Blakehurst

Blakehurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, Blakehurst's population is estimated at around 192,768 people. This reflects an increase of 7,844 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 184,924. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 7,237 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, along with an additional 95 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 82,733 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Blakehurst has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth rate for Australian non-metropolitan areas, with Blakehurst expected to grow by 13,657 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 11.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Blakehurst among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Blakehurst averaged approximately 422 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 2,114 homes. As of FY-26113 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 3.7 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed yearly, indicating demand significantly exceeds supply, which typically results in price growth and increased buyer competition. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $1,156,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year has seen $416.7 million in commercial approvals, indicating high local commercial activity. Comparatively, Blakehurst has slightly more development than the Rest of NSW, with 12.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. However, recent periods show moderated development activity. New development consists of 61.0% detached houses and 39.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options and creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets.

This shift contrasts with the area's existing housing composition, currently 157.0% houses, suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles' need for diverse, affordable housing options. Blakehurst has approximately 610 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Population projections show stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Blakehurst has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 44thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects that may affect this region. Notable ones are Allen & George South Hurstville, Blakehurst Marina & Residential Precinct Proposal, Shipwrights Bay Residential Development, and Waterfront at Blakehurst. The following list details those most relevant.

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The employment landscape in Blakehurst shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Blakehurst's workforce is highly educated with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.5% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.9%.

As of June 2025, there are 45,697 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.8% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Blakehurst is at 109.8%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a specialization in health care & social assistance with an employment share 2.3 times the regional level, while mining shows lower representation at 0.8% versus the regional average of 2.5%.

The ratio of 0.8 workers per resident indicates higher than normal local employment opportunities. Over the past year, employment increased by 1.9%, labour force grew by 3.5%, and unemployment rose by 1.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.1%, labour force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blakehurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Blakehurst's median income among taxpayers was $89,622 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $111,962 during the same period. These figures compare to Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. By September 2025, current estimates based on Wage Price Index growth project Blakehurst's median income at approximately $100,923 and average income at around $126,080. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Blakehurst all rank modestly, between the 40th and 40th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 59.4% of Blakehurst's population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, with a total of 114,504 individuals in this category. This is consistent with broader trends across regional levels where 29.9% fall into the same income bracket. Economic diversity is evident in Blakehurst, with 60.0% experiencing constrained financial circumstances and 28.8% achieving substantial weekly earnings. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 165.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blakehurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Blakehurst, as per the latest Census evaluation, dwelling structures consisted of 156.8% houses and 43.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blakehurst stood at 80.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 60.6% and rented dwellings at 58.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,466, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,466. The median weekly rent in Blakehurst was $740, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $440. Nationally, Blakehurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,466 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Blakehurst features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 137.2% of all households, including 50.0% couples with children, 59.8% couples without children, and 25.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for -37.2%, comprising 55.6% lone person households and 7.2% group households. The median household size is 4.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.8.

Blakehurst shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Blakehurst is notably higher than broader benchmarks. 44.8% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are most common at 31.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 80.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (22.8%) and certificates (57.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 57.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 21.0% in primary education, 16.2% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education. Blakehurst's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,686 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1090). Education provision is balanced with two primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. Blakehurst functions as an education hub, with 31.1 school places per 100 residents - significantly higher than the regional average of 11.6 - attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 2,838 active transport stops in Blakehurst, consisting of bus services. These are covered by 488 routes, facilitating 6,974 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 380 meters from the nearest stop.

Daily service frequency averages 996 trips across all routes, translating to roughly 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Blakehurst are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Blakehurst's health indicators show below-average results, with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups. The area has a relatively low rate of private health cover at approximately 96% of its total population (~185,134 people), compared to 53.6% in the Rest of NSW and the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 21.0% and 18.8% of residents respectively, while 127.8% claimed to be completely clear of medical ailments compared to 77.2% in the Rest of NSW.

Blakehurst has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 47.7% (92,027 people), compared to 19.1% in the Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Blakehurst was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blakehurst's population showed higher cultural diversity than most nearby areas, with 32.2% born overseas and 17.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 95.0%. However, the category 'Other' had a notably higher representation of 6.6%, compared to the Rest of NSW average of 0.4%.

Regarding ancestry, Blakehurst's top groups were English (62.2%), Australian (56.4%), and Irish (18.2%). These percentages exceeded regional averages for these groups: English by 49.0%, Australian by 43.8%, and Irish by 13.9%. Additionally, Scottish ancestry was notably overrepresented at 16.6% compared to the regional average of 3.2%, as were Australian Aboriginal (8.0% vs 0.6%) and French (1.0% vs 0.3%).

Blakehurst ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Blakehurst's median age is 89 years, which exceeds Rest of NSW's median age of 43 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The age distribution in Blakehurst closely aligns with the Rest of NSW average across all cohorts. Notably, the concentration of people aged 65 to 74 in Blakehurst is higher than the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of Blakehurst's population aged 35 to 44 has increased from 23.0% to 24.8%, while the proportion of those aged 15 to 24 has risen from 20.0% to 21.5%. Conversely, the proportion of people aged 55 to 64 has decreased from 28.0% to 25.4%, and the proportion of those aged 45 to 54 has dropped from 25.2% to 24.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Blakehurst's age structure. The number of people aged 85 and above is projected to decrease by -5,663 (-51%), from 11,141 to 5,478. Meanwhile, both the 85+ and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to have reduced numbers.