Bexley - South

Bexley - South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Bexley - South's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 16,380 by November 2025. This figure represents a growth of 549 individuals, equating to a 3.5% increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,831. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,378 recorded by the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 6,111 persons per square kilometer, placing Bexley - South within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, indicating high demand for land in the area. The area's 3.5% growth since the census is within 2.0 percentage points of the SA4 region's 5.5%, suggesting competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 92.1% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate lower quartile growth, with the area expected to expand by 208 persons to reach an estimated total of 16,588 by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 1.3% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bexley - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Bexley - South averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals per year. Between fiscal years FY21 and FY25, a total of 194 homes were approved, with an additional 7 approved so far in FY26. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value for new properties is $504,000. This year, $80,000 worth of commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bexley - South has significantly less development activity, 58.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, development activity is also lower, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New building activity consists of approximately 55.0% detached dwellings and 45.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of medium-density options across various price brackets. With around 558 people per approval, Bexley - South is considered a mature, established area. By 2041, the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate projects an increase of 206 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Bexley - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include 7-11 Kingsland Road Mixed-Use Development, Bexley, Kogarah North Urban Design Strategy Implementation, Ganellen Kogarah Town Centre Redevelopment, and The Rise. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Bexley - South exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Bexley - South has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.0% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment grew by 2.3% in the past year. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Retail trade is notably concentrated with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have a limited presence at 9.5%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

The area has limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.3% while labour force grew by 2.6%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. As of Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, better than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bexley - South's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 6.8% in five years and 13.9% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Bexley - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $51,966 and average income stood at $66,416 in financial year 2022. These figures are slightly above the national averages of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average) for Greater Sydney during the same period. By September 2025, estimates based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth project median income to be approximately $58,519 and average income to be around $74,791. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes in Bexley - South ranked at the 38th percentile, family incomes at the 46th percentile, and personal incomes at the 53rd percentile. The predominant income cohort comprised 33.7% of locals (5,520 people) with earnings between $1,500 and $2,999. This pattern is similar to surrounding regions where 30.9% of residents fall within this income range. In Bexley - South, high housing costs consume 17.2% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 52nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Bexley - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bexley - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 39.9% houses and 60.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is similar to Sydney metro's composition of 39.8% houses and 60.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bexley - South was at 32.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.4% and rented dwellings at 36.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area, as of the latest data, was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,383. The median weekly rent figure for Bexley - South was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $480. Nationally, mortgage repayments in Bexley - South were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bexley - South features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 73.0% of all households, including 36.0% couples with children, 23.9% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 22.4% and group households making up 4.7%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

Bexley - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 37.6% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 24.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 25.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.8% and certificates for 13.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 7.9% in primary education, 7.4% in tertiary education, and 6.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bexley - South has 83 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 13 different routes that together facilitate 1,891 weekly passenger trips. The average distance residents live from the nearest transport stop is 119 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 270 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bexley - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Bexley - South's health outcomes show remarkable results, particularly for younger cohorts with low prevalence of common health conditions.

The area has a private health cover rate of approximately 52%, higher than the average SA2 area (~8,583 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (5.2%) and mental health issues (4.9%), while 77.8% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly above Greater Sydney's 77.5%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.4% (3,013 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 16.4%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Bexley - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bexley - South, as per the 2016 Census, has a population where 54.8% were born overseas and 65.6% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bexley - South, with 47.7%. Islam's representation stands at 12.9%, higher than Greater Sydney's 10.3%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (22.7%), Chinese (15.4%), and Australian (10.3%). Notably, Macedonian (7.3%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 3.8%. Similarly, Lebanese (5.3%) and Greek (5.3%) groups have higher representations than their respective regional averages of 5.2% and 8.8%.

Bexley - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Bexley - South is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bexley - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (9.7%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.2%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 11.9% to 13.5%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has declined from 10.2% to 9.2%. By 2041, Bexley - South's age composition is projected to change significantly. The population aged 75-84 is expected to grow by 58%, reaching 1,570 people from the current 990. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, who are projected to comprise 85% of the total population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 15-24 and 0-4 years old.