Blakehurst

Population growth drivers in Blakehurst are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

According to evaluation of ABS demographic updates covering the surrounding territory and address data verified by AreaSearch subsequent to the Census, the suburb of Blakehurst has an estimated population of 7,102 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 450 people (6.8%) compared to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 6,652 people. This shift is calculated from a resident population of 7,068, which AreaSearch calculated using the ABS June 2025 release of ERP figures alongside 98 validated new addresses recorded since the Census. Such a population size translates to a density of 3,048 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the top quartile of domestic areas analyzed by AreaSearch. The 6.8% expansion rate in the suburb of Blakehurst since the 2021 census was higher than that of the broader SA4 region (6.5%), making it a regional leader in population growth. This growth was mostly fueled by arrivals from overseas, who made up approximately 95.0% of the total population gains recently.

AreaSearch utilizes projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 zones, published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. Where such data is unavailable, projections from the NSW State Government at the SA2 level are substituted, published in 2022 using 2021 as the baseline. Projected growth rates for specific age segments from these datasets are applied to all locations for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Future demographic outlooks indicate that the suburb of Blakehurst will experience growth exceeding the national median for statistical divisions, adding 1,458 persons by 2041 based on compiled SA2 projections, which corresponds to an overall rise of 20.1% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Blakehurst according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Analysis of ABS building approvals assigned from broader statistical boundaries shows that the suburb of Blakehurst averaged 29 residential approvals annually, amounting to roughly 147 homes over the previous 5 financial years. In the current FY-26, 10 approvals have been documented so far. With an average addition of 1.6 new residents per constructed dwelling over the 5 financial years between FY-21 and FY-25, residential demand and supply remain well-aligned, supporting market stability. However, this has recently quickened to 5.9 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, pointing to rising demand and a contraction in supply. Newly approved homes carry an average construction value of $644,000, showing that building activity is focused on high-end, premium properties. Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $1.7 million were registered this financial year, highlighting that the locality remains predominantly residential.

In comparison to Greater Sydney, the suburb of Blakehurst has experienced slightly higher building activity, registering 13.0% above the regional per capita average over the 5 year period, which provides options for buyers while sustaining local real estate values, despite a recent slowdown in construction volumes. The composition of new approvals is 28.0% detached houses and 72.0% medium and high-density dwellings. This emphasis on denser housing options offers more affordable entry points and appeals to downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a distinct shift from the current housing stock, which consists of 86.0% houses, indicating a decrease in available development land and a response to shifting lifestyle choices and affordability pressures. A ratio of approximately 670 people per approval highlights the established, mature status of the suburb of Blakehurst.

Demographic projections indicate that the suburb of Blakehurst will add 1,424 residents by 2041, relative to the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. Residential construction is progressing at a steady rate relative to this anticipated growth, though home buyers may face increased competition as the population expands.

Blakehurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure projects, major works, and urban planning policies are key drivers of local performance. AreaSearch has identified 5 key projects likely to impact the locality. Prominent developments include Allen & George South Hurstville, the Blakehurst Marina & Waterfront Residential Precinct, the Shipwrights Bay Residential Development, and the Sydney Metro - Future Sydenham to Hurstville Extension, with details provided on those of greatest local significance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Blakehurst rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

The suburb of Blakehurst possesses a highly educated workforce with a significant proportion of professionals, an unemployment rate standing at just 0.7%, and an annual employment expansion estimated at 2.8%, according to AreaSearch compilations of statistical data. By March 2026, there were 4,248 employed residents, while the local unemployment rate sat at 3.4% below the 4.1% recorded for Greater Sydney. The workforce participation rate is relatively typical, registering at 71.7% compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney. Census responses indicated that a substantial 48.4% of workers operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of Covid-19 lockdowns.

Local employment is heavily represented in healthcare & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. The area has an exceptionally high concentration of workers in rental, hiring & real estate services, at 1.9 times the metropolitan average. Conversely, public administration & safety is underrepresented, accounting for 3.7% of local jobs compared to 5.7% across the region. The comparison between the number of local jobs and the resident working population suggests that this highly residential suburb offers relatively few employment opportunities within its own boundaries.

Based on AreaSearch calculations of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from regional data, the suburb of Blakehurst saw employment expand by 2.8% and the labor force grow by 2.7% during the year ending March 2026, which kept the local unemployment rate steady. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded a 1.9% increase in employment, a 1.9% expansion in the labor force, and a marginal decline in unemployment. National employment projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional perspective on prospective local demand. These five and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce structure to model future growth. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates of expansion vary widely by sector. Applying these industry projections to the local employment profile suggests that employment among residents of the suburb of Blakehurst would increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, using a simple weighted extrapolation that does not account for local population changes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to the latest postcode-level ATO data released for the financial year 2023, the suburb of Blakehurst records a median taxpayer income of $58,704 and an average of $86,693. These figures are among the highest nationwide, compared to a median of $60,817 and an average of $83,003 across Greater Sydney. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 10.32% since the financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to approximately $64,762 for the median and $95,640 for the average as of March 2026. Census data shows that weekly household incomes are exceptionally high, placing in the 90th percentile at $2,474. The local income distribution is led by the $4000+ weekly bracket, which accounts for 29.1% of residents (2,066 people), differing from the broader region where the $1,500 - 2,999 range is the largest at 30.9%. Affluence is prominent, with 42.3% of households earning more than $3,000 per week, which helps sustain premium local retail and services. Housing expenses absorb 15.3% of incomes, but strong earnings ensure that disposable income remains in the 89th percentile, while the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 9th decile for income.

Blakehurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The residential mix in the suburb of Blakehurst at the time of the latest Census was composed of 86.0% separate houses and 14.0% alternative dwellings such as semi-detached homes, townhouses, and apartments, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwelling types across the Sydney metropolitan area. Home ownership rates were notably higher than the metropolitan average, with 46.1% of homes owned outright, while the remaining properties were either mortgaged (39.3%) or rented (14.6%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $3,208 was considerably higher than the Sydney metropolitan average of $2,427, while the median weekly rent was $600 compared to $470 across metropolitan Sydney. Nationally, the suburb of Blakehurst has mortgage repayments well above the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents that are significantly higher than the national median of $375.

Blakehurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families make up the vast majority of households at 83.3%, consisting of couples with children at 48.5%, couples without children at 23.6%, and single-parent households at 9.9%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 16.7% of households, with single-person households representing 15.8% and group shared households making up 1.1%. The median household occupancy of 3.1 persons is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Blakehurst shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The educational profile of the population is distinct within the region, with university graduation rates at 36.7% of residents aged 15 and over, exceeding the national average of 30.4% and the state average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 27.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 7.3% and graduate diplomas at 1.7%. Technical and vocational qualifications are also widely held, with 27.4% of residents aged 15 and over holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 15.6%.

A high proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in an educational program. This student population includes 10.3% in primary schools, 9.3% in secondary schools, and 6.7% enrolled in higher education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates there are 43 active public transport stops in the suburb of Blakehurst, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 12 distinct routes, which accommodate 1,111 passenger trips per week. Transit access is high, with residents living an average of 129 meters from their nearest stop. Because the area is primarily residential, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary transport mode at 88% and trains accounting for 7%. Households own an average of 1.7 vehicles, which is above the metropolitan average. A high proportion of residents, 48.4%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related restrictions.

Bus services average 158 daily trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 25 weekly departures per individual stop.

Blakehurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Public health metrics show excellent outcomes throughout the suburb of Blakehurst, characterized by low rates of mortality and chronic illnesses across all age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is exceptionally high, held by approximately 61% of the population (4,341 people), compared to a national average of 55.7%.

Arthritis and asthma are the most frequently reported medical conditions, affecting 6.1% and 4.6% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 76.8% of the population reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Residents aged 65 and over make up 22.5% of the population (1,597 people), which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. The health status of these older residents is particularly favorable, with national health benchmarks matching those of the broader community.

Blakehurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

The suburb of Blakehurst displays high levels of cultural diversity, with 33.9% of residents born outside Australia and 47.8% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 66.6% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

The top parental ancestries represented in the suburb of Blakehurst are Chinese at 16.1% of the population (exceeding the regional average of 8.4%), Greek at 15.5% (exceeding the regional average of 1.9%), and Australian at 12.6% (lower than the regional average of 17.8%). Other ethnic backgrounds show notable local concentrations: Macedonian background represents 2.9% of residents (compared to 0.4% regionally), Lebanese background represents 5.2% (compared to 2.6% regionally), and Croatian background represents 1.4% (compared to 0.7% regionally).

Blakehurst hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age of 43 years in the suburb of Blakehurst is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national average of 38. The age distribution shows a high proportion of people aged 55 - 64 years (13.7%), while the 25 - 34 age bracket is relatively small (9.5%) compared to Greater Sydney. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 age cohort has increased from 13.6% to 15.3% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort has grown from 6.0% to 7.4%, while the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 13.4% to 12.1%. Looking ahead to 2041, projections suggest significant demographic shifts. The cohort aged 75 to 84 is expected to grow by 364 people (69%), rising from 525 to 890. Residents aged 65 and older are projected to account for 62% of the total population growth. In contrast, the 0 to 4 age group is projected to grow by a modest 4%, adding just 10 residents.