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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Grays Point is $1.93m, with units at $1.56m. House values have moved 1.6% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Grays Point has an estimated 3,138 residents, up from 3,034 at the 2021 Census — a change of 104 people, or 3.4%. That puts 2,395 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Following assessment of ABS demographic adjustments for the surrounding district alongside quarterly validation of address records by AreaSearch, the population of the suburb of Grays Point is estimated to be 3,138 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 104 people (3.4%) relative to the 2021 Census, which counted 3,034 residents. The estimate builds upon an AreaSearch figure of 3,128, derived from June 2025 ABS ERP statistics combined with 1 validated new addresses since the Census. This population corresponds to a density of 2,395 persons per square kilometer, which is in the highest quartile of all locations evaluated nationwide.
The 3.4% population growth of the suburb of Grays Point since the Census is within 1.6 percentage points of the broader SA4 region (5.0%), indicating competitive local growth drivers. Net population gains were heavily influenced by overseas migration, which accounted for approximately 56.00000000000001% of all increases over recent times. Projections utilize ABS and Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, supplemented by NSW Government SA2 projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year where gaps exist. Age structure shifts for 2032 through to 2041 are modeled on these regional trends. Demographic forecasts suggest future population expansion for the suburb of Grays Point will track slightly below the national median, with the suburb of Grays Point projected to grow by 194 persons by 2041, representing a total expansion of 5.9% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Analysis of building approval statistics indicates that Grays Point averages approximately 3 annual residential approvals. Over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), 18 dwellings were approved, with 6 recorded in FY-26. Dwellings built between FY-21 and FY-25 added an average of 2.5 new residents per home, reflecting solid underlying demand. The average expected construction cost for these new homes is $522,000, pointing to developer focus on upmarket, higher-end properties. On the commercial front, $84,000 in approvals were registered during this financial year, showing limited commercial development. Recent residential construction approvals consist of 25.0% separate houses and 75.0% medium to high-density dwellings.
This trend toward denser accommodation offers entry-level options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. This represents a substantial shift from the current residential mix (98.0% houses), indicating a scarcity of developable vacant land and alignment with changing lifestyle demands and affordability constraints. The ratio of residents to dwelling approvals stands at approximately 1038, showing a mature local market. By 2041, the population of the suburb of Grays Point is projected to increase by 184 residents. If construction activity continues at its current pace, the creation of new housing may fall short of demographic growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and driving upward price pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Grays Point
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 62 current infrastructure and development projects close to Grays Point, worth an estimated $6.25 billion. 15 are already under construction and 24 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, planning changes, and major works influence real estate outcomes. AreaSearch has identified 6 projects of significance near the locality. Key developments include the Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development, Elliston Estate - Stage 3 & 4, Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane - Lucas Heights to Engadine, and the 147 Garnet Road Kareela Residential Development.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development
Mirvac's approved mixed-use development delivering 84 apartments over ground-floor retail directly opposite Gymea village and railway station.
President Private Hospital Redevelopment
An 87 million dollar State Significant Development redeveloping President Private Hospital into a modern healthcare facility for the Sutherland Shire. The works involve demolition of single-storey buildings (including the heritage-listed Hotham House) and construction of a new three-storey clinical building with two basement car park levels. The redeveloped hospital will provide 110 inpatient beds for surgical, medical and rehabilitation care, a 72-bed mental health unit, a refurbished theatre complex with an additional operating theatre, a new entry from Hotham Road, and an upgraded wellness centre with hydrotherapy pool.The project was initially refused by the Independent Planning Commission in late 2022 over heritage and amenity concerns, but proceeded after a successful Land and Environment Court appeal in 2024. As of late 2025, inpatient services have been closed, the site has been fenced, and demolition and construction works have commenced. Day rehabilitation services continue to operate during the staged build, which is expected to support around 700 healthcare and construction jobs.
Gymea Trade Centre Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3)
Comprehensive expansion and upgrade of the Gymea Trade Centre. The project includes the delivery of new large format retail premises, an upgraded fitness centre, modern medical suites, and childcare facilities. Managed by Charter Hall, these final stages focus on enhancing local service diversity and increasing on-site parking capacity to support the growing regional catchment.
Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane - Lucas Heights to Engadine
Construction of a 2.5km extension to the existing westbound overtaking lane on Heathcote Road from the Woronora River bridge to New Illawarra Road. The project involves adding a 3.5m wide lane, road widening, curve upgrades, and safety improvements. Part of a 180M AUD NSW Government commitment.
Gymea Village Precinct Upgrade
Sutherland Shire Council-led public domain upgrade of the Gymea shopping village precinct, delivering new paving, street furniture, landscaping, improved pedestrian amenity and activation of laneways along Gymea Bay Road. The works aimed to reinforce the outdoor village atmosphere, improve accessibility and support local retail and dining businesses in one of the Shire's established town centres.
34-38 Pinnacle Street Mixed Development
8-storey mixed-use development comprising 24 residential apartments and a boarding house containing 70 rooms with basement car parking.
Gymea Hotel Redevelopment
Mixed-use redevelopment of the former Gymea Hotel site at 851-853 Princes Highway into an 8-storey landmark building featuring approximately 84 apartments above ground floor retail and cafe spaces, rooftop communal areas, and basement parking.
Salvation Army Miranda Redevelopment
A landmark 16-storey mixed-use precinct developed in partnership between Formus Property and The Salvation Army. The project delivers 116 residential apartments, including dedicated affordable housing, situated above new state-of-the-art community facilities. The ground levels feature Salvation Army welfare services, a worship hall, and community rooms designed to continue their 55-year legacy of service in the Sutherland Shire. The development revitalizes the Miranda town center with high-quality architectural design and integrated public spaces.
1,812 residents of Grays Point are employed, from a labour force of 1,852. Unemployment sits at 2.2%, with participation at 72.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,401, about 77% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Locals are characterised by high levels of education and strong participation in professional services. The unemployment rate is 2.2%, showing stable conditions over the past year. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,812, with the unemployment rate tracking 2.0% below the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%. Workforce participation is 72.5%, compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney. Census records indicate that 46.8% of the workforce worked from home, a figure that may be influenced by past pandemic restrictions. The primary employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.
There is a strong local specialization in education & training, which employs 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, retail trade accounts for 6.4% of jobs, compared to 9.3% across the wider region. The comparison between the local workforce count and resident population suggests limited job opportunities within the immediate boundaries of this residential locality. In the year ending March 2026, the local workforce grew by 0.3% while total employment fell by 0.1%, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. This contrasted with Greater Sydney, where employment and workforce size both expanded by 1.9%, and the unemployment rate decreased slightly. National employment projections from May-25 suggest total jobs will grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though trends vary by sector. Applying these national industry growth rates to the local occupational mix suggests employment could rise by 7.0% over five years and 14.1% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Grays Point is $3,061 a week (about $159,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,083 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $65,996 a year against an average of $86,634. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Data from the financial year 2023 ATO records reveals a median taxpayer income of $65,996 and an average income of $86,634. These figures are high on a national scale and compare to Greater Sydney averages of $60,817 and $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be $72,807 for the median and $95,575 for the average. Census data places household, family, and personal incomes between the 85th and 97th percentiles nationally. A cohort of 36.8% of residents (1,154 individuals) earns over $4,000 per week, whereas the broader region is characterised by 30.9% of earners in the $1,500 - 2,999 range.
Half of all households (51.0%) earn in excess of $3,000 weekly. After housing expenditures, households retain 87.9% of their income, and the area is ranked in the 10th decile of the SEIFA index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Grays Point had 974 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 0% apartments. 47% are owned with a mortgage, 6% rented and 46% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $630 a week and the median mortgage repayment $3,033 a month, a total housing cost higher than 87% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 20.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock consists of 98.4% separate houses and 1.6% semi-detached, apartment, or other dwelling types, differing from the Greater Sydney split of 55.9% separate houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership stands at 46.4%, with remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (47.3%) or tenants (6.3%). The median mortgage repayment is $3,033 per month, while the median weekly rent is $630, comparing to Greater Sydney figures of $2,427 and $470. These housing costs are higher than the Australian averages of $1,863 for mortgages and $375 for rent.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Grays Point counted 974 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.0 people each. 49% are couples with children, more than in 94% of areas nationally, against 32% couples without children. 10% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 88.4% of households, consisting of couples with children (49.3%), couples without children (32.2%), and single parents (6.4%). Non-family households account for 11.6%, with lone persons representing 10.4% and group shared households at 1.0%. The median household size is 3.0 individuals, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
35.5% of adults in Grays Point hold a university qualification, including 22.7% with a bachelor degree and 9.1% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 98% of areas nationally. A further 25.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 334 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,117 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
University qualification rates are high, with 35.5% of residents aged 15+ holding a degree, compared to 30.4% nationally and 31.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are held by 22.7% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 9.1% and graduate diplomas at 3.7%. Technical and vocational training is also common, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, including 12.7% with advanced diplomas and 25.1% with certificates. A significant proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 31.1% enrolled in education. This comprises 10.4% in high school, 10.3% in primary school, and 5.2% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Grays Point reaches 28 stops on 9 routes, timetabled for about 220 services a week. The typical home sits about 110 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 2.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local transit network consists of 28 bus stops. These stops are served by 9 distinct routes, which run 216 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop is 106 meters. Most residents commute out of the suburb, with private vehicles being the primary mode of travel for 95% of commuters. Household vehicle ownership averages 2.1 cars, above the regional average. Census records from 2021 show that 46.8% of residents worked from home. Transit services average 30 daily trips across all routes, which averages out to approximately 7 weekly trips per transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.6% of residents in Grays Point report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 85% of areas nationally. 2.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 61.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators reveal positive outcomes, with low mortality rates and a low prevalence of chronic conditions across age groups. Private health insurance coverage is high, with approximately 61% of the population (1,917 residents) covered, compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical diagnoses are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.9% and 6.1% of residents respectively. No long-term health conditions were reported by 72.6% of residents, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Chronic illnesses remain low among working-age locals. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 19.2% of the population (602 people), compared to 15.5% in Greater Sydney, with their health outcomes tracking in line with broader national trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Grays Point is largely Australian-born, at 84.0% of residents, with 5.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (30.6%) and Australian (27.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures show that 84.0% of residents were born in Australia, 94.5% hold citizenship, and 94.5% speak only English at home. The primary religion is Christianity, representing 54.1% of the population. Judaism is represented by 0.2% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney. The most common parent birthplaces are English (30.6% compared to 19.0% regionally), Australian (27.4% compared to 17.8% regionally), and Irish (9.5%). Other ancestries include Russian at 1.0% (compared to 0.4% regionally), Welsh at 0.8% (compared to 0.4% regionally), and Maltese at 0.9% (compared to 1.0% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Grays Point is 44, older than 76% of areas nationally. 21.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 44 is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national median of 38. The 55 - 64 age bracket represents 14.9% of the population, while the 25 - 34 bracket is lower at 6.1%. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket increased from 13.9% to 15.2%, while the 45 to 54 bracket decreased from 15.9% to 15.2%. Projections to 2041 suggest the 75 to 84 cohort will increase by 43% (102 people), growing from 238 to 341. Residents aged 65 and over are expected to make up 84% of the population growth, while the 25 to 34 and 55 to 64 brackets are projected to decline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Grays Point
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Nov 2025 9 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Nov 2025. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,034 at the 2021 Census → 3,138 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL11750). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.