Bexley - South

Bexley - South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Bexley - South's population is around 16,434 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 603 people (3.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,831 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,378 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 35 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 6,132 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought resource. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 92.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, lower quartile growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is anticipated, with the area expected to expand by 208 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 0.9% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bexley - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Bexley - South has averaged around 38 new dwelling approvals per year, with 194 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 13 so far in FY-26. Given population has fallen over the past period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a well-balanced market with good buyer choice, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $274,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $80,000 in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Bexley - South has significantly less development activity (58.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New building activity shows 55.0% detached dwellings and 45.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an expanding range of medium-density options creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives. At around 558 people per approval, Bexley - South shows a mature, established area.

Looking ahead, Bexley - South is expected to grow by 152 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Bexley - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 35 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include 7-11 Kingsland Road Mixed-Use Development, Bexley, Kogarah North Urban Design Strategy Implementation, Ganellen Kogarah Town Centre Redevelopment, and The Rise, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bexley - South demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Bexley - South possesses a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of only 3.0%, and 5.3% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 10,133 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.2% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (74.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 35.8% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in retail trade, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Meanwhile, professional & technical has a limited presence with 9.5% employment compared to 11.5% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 5.3% while the labour force increased by 5.3%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Bexley - South. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Bexley - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The Bexley - South SA2's income level is slightly above average nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Bexley - South SA2's median income among taxpayers is $56,298 and the average income stands at $70,170, compared to figures for Greater Sydney of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $61,286 (median) and $76,387 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Bexley - South, between the 38th and 53rd percentiles. The data shows the predominant cohort spans 33.7% of locals (5,538 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. High housing costs consume 17.2% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 52nd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Bexley - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Bexley - South, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 39.9% houses and 60.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Bexley - South was 32.4%, which was well beyond that of Sydney metro, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (31.4%) or rented (36.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Bexley - South's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bexley - South features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 73.0% of all households, comprising 36.0% couples with children, 23.9% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 22.4% and group households comprising 4.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people matches the Greater Sydney average.

Bexley - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (37.6% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and that of NSW (32.2%), reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 24.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 25.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (13.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 7.9% in primary education, 7.4% in tertiary education, and 6.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 102 active transport stops operating within Bexley - South, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 13 individual routes, collectively providing 2,031 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 117 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 60%, with 27% by train and 6% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 0.9 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 35.8% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 290 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Bexley - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Bexley - South residents, with AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions showing results broadly in line with national benchmarks. There is a standard level of common health conditions across both young and old age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover just leads the average SA2 area at approximately 54% of the total population (~8,857 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 5.2% and 4.9% of residents, respectively, while 77.8% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 19.2% of residents aged 65 and over (3,163 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than those of the general population.

Bexley - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bexley - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 54.8% of its population born overseas and 65.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Bexley - South is Christianity, which makes up 47.7% of the people. However, there is a significant overrepresentation of Islam, which comprises 12.9% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Bexley - South are Other, comprising 22.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Chinese, comprising 15.4% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 8.4%, and Australian, comprising 10.3% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 17.8%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Macedonian is notably overrepresented at 7.3% of Bexley - South (vs 0.4% regionally), Lebanese at 5.3% (vs 2.6%) and Greek at 5.3% (vs 1.9%).

Bexley - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Bexley - South is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Bexley - South has a higher concentration of 65 - 74 residents (10.0%) but fewer 5 - 14 year-olds (9.1%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.9% to 13.4% of the population, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 8.9% to 10.0%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 10.2% to 9.1%. By 2041, Bexley - South is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 85+ group will grow by 123% (560 people), reaching 1,017 from 456. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 86% of projected growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 cohorts.