Grays Point

Grays Point is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Grays Point is around 3,083, reflecting a 1.6% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 3,034 people. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,081, based on their examination of ABS's latest ERP data release (June 2024) and validation of one new address since the Census date. This population density translates to approximately 2,353 persons per square kilometer, placing Grays Point in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 1.6% since the census is within 2.4 percentage points of the SA4 region's growth rate of 4%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the area. For future projections until 2041, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a 2022 base year.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year are utilized. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Grays Point is expected to increase by approximately 212 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of around 6.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Grays Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Grays Point has recorded approximately three residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated fifteen homes. So far in FY 2025-26, two approvals have been recorded. With an average of 5.5 people moving to the area for each dwelling built between FY 2020-21 and FY 2024-25, demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $522,000, indicating that developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

Additionally, $84,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Recent development has entirely comprised townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 98.0% houses, potentially indicating diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Grays Point shows a mature, established area with around 565 people per approval.

Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Grays Point to grow by 210 residents through to 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Grays Point has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified six projects likely affecting the area. Notable ones are Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development, Gymea Village Precinct Upgrade, Elliston Estate - Stage 3 & 4, and Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane from Lucas Heights to Engadine. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Grays Point rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Grays Point has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.8% as of December 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.7%.

As of this date, 1,821 residents were employed, with a workforce participation rate of 73.6%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Notably, 46.8% of residents worked from home, potentially due to Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key industries for employment include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training particularly stands out with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, retail trade employs only 6.4% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 9.3%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparisons between working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 0.7%, while the labour force grew by 0.8%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced higher growth rates of 2.2% for employment and 2.3% for labour force. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Grays Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Grays Point had a median income among taxpayers of $65,996. The average income stood at $86,634. Nationally, these figures are extremely high, with median and average incomes being $60,817 and $83,003 respectively in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Grays Point would be approximately $71,843 (median) and $94,310 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family, and personal incomes in Grays Point rank highly nationally, between the 85th and 97th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 36.8% of locals (1,134 people) fall into the $4000+ category, unlike regional trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A substantial proportion of high earners (51.0% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the district. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Grays Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Grays Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 98.4% houses and 1.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grays Point stood at 46.4%, with the rest being mortgaged (47.3%) or rented (6.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,033, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Grays Point was $630, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Grays Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 88.4% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 32.2% couples without children, and 6.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.6%, with lone person households at 10.4% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Grays Point demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 35.5%, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's rate of 31.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 25.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in secondary education, 10.3% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Grays Point has 28 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by nine different routes, offering a total of 216 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 106 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents in this predominantly residential area commute outwards, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 95%. On average, there are 2.1 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant 46.8% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 30 trips per day, resulting in approximately seven weekly trips per stop.

Grays Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Grays Point demonstrates excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (1,884 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.9 and 6.1% of residents respectively. 72.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors (19.3%, or 595 people) compared to Greater Sydney (15.4%). Health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

Grays Point ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Grays Point, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census conducted on 28 June 2016, exhibited below-average cultural diversity with 84.0% of its population born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 94.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Grays Point, comprising 54.1% of people, while Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 0.8%. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.6%), Australian (27.4%), and Irish (9.5%), all substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 19.0%, 17.8%, and 4.5%.

Notably, Russian (1.0%), Welsh (0.8%), and Maltese (0.9%) ethnic groups were also overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney's averages.

Grays Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Grays Point's median age is 44, surpassing Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeding the national norm of 38. Notably, the 55-64 age group comprises 15.0% of Grays Point's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort represents only 5.7%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has risen from 13.9% to 15.3%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 6.7% to 7.8%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 15.9% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Grays Point's age profile. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 43%, reaching 345 people from the current 240. This aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 83% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 15-24 age groups are expected to experience population declines.