Caringbah South
Statistical Area - sa2

Caringbah South has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Caringbah South's population was approximately 13,549 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 534 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,015. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 13,506 in June 2024 and validated new addresses totalling 183 since the Census date. This translates to a density ratio of 3,329 persons per square kilometer, placing Caringbah South in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 4.1% since the 2021 census surpassed the SA4 region's growth rate of 4.0%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.1% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas, with Caringbah South expected to grow by 1,062 persons to 2041 based on latest population numbers, representing a total increase of 7.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caringbah South among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Caringbah South has received approximately 130 dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) provides development approval data on a financial year basis, totalling 651 approvals from FY20 to FY25 and 8 in FY26 so far. On average, around 1.1 new residents per year have been arriving for each new home over the past five financial years between FY20 and FY25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions.

New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost of $654,000, which is moderately above regional levels, suggesting an emphasis on quality construction. Compared to Greater Sydney, Caringbah South has slightly more development activity, with 30.0% more approvals per person over the past five years, balancing buyer choice while supporting current property values. New building activity comprises approximately 22.0% standalone homes and 78.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living and offering more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift contrasts with the area's existing housing composition, currently at 76.0% houses, reflecting decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse, affordable housing options. Caringbah South has a population density of around 131 people per approval, indicating a low-density area.

Projections suggest that Caringbah South will grow by 1,019 residents by 2041, with current development patterns expected to readily meet demand and potentially facilitate further population growth beyond current projections.

Caringbah South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Caringbah Pavilion, Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy, Caringbah Greens, and Caringbah Greens. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Caringbah South rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Caringbah South has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.4% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 3.0%.

As of June 2025, 7,417 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.8%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation was 64.1%, comparable to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in construction (1.6 times the regional level), health care & social assistance (11.5%), and professional & technical services. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data.

From Jun-24 to Jul-25, employment increased by 3.0% while labour force grew by 3.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts indicate national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth varies between sectors. Applying these projections to Caringbah South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Caringbah South had an extremely high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers was $61,329 and the average income stood at $91,323. These figures compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $67,830 (median) and $101,003 (average) as of March 2025. Census data revealed household, family and personal incomes all ranked highly in Caringbah South, between the 82nd and 94th percentiles nationally. Income distribution showed that 33.0% of the population (4,471 individuals) fell within the $4000+ income range, differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominated with 30.9%. The substantial proportion of high earners (46.2% above $3,000/week) indicated strong economic capacity throughout Caringbah South. Housing accounted for 14.9% of income while strong earnings ranked residents within the 94th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Caringbah South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Caringbah South's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 76.5% houses and 23.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). In comparison, Sydney metro had 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caringbah South was 47.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.6% and rented ones at 11.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,400, above Sydney metro's average of $2,774. The median weekly rent in Caringbah South was $730, higher than Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Caringbah South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Caringbah South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.0% of all households, including 45.7% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for 18.0%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Caringbah South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Caringbah South show 31.1% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. University graduates comprise 22.0%, postgraduate qualifications 6.7%, and graduate diplomas 2.4%. Vocational credentials are held by 36.8%, including advanced diplomas (13.7%) and certificates (23.1%). Current educational participation is high at 29.1%, with 10.1% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 4.4% in tertiary education.

Caringbah Public School and Laguna Street Public School serve 846 students collectively. These schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available nearby due to limited local capacity (6.2 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 13.9).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caringbah South has 69 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These are served by 15 distinct routes, offering a total of 737 weekly passenger trips combined. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 157 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 105 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Caringbah South's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Caringbah South. Prevalence of common health conditions is very low across all age groups.

Private health cover rate is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (9,091 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.1 and 6.3% of residents respectively. 73.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.3% across Greater Sydney. As of the latest data (2021), 21.3% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,883 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Caringbah South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caringbah South, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016, had a population with 84.8% born in Australia, 93.6% being citizens, and 91.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 65.6% of people, compared to 61.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (29.6%), Australian (27.2%), and Irish (9.6%).

Notably, Croatian (1.0%) and Maltese (1.1%) ethnicities were relatively overrepresented in Caringbah South compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively. However, Greek ethnicity was slightly underrepresented at 2.7% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 3.2%.

Caringbah South hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Caringbah South is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group comprises 10.8% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 7.6%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.9% to 7.0%, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 13.0% to 11.8%, and the 25-34 group has decreased from 8.7% to 7.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 85+ age group expected to grow by 125% (586 people), reaching 1,057 from 470. The combined 65+ age groups will account for 77% of total population growth, reflecting Caringbah South's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25-34 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.