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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
Grays Point is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends
As of May 2026, the estimated population of Grays Point is around 3138 people. This figure reflects an increase of 104 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3034 people in the suburb. The current population estimate of 3128 by AreaSearch, based on the latest ERP data release from the ABS (June 2025) and validated new addresses, indicates a growth rate of approximately 3.4% since the Census date. This translates to a density ratio of 2395 persons per square kilometer, placing Grays Point in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch nationwide. The suburb's population growth is primarily attributed to overseas migration, contributing around 56% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projects that Grays Point will experience a population increase just below the median for statistical areas across Australia by 2041.
Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 194 persons between 2026 and 2041, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 5.9% over these 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
The level of residential development activity in Grays Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch
Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Grays Point has recorded approximately three residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years ending June 2021. This totals an estimated fifteen homes. As of May 2026, two approvals have been recorded in this financial year. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers.
New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $522,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Additionally, $84,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Recent development has entirely comprised townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 98.0% houses, likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.
As of June 2021, Grays Point had an estimated population of around 559 people per approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Grays Point is expected to grow by 184 residents through to 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Grays Point
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Infrastructure
Grays Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally
The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified six projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development, Elliston Estate - Stage 3 & 4, Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane from Lucas Heights to Engadine, and 147 Garnet Road Kareela Residential Development. The following list details those projects that are likely to be most relevant.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
President Private Hospital Redevelopment
An 87 million dollar State Significant Development redeveloping President Private Hospital into a modern healthcare facility for the Sutherland Shire. The works involve demolition of single-storey buildings (including the heritage-listed Hotham House) and construction of a new three-storey clinical building with two basement car park levels. The redeveloped hospital will provide 110 inpatient beds for surgical, medical and rehabilitation care, a 72-bed mental health unit, a refurbished theatre complex with an additional operating theatre, a new entry from Hotham Road, and an upgraded wellness centre with hydrotherapy pool. The project was initially refused by the Independent Planning Commission in late 2022 over heritage and amenity concerns, but proceeded after a successful Land and Environment Court appeal in 2024. As of late 2025, inpatient services have been closed, the site has been fenced, and demolition and construction works have commenced. Day rehabilitation services continue to operate during the staged build, which is expected to support around 700 healthcare and construction jobs.
Community Infrastructure Strategic Plan 2050
The Community Infrastructure Strategic Plan 2050 (CISP) is a long-term framework adopted by Canterbury-Bankstown Council to guide the planning and delivery of 149 community facilities over the next 25 years. The plan focuses on consolidating ageing, fit-for-purpose assets into modern multipurpose hubs. Key initiatives include the redevelopment of the Canterbury Leisure and Aquatics Centre, new district libraries, youth centres, and enhanced cultural spaces. The strategy is designed to support a population expected to reach 500,000 by 2036, with priority growth areas identified in the Bankstown CBD and Campsie precincts.
Rail Service Improvement Program - T4 Illawarra & Eastern Suburbs Line
A multi-billion-dollar upgrade (formerly More Trains, More Services) modernising the T4 line for higher frequency. Key works include the Digital Systems Program replacing trackside signals with ETCS Level 2 technology, platform extensions at Waterfall and Kiama for the Mariyung fleet, and power upgrades. As of May 2026, Mariyung trains have commenced passenger service on the South Coast Line (April 2026), and Digital Systems testing continues between Bondi Junction and Erskineville.
Mariyung Fleet (New Intercity Fleet)
The Mariyung Fleet is a 610-carriage double-deck electric train fleet (D sets) replacing the ageing V-set and Oscar fleets across the NSW intercity network. Delivered by the RailConnect NSW consortium (UGL, Hyundai Rotem, Mitsubishi Electric Australia), the trains feature wider 2x2 seating with arm rests, tray tables and cup holders, charging ports, dedicated luggage, pram and bicycle spaces, accessible toilets, dedicated wheelchair spaces, CCTV, digital information screens and Automatic Selective Door Operation. The fleet operates in 4, 6, 8 or 10-car formations. Passenger services commenced on the Central Coast & Newcastle Line on 3 December 2024, on the Blue Mountains Line on 13 October 2025, and on the South Coast Line on 14 April 2026. The South Coast Line rollout begins with seven 4 and 6-car sets, scaling to 16 trains by 2027 with 8-car sets later in 2026 and 10-car configurations in 2027. The project includes the Kangy Angy Maintenance Facility (operated by UGL on a 15-year contract) and extensive corridor upgrades including platform extensions, signalling modifications, balise installation and overhead wiring works.
M6 Stage 2
M6 Stage 2 is the proposed southern extension of the M6 motorway from President Avenue at Kogarah through twin tunnels to connect with the Princes Highway near Loftus and ultimately link to the M1 Princes Motorway. The project has been indefinitely shelved since 2022 due to market conditions, labour shortages and lack of funding commitment. The corridor remains reserved but there is no active planning, approval process or construction timeline as of December 2025.
Rail Service Improvement Program (formerly More Trains More Services)
Program of staged upgrades across Sydney's heavy rail network to increase frequency and capacity through digital systems, track and signalling works, station upgrades and new or upgraded rollingstock. Formerly branded as More Trains More Services, the program continues delivery on lines including T4 Eastern Suburbs & Illawarra, T8 Airport & South, and integration works tied to broader network changes.
Illawarra Rail Resilience Plan
Transport for NSW is developing the Illawarra Rail Resilience Plan to assess the South Coast Line, compare upgrade and new infrastructure options, and identify a long-term program to improve rail reliability, weather resilience, passenger services and freight access between Sydney, Wollongong and Port Kembla. Related current works include drainage, cuttings, embankments, ballast cleaning and the Coalcliff/Scarborough rail tunnel upgrade.
Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane - Lucas Heights to Engadine
Construction of 1km+ westbound overtaking lane on climbing section of Heathcote Road. Part of $180M NSW Government commitment to improve safety and traffic flow for 22,000+ daily motorists.
Employment
Employment performance in Grays Point ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally
Grays Point has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.5%. As of December 2025, 1,804 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 2.3% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.
Workforce participation was 71.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A significant 46.8% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment were health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, education & training had employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.
In contrast, retail trade employed only 6.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 9.3%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the ratio of working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 0.5%, while the labour force grew by 0.7%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable at around 1.8%. In comparison, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Grays Point's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 7.0% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for local population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Grays Point had a median taxpayer income of $65,996 and an average income of $86,634. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the median of $60,817 and average of $83,030 across Greater Sydney. As of March 2026, estimated incomes based on Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $72,807 (median) and $95,575 (average). Census data shows Grays Point's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 85th and 97th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 36.8% of locals earn more than $4,000 per week, compared to 30.9% in the region who earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. A substantial proportion (51%) earn above $3,000 per week, suggesting strong economic capacity. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Grays Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
Grays Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.4% houses and 1.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grays Point stood at 46.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.3% and rented ones at 6.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,033, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Grays Point was $630, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Grays Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households account for 88.4% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 32.2% couples without children, and 6.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 11.6%, with lone person households at 10.4% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Grays Point demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics
The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 35.5% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's rate of 31.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 12.7% and certificates make up 25.1%.
Educational participation is high, at 31.1%, including secondary education (10.4%), primary education (10.3%), and tertiary education (5.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Grays Point has 28 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 9 different routes that together facilitate 216 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport in the area is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 106 meters from their nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation, used by 95% of residents. On average, there are 2.1 vehicles per dwelling in Grays Point, which is higher than the regional average.
According to the 2021 Census, 46.8% of residents work from home, a figure that might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 30 trips per day, equating to roughly 7 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Grays Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups
Grays Point's health outcomes data shows excellent results, as evaluated by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.
Approximately 61% of Grays Point's total population (1,917 people) has private health cover, which is higher than the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.9 and 6.1% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 72.6%, reported being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. As of the latest data, 19.2% of Grays Point's residents are aged 65 and over (602 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors in Grays Point align with national rankings for the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Grays Point ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Grays Point, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census of Population and Housing conducted on 27 June 2016, showed a lower-than-average cultural diversity level with 84.0% of its residents born in Australia. The population was predominantly Australian citizens at 94.5%, and English was spoken exclusively at home by 94.5%. Christianity was the dominant religion in Grays Point, accounting for 54.1% of individuals residing there.
Notably, Judaism had a higher representation in Grays Point at 0.2% compared to Greater Sydney's average of 0.8%. The top three ancestry groups based on parents' country of birth were English at 30.6%, Australian at 27.4%, and Irish at 9.5%. These percentages were significantly higher than the respective regional averages of 19.0% for English, 17.8% for Australian, and 6.8% for Irish. Additionally, certain ethnic groups showed notable differences in representation: Russian was overrepresented at 1.0%, Welsh at 0.8%, and Maltese at 0.9%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Grays Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average
Grays Point's median age is 44, surpassing Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeding the national average of 38. The 55-64 age group comprises 14.9% of Grays Point's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up only 6.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.9% to 15.2%, while the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 15.9% to 15.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Grays Point's age profile. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 43%, reaching 341 people from the current 238. The population aged 65 and above is expected to account for 84% of this growth, with declines anticipated in the 25-34 and 55-64 age cohorts.