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Population
An assessment of population growth drivers in Sylvania Waters reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends
As of Nov 2025, Sylvania Waters' population is estimated at around 3,227 people. This reflects an increase of 27 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,200 people. The current estimate of 3,228 residents was derived from AreaSearch's analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,044 persons per square kilometer, placing Sylvania Waters in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver for population growth in recent periods.
AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Applying growth rates by age group from these aggregations to all areas, Sylvania Waters is expected to increase by 188 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 6.1% over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Sylvania Waters, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally
AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Sylvania Waters has had approximately 8 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 43 homes. In FY26 so far, there have been 4 approvals recorded. The population has fallen during this period, but development activity has remained adequate relative to this decline, which is positive for buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost of $698,000, higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development.
This financial year has seen $25.6 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Sylvania Waters records significantly lower building activity, 62.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity comprises 33.0% detached dwellings and 67.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shows a considerable shift from the current housing mix of 80.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Sylvania Waters has around 360 people per dwelling approval, indicating a developed market.
Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Sylvania Waters to grow by 198 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Sylvania Waters has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally
The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified six projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include the 117-131 Taren Point Road Specialised Retail Development, Florida Street Affordable Housing, Frank Vickery Village Renewal, and Southgate Shopping Centre Expansion. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Sydney Metro City & Southwest
30km metro rail extension from Chatswood to Bankstown via the Sydney CBD, including 15.5km of new twin tunnels under Sydney Harbour and the CBD and the upgrade of the existing T3 Bankstown Line to metro standards. The Chatswood to Sydenham section (including new stations at Crows Nest, Victoria Cross, Barangaroo, Martin Place, Pitt Street, Waterloo and upgrade of Central) opened on 19 August 2024. The final Sydenham to Bankstown section is now under construction and scheduled to open in 2026 following resolution of industrial disputes. Features driverless trains, platform screen doors and full accessibility. Total project cost approximately A$21.6 billion (2024 figures).
WestConnex M8 Motorway Kingsgrove Connection
Completed section of WestConnex M8 motorway providing improved connectivity through Kingsgrove area. Major infrastructure achievement connecting Sydney's south-west to the airport and inner city via underground tunnels, reducing surface traffic and improving travel times.
Rail Service Improvement Program - T4 Illawarra & Eastern Suburbs Line
Ongoing major upgrade program delivering more reliable and frequent services on the T4 Illawarra and Eastern Suburbs Line. Works include Digital Systems signalling upgrades (now in delivery), platform extensions, new crossovers, power supply upgrades, Waterfall stabling yard, and accessibility improvements at multiple stations. The program will enable a 30% increase in peak-hour services and supports the introduction of new NIF (New Intercity Fleet) trains. Delivery is staged, with major packages continuing through to 2028.
Frank Vickery Village Renewal
Major seniors housing renewal project to redevelop the existing retirement village, expanding capacity from 203 to 519 independent living units (ILUs) and from 69 to 126 residential aged care beds. The planning proposal, gazetted in July 2022, rezones the 5.7-hectare site from R2 Low Density to R4 High Density Residential, with increased floor space ratio to 1.26:1 and height to 26.5m. The masterplan includes five connected precincts with retail facilities (1,000 sqm), indoor recreation facilities (3,000 sqm), medical centre (1,000 sqm), cafe, and community amenities. Buildings will cascade to follow the site's natural topography, retaining significant green space and heritage cottage. The project will be rolled out over approximately 10 years to meet the growing demand for seniors living in Sutherland Shire.
Southgate Shopping Centre Expansion
A 28.7 million dollar expansion project involving the demolition of former squash courts at 27-29 Melrose Avenue and construction of a three-level extension to the shopping centre. The development will create new major retailer spaces including a relocated and enlarged Woolworths supermarket with innovative rooftop direct-to-boot service, three new lifts, new loading zones, and expanded car parking facilities. The project aims to meet the growing demands of the Sutherland Shire community through enhanced retail offerings and improved accessibility.
117-131 Taren Point Road Specialised Retail Development
Planning Proposal to introduce Additional Permitted Use for specialised retail premises including bulky goods retail such as household appliances, furniture, homewares, office equipment, automotive parts and accessories, recreation equipment, pet supplies and party supplies. The proposal seeks to add retail use to the existing E4 General Industrial zoning across two properties on the western side of Taren Point Road.
M6 Stage 2
M6 Stage 2 is the proposed southern extension of the M6 motorway from President Avenue at Kogarah through twin tunnels to connect with the Princes Highway near Loftus and ultimately link to the M1 Princes Motorway. The project has been indefinitely shelved since 2022 due to market conditions, labour shortages and lack of funding commitment. The corridor remains reserved but there is no active planning, approval process or construction timeline as of December 2025.
Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL)
The Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL) is an 11km cycleway and pedestrian path connecting Sutherland to Cronulla, utilizing the rail corridor and various locations. Stage 1 (Sutherland to Kirrawee) and Stage 2 (Kirrawee to Caringbah, including Jackson Avenue, Miranda to Gannons Road, Caringbah) are completed, with Stage 2 finalized in early 2024 using $65M in funding. Stage 3 (Caringbah to Cronulla) is in construction, with a focus on connecting key centers, transport hubs, schools, and business precincts in the Sutherland Shire.
Employment
The employment environment in Sylvania Waters shows above-average strength when compared nationally
Sylvania Waters has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.9% in June 2025, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.
Employment grew by 3.0% annually. Key industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction is particularly dominant, at 1.4 times the regional level. However, professional & technical jobs are under-represented, at 8.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.
The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 3.0%, while labour force grew by 3.4%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Sylvania Waters' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch
Sylvania Waters has a median taxpayer income of $59,666 and an average income of $94,743 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Nationally, this is exceptionally high, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $67,190 (median) and $106,690 (average) as of September 2025. According to census data, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 86th percentile ($2,371 weekly). The earnings profile shows that the largest segment comprises 29.7% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (958 residents), aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. Sylvania Waters demonstrates considerable affluence with 38.9% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.8% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 85th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Sylvania Waters is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
In Sylvania Waters, as per the latest Census data, 80.3% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 19.7% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This differs from Sydney metropolitan areas where 52.4% are houses and 47.6% are other dwellings. Home ownership in Sylvania Waters stood at 43.9%, with mortgaged properties at 40.5% and rented ones at 15.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than the Sydney metro average of $2,774. The median weekly rent was $600 compared to Sydney's $500. Nationally, Sylvania Waters' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Sylvania Waters features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households account for 82.0% of all households, including 44.4% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 15.5% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Sylvania Waters shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators
Educational qualifications in Sylvania Waters trail regional benchmarks. As of 2021, 29.9% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 33.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (21.4%).
Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2021. This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.7% pursuing tertiary education. Educational facilities appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Transport analysis indicates 22 active public transport stops in Sylvania Waters, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that collectively facilitate 366 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 154 meters to the nearest stop.
The service frequency averages 52 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Sylvania Waters's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups
Sylvania Waters shows excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 64% of its total population of 2,074 people have private health cover, higher than the national average of 55.3%.
The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.5%) and asthma (4.5%). A significant majority, 75.9%, report being completely free from medical ailments compared to 72.3% in Greater Sydney. As of 6th June 2021, 20.5% of residents are aged 65 and over, totaling 661 people. Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's health profile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Sylvania Waters is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics
Sylvania Waters has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.7% of its population born overseas and 38.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Sylvania Waters is Christianity, which accounts for 68.3% of the population, compared to 61.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Sylvania Waters are English (17.5%), Australian (15.8%), and Other (12.1%), all of which are lower than their respective regional averages of 27.5%, 24.6%, and not specified.
Notably, Greek ethnicity is overrepresented at 11.1% in Sylvania Waters compared to the regional average of 3.2%. Additionally, Macedonian ethnicity is also overrepresented at 3.2% versus 0.7% regionally, and Russian ethnicity is slightly higher than the regional average at 1.0% compared to 0.6%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Sylvania Waters hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide
The median age in Sylvania Waters is 43 years, considerably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and substantially exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 years are particularly prominent, comprising 13.8% of the population, while the 25-34 year-olds make up only 10.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's figures. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of 15-24 year-olds has increased from 13.0% to 14.8%. Conversely, the proportion of 5-14 year-olds has declined from 11.8% to 10.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Sylvania Waters' age structure. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to increase by 34%, from 258 people to 347. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 77% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.