Hurstville Grove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Hurstville Grove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Hurstville Grove is around 2,565, a decrease of 41 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,606. This decrease reflects an estimated resident population of 2,564 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density is 2,788 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former data.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 147 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of 5.7% in total over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Hurstville Grove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Hurstville Grove has experienced around 20 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 101 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 1.3 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these past 5 financial years. However, this rate has intensified recently, with 5.1 people moving per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $718,000, demonstrating a focus on the premium segment. This year, there have been $4.7 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hurstville Grove has 106.0% more building activity per person. Currently, new development consists of 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the current housing mix which is 88.0% houses. This trend reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 177 people per dwelling approval, Hurstville Grove shows characteristics of a low density area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by approximately 146 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified two projects that could potentially impact the area. Key projects include Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Trinity Majors Bay, Lotus Residence Hurstville, and Hurstville Civic Precinct Master Plan. The following list details those likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Hurstville Grove rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Hurstville Grove has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 1.5% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 4.3%. As of December 2025, 1,527 residents are employed at a 2.6% lower unemployment rate than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation is 71.4%, similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Home workership was high at 50.5% in the Census, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Wholesale trade is particularly strong, with a share of employment 1.4 times the regional level.

Administrative & support roles are under-represented at 1.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 3.4%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 4.3%, labour force grew by 4.2%, leaving unemployment broadly unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that income in Hurstville Grove is lower than the national average. The median income is $47,874 and the average income stands at $65,677. In comparison, Greater Sydney has a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since June 2023, current estimates for March 2026 would be approximately $52,815 (median) and $72,455 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 88th percentile ($2,419 weekly), while personal income ranks at the 62nd percentile. The data reveals that 29.9% of locals (766 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to the broader metropolitan region's 30.9%. Notably, 39.9% of households achieve high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, indicating strong consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.7% of income, with residents ranking in the 88th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hurstville Grove's residential structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hurstville Grove stood at 48.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 15.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,200, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in the area was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.2% of all households, including 53.0% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.8%, with lone person households at 12.1% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Hurstville Grove shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 39.8% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 27.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.5% while certificates make up 16.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.0% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 6.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hurstville Grove has 17 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 523 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 146 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation at 89%, while trains account for 6%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high percentage of residents, 50.5%, work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 74 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Hurstville Grove shows excellent health outcomes according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is held by approximately 53% of the total population (~1,357 people), which is higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.4%) and asthma (4.6%). A majority of residents (76.7%) report being free from medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.9% (536 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Seniors' health outcomes align with national rankings similar to the general population.

Hurstville Grove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hurstville Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 38.0% of its population born overseas and 51.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hurstville Grove, comprising 61.5%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (20.6%), Australian (12.9%), and English (11.8%).

Notably, Greek (11.0%) and Croatian (3.2%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Hurstville Grove compared to the regional averages of 1.9% and 0.7%, respectively. Macedonian ethnicity is also notably higher at 3.4%.

Hurstville Grove hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that residents aged 55-64 years make up 14.8% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years comprise 10.8%. Since 2021, the proportion of individuals aged 15-24 has increased from 12.2% to 14.7%, and the 75-84 age group has risen from 6.0% to 7.3%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 13.0% to 11.7%, and those aged 35-44 have fallen from 11.5% to 10.2%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75-84 age cohort is expected to increase by 67 people, reaching a total of 255 individuals, a rise of 36%. Notably, the combined population of those aged 65 and above is projected to account for 72% of the total population growth in Hurstville Grove. Conversely, the populations of residents aged 0-4 and 5-14 are expected to decline.