Caringbah South

Caringbah South has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Caringbah South's population is approximately 13,569 as of Feb 2026. This figure shows an increase of 554 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,015. The growth from June 2024's estimated resident population of 13,506 and additional validated new addresses is inferred. The population density is 3,333 persons per square kilometer, placing Caringbah South in the upper quartile nationally. Its 4.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeds the SA4 region's 4.0%, indicating it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.1% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends suggest a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas, with an expected growth of 1,062 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 7.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caringbah South among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Caringbah South has received approximately 116 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totaling 581 homes. As of FY26, there have been 57 recorded approvals. On average, 1.1 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $434,000, which is somewhat higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Caringbah South has seen slightly more development activity, with 29.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This balances buyer choice while supporting current property values. In terms of building types, new developments consist of 22.0% detached houses and 78.0% medium to high-density housing. This shift towards denser development provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers, marking a notable change from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 76.0% houses.

Caringbah South has around 131 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low-density area. By 2041, it is projected that the area will grow by approximately 999 residents, based on current development patterns and demand trends.

Caringbah South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 14 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Caringbah Pavilion, Live Caringbah, Shop top housing with affordable housing - Willarong Road and President Avenue Caringbah, and Caringbah Marketplace Redevelopment. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Caringbah South places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Caringbah South has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.4% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment grew by an estimated 1.2% in the past year.

Out of 7,438 residents employed, 2.8% were unemployed, below Greater Sydney's unemployment rate. Workforce participation was equal to Greater Sydney's at 70.0%. According to Census data, 45.7% of residents worked from home, possibly due to Covid-19 lockdowns. Major employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

Construction showed strong specialization with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance had lower representation at 11.5% compared to the regional average of 14.1%. The area's limited local job opportunities were indicated by the working population count versus resident population. Between September 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2%, while labour force grew by 1.2%, keeping unemployment broadly stable at 1.4%. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a slight rise in unemployment to 4.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth varies significantly between industries. Applying these projections to Caringbah South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Caringbah South SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $65,514 and an average level of $94,747. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to the national median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 for Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $71,319 (median) and $103,142 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Caringbah South rank highly nationally, between the 82nd and 94th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The income analysis shows that the $4000+ bracket dominates with 33.0% of residents (4,477 people), differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 30.9%. Economic strength is evident through 46.2% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.9% of income, and strong earnings place residents within the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Caringbah South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Caringbah South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 76.5% houses and 23.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 56.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caringbah South was at 47.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.6% and rented ones at 11.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,400, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $730, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Caringbah South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Caringbah South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.0% of all households, including 45.7% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Caringbah South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Caringbah South, as of the latest data available, 31.1% of residents aged 15 years and above hold university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. The most common educational qualification is a bachelor degree, held by 22.0% of residents. Postgraduate qualifications are held by 6.7%, and graduate diplomas by 2.4%. Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.8% of residents aged 15 years and above holding them.

This includes advanced diplomas (13.7%) and certificates (23.1%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.1%), secondary education (8.7%), and tertiary education (4.4%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caringbah South has 70 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 15 different routes that together facilitate 766 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 157 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, with cars being the dominant mode of transportation at 92%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high percentage of residents, 45.7%, work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 109 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 10 weekly trips per stop.

Caringbah South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Caringbah South's health outcomes show remarkable results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions have a very low prevalence across all age groups. Approximately 69% of Caringbah South's total population (9,321 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Nationally, the average is 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.1% and 6.3% of residents respectively. 73.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. Caringbah South has 22.0% of residents aged 65 and over (2,982 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Caringbah South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caringbah South had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 84.8% of its population born in Australia, 93.6% being citizens, and 91.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Caringbah South, comprising 65.6% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (29.6%), Australian (27.2%), and Irish (9.6%).

Notably, Croatian, Maltese, and Greek ethnicities had higher representations in Caringbah South than regionally, at 1.0%, 1.1%, and 2.7% respectively.

Caringbah South's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Caringbah South is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group comprises 11.0% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up only 7.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.9% to 7.3%, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 8.7% to 7.2%, and the 55 to 64 group has dropped from 13.0% to 11.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Caringbah South, with the 85+ age group expected to grow by 112% (559 people), reaching 1,057 from 497. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 75% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25-34 and 0-4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.