.3% and certificates at 16.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.9% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.4% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 5.6% in tertiary. Seven schools operate in Kingsgrove, educating approximately 4,242 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1047). Four primary and three secondary schools serve distinct age groups. The area has 31.4 school places per 100 residents, indicating strong educational infrastructure serving local and surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsgrove has 97 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. These are serviced by 52 individual routes, providing a total of 7,566 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 145 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 1,080 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 78 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsgrove's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Kingsgrove.

Prevalence of common health conditions is very low across all age groups. Private health cover rate is approximately 54% of the total population (~7,306 people). Most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 6.6 and 4.9% of residents respectively. 75.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 0% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 20.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,768 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Kingsgrove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsgrove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.4% of its population born overseas and 57.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kingsgrove, accounting for 64.7% of its population. This compares to zero percent across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups based on country of birth of parents are Greek (17.1%), Chinese (16.1%), and Other (14.5%). Notably, Lebanese people are overrepresented in Kingsgrove at 6.9% compared to zero percent regionally, as are Macedonian people at 1.1% and Vietnamese people at 2.3%.

Kingsgrove hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Kingsgrove is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group comprises 7.4% of Kingsgrove's population, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 age group makes up 11.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.7% to 13.9%, and the 0 to 4 age group has decreased from 5.5% to 4.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Kingsgrove. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 30% (adding 300 people), reaching a total of 1,300 from the current figure of 999. Notably, combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 81% of Kingsgrove's total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.