Connells Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Connells Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Connells Point is around 3,086, reflecting an increase of 202 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,884. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,022 following examination of the ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and four additional validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density ratio is 2,996 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Connells Point's growth rate of 7.0% since census is within 0.6 percentage points of its SA4 region (7.6%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the suburb. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

These projections indicate an above median population growth is expected for the suburb, with an estimated increase of 738 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 21.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Connells Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, derived from statistical area data, Connells Point has recorded approximately seven residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 35 homes. So far in FY-26, two approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.3 people move to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly exceeds new supply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $644,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year has seen $795,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Connells Point shows approximately 63% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 21st percentile of areas assessed nationally, indicating somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This activity is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists of 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns (currently 90.0% houses), likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The location has approximately 752 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Population forecasts indicate Connells Point will gain 674 residents by 2041.

Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Connells Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects that may affect this region: Shipwrights Bay Residential Development, Blakehurst Marina & Residential Precinct Proposal, Sydney Metro City and Southwest - Future Hurstville Extension, and Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Connells Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Connells Point has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 0.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 5.2% over the past year, as per AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 1,879 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 3.5% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Connells Point is 74.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 48.1% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level.

Manufacturing employs just 4.1% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.7%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 5.2%, while labour force grew by 5.2%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2%, labour force grow by 2.3%, and unemployment rise marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer further insight into potential future demand within Connells Point. These projections suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Connells Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Connells Point had one of the highest income levels in Australia according to AreaSearch data based on latest ATO figures for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $61,701 and the average income stood at $91,119. These figures compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 respectively. Using Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $67,168 (median) and $99,192 (average). Census data showed household incomes ranked at the 93rd percentile with a weekly income of $2,644. In Connells Point, 31.9% of the population earned over $4000 per week, contrasting with the region where the majority earned between $1500 and $2999 per week. A substantial proportion of high earners (45.1%) in Connells Point indicated strong economic capacity. Housing expenses accounted for 14.6% of income. The area's residents ranked within the 93rd percentile for disposable income, and the suburb was placed in the 9th decile based on its SEIFA income ranking.

Connells Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Connells Point's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.2% houses and 9.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Connells Point stood at 48.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.3% and rented ones at 11.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,434, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Connells Point was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Connells Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,434 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $600 compared to the national figure of $375.

Connells Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.9% of all households, including 49.7% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Connells Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 39.6%, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and that of NSW at 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 14.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Connells Point has 18 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with three individual routes providing a total of 266 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 128 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuting is outward-bound. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 85%, while train usage stands at 9%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 48.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 38 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Connells Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Connells Point shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (1,940 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (6.2%) and asthma (3.9%), while 78.9% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than the 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has 21.9% of residents aged 65 and over (675 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Connells Point was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Connells Point has a high cultural diversity, with 31.7% of its population born overseas and 42.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Connells Point, making up 66.5%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (17.5%), English (15.3%), and Australian (14.0%).

Notably, Greek (12.2%) is overrepresented in Connells Point compared to the regional average of 1.9%. Similarly, Croatian (2.8% vs 0.7%) and Lebanese (4.5% vs 2.6%) groups are also more prevalent than the regional averages.

Connells Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Connells Point is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 14.3% of the population, while those aged 25-34 comprise only 8.6%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.6% to 14.9%, and the 65 to 74 cohort has increased from 10.4% to 11.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has declined from 13.6% to 12.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Connells Point's age structure. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, increasing by 180 people (75%) from 240 to 421. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 55% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. The 0 to 4 age group is projected to grow modestly at 10%, adding only 12 residents.