Connells Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Connells Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Connells Point is around 3,086, showing an increase of 202 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,884. This growth reflects an inferred resident population of 3,022 from AreaSearch's examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with four additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,996 persons per square kilometer, placing Connells Point in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 7.0% growth since the census is within 0.6 percentage points of its SA4 region (7.6%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

These projections anticipate an above median population growth for Australian statistical areas, with the suburb expected to expand by 694 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 20.7% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Connells Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Connells Point has recorded around 7 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 36 homes. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.7 people move to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly exceeds new supply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $644,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In this financial year, there have been $795,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Connells Point shows approximately 65% of the construction activity per person and places among the 26th percentile of areas assessed nationally, indicating somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This activity is similarly under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists of 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 90.0% houses), likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The location has approximately 602 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Population forecasts indicate Connells Point will gain 638 residents through to 2041.

Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Connells Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects expected to affect the area: Shipwrights Bay Residential Development and Blakehurst Marina & Residential Precinct Proposal. Other notable projects include Sydney Metro City and Southwest - Future Hurstville Extension, and Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Connells Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Connells Point has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 0.7% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%.

In comparison to Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%, Connells Point had a lower rate of 3.5%. Workforce participation in the area was 74.6%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 48.1% of residents worked from home, but Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction.

The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level. Manufacturing employs just 4.1% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.7%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force also increased by 4.2%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 3.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Connells Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Connells Point has one of the highest income levels in Australia, according to the latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO) data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Connells Point is $61,701, with an average income of $91,119. These figures compare to those for Greater Sydney, which are $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since the financial year 2023, current estimates suggest approximately $67,168 (median) and $99,192 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates that household incomes in Connells Point rank at the 93rd percentile ($2,644 weekly). The earnings profile shows that 31.9% of the population (984 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. A substantial proportion of high earners (45.1% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout Connells Point. Housing accounts for 14.6% of income, with residents ranking in the 93rd percentile for disposable income. The area's Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Connells Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Connells Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.2% houses and 9.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Connells Point was at 48.4%, with the remainder being mortgaged (40.3%) or rented (11.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,434, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Connells Point was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Connells Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Connells Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 83.9% of all households, including 49.7% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for 16.1%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Connells Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 39.6% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 11.7% and certificates make up 14.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.3% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Connells Point has 18 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by three routes, offering a total of 266 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 128 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode at 85%, while trains account for 9%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 48.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 38 trips per day, equating to roughly 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Connells Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Connells Point shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (1,940 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.2% and 3.9% of residents respectively. 78.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Connells Point has 21.7% of residents aged 65 and over (669 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Connells Point was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Connells Point has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.7% of its population born overseas and 42.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Connells Point, accounting for 66.5% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (17.5%), English (15.3%), and Australian (14.0%).

Notably, Greek (12.2%) is overrepresented in Connells Point compared to the regional average of 1.9%. Similarly, Croatian (2.8%) and Lebanese (4.5%) are also more prevalent than their respective regional averages of 0.7% and 2.6%.

Connells Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Connells Point is 43 years, which is considerably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and substantially exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 are particularly prominent at 14.1%, while those aged 25-34 are comparatively smaller at 8.6% compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has grown from 10.4% to 11.6% of the population, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 13.6% to 14.7%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 13.6% to 12.5%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Connells Point's age structure. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, expanding by 180 people (75%) from 240 to 421. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 58% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. The 35-44 group displays more modest growth at 3%, adding only 8 residents.