Bexley - South

Bexley - South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Bexley - South's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 16,386, reflecting a growth of 555 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 3.5% rise from the previous figure of 15,831. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 16,378 in June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 6,114 persons per square kilometer, placing Bexley - South within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, indicating high demand for land in the area. Overseas migration primarily drove this growth, contributing approximately 92.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth, with the area expected to expand by 208 persons to reach an estimated total of 16,594 by 2041, reflecting a gain of approximately 1.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bexley - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Bexley - South has averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 194 homes approved during this period. As of FY26, there have been 11 approvals so far. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost for new properties is $274,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year has seen $80,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bexley - South has significantly less development activity, with 58.0% fewer approvals per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. When compared nationally, the area also reflects lower building activity, indicating market maturity and potential development constraints.

The current mix shows 55.0% detached dwellings and 45.0% townhouses or apartments, offering an expanding range of medium-density options across various price brackets. With approximately 558 people per approval, Bexley - South is a mature, established area. Looking ahead to 2041, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects population growth by around 200 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Bexley - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects that could affect the region. Notable ones include the 7-11 Kingsland Road Mixed-Use Development, Bexley, Kogarah North Urban Design Strategy Implementation, Ganellen Kogarah Town Centre Redevelopment, and The Rise. Below is a list of those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Bexley - South exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Bexley - South has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.2%, lower than the national average of 5.6% as of September 2021. Over the past year, employment growth was estimated at 3.6%.

As of September 2025, 10,048 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is 74.1%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 35.8% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services.

Retail trade has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average, while professional & technical services have limited presence at 9.5%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.6% and labour force by 4.1%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Bexley - South's employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Bexley - South SA2 has a median income of $56,298 and an average income of $70,170 among taxpayers in the financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is slightly above the national average of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average) for Greater Sydney. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $61,286 (median) and $76,387 (average). The 2021 Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Bexley - South rank modestly, between the 38th and 53rd percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 33.7% of locals, with 5,522 people earning between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% fall within this range. High housing costs consume 17.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 52nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Bexley - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bexley - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 39.9% houses and 60.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bexley - South was at 32.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.4% and rented ones at 36.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Bexley - South was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bexley - South's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $420.

Bexley - South features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 73.0% of all households, including 36.0% couples with children, 23.9% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 22.4% and group households at 4.7%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Bexley - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 37.6%, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 24.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.1% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 25.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 13.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 7.9% in primary education, 7.4% in tertiary education, and 6.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bexley - South has 102 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 13 different routes, collectively facilitating 2,031 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent with residents on average located 117 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuting is outward-bound. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 60%, followed by train at 27% and bus at 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 0.9 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 35.8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 290 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Bexley - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Bexley - South residents. Mortality rates and health conditions align with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions affect both young and old age cohorts similarly. Private health cover is at 54% of the total population (~8,832 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (5.2%) and mental health issues (4.9%), with 77.8% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Residents aged 65 and over make up 18.4%, higher than Greater Sydney's 15.3%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, ranking higher than the general population nationally.

Bexley - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bexley-South, as of the latest data available on 27th June 2021, has a population that is 54.8% born overseas and 65.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bexley-South, with 47.7%. Islam comprises 12.9%, which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other at 22.7%, Chinese at 15.4%, and Australian at 10.3%. Notably, Macedonian represents 7.3% in Bexley-South compared to 0.4% regionally, Lebanese is 5.3% versus 2.6%, and Greek is 5.3% against 1.9%.

Bexley - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Bexley - South is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bexley - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (9.7%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.2%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 11.9% to 13.5%, while the 5-14 age group has declined from 10.2% to 9.2%. By 2041, Bexley - South's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 58%, reaching 1,570 people from 991. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 85% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 15-24 and 0-4 years old.