Gymea - Grays Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Gymea - Grays Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Gymea - Grays Point's population is 18,669 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a growth of 513 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,156. The change is inferred from ABS estimates of 18,647 in June 2024 and 98 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,218 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's growth rate of 2.8% since the census is within 1.2 percentage points of its SA4 region (4.0%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilised. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the median nationally, with the area expected to expand by 1,112 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 5.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Gymea - Grays Point when compared nationally

Gymea-Grays Point has received approximately 72 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 360 homes. As of FY26, 38 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.2 new residents arrive per year for each new home constructed between FY21 and FY25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. The average construction cost value of new homes is $387,000.

In FY26, there have been $4.2 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gymea-Grays Point has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 57th percentile nationally. Recent construction comprises 28% standalone homes and 72% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a shift towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This trend contrasts with the area's existing housing composition of 69% houses, suggesting decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles. Gymea-Grays Point has around 267 people per dwelling approval, characteristic of a low-density area.

Future projections estimate an addition of 1,090 residents by 2041, with current development patterns indicating that new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Gymea - Grays Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 projects likely to affect the region. Notable projects are Gymea Trade Centre Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane from Lucas Heights to Engadine, Gymea Village Precinct Upgrade, and Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Gymea - Grays Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Gymea-Grays Point has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 1.6% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 1.4%. As of September 2025, 10,825 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation was 73.1%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census data shows 45.6% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. The area had a notable specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance employed only 12.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.4%, labour force by 1.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a slight rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gymea-Grays Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Gymea - Grays Point SA2 has high incomes. The median income is $68,049 and the average is $87,586. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $74,078 and average income $95,346, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. From the 2021 Census, Gymea - Grays Point's household incomes rank between the 82nd and 88th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows 28.0% (5,227 individuals) earn $1,500-$2,999 weekly, similar to the broader area at 30.9%. High earners make up 40.8%, indicating strong economic capacity. Housing costs consume 15.5% of income but disposable income remains high at the 88th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Gymea - Grays Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census showed that 68.6% of dwellings in Gymea - Grays Point were houses, with the remaining 31.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gymea - Grays Point stood at 39.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.0% and rented ones at 19.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,860, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Gymea - Grays Point was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863, and rents were $375 per week.

Gymea - Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.5% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.5%, with lone person households at 18.9% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Gymea - Grays Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Gymea - Grays Point trail region, 32.0% of residents aged 15 years or older have university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 37.2% of residents aged 15 years or older holding them - advanced diplomas account for 13.3%, while certificates make up 23.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gymea - Grays Point has 103 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 32 routes, collectively facilitating 3969 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 162 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, predominantly by car (89%), with only 6% using trains. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 45.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 567 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map illustrates the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Gymea - Grays Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

AreaSearch's health outcomes data shows exceptional results for Gymea - Grays Point. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is notably high at approximately 63% of the total population (11,817 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and 55.7% nationally.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.6%) and asthma (6.6%). 72.7% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly lower than the 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.7%, compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Gymea - Grays Point ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gymea-Grays Point, as per the 2016 Census, had a cultural diversity index of below average. It reported that 82.0% of its population was born in Australia, with 92.7% being Australian citizens and 89.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 58.5% of the population.

However, Judaism was overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 0.3% versus 0.8%. The top three represented ancestry groups were English (28.9%, regional average 19.0%), Australian (26.8%, regional average 17.8%), and Irish (9.5%). Notably, Russian (0.8% vs 0.4%), Maltese (0.9% vs 1.0%), and Greek (1.8% vs 1.9%) were also overrepresented.

Gymea - Grays Point's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Gymea-Grays Point's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 55-64 age group is notably over-represented in Gymea-Grays Point at 12.5%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.8%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.4% to 13.3% of the population, but the 25-34 age group has decreased from 9.8% to 8.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Gymea-Grays Point's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 45%, adding 572 residents to reach 1,848. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 85% of the population growth, while the 25-34 and 55-64 cohorts are projected to decline in population.