Gymea - Grays Point
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Gymea - Grays Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Gymea - Grays Point's population was 18,669 as of August 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This showed an increase of 513 people from the 2021 Census figure of 18,156, reflecting a growth rate of 2.8%. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 18,647 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 3,218 persons per square kilometer, placing Gymea - Grays Point in the upper quartile nationally. The area's growth rate was close to that of its SA4 region (4.0%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median national rate, with Gymea - Grays Point expected to expand by 1,112 persons to 2041, representing a total increase of 5.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Gymea - Grays Point when compared nationally

Gymea - Grays Point has received approximately 72 dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reports that from FY-21 to FY-25, there were a total of 360 approvals, with 7 so far in FY-26. On average, each new home attracts about 1.2 new residents per year over the past five financial years. This suggests a balanced supply and demand, maintaining stable market conditions, with an average construction cost value of $522,000 per dwelling.

In FY-26, commercial approvals amounted to $4.2 million, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gymea - Grays Point has about two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks at the 57th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered. Recent construction trends show 28% standalone homes and 72% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This change contrasts with the current housing stock, which is 69% houses, suggesting decreasing developable sites and evolving lifestyle needs for more diverse, affordable housing options. With around 267 people per dwelling approval, Gymea - Grays Point exhibits characteristics of a low-density area.

Future projections estimate an addition of 1,090 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply is expected to meet demand adequately, presenting favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond existing projections.

Gymea - Grays Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane expansion from Lucas Heights to Engadine, residential development at 147 Garnet Road Kareela, President Private Hospital redevelopment, and Workway Trade Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Gymea - Grays Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Gymea - Grays Point has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in June 2025, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.1%. As of June 2025, 10,787 residents were employed, with a workforce participation rate of 66.9%, above Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance employs only 12.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Employment levels increased by 3.1% during the year to June 2025, while labour force increased by 3.3%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, losing 19,270 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gymea - Grays Point's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Gymea - Grays Point has one of the highest incomes in Australia. The median income is $63,742 and the average income stands at $83,675. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $70,499 (median) and $92,545 (average) as of March 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Gymea - Grays Point rank highly nationally, between the 82nd and 89th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 28.0% of the population (5,227 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. There is a substantial proportion of high earners, with 40.8% earning above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 88th percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Gymea - Grays Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Gymea-Grays Point, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.6% houses and 31.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gymea-Grays Point was higher than the Sydney metro average at 39.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.0% and rented ones at 19.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,860, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $2,774. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $530, compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Gymea-Grays Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gymea - Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.5% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.5%, with lone person households at 18.9% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Gymea - Grays Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Gymea - Grays Point trail regional benchmarks. As of the latest data, 32.0% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 37.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas comprise 13.3% and certificates make up 23.9%.

Educational participation is high at 29.2%, with current enrollment in formal education including 10.0% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education. Six schools operate within Gymea - Grays Point, educating approximately 2,764 students as of the latest count. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1087. The educational mix includes four primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gymea - Grays Point has 99 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus services. There are 30 individual routes operating in total, providing 3,619 weekly passenger trips combined.

Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 162 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency is high, with an average of 517 trips per day across all routes. This equates to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gymea - Grays Point's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Gymea - Grays Point. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (11,444 people), compared to 65.7% across Greater Sydney and 55.3% nationally.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.6 and 6.6% of residents respectively. A total of 72.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.3% across Greater Sydney. As of 18th June 20XX, the area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,418 people), which is lower than the 21.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Gymea - Grays Point records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gymea-Grays Point's cultural diversity is roughly comparable to the wider region's average, with 82.0% of its population born in Australia, 92.7% being citizens, and 89.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Gymea-Grays Point, comprising 58.5%, compared to 61.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestral groups are English (28.9%), Australian (26.8%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Russian ancestry is overrepresented at 0.8% in Gymea-Grays Point versus the regional average of 0.6%. Maltese ancestry stands at 0.9%, equal to the regional figure, while Greek ancestry is underrepresented at 1.8% compared to the region's 3.2%.

Gymea - Grays Point's median age exceeds the national pattern

Gymea-Grays Point's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly above Australia's median of 38. The 45-54 age group is notably over-represented at 14.3% locally compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 9.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.4% to 13.3%, whereas the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 15.0% to 14.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Gymea-Grays Point's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 48%, adding 602 residents to reach 1,848. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 87% of the population growth, while declines are anticipated for the 55-64 and 15-24 age groups.