Yowie Bay

An assessment of population growth drivers in Yowie Bay reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Yowie Bay is around 3,113, reflecting an increase of 60 people since the 2021 Census. The resident population was estimated at 3,108 by AreaSearch following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, with an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this figure. This results in a population density ratio of 2,594 persons per square kilometer, placing Yowie Bay in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Yowie Bay has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.9%, outpacing its SA3 area. Interstate migration contributed approximately 49.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, though all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate an above median growth for Australian statistical areas, with Yowie Bay expected to expand by 786 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 31.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Yowie Bay according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis shows Yowie Bay has around 1 new home approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 9 homes were approved, with 1 more in FY-26. This results in about 43.1 new residents per year.

Demand exceeds supply, driving price growth and competition. Commercial approvals totalled $2.4 million this financial year, indicating limited commercial focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Yowie Bay has significantly less development activity (91.0% below average). This scarcity may strengthen demand for existing properties. Recent development consists solely of attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting various buyers. This shift from the area's current housing composition (86.0% houses) suggests decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles.

Future projections estimate Yowie Bay will add 985 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening competition and supporting price increases.

Yowie Bay has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to impact this region: Salvation Army Miranda Redevelopment, Miranda Centre Place Plan and Public Domain Plan, StorHub Miranda Self Storage, and 148-150 President Avenue Townhouses. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Yowie Bay well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Yowie Bay has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 2.6%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.2% in the past year (AreaSearch aggregation). As of September 2025, there are 1,785 residents employed, with an unemployment rate at 1.6%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses show that 44.0% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area has a particular specialization in construction with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Finance & insurance shows lower representation at 5.6% compared to the regional average of 7.3%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.2% while labour force increased by 1.6%, causing a fall in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific projections suggesting local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Yowie Bay has one of the highest income levels in Australia, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Yowie Bay is $71,002, with an average income of $92,919. This compares to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Yowie Bay would be approximately $77,293 (median) and $101,152 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Yowie Bay rank highly nationally, between the 85th and 96th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 36.5% earning $4,000 or more weekly (1,136 residents), differing from patterns across the broader area where $1,500 - $2,999 dominates with 30.9%. A significant 48.9% earn above $3,000 weekly in Yowie Bay, reflecting prosperity that drives local economic activity. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Yowie Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Yowie Bay, as evaluated at the latest Census held in 2016, comprised 86.2% houses and 13.8% other dwellings including semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Sydney metropolitan area had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yowie Bay stood at 49.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.4% and rented ones at 7.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,200, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427. Median weekly rent in Yowie Bay was recorded at $750, while Sydney metro had a figure of $470. Nationally, Yowie Bay's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Yowie Bay features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.7% of all households, including 47.1% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.3%, with lone person households at 15.6% and group households comprising 0.5%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Yowie Bay shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Yowie Bay's educational qualifications align with regional benchmarks, showing that 32.4% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This difference indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are the most common (23.5%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 33.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 21.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.6% in secondary education, 9.0% in primary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Yowie Bay has 16 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. There is one route serving these stops, offering a total of 109 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 153 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 44% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 15 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately six weekly trips per individual stop.

Yowie Bay's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows outstanding results across Yowie Bay. AreaSearch's assessment found very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (1,978 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.3 and 6.0% of residents respectively. 72.8% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 22.5% of residents aged 65 and over (700 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Yowie Bay ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Yowie Bay's population was found to be less culturally diverse, with 85.0% born in Australia, 95.7% being citizens, and 89.5% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion was Christianity, comprising 65.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%. The top three ancestry groups were English (27.6%), Australian (26.0%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Russian (0.6%) Croatian (1.2%), and Macedonian (0.8%) ethnicities had higher representation than regional averages of 0.4%, 0.7%, and 0.4% respectively.

Yowie Bay hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Yowie Bay is 46 years, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and also exceeds the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney's average, the proportion of people aged 55-64 in Yowie Bay is significantly higher at 14.6%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 5.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 14.7% to 15.5%, while the proportion of people aged 5-14 has declined from 12.7% to 11.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Yowie Bay, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to grow by 180 people (36%), increasing from 507 to 688 residents. The 0-4 age group is expected to grow more modestly at 7%, adding only 8 residents.