Gymea - Grays Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Gymea - Grays Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Gymea-Grays Point's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 18,669. This figure reflects a growth of 513 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,156. The increase was inferred from ABS' June 2024 estimate of 18,647 and an additional 98 validated new addresses post-Census. The resulting population density is around 3,218 persons per square kilometer, placing Gymea-Grays Point in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's growth rate of 2.8% since the Census compares favorably with its SA4 region's 4.1%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.9% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the national median, with Gymea-Grays Point expected to expand by 1,112 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 5.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Gymea - Grays Point when compared nationally

Gymea - Grays Point has seen approximately 72 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 360 homes. As of FY-26, 32 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.2 new residents arrive annually for each new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. The average construction cost value of new homes is $387,000.

In FY-26, there have been $4.2 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gymea - Grays Point has about two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 57th percentile nationally. Recent construction comprises 28.0% standalone homes and 72.0% townhouses or apartments, showing a trend towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This shift contrasts with the area's existing housing composition of 69.0% houses, suggesting decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles. With around 267 people per dwelling approval, Gymea - Grays Point is considered a low-density area.

According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, the area is projected to add 1,090 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond projections.

Gymea - Grays Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 23 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Gymea Trade Centre Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane project from Lucas Heights to Engadine, Gymea Village Precinct Upgrade, and Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development. The following list details projects most relevant to the area.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Gymea - Grays Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Gymea - Grays Point has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.4% over the past year.

There were 10,825 residents employed by September 2025, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was higher at 66.9% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. The area had a particular specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance employed only 12.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Employment opportunities appeared limited locally based on Census data analysis. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.4%, while labour force grew by 1.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a rise in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National unemployment stood at 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Gymea - Grays Point's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates that Gymea - Grays Point SA2 has one of the highest incomes in Australia, with a median income of $63,742 and an average income of $83,675. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% from financial year 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $71,780 (median) and $94,226 (average). The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Gymea - Grays Point rank between the 82nd and 88th percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals that 28.0% of individuals earn within the $1,500-$2,999 range, similar to the broader area's 30.9%. Notably, 40.8% have incomes above $3,000 per week, suggesting strong economic capacity. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but disposable income remains at the 88th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Gymea - Grays Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Gymea - Grays Point, as per the latest Census, 68.6% of dwellings were houses while 31.4% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan areas where 52.4% were houses and 47.6% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Gymea - Grays Point stood at 39.1%, with mortgaged properties making up 41.0% and rented dwellings accounting for 19.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,860, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,774. Weekly rent in Gymea - Grays Point was recorded at $530, compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Gymea - Grays Point's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gymea - Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.5% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up 20.5%, with lone person households at 18.9% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Gymea - Grays Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Gymea - Grays Point trail's regional benchmarks, 32.0% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This difference indicates potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (13.3%) and certificates (23.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.0% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 4.6% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Gymea - Grays Point shows there are currently 99 active transport stops operating. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services, with 30 individual routes providing a total of 3,619 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically living within 162 meters of the nearest stop.

On average, there are 517 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gymea - Grays Point's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Gymea - Grays Point. Both young and old age cohorts exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover rate is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (11,444 people), compared to 65.7% across Greater Sydney and 55.3% nationally.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.6 and 6.6% of residents respectively. A total of 72.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,418 people), lower than the 21.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Gymea - Grays Point ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gymea-Grays Point, surveyed in June 2016, had a low cultural diversity: 82.0% were born in Australia, 92.7% were citizens, and 89.5% spoke English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion (58.5%). Judaism, though small (0.3%), was slightly higher than Greater Sydney's average (0.2%).

Top ancestral groups were English (28.9%), Australian (26.8%), Irish (9.5%). Notably, Russian ancestry was similar to regional levels (0.8% vs 0.6%), Maltese was identical at 0.9%, but Greek was underrepresented at 1.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 3.2%.

Gymea - Grays Point's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Gymea - Grays Point's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and somewhat older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Gymea - Grays Point at 14.3%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 9.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.4% to 13.3% of the population, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 15.0% to 14.3%. Demographic modeling suggests that Gymea - Grays Point's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 48%, adding 602 residents to reach a total of 1,848. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 87% of the population growth. However, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 15-24 age cohorts.