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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Grays Point is $1.94m. House values have moved 1.8% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Grays Point has an estimated 3,138 residents, up from 3,034 at the 2021 Census — a change of 104 people, or 3.4%. That puts 2,395 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining ABS regional population releases and post-Census address validations, the population of the suburb of Grays Point stands at roughly 3,138 as of Aug 2026. This marks an expansion of 104 people (3.4%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 3,034 people. This estimate builds upon the 3,123 residents identified in the ABS ERP release from June 2025 alongside 1 newly confirmed address since the Census. With a density of 2,395 persons per square kilometer, the suburb places in the top quartile among national locations evaluated by AreaSearch.
The local 3.4% post-census growth rate trails the broader SA4 region (5.1%) by 1.7 percentage points, reflecting solid underlying momentum. Net overseas arrivals served as the primary growth catalyst, generating approximately 56.00000000000001% of recent net population additions. Population modelling by AreaSearch incorporates 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 figures using 2022 as their starting point, supplemented by 2022 NSW State Government SA2 forecasts based on 2021 where necessary. Age-specific trajectory rates from these sources are applied across 2032 to 2041. Future demographic forecasts indicate growth tracking slightly beneath the national median, with the suburb of Grays Point projected to add 192 persons by 2041 across aggregated SA2 modeling, representing an overall rise of 5.6% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
AreaSearch assessment of localized ABS residential consent statistics shows that Grays Point records an average of approximately 1 residential approval per year, totaling an estimated 7 homes authorized across the last 5 financial years (spanning FY-21 through FY-25), with 6 granted during FY-25 to date. With 3.5 new inhabitants added annually for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), construction falls well short of demand, intensifying buyer interest and applying upward pricing pressure, while newly approved dwellings feature an average construction value of $577,000—outpacing regional benchmarks and highlighting high-end development standards.
Furthermore, non-residential approvals stand at $84,000 for the current financial year, underlining the district's overwhelmingly residential focus. Recent residential building activity has consisted entirely of medium- and high-density formats. Emphasizing higher-density structures delivers more accessible pricing options suitable for downsizers, entry-level buyers, and property investors. This marks a clear departure from the prevailing local property landscape (where houses account for 98.0%), pointing to constraints on vacant building land, shifting resident preferences, and the requirement for varied, attainable housing alternatives. A ratio of approximately 519 residents for each building approval underscores an established, fully developed neighborhood. Projections indicate that Grays Point will welcome an additional 177 residents by 2041 relative to the most recent AreaSearch quarterly baseline. Should the prevailing pace of construction persist, the volume of new residential development could struggle to meet demographic expansion, which may heighten buyer competition and reinforce capital appreciation.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Grays Point
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 62 current infrastructure and development projects close to Grays Point, worth an estimated $4.27 billion. 15 are already under construction and 27 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic public works, development ventures, and civic planning initiatives play a decisive role in shaping community progression. AreaSearch has pinpointed 6 key projects expected to influence the surrounding district. Notable undertakings include the Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development, Elliston Estate - Stage 3 & 4, the Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane - Lucas Heights to Engadine, and the 147 Garnet Road Kareela Residential Development.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development
Mirvac's approved mixed-use development delivering 84 apartments over ground-floor retail directly opposite Gymea village and railway station.
President Private Hospital Redevelopment
An 87 million dollar State Significant Development redeveloping President Private Hospital into a modern healthcare facility for the Sutherland Shire by Macquarie Health Corporation. The works involve the construction of a new three-storey clinical building providing 110 inpatient beds, a 72-bed mental health unit, a refurbished theatre complex, and an upgraded wellness centre. Following a successful Land and Environment Court appeal in 2024, site demolition and active construction are underway to deliver expanded surgical, medical, and rehabilitation services.
Gymea Trade Centre Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3)
Comprehensive expansion and upgrade of the Gymea Trade Centre. The project includes the delivery of new large format retail premises, an upgraded fitness centre, modern medical suites, and childcare facilities. Managed by Charter Hall, these final stages focus on enhancing local service diversity and increasing on-site parking capacity to support the growing regional catchment.
Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane - Lucas Heights to Engadine
Construction of a 2.5km extension to the existing westbound overtaking lane on Heathcote Road from the Woronora River bridge to New Illawarra Road. The project involves adding a 3.5m wide lane, road widening, curve upgrades, and safety improvements. Part of a 180M AUD NSW Government commitment.
Gymea Village Precinct Upgrade
Sutherland Shire Council-led public domain upgrade of the Gymea shopping village precinct, delivering new paving, street furniture, landscaping, improved pedestrian amenity and activation of laneways along Gymea Bay Road. The works aimed to reinforce the outdoor village atmosphere, improve accessibility and support local retail and dining businesses in one of the Shire's established town centres.
4-6 Bligh Street Residential Development
Proposed multi-dwelling residential development comprising apartment and townhouse dwellings with basement parking at 4-6 Bligh Street, Kirrawee. The application involves site amalgamation, demolition of existing detached housing stock, and civil works within Sutherland Shire Council.
34-38 Pinnacle Street Mixed Development
8-storey mixed-use development comprising 24 residential apartments and a boarding house containing 70 rooms with basement car parking.
Gymea Hotel Redevelopment
Mixed-use redevelopment of the former Gymea Hotel site at 851-853 Princes Highway into an 8-storey landmark building featuring approximately 84 apartments above ground floor retail and cafe spaces, rooftop communal areas, and basement parking.
1,810 residents of Grays Point are employed, from a labour force of 1,849. Unemployment sits at 2.1%, with participation at 72.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,403, about 77% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Statistical area aggregations from AreaSearch highlight a highly qualified local workforce in Grays Point characterized by significant professional services participation, a low jobless rate of 2.1%, and steady employment conditions over the preceding twelve months. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,810, the unemployment rate stood 2.0% under the Greater Sydney benchmark of 4.1%, and labor market involvement remained solid (72.8% versus 68.9% for Greater Sydney). Census returns revealed that 46.8% of workers operated from home, a figure influenced in part by Covid-19 restrictions. Resident workers are primarily engaged in health care & social assistance, education & training, alongside construction.
Representation in education & training is particularly pronounced, tracking at 1.4 times regional levels. Conversely, retail trade accounts for a modest 6.4% of resident employment, compared with 9.3% across the wider region. Given the contrast between resident numbers and Census workplace counts, this predominantly residential locality provides relatively few internal employment positions. According to AreaSearch evaluation of SALM and ABS figures aggregated from regional geographies, the twelve months to March 2026 recorded a 0.3% expansion in the workforce alongside a 0.1% contraction in employment, resulting in a 0.4 percentage points increase in joblessness. Across Greater Sydney over the same period, employment expanded by 1.9%, the labor pool grew by 1.9%, and unemployment edged downward slightly. National five- and ten-year labor market projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 provide additional context regarding future workforce requirements in Grays Point when aligned with local industry distributions. Nationally, employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying by sector. Weighting these industry projections against the employment base of Grays Point indicates potential job gains of 7.0% across five years and 14.1% across ten years (representing a baseline weighting exercise for illustrative purposes without adjusting for local population shifts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Grays Point is $3,061 a week (about $159,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,083 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $65,996 a year against an average of $86,634. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Postcode-based ATO records from AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place personal earnings in the suburb of Grays Point at exceptionally elevated tiers across Australia, showing a median of $65,996 and an average of $86,634. These figures exceed the Greater Sydney medians of $60,817 and averages of $83,003. Applying a 10.32% Wage Price Index lift recorded since financial year 2023 yields updated March 2026 estimates of $72,807 for the median and $95,575 for the average. In the Census 2021 results, local household, family, and individual incomes consistently ranked between the 85th and 97th percentiles across the country.
The dominant earning bracket comprises 36.8% of residents (1,154 people) taking in $4000+, contrasting with the broader region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is largest at 30.9%. With 51.0% of earners above $3,000/week, the community demonstrates substantial financial capacity. Furthermore, households retain 87.9% of income following housing outlays, aligning with top-tier economic well-being and a SEIFA income placement in the 10th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Grays Point had 974 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 0% apartments. 47% are owned with a mortgage, 6% rented and 46% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $630 a week and the median mortgage repayment $3,033 a month, a total housing cost higher than 87% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 20.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the housing stock in Grays Point is dominated by separate houses at 98.4%, with semi-detached dwellings, apartments, and alternative structures making up the remaining 1.6%, in stark contrast to Greater Sydney where houses constitute 55.9% and other formats represent 44.1%. Full home ownership in the locality is substantially elevated relative to metropolitan levels at 46.4%, while mortgaged properties account for 47.3% and rental dwellings comprise 6.3%. Typical mortgage obligations reached a median of $3,033 monthly, notably higher than the Sydney metro level of $2,427, while weekly median rents sat at $630 versus $470 across metropolitan Sydney.
In a national context, mortgage costs in Grays Point sit well above the Australian median of $1,863, and rents significantly exceed the nationwide baseline of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Grays Point counted 974 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.0 people each. 49% are couples with children, more than in 94% of areas nationally, against 32% couples without children. 10% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 88.4%, broken down into couples with offspring (49.3%), couples without children (32.2%), and single parent households (6.4%). Non-family setups make up the remaining 11.6%, primarily single-person dwellings at 10.4% alongside shared group arrangements at 1.0%. The typical household size of 3.0 people exceeds the Greater Sydney benchmark of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
35.5% of adults in Grays Point hold a university qualification, including 22.7% with a bachelor degree and 9.1% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 98% of areas nationally. A further 25.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 334 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,117 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The local educational profile shows elevated attainment, with 35.5% of residents aged 15+ holding tertiary degrees, outperforming both the Australian benchmark of 30.4% and the SA4 region level of 31.0%. Bachelor degree holders form the primary cohort at 22.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 9.1% and graduate diplomas at 3.7%. Vocational qualifications are likewise well represented, with 37.8% of individuals aged 15+ holding technical credentials, comprising advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 25.1%. Active learning engagement remains prominent, with 31.1% of the population participating in structured study. This cohort includes 10.4% attending high schools, 10.3% in primary education, and 5.2% enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Grays Point reaches 28 stops on 9 routes, timetabled for about 210 services a week. The typical home sits about 110 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 2.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Grays Point features 28 dedicated bus stops distributed across the suburb. These facilities are connected by 9 transit routes that provide 206 scheduled passenger journeys weekly. Overall transit proximity is rated as excellent, with average distances to the nearest boarding point sitting at 106 meters. Because the locality is primarily residential, commuting is oriented outward, with private vehicles serving as the primary travel choice at 95%. Vehicle availability stands at an average of 2.1 cars per household, exceeding regional standards. Meanwhile, 46.8% of employed locals indicated working from home in the 2021 Census, reflecting prevailing conditions during that timeframe.
Transit schedules provide a combined average of 29 daily trips across all operating lines, which translates to roughly 7 weekly services per stop location.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.6% of residents in Grays Point report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 85% of areas nationally. 2.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 61.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of chronic condition incidence and mortality indicators reveal strong health profiles throughout Grays Point, marked by minimal chronic disease prevalence across every age bracket and a high private health insurance participation rate of approximately 61% of residents (1,917 people), surpassing the Australian average of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma constitute the most frequently reported ailments, recorded among 7.9 and 6.1% of inhabitants respectively, while 72.6% of residents reported having no diagnosed chronic medical issues, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes remain robust among working-age cohorts. Residents aged 65 and over account for 18.8% of the community (589 people), exceeding the Greater Sydney proportion of 15.5%, with older residents maintaining solid health benchmarks comparable to broad national distributions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Grays Point is largely Australian-born, at 84.0% of residents, with 5.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (30.6%) and Australian (27.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Grays Point displays relatively uniform cultural metrics, with Australian-born individuals representing 84.0% of the community, Australian citizenship at 94.5%, and 94.5% using solely English in domestic settings. Christianity represents the predominant religious affiliation, encompassing 54.1% of local residents. The most noticeable divergence in minor religious representation appears in Judaism, accounting for 0.2% of the population against 0.8% across Greater Sydney. Looking at parental lineage, the primary ancestries in Grays Point are English at 30.6% (exceeding the regional share of 19.0%), Australian at 27.4% (above the 17.8% regional mark), and Irish at 9.5%.
Other background shares show distinct local variances, including Russian background at 1.0% (compared to 0.4% regionally), Welsh heritage at 0.8% (versus 0.4%), and Maltese ancestry at 0.9% (relative to 1.0% across the region).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Grays Point is 44, older than 76% of areas nationally. 21.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic distribution in Grays Point differs noticeably from Greater Sydney across mature cohorts. August 2026 estimates show that individuals aged 45 - 64 make up 30.1% of the population, compared to 22.6% regionally, while residents aged 25 - 44 account for 17.3% against a 31.4% metropolitan proportion. The estimated median age is 44, matching the 2021 Census result, while standing 7 years older than the Greater Sydney Census median of 37 and above the national Census median of 38. Since the Census, the most notable shift occurred in the 45 - 64 bracket, which eased from 31.2% to an estimated 30.1%.
Projections through 2041 anticipate the greatest expansion within the 65+ age category, growing by 240 residents (41%) to reach 830, while younger adult demographics and children are expected to see reductions over the same timeline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Grays Point
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Nov 2025 11 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Nov 2025. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,034 at the 2021 Census → 3,138 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL11750). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.