Caringbah South

Caringbah South has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Caringbah South's population was around 13,922 as of May 2026. Between May 2021 and May 2026, the population increased by 907 people, a growth rate of 7.0%. This increase is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 13,833 in June 2025 and an additional 191 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 3,420 persons per square kilometer, placing Caringbah South in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Its growth rate exceeded both its SA4 region (5.0%) and SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 39.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for SA2 areas covered by this data, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Caringbah South's population is expected to increase by approximately 987 persons, reflecting a growth rate of 6.5% over the 16-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caringbah South among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Caringbah South has received approximately 116 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 581 homes. As of FY26, 83 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.1 people move to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $434,000, slightly higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Caringbah South has seen 29.0% more development per person over the past five years. The area shows a trend towards denser housing, with 78.0% medium and high-density housing approvals compared to 22.0% detached houses. This shift reflects decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles seeking diverse, affordable housing options. With around 131 people per dwelling approval, Caringbah South exhibits growth area characteristics.

By 2041, the area is projected to gain approximately 898 residents based on current development patterns, suggesting that new housing supply should meet demand and potentially facilitate further population growth beyond current projections.

Caringbah South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Caringbah Pavilion, Shop top housing with affordable housing at Willarong Road and President Avenue Caringbah, Caringbah Marketplace Redevelopment, and Frank Vickery Village Seniors Housing Expansion. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Caringbah South places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Caringbah South has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.5% as of December 2025, with estimated employment growth at 0.5%. In this month, 7,426 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.6% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%.

According to Census responses, 45.7% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts are notable. Leading industries for employment among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in construction with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 11.5% versus the regional average of 14.1%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.5%, labour force grew by 0.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for national employment. Applying these projections to Caringbah South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch aggregated postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Caringbah South SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $65,514 and an average income of $94,747. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,030. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,275 (median) and $104,525 (average), based on a 10.32% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census figures rank Caringbah South's household, family, and personal incomes between the 82nd and 94th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 33.0% of residents (4,594 people) fall into the $4,000+ bracket, differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 46.2% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.9% of income, while strong earnings place residents in the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Caringbah South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Caringbah South, as per the latest Census, 76.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 23.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differs from Sydney metropolitan areas where 55.9% are houses and 44.1% are other dwellings. Home ownership in Caringbah South was higher at 47.5%, with the rest being mortgaged (40.6%) or rented (11.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,400, exceeding Sydney's average of $2,427. Weekly rent was recorded at $730, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, Caringbah South's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Caringbah South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 82.0% of all households, including 45.7% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Caringbah South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Caringbah South's residents aged 15+ have a university degree rate of 31.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (22.0%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.8% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 13.7% and certificates at 23.1%. Educational participation is high, with 29.1% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (10.1%), secondary (8.7%), and tertiary (4.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caringbah South has 70 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 15 different routes that together facilitate 766 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents on average located just 157 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most inhabitants commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 92% of residents. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, which exceeds the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 45.7% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 109 trips per day, translating to roughly 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Caringbah South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Caringbah South's health outcomes show impressive results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 69% of the total population (9,564 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.1 and 6.3% of residents respectively. 73.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents exhibit low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.7%, with 3,018 people falling into this category, compared to Greater Sydney's 15.5%. While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Caringbah South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caringbah South's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 84.8% of its population born in Australia, 93.6% being citizens, and 91.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Caringbah South, comprising 65.6% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three represented ancestry groups are English (29.6%), Australian (27.2%), and Irish (9.6%), each substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 19.0%, 17.8%, and 5.3%.

Notably, Croatian (1.0% vs 0.7%), Maltese (1.1% vs 1.0%), and Greek (2.7% vs 1.9%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Caringbah South compared to regional averages.

Caringbah South's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Caringbah South is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group comprises 10.8% of the population in Caringbah South, compared to Greater Sydney. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up 7.6%, which is less prevalent than in Greater Sydney. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has increased from 5.9% to 7.2%. Meanwhile, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 13.0% to 11.7%, and the 25-34 group has dropped from 8.7% to 7.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Caringbah South, with the 85+ age group expected to grow by 110% (from 515 to 1,084 people). The combined 65+ age groups will account for 77% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.