Connells Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Connells Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Connells Point statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 3,080 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 196 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,884 people in the area. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,022 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 4 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,990 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Connells Point (SA2)'s growth rate of 6.8% since census positions it within 0.7 percentage points of the SA4 region's growth rate of 7.5%, demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected for the Connells Point statistical area (Lv2), with the area expected to expand by 655 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 20.1% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Connells Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Connells Point has recorded approximately 7 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 36 homes. In FY-26 so far, 2 approvals have been recorded. Over these five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 3.7 people moved to the area for each dwelling built.

This indicates that demand significantly exceeds new supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties is $644,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been $795,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to previous years. When compared to Greater Sydney, Connells Point shows approximately 65% of the construction activity per person. Nationally, it places among the 26th percentile of areas assessed, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This activity is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations.

New development in Connells Point consists of 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% attached dwellings. This shift towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 90.0% houses). This suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The location has approximately 602 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Connells Point is forecasted to gain 619 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Connells Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects expected to affect this region: Shipwrights Bay Residential Development and Blakehurst Marina & Residential Precinct Proposal, both slated for completion in 2025. The Sydney Metro City and Southwest project, including the future Hurstville Extension, is scheduled for completion in 2024. Additionally, the Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk) is planned for completion by 2023. These projects are considered most relevant to the area's development.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Connells Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Connells Point has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 0.7% and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 4.3% over the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of September 2025, 1,873 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 3.5%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is at par with Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. The area specializes in construction, employing 1.2 times the regional average, but manufacturing employs only 4.1% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 5.7%.

Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 4.3%, matching labour force growth and keeping unemployment stable at 3.5%. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, labour force grow by 2.4%, and unemployment increase slightly to 4.4%. State-level data from November 2025 shows NSW employment contracted marginally by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourably comparing to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate a projected growth in employment by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Connells Point's current employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Connells Point's income level is among Australia's highest according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income in Connells Point was $61,701, with an average income of $91,119, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Connells Point are approximately $67,168 (median) and $99,192 (average) as of September 2025. According to census data, household incomes rank at the 93rd percentile ($2,644 weekly). In terms of earnings profile, 31.9% of Connells Point's population falls within the $4000+ income range, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. This indicates a substantial proportion of high earners (45.1% above $3,000/week), suggesting strong economic capacity throughout Connells Point. Housing accounts for 14.6% of income, with residents ranking within the 93rd percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking placing it in the 9th decile.

Connells Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Connells Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.2% houses and 9.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Connells Point was at 48.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.3% and rented ones at 11.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,434, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,466. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Connells Point's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Connells Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.9% of all households, including 49.7% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Connells Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 39.6% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 11.7% and certificates account for 14.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (9.3%), secondary education (8.6%), and tertiary education (7.0%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 18 active stops operating in Connells Point, with a mix of buses serving these locations. There are 3 routes providing service to these stops, resulting in 266 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 128 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency is 38 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per stop.

Connells Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Connells Point shows excellent health outcomes with a low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The private health cover rate is notably high at approximately 63% (1,936 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 54.6%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%.

Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.2% and 3.9% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 78.9%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 77.2%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 21.1% (649 people), than Greater Sydney's 19.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Connells Point was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Connells Point has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.7% of its population born overseas and 42.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Connells Point is Christianity, which accounts for 66.5% of the population, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Connells Point are Chinese (17.5%), English (15.3%), and Australian (14.0%).

Notably, Greek, Croatian, and Lebanese ethnicities have higher representation in Connells Point than the regional average: Greek at 12.2% vs 5.6%, Croatian at 2.8% vs 1.2%, and Lebanese at 4.5% vs 3.2%.

Connells Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Connells Point is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 14.1% of the population, while those aged 25-34 make up only 9.4%. Between 2021 and now, the proportion of people aged 15-24 has increased from 13.6% to 14.8%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 13.6% to 12.5%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Connells Point's age structure. The number of people aged 75-84 is projected to rise substantially, from 231 to 422, an increase of 191 people (83%). Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 64% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. The 35-44 age group is projected to grow by only 2%, adding just 7 residents.