Gymea - Grays Point
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Gymea - Grays Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Gymea - Grays Point's population was approximately 18,669 as of August 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents an increase of 513 people, or 2.8%, since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 18,156. The change is estimated from the ABS's June 2024 figure of 18,647 and an additional 98 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,218 persons per square kilometer, placing Gymea - Grays Point in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 2.8% since the census is within 1.2 percentage points of the SA4 region (4.0%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the national median, with the area expected to grow by 1,112 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, indicating a total increase of 5.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Gymea - Grays Point when compared nationally

Gymea - Grays Point has received approximately 81 dwelling approvals annually. Since FY20-FY25, the ABS reports a total of 407 approvals, with 7 in FY26 so far. Each year, around 1.2 new residents arrive per new home. The average construction value is $522,000.

In FY26, $4.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gymea - Grays Point has about two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 57th percentile nationally. Recent construction comprises 28% standalone homes and 72% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift from the current 69% houses. With around 267 people per dwelling approval, it shows characteristics of a low density area. By 2041, projections estimate an addition of 1,090 residents.

Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Gymea - Grays Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that may affect the region. Notable initiatives include Heathcote Road Overtaring Lane expansion from Lucas Heights to Engadine, residential development at 147 Garnet Road Kareela, President Private Hospital redevelopment, and Workway Trade Centre upgrade. The following list outlines those projects most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Gymea - Grays Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Gymea - Grays Point has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 1.7% and there was an estimated employment growth of 3.1% in the past year.

As of June 2025, 10,787 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.5 percentage points below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. The workforce participation rate is 66.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. The area has a particular specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance employs only 12.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Employment levels increased by 3.1% and labour force increased by 3.3% during the year to June 2025, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data for NSW as of Sep-25 shows employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%, which lags behind the national employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gymea - Grays Point's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Gymea - Grays Point has one of the highest incomes in Australia. The median income is $63,742 and the average income stands at $83,675. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $70,499 (median) and $92,545 (average) as of March 2025. The 2021 Census shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Gymea - Grays Point rank highly nationally, between the 82nd and 89th percentiles. In terms of earnings profile, 28.0% of the population (5,227 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. There is a substantial proportion of high earners (40.8% above $3,000/week), indicating strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 88th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Gymea - Grays Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Gymea - Grays Point, as per the latest Census, 68.6% of dwellings were houses while 31.4% were other types such as semi-detached and apartments. This differs from Sydney metro's figures where 52.4% were houses and 47.6% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Gymea - Grays Point stood at 39.1%, with mortgaged properties at 41.0% and rented ones at 19.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,860, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,774. The median weekly rent in Gymea - Grays Point was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gymea - Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.5% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.5%, with lone person households at 18.9% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Gymea - Grays Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Gymea-Grays Point has a university degree holder rate of 32.0% for residents aged 15+, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 37.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.3% and certificates at 23.9%. Current educational participation is high, at 29.2%, including 10.0% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Gymea-Grays Point, educating approximately 2,764 students. The socio-educational conditions are above average, with an ICSEA score of 1087. The educational mix includes four primary schools, one secondary school, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 99 active transport stops operating within Gymea - Grays Point. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. They are serviced by 30 individual routes, collectively providing 3,619 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 162 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 517 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gymea - Grays Point's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Gymea - Grays Point. Both young and old age cohorts experience low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (11,444 people), compared to 65.7% across Greater Sydney, and 55.3% nationally.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.6 and 6.6% of residents respectively. A total of 72.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,418 people), lower than the 21.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Gymea - Grays Point records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gymea-Grays Point's population, born in Australia, is 82.0%, with 92.7% being citizens and 89.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the primary religion here, at 58.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 61.2%. The top three ancestry groups are English (28.9%), Australian (26.8%), and Irish (9.5%).

Russian representation is notably higher at 0.8% than the regional average of 0.6%, Maltese is similar at 0.9%, but Greek is lower at 1.8% compared to the region's 3.2%.

Gymea - Grays Point's median age exceeds the national pattern

Gymea-Grays Point's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly older than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, residents aged 45-54 are notably over-represented at 14.3%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 9.1%. Post the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group increased from 12.4% to 13.3%, whereas the 45-54 cohort decreased from 15.0% to 14.3%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Gymea-Grays Point's age profile. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 48%, adding 602 residents to reach 1,848. Residents aged 65 and older will contribute to 87% of the population growth. Conversely, populations in the 55-64 and 15-24 age groups are projected to decline.