Gymea - Grays Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Gymea - Grays Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Gymea - Grays Point's population is around 18,669 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 513 people (2.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,156 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,647 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 98 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,218 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Gymea - Grays Point's 2.8% growth since the census positions it within 1.2 percentage points of the SA4 region (4.0%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 55.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 1,112 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 5.8% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Gymea - Grays Point when compared nationally

Gymea - Grays Point has experienced around 72 dwellings receiving development approval each year, totalling 360 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 45 approvals have been recorded. At an average of 1.2 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), the market shows a good balance between supply and demand, supporting stable conditions, while new homes are being built at an average value of $387,000. There have also been $4.2 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Gymea - Grays Point has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and places in the 57th percentile of areas assessed nationally. Recent construction comprises 28.0% standalone homes and 72.0% townhouses or apartments. This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 69.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. With around 267 people per dwelling approval, Gymea - Grays Point shows characteristics of a low density area.

Future projections show Gymea - Grays Point adding 1,090 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Gymea - Grays Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 23 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Gymea Trade Centre Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane - Lucas Heights to Engadine, Gymea Village Precinct Upgrade, and Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Gymea - Grays Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Gymea - Grays Point possesses a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 1.8%, and 0.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 10,804 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (73.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 45.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. In contrast, health care & social assistance employs just 12.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.6% and the labour force increased by 0.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Gymea - Grays Point. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Gymea - Grays Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Gymea - Grays Point SA2 is among the highest in Australia, with the median assessed at $68,049 while the average income stands at $87,586. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $74,078 (median) and $95,346 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Gymea - Grays Point, between the 82nd and 88th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows 28.0% of the population (5,227 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. The substantial proportion of high earners (40.8% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout this suburb. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 88th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Gymea - Grays Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Gymea - Grays Point, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 68.6% houses and 31.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Gymea - Grays Point was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 39.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (41.0%) or rented (19.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $2,860, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $530, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Gymea - Grays Point's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gymea - Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 79.5% of all households, comprising 42.0% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.5%, with lone person households at 18.9% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Gymea - Grays Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Gymea - Grays Point trail regional benchmarks, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 37.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.3%) and certificates (23.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 103 active transport stops operating within Gymea - Grays Point, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 32 individual routes, collectively providing 3,969 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 162 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 89%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 45.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 567 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Gymea - Grays Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Gymea - Grays Point, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts see low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (11,817 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.6% and 6.6% of residents, respectively, while 72.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (3,489 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Gymea - Grays Point ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gymea - Grays Point was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 82.0% of its population born in Australia, 92.7% being citizens, and 89.5% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Gymea - Grays Point is Christianity, which makes up 58.5% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.3% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Gymea - Grays Point are English, comprising 28.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 19.0%, Australian, comprising 26.8% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%, and Irish, comprising 9.5% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Russian is notably overrepresented at 0.8% of Gymea - Grays Point (vs 0.4% regionally), Maltese at 0.9% (vs 1.0%) and Greek at 1.8% (vs 1.9%).

Gymea - Grays Point's population is slightly older than the national pattern

At 41 years, Gymea - Grays Point's median age is significantly above the Greater Sydney average of 37 as well as somewhat older than the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 55 - 64 cohort is notably over-represented (12.5% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (8.8%). Following the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.4% to 13.3% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 9.8% to 8.8%. Demographic modeling suggests Gymea - Grays Point's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 45%, adding 572 residents to reach 1,848. Demographic aging continues as residents 65 and older represent 85% of anticipated growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 and 55 to 64 cohorts.