Hurstville Grove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Hurstville Grove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Hurstville Grove is around 2,803, reflecting a growth of 197 people since the 2021 Census. The resident population estimate of 2,805 by AreaSearch, based on the latest ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validated new addresses, indicates this increase. This results in a density ratio of 3,046 persons per square kilometer, placing Hurstville Grove in the upper quartile nationally. The suburb's population growth of 7.6% since the 2021 Census exceeds both its SA4 region (5.5%) and SA3 area, positioning it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.0% of Hurstville Grove's overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, for covered areas.

For uncovers areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are applied. Considering these projections, Hurstville Grove is expected to grow by approximately 178 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase just below the national median and representing a total growth of 1.1% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis indicates Hurstville Grove averaged approximately 21 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending June 30, totalling an estimated 105 homes. As of April 26, four approvals have been recorded in FY-26. The population decline has likely been matched by new supply, providing good choice for buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $718,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $680,000, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hurstville Grove shows 109.0% higher development activity per capita. New building activity comprises 33.0% standalone homes and 67.0% townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and changing lifestyle demands. The location has approximately 171 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Hurstville Grove to gain 32 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely affecting the region. Key projects are Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Trinity Majors Bay, Lotus Residence Hurstville, and Sydney Metro City and Southwest - Future Hurstville Extension. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Hurstville Grove places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Hurstville Grove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.5% as of June 2025, compared to Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.7%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 1,589 residents were in work and workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area specializes in wholesale trade with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level, while administrative & support services employed just 1.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 3.4%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.7%, labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.1 percentage points in Hurstville Grove. In Greater Sydney, employment rose by 2.6%, labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Hurstville Grove. These projections estimate that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Hurstville Grove had a median taxpayer income of $47,874 and an average of $65,677 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. These figures align with national averages but differ from Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $53,911 and an average of $73,959 based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. Census data shows household incomes rank at the 88th percentile ($2,419 weekly), while personal income ranks lower at the 62nd percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 29.9% of Hurstville Grove's community (838 individuals), consistent with broader trends in the area showing 30.9% in the same category. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 39.9% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power. Housing expenses account for 14.7% of income, and residents rank within the 88th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hurstville Grove's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hurstville Grove stood at 48.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 15.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,200, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,466. Median weekly rent in the area was $600, higher than Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,200 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 86.2% of all households, including 53.0% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.8%, comprising 12.1% lone person households and 1.7% group households. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than Greater Sydney's average of 2.8.

Hurstville Grove shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 39.8% of residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. Vocational credentials are also common, with 27.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 16.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.0% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 6.6% pursuing tertiary education. Educational facilities appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hurstville Grove has 16 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 7 different routes that together facilitate 506 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents typically living within 146 meters of the nearest stop.

On average, there are 72 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 31 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Hurstville Grove shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions.

The area has a private health cover rate of approximately 53%, which is higher than the average SA2 area. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.4% and 4.6% of residents respectively. A total of 76.7% of residents report having no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 77.2% reported across Greater Sydney. The population aged 65 and over is 20.2%, which is higher than the 19.1% in Greater Sydney. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with those of the general population.

Hurstville Grove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hurstville Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 38.0% of its population born overseas and 51.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Hurstville Grove is Christianity, accounting for 61.5% of the population, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (20.6%), Australian (12.9%), and English (11.8%).

Some ethnic groups have notable representation differences: Greek at 11.0% in Hurstville Grove versus 5.6% regionally, Croatian at 3.2% versus 1.2%, and Macedonian at 3.4% versus 2.3%.

Hurstville Grove hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 55-64 make up 15.0% of the population, while those aged 25-34 comprise only 10.1%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of individuals aged 15-24 has increased from 12.2% to 14.5%, and the 75-84 age group has grown from 6.0% to 7.2%. Conversely, the percentage of those aged 35-44 has decreased from 11.5% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Hurstville Grove's age structure. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to increase by 71 people (35%), growing from 201 to 273 individuals. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 91% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, the populations aged 15-24 and 0-4 are projected to decline.