Hurstville Grove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Hurstville Grove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the estimated population of Hurstville Grove as of Feb 2026 is around 2,845. This reflects an increase of 239 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,606. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 2,790 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of nine new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,092 persons per square kilometer, placing Hurstville Grove in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth of 9.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (7.6%) and the state average. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate an increase just below the median of national areas, with Hurstville Grove expected to grow by 182 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 4.5% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Between FY21 and FY25, Hurstville Grove approved approximately 101 residential properties. In FY26, around 5 approvals have been recorded so far. This equates to roughly 20 annual approvals on average.

The total value of new properties is around $718,000 each, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. Additionally, $4.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hurstville Grove has 101.0% more construction activity per person. New development consists of 36.0% detached dwellings and 64.0% medium and high-density housing. The population is expected to grow by 127 residents by 2041, with current development rates comfortably meeting demand.

Looking ahead, Hurstville Grove is expected to grow by 127 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified two projects that could impact the area significantly. These key projects are Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Trinity Majors Bay, Lotus Residence Hurstville, and Hurstville Civic Precinct Master Plan.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Hurstville Grove performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Hurstville Grove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.5%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.3%.

As of December 2025, 1,598 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6% and workforce participation similar to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. A high 50.5% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Wholesale trade has notable concentration with levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, administrative & support services are under-represented at 1.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 3.4%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 5.3%, while labour force and unemployment remained broadly flat. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 14.0% over ten years for Hurstville Grove, applying industry-specific projections to its current employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Hurstville Grove's median taxpayer income was $47,874 with an average of $65,677 in financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median would be approximately $52,116 and the average $71,496, considering an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census shows household incomes ranked at the 88th percentile ($2,419 weekly) while personal income ranked lower at the 62nd percentile. Income analysis reveals that 29.9% of residents (850 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, consistent with broader regional trends showing 30.9% in the same category. Notably, 39.9% of residents earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating strong economic capacity. Housing expenses account for 14.7% of income, placing residents within the 88th percentile for disposable income. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hurstville Grove dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hurstville Grove was 48.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 15.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,200, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Hurstville Grove was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 86.2% of all households, including 53.0% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.8%, with lone person households at 12.1% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Hurstville Grove shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 39.8% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 27.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.5% while certificates make up 16.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.0% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 6.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hurstville Grove has 17 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by seven different routes, offering a total of 523 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average 146 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuting in this residential area is outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode at 89%, while train use stands at 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 50.5% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 74 trips daily, translating to roughly 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Hurstville Grove shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is higher than average at approximately 53% of the total population (~1,505 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.4%) and asthma (4.6%). A majority, 76.7%, report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 21.3% of the population (605 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors align with national rankings, similar to the general population.

Hurstville Grove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hurstville Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 38.0% of its population born overseas and 51.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hurstville Grove, making up 61.5% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Hurstville Grove are Chinese (20.6%), Australian (12.9%), and English (11.8%).

Notably, Greek (11.0%) and Croatian (3.2%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to the regional averages of 1.9% and 0.7%, respectively. Macedonian ethnicity is also notably higher at 3.4% versus the regional average of 0.4%.

Hurstville Grove hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile reveals that individuals aged 55-64 are notably prominent, comprising 14.9% of the population, while those aged 25-34 make up a smaller proportion at 9.8%. Between 2021 and the present, the percentage of individuals aged 15-24 has increased from 12.2% to 14.8%, while the 75-84 age group has grown from 6.0% to 7.7%. Conversely, the 35-44 age cohort has decreased from 11.5% to 10.2%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 13.0% to 11.8%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate substantial shifts in Hurstville Grove's age structure. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to increase by 65 people (30%), rising from 219 to 285. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above are expected to account for 77% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 55-64 age cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.