Bexley - South

Bexley - South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch indicates that the population of Bexley - South is approximately 16,529 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 698 people (4.4%) from the 15,831 people recorded in the 2021 Census. This adjustment is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 16,527 alongside 35 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The resulting population density is 6,167 persons per square kilometer, positioning the area within the top 10% of all Australian locations analyzed and indicating significant demand for local land. The 4.4% expansion rate since the census is within 2.1 percentage points of the broader SA4 region (6.5%), showing solid growth performance. Overseas migration was the primary driver, accounting for roughly 94.3% of the overall population rise in recent times.

Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are utilized by AreaSearch for each SA2 region. In cases where this data is unavailable, SA2 projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 baseline are applied instead. Age bracket growth trends derived from these sources are also projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic expectations point toward lower quartile growth compared to other areas assessed by AreaSearch, with the local population projected to rise by 32 residents by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP data, representing a total increase of 0.2% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bexley - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

An average of approximately 38 new residential approvals are registered annually in Bexley - South, totaling 194 homes over the previous 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 26 during FY-26 so far. Because the population declined during the recent period, residential supply has successfully matched demand to maintain a balanced market with diverse options for purchasers, while newly built properties average $274,000 in value, which is below the regional norm and points to more accessible pricing. Furthermore, commercial approvals worth $80,000 were recorded during this financial year, reinforcing the mainly residential character of the neighborhood.

Bexley - South experiences far lower levels of construction compared to Greater Sydney, trailing the regional average per capita by 57.0%. This limited supply of new dwellings generally supports demand and property values for the existing housing stock. Building volume is also lower than the national standard, reflecting a mature market that may face geographic or zoning constraints. The mix of new construction consists of 55.0% separate houses and 45.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating an increasing supply of medium-density choices that provide options across different price points, ranging from conventional family properties to affordable smaller residences. With about 565 people for every approval, Bexley - South displays the traits of a mature and established community.

Looking forward, Bexley - South is projected to add 30 residents by 2041 according to the most recent quarterly projections from AreaSearch. Considering current construction trends, the supply of new dwellings is likely to easily satisfy demand, maintaining favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth above these estimated levels.

Bexley - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Local infrastructure updates, major construction projects, and zoning adjustments are key drivers of neighborhood change. AreaSearch has tracked a total of 34 developments expected to affect this area. The most significant local initiatives include the 7-11 Kingsland Road Mixed-Use Development, Bexley, the Kogarah North Urban Design Strategy Implementation, the Ganellen Kogarah Town Centre Redevelopment, and The Rise, with the details of the most relevant projects provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Bexley - South exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

The local workforce in Bexley - South is highly qualified, with professional services representing a major sector, an unemployment rate standing at just 3.2%, and employment expanding by an estimated 3.2% over the previous year. As of March 2026, there are 10,074 employed locals, and the unemployment rate sits 0.9% lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, while workforce participation is standard at 73.5% compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney. Census data indicates that a notable 35.8% of employed residents worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic lockdowns.

The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical. The suburb shows a high concentration in retail trade, employing residents at 1.3 times the regional average rate. Conversely, professional & technical roles are less common locally, accounting for 9.5% of employment compared to 11.5% across the region. The comparison between the local working population and resident population suggests this largely residential area offers few local jobs.

An analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch shows that during the 12 months ending March 2026, local employment grew by 3.2% and the labor force expanded by 3.5%, leading to a 0.3 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe, Greater Sydney recorded employment and labor force growth both at 1.9%, alongside a slight decline in unemployment. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia issued in May-25 offer additional context for future local demand in Bexley - South. These five and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce profile to estimate future trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary by industry. Applying these sectoral forecasts to the local employment structure suggests Bexley - South should see employment gains of 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighted projection that does not factor in local population estimates.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Based on ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year, taxpayer income in Bexley - South is slightly above the national average. The median income for taxpayers in the area is $56,298, while the average income is $70,170, compared to Greater Sydney averages of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates for March 2026 would be roughly $62,108 for median income and $77,412 for average income. The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes all ranking in the middle range, between the 38th and 53rd percentiles. The largest income bracket contains 33.7% of local residents (5,570 people) earning in the $1,500 - 2,999 range, matching regional patterns where 30.9% of the population fall into this category. High housing costs account for 17.2% of household income, but solid earnings keep disposable income at the 52nd percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 6th decile for income.

Bexley - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

According to the most recent Census, the housing mix in Bexley - South consisted of 39.9% separate houses and 60.0% other housing types, including semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative structures, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other options across the Sydney metropolitan area. Home ownership rates in Bexley - South were higher than the Sydney metro average at 32.4%, with mortgaged properties making up 31.4% and rental housing accounting for 36.2%. The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was $2,167, which is lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,427, while the median weekly rent was $420, compared to the regional figure of $470. On a national level, mortgage costs in Bexley - South exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rent prices are also higher than the national figure of $375.

Bexley - South features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Families make up 73.0% of all households, consisting of couples with children at 36.0%, couples without children at 23.9%, and single parent households at 11.4%. The remaining 27.0% are non-family households, which include lone person households at 22.4% and group shared houses at 4.7%. The median household size is 2.7 people, matching the average for Greater Sydney.

Bexley - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The educational status of the local population is strong relative to the wider region, with 37.6% of residents aged 15 and over holding a university qualification, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 24.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 11.1% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational and technical training is also common, with 25.6% of residents aged 15 and over holding credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificate qualifications at 13.8%.

Enrolment in education is strong, with 29.9% of the population currently undertaking formal studies. This group comprises 7.9% in primary schools, 7.4% in tertiary institutions, and 6.6% attending secondary schools.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of the local network reveals 102 public transport stops in Bexley - South, consisting of bus and train options. A total of 13 routes service these locations, providing 2,031 passenger journeys per week. Access to transport is strong, with the average distance to the nearest stop being 117 meters. As the suburb is primarily residential, the majority of working residents travel outside the area for employment, with private cars remaining the primary option at 60%, followed by trains at 27% and buses at 6%. The average number of vehicles per household is 0.9, which is below the regional average. A significant 35.8% of residents worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect the impact of temporary pandemic restrictions.

Routes in the area provide an average of 290 trips daily, which represents approximately 19 weekly services per individual stop. The corresponding map highlights the location of the 100 closest stops relative to the center of the suburb.

Bexley - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health indicators for the Bexley - South population are generally positive, with AreaSearch analysis of mortality rates and medical conditions showing outcomes consistent with national averages. The prevalence of common health conditions is standard across all age brackets, and the rate of private health insurance coverage is slightly ahead of the typical SA2 average at approximately 54% of the population (~8,909 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

Arthritis and mental health issues represent the most common medical conditions locally, affecting 5.2% and 4.9% of residents respectively, while 77.8% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 18.0% of the population (2,980 people), which is higher than the 15.5% share in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes for this older demographic rank above average, with national percentiles exceeding those of the general local population.

Bexley - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bexley - South ranks high nationally for cultural diversity, with 54.8% of the population born outside Australia and 65.6% of residents speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, representing 47.7% of the population. The most prominent demographic difference is in the Muslim community, which represents 12.9% of local residents, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

Regarding parental ancestry, the three largest groups in Bexley - South are Other at 22.7% (higher than the regional average of 16.0%), Chinese at 15.4% (higher than the regional average of 8.4%), and Australian at 10.3% (lower than the regional average of 17.8%). Significant differences also exist for other background groups: Macedonian ancestry represents 7.3% of the local population compared to 0.4% regionally, Lebanese ancestry is at 5.3% compared to 2.6% regionally, and Greek ancestry is at 5.3% compared to 1.9% regionally.

Bexley - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age of 38 in Bexley - South is similar to the Greater Sydney average of 37 and matches the national median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bexley - South has a higher proportion of young adults aged 25 - 34 (17.9%) but a smaller share of children aged 5 - 14 (9.1%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket increased from 11.9% to 13.6% of the population, whereas the 5 to 14 cohort decreased from 10.2% to 9.1%. By 2041, the age structure is projected to change significantly, led by a 123% increase in residents aged 85 and over, growing from 419 to 935 people. This aging trend is notable, with residents aged 65 and over accounting for 85% of the projected population growth, while declines are anticipated in the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups.