Connells Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Connells Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the estimated population of Connells Point as of May 2026 is around 2,918. This reflects an increase of 34 people (1.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,884 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,909 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 4 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,833 persons per square kilometer, placing Connells Point in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, an above median population growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is projected for Connells Point, with the suburb expected to expand by 601 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 20.3% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Connells Point, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Connells Point recorded around 7 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 35 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. By June 2026, 2 approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed was 1.8 over the past five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this has intensified to 15.5 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $644,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been $795,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. Compared to Greater Sydney, Connells Point shows approximately 64% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 21st percentile nationally, suggesting limited buyer options but strengthening demand for established properties due to its established nature. New development consists of 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns (currently 90.0% houses), likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The location has approximately 750 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market with population forecasts expecting Connells Point to gain 592 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Population forecasts indicate Connells Point will gain 592 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Connells Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects expected to influence the area: Shipwrights Bay Residential Development and Blakehurst Marina & Waterfront Residential Precinct. Other notable projects include Sydney Metro - Future Sydenham to Hurstville Extension and Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Connells Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Connells Point has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 0.6%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.5% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 1,732 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.6%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is 71.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Census responses show that 48.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction, with a particular specialization in construction, employing 1.2 times the regional level. Manufacturing employs only 4.1% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.7%.

The area offers limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.5%, while labour force grew by 3.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2% and unemployment rise marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Connells Point's employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment profile.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Connells Point has one of the highest income levels in Australia, according to AreaSearch data aggregated from the latest Australian Taxation Office figures for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Connells Point is $61,701, with an average income of $91,119. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on a 10.32% increase in wages since the financial year 2023, as indicated by the Wage Price Index, estimated current incomes would be approximately $68,069 (median) and $100,522 (average) as of March 2026. Census data shows that household incomes rank at the 93rd percentile, with a weekly income of $2,644. In Connells Point, 31.9% of individuals have an income above $4,000 per week, contrasting with the regional leading bracket of $1,500 to $2,999, which accounts for 30.9%. The significant proportion of high earners (45.1% above $3,000 per week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout Connells Point. Housing expenses consume 14.6% of income, while residents rank highly at the 93rd percentile for disposable income. According to SEIFA data, the area's income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Connells Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Connells Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 90.2% houses and 9.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Connells Point stood at 48.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.3% and rented ones at 11.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,434, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Connells Point was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Connells Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Connells Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.9% of all households, including 49.7% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households making up 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Connells Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 39.6% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.7% and certificates for 14.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Connells Point has 18 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that together facilitate 266 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 128 meters away from the nearest one. As a predominantly residential area, most people commute outwards. Cars remain the primary mode of transport for 85% of residents, while trains are used by 9%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling in Connells Point, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion (48.1%) of residents work from home, although this figure may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 38 trips per day, resulting in approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Connells Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows exceptional results for Connells Point, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 63% of the total population (1,834 people) have private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.2 and 3.9% of residents respectively. A total of 78.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has 22.0% of residents aged 65 and over (641 people), which is higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

Connells Point was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Connells Point has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.7% of its population born overseas and 42.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Connells Point, accounting for 66.5% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (17.5%), English (15.3%), and Australian (14.0%).

Notably, Greek (12.2%) and Croatian (2.8%) populations are significantly higher than the regional averages of 1.9% and 0.7%, respectively. Lebanese population is also notably higher at 4.5%.

Connells Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Connells Point is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and exceeds the national average of 38. The age profile shows that individuals aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 14.1% of the population, while those aged 25-34 comprise only 8.6%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 13.6% to 15.4%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 6.8% to 8.1%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age group has decreased from 11.2% to 10.0%, and the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 14.7% to 13.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Connells Point's age structure. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, increasing by 165 people (70%) from 236 to 402. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 57% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. The 0 to 4 age group is projected to grow at a more modest rate of 6%, adding only 7 residents.