Connells Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Connells Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Connells Point is around 3,029. This figure reflects an increase of 145 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,884. AreaSearch, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and validation of four new addresses, estimates the resident population to be around 3,016 as of that date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 2,940 persons per square kilometer for Connells Point, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth rate of 5.0% since the census is within 0.5 percentage points of the SA4 region's growth rate of 5.5%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in Connells Point.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by this data. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with Connells Point expected to expand by 660 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 22.3% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Connells Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Connells Point has recorded approximately five residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated twenty-five homes between FY-21 and FY-25. As of FY-26, two approvals have been recorded.

On average, 5.3 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built during this period. This demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $644,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. When compared to Greater Sydney, Connells Point records markedly lower building activity, 55.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. Furthermore, this activity is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 43.0% standalone homes and 57.0% medium and high-density housing.

This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 90.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 602 people per dwelling approval, Connells Point reflects a highly mature market. Future projections show Connells Point adding approximately 675 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Connells Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects expected to influence the region: Shipwrights Bay Residential Development and Blakehurst Marina & Residential Precinct Proposal. Other notable initiatives include Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk) and Serrata. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Connells Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Connells Point has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 0.5% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.8% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of that date, 1,860 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.7% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was on par with Greater Sydney at 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction, particularly notable in the latter with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. Manufacturing is under-represented, with only 4.1% of Connells Point's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 5.7%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in June 2025, employment increased by 2.8% while labour force grew by 2.7%, leading to a slight decrease in unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6%, labour force expand by 2.9%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Connells Point. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Connells Point's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2022, Connells Point had a median income among taxpayers of $61,701 and an average income of $91,119. These figures are significantly higher than the national averages of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively for Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% from financial year ended June 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $69,481 and average income would be around $102,609 by that date. As per the 2021 Census figures, household incomes in Connells Point rank at the 93rd percentile with a weekly income of $2,644. The majority of residents (31.9%) earn over $4,000 weekly, differing from the regional norm where the $1,500 - 2,999 category is predominant at 30.9%. The substantial proportion of high earners (45.1% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity in the area. Housing expenses account for 14.6% of income and residents rank within the 93rd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Connells Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Connells Point's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 90.2% houses and 9.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Connells Point stood at 48.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.3% and rented ones at 11.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,434, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,466. The median weekly rent in Connells Point was $600, higher than Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Connells Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Connells Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.9% of all households, including 49.7% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households making up 1.2%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Connells Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable with university qualification rates at 39.6% of residents aged 15+, surpassing Australia's average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 14.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.3% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education. Connells Point Public School serves the area, with an enrollment of 458 students as of a recent report. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, while secondary options are available nearby. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs (15.1 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 11.6), indicating the area serves as an educational hub for the broader region. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1098).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Connells Point has 15 active public transport stops operating. These are mixed bus routes totalling 256 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 131 meters from the nearest stop.

There are three individual routes serving these stops with an average service frequency of 36 trips per day, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per stop.

Connells Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Connells Point shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% (1,904 people), compared to 53.6% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.2%) and asthma (3.9%), while 78.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the 77.2% in Greater Sydney.

The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.0% (636 people), compared to 19.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and broadly align with the general population's health profile.

Connells Point is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Connells Point has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.7% of its population born overseas and 42.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Connells Point, accounting for 66.5% of the population, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Connells Point are Chinese (17.5%), English (15.3%), and Australian (14.0%).

Notably, Greek, Croatian, and Lebanese ethnicities have higher representations in Connells Point than the regional averages: Greek at 12.2% vs 5.6%, Croatian at 2.8% vs 1.2%, and Lebanese at 4.5% vs 3.2%.

Connells Point hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Connells Point is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 14.1% of the population, while those aged 25-34 comprise only 9.4%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of individuals aged 15-24 has increased from 13.6% to 14.9%, while the percentage of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 13.6% to 12.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate substantial shifts in Connells Point's age structure. The number of individuals aged 75-84 is projected to rise by 194 people (an increase of 86%) from 227 to 422. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above are expected to account for 60% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. The 0-4 age group is projected to grow by 5%, adding only 6 residents.