Hurstville Grove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Hurstville Grove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Hurstville Grove is around 2,845, reflecting a 9.2% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,606. This change was inferred from an estimated resident population of 2,790 in Jun 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 3,092 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Hurstville Grove's growth exceeded the SA4 region (7.6%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is expected to grow by 175 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a decrease of 0.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Hurstville Grove shows approximately 20 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 104 homes were approved, with a further five approved in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline in recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, benefiting buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $718,000, indicating that developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, $4.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hurstville Grove records 107.0% more construction activity per person. New development consists of 36.0% detached dwellings and 64.0% attached dwellings, focusing on higher-density living which creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects the reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 155 people per approval, Hurstville Grove is developing.

Population projections show stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures which benefits potential buyers.

Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects expected to influence this region: Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Trinity Majors Bay, Lotus Residence Hurstville, and Hurstville Civic Precinct Master Plan. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Hurstville Grove performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Hurstville Grove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 1.5% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.2% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of that date, 1,589 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses showed that 50.5% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries of employment among residents were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area had a particular specialization in wholesale trade, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level, while administrative & support services employed only 1.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 3.4%.

Employment opportunities appeared limited locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.2%, and labour force increased by 4.3%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, labour force grow by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer further insight into potential future demand within Hurstville Grove. These projections suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Hurstville Grove is $47,874, with an average of $65,677, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is below Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $52,116 (median) and $71,496 (average). According to census data, household incomes rank at the 88th percentile ($2,419 weekly), while personal income ranks at the 62nd percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 29.9% of the community in Hurstville Grove, consistent with broader trends showing 30.9% in the same category. Strong economic indicators emerge through 39.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. Housing accounts for 14.7% of income, and residents rank within the 88th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hurstville Grove's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hurstville Grove stood at 48.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 15.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,200, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Hurstville Grove was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.2% of all households, including 53.0% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.8%, with lone person households at 12.1% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Hurstville Grove shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 39.8% for residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 27.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.5% and certificates for 16.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.0% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 6.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hurstville Grove has 17 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 523 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 146 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its primarily residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 89%, while train use accounts for 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 50.5% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 74 trips per day, resulting in approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Hurstville Grove's health outcomes show excellent results according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is held by approximately 53% of the total population (~1,505 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.4%) and asthma (4.6%). A majority (76.7%) report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 20.9%, higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors align with the general population nationally.

Hurstville Grove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hurstville Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 38.0% of its population born overseas and 51.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hurstville Grove, making up 61.5%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (20.6%), Australian (12.9%), and English (11.8%).

Notably, Greek (11.0%) and Croatian (3.2%) populations in Hurstville Grove are higher than the regional averages of 1.9% and 0.7%, respectively. Macedonian population is also significantly higher at 3.4%, compared to the regional average of 0.4%.

Hurstville Grove hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 years make up 14.8% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years constitute 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.2% to 14.7%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has grown from 6.0% to 7.5%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age group has decreased from 11.5% to 10.2%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 13.0% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75 to 84 age cohort will increase by 56 people (27%), rising from 213 to 270. Notably, those aged 65 years and above will account for 90% of total population growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 15 to 24 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.