Blakehurst

Population growth drivers in Blakehurst are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025 Blakehurst's population is estimated at around 7,344. This reflects an increase of 692 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,652 people in the Blakehurst statistical area (Lv2). The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,216 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS on Jun 2024 and an additional 95 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,151 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Blakehurst's 10.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (7.5%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Examining future population trends, an above median growth is projected for the Blakehurst (SA2), expected to grow by 1,619 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 18.9% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Blakehurst recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Blakehurst had around 29 dwelling approvals per year from FY-17 to FY-21. This totals approximately 148 homes over those five years. As of FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.9 new residents arrived annually for each new home between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, this increased to 5.6 people per dwelling in the past two years.

The average construction cost of new homes was $644,000, suggesting a focus on premium properties. In FY-26, Blakehurst saw $1.7 million in commercial development approvals. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blakehurst had 13.0% more development per person over the five-year period. Building activity showed 41.0% standalone homes and 59.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 86.0% houses. This change indicates decreasing developable sites and growing demand for diverse housing options.

Blakehurst had around 266 people per approval, suggesting a transitioning market. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Blakehurst will grow by 1,388 residents, with building activity keeping pace with projections, though increased competition is expected as the population grows.

Blakehurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Allen & George South Hurstville, Blakehurst Marina & Residential Precinct Proposal, Shipwrights Bay Residential Development, Sydney Metro City and Southwest - Future Hurstville Extension.

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Employment conditions in Blakehurst rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Blakehurst's workforce is well-educated with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 0.8% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.5%. Residents' employment rate is 3.4% lower than Greater Sydney's, at 4.2%, with workforce participation at 57.2%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Rental, hiring & real estate jobs are particularly prominent, at 1.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, public administration & safety jobs are lower than average, at 3.7%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. In the past year, employment increased by 4.5% while labour force rose by 4.4%, with unemployment remaining largely unchanged. Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted slightly by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National projections suggest overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blakehurst's industry mix, local employment is forecast to increase by 7.2% in five years and 14.3% in ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Blakehurst has an extremely high national income level according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Blakehurst is $58,704, with an average income of $86,693. In comparison, Greater Sydney's figures are $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $63,905 for median income and $94,374 for average income as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household incomes rank at the 90th percentile with $2,474 weekly. In Blakehurst, 29.1% of the population (2,137 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 30.9%. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 42.3%, indicates strong economic capacity throughout Blakehurst. High housing costs consume 15.3% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 89th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Blakehurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Blakehurst, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 86.0% houses and 14.0% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blakehurst was 46.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.3% and rented dwellings at 14.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,208, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,466. Median weekly rent in Blakehurst was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Blakehurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Blakehurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.3% of all households, including 48.5% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 15.8% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Blakehurst shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 36.7% among residents aged 15+ exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 27.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 11.8% and certificates make up 15.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blakehurst has 45 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 12 different routes that together facilitate 1,111 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents' homes to the nearest transport stop is 129 meters.

On average, there are 158 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Blakehurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Blakehurst's health outcomes data shows excellent results across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (4,489 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 54.6%. Nationally, this rate averages at 55.7%.

Arthritis and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Blakehurst, affecting 6.1% and 4.6% of residents respectively. A total of 76.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 77.2%. Blakehurst has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.8% (1,600 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 19.1%. Health outcomes among seniors in Blakehurst are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Blakehurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blakehurst's population has a high level of cultural diversity, with 33.9% born overseas and 47.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Blakehurst, accounting for 66.6%, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestral groups are Chinese (16.1%), Greek (15.5%), and Australian (12.6%).

Notably, Macedonian (2.9%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 2.3%. Similarly, Lebanese (5.2%) and Croatian (1.4%) have higher representation than their respective regional averages of 3.2% and 1.2%.

Blakehurst hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Blakehurst is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and the national average of 38. The age profile shows that individuals aged 55-64 are particularly prominent at 13.6%, while those aged 25-34 comprise only 10.0% of the population. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of individuals aged 15-24 has increased from 13.6% to 14.7%. Conversely, the proportion of individuals aged 5-14 has decreased from 13.4% to 12.2%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate a substantial rise in the 75-84 age cohort, with an increase of 396 people (79%) from 499 to 896. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above are projected to account for 69% of total population growth, reflecting Blakehurst's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 35-44 age cohort is projected to decline by 5 people.