Caringbah

Population growth drivers in Caringbah are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Caringbah's population is estimated at around 13,803 people. This reflects an increase of 1,228 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,575. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 13,456 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 206 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,374 persons per square kilometer, placing Caringbah in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Caringbah's growth rate of 9.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (4.1%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for Caringbah, with the area expected to expand by 2,312 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 14.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caringbah among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Caringbah has received approximately 148 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 740 homes. As of FY26265 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 people moved to the area per dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, suggesting a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. The average construction cost value for new homes in Caringbah is around $486,000, aligning with broader regional development trends.

This financial year has seen approximately $37.7 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Caringbah shows 69.0% higher construction activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers and reflecting strong developer confidence in the location. Recent construction comprises 7.0% detached dwellings and 93.0% townhouses or apartments, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The area currently has around 61 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Caringbah is projected to gain approximately 1,968 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Population forecasts indicate Caringbah will gain 1,968 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Caringbah has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that could impact the region. Notable initiatives include Caringbah Pavilion, Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL), Liveable Sutherland Shire - Live Caringbah. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Caringbah remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Caringbah's workforce is highly educated with professional services well-represented. The unemployment rate in the area was 4.2% as of June 2025, mirroring Greater Sydney's rate.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. There are 7,687 residents employed currently, with a workforce participation rate of 66.4%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Notably, construction has high concentration with levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services have limited presence at 8.1% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. As per Census data, there are 1.1 workers for every resident, indicating Caringbah functions as an employment hub attracting workers from nearby areas. In the last year, ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.6% while labour force grew by 3.3%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. Conversely, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a smaller increase in unemployment rate at 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caringbah's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

In financial year 2022, Caringbah had a median income among taxpayers of $63,846 and an average level of $94,820. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high compared to the median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856 in Greater Sydney. By September 2025, based on a 12.61% growth since financial year 2022, estimated incomes would be approximately $71,897 (median) and $106,777 (average). According to the 2021 Census, individual earnings in Caringbah stood at the 81st percentile nationally with weekly earnings of $1,032. In terms of income distribution, 31.1% of locals (4,292 people) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region where 30.9% were in the same category. High housing costs consumed 20.2% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 53rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Caringbah features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Caringbah's dwelling structures in its latest census were 27.7% houses and 72.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caringbah was at 26.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.5% and rented ones at 38.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, below Sydney metro's average of $2,774. The median weekly rent figure was $470, compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Caringbah's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Caringbah features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 63.2% of all households, including 27.7% couples with children, 23.0% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 36.8%, with lone person households at 33.3% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Caringbah shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Caringbah trail regional benchmarks with 28.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 6.0% and graduate diplomas at 2.5%. Trade and technical skills feature prominently with 38.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 12.8% and certificates at 25.6%.

Educational participation is notably high with 27.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.3% in primary education, 6.3% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education. A robust network of 7 schools operates within Caringbah educating approximately 3,951 students while the area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1095). The educational mix includes 3 primary, 3 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. The area functions as an education hub with 28.6 school places per 100 residents significantly above the regional average of 13.8 attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 83 active public transport stops in Caringbah. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 36 individual routes operating, providing a total of 3,798 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 126 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 542 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 45 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Caringbah is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Caringbah shows better-than-average health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 64% (8,876 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (7.4%) and arthritis (7.2%). A total of 72.7% report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 72.3%. There are 15.9% residents aged 65 and over (2,194 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 21.1%. Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Caringbah was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caringbah's cultural diversity was above average, with 22.4% of its population born overseas and 15.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity dominated Caringbah's religious landscape, comprising 57.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 61.2%. The top three ancestry groups were English (27.0%), Australian (25.3%), and Irish (8.9%).

Notably, Russian (0.8%) was higher than the regional average of 0.6%, Serbian (0.5%) was also above its regional counterpart of 0.3%, and Maltese stood at 0.9%.

Caringbah's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Caringbah's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 25-34 age group constitutes 17.3% of Caringbah's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort makes up 9.9%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and the present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 4.9% to 5.8%. During this period, the 65-74 cohort decreased from 8.5% to 7.9%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Caringbah's age structure. Notably, the 55-64 group is projected to grow by 35%, adding 525 people and reaching a total of 2,044 from its current figure of 1,518. Meanwhile, both the 5-14 and 25-34 age groups are expected to decrease in number.