Gymea - Grays Point
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Gymea - Grays Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Gymea - Grays Point's population is 18,669 as of November 2025, reflecting a 2.8% increase since the 2021 Census which reported 18,156 people. This growth is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 18,647 in June 2024 and an additional 98 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 3,218 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Gymea - Grays Point's growth rate of 2.8% since census is within 1.3 percentage points of its SA4 region (4.1%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.9% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of national areas, with the area expected to expand by 1,112 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, indicating a total increase of 5.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Gymea - Grays Point when compared nationally

Gymea - Grays Point has received approximately 72 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 360 homes. As of FY-26, 22 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.2 new residents arrive per year for each new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. The average construction value of new homes is $387,000.

This financial year has seen $4.2 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gymea - Grays Point has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 57th percentile nationally. Recent construction comprises 28% standalone homes and 72% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a shift towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This trend differs from the current housing stock, which is 69% houses, suggesting decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyle needs for diverse and affordable housing options. With around 267 people per dwelling approval, Gymea - Grays Point exhibits low-density characteristics.

Future projections estimate an addition of 1,090 residents by 2041, with current development patterns expected to meet demand and potentially facilitate population growth beyond projections.

Gymea - Grays Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 23 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are Gymea Trade Centre Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane - Lucas Heights to Engadine, Gymea Village Precinct Upgrade, and Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development. The following list details those projects that are likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Gymea - Grays Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Gymea-Grays Point has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate in the area was 1.7% as of June 2025, which is lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.1%. As of June 2025, 10,787 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, and workforce participation was 66.9%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. Employment specialization in construction is particularly notable, with a share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance employs only 12.8% of local workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 14.1%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Employment levels increased by 3.1% and labour force grew by 3.3% during the year to June 2025, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with an increase in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that Gymea-Grays Point's employment could grow by approximately 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Gymea - Grays Point has high incomes. The median income is $63,742 and the average is $83,675. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Gymea - Grays Point are approximately $71,780 (median) and $94,226 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census shows that incomes in Gymea - Grays Point rank highly nationally, between the 82nd and 89th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. Income data indicates that 28.0% of residents (5,227 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to the broader area's 30.9%. Notably, 40.8% have incomes above $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 88th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Gymea - Grays Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Gymea - Grays Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.6% houses and 31.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gymea - Grays Point was higher than Sydney metro at 39.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (41.0%) or rented (19.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,860, above Sydney metro's average of $2,774, and weekly rent was $530 compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Gymea - Grays Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gymea - Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.5% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.5%, with lone person households at 18.9% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Gymea - Grays Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Gymea-Grays Point show that 32.0% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 37.2% of residents aged 15+ holding these qualifications, including advanced diplomas (13.3%) and certificates (23.9%). Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.0% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 4.6% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Gymea-Grays Point, educating approximately 2,764 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1087). The educational mix includes four primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gymea - Grays Point has 99 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus stations. They are served by 30 different routes.

Together, these routes provide 3619 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is excellent. Residents are typically located 162 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 517 trips per day across all routes. This equates to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gymea - Grays Point's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Gymea - Grays Point. Both young and old age cohorts saw low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover was found to be exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (11,444 people), compared to 65.7% across Greater Sydney.

Nationally, the average is 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area were arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.6% and 6.6% of residents respectively. 72.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.3% across Greater Sydney. As of 18.3% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,418 people), which is lower than the 21.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Gymea - Grays Point records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gymea-Grays Point's cultural diversity aligns with the broader area, with 82.0% born in Australia, 92.7% being citizens, and 89.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion here at 58.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 61.2%. The top three ancestry groups are English (28.9%), Australian (26.8%), and Irish (9.5%).

Russian, Maltese, and Greek groups show notable differences: Russian is higher at 0.8% locally vs 0.6% regionally, Maltese remains similar at 0.9%, while Greek is lower at 1.8% vs 3.2%.

Gymea - Grays Point's median age exceeds the national pattern

Gymea-Grays Point's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Gymea-Grays Point at 14.3%, while the 25-34 age cohort is under-represented at 9.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.4% to 13.3% of the population, while the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 15.0% to 14.3%. Demographic modeling indicates that Gymea-Grays Point's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 48%, adding 602 residents to reach 1,848. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 87% of the population growth, while demographic aging continues. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 15-24 age cohorts.