Grays Point

Grays Point is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated since the Census, Grays Point statistical area (Lv2)'s population is estimated at around 3083 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 49 people from the 2021 Census figure of 3034, indicating a growth rate of approximately 1.6%. AreaSearch's estimation is based on resident population data from ERP releases by ABS up to June 2024 and validation of one new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of around 2353 persons per square kilometer, placing Grays Point (SA2) in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's growth rate since the Census is competitive with its SA4 region, being within 2.3 percentage points of the latter's 3.9% growth. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56% of overall population gains during recent periods for Grays Point (SA2).

For future projections until 2041, AreaSearch utilises ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former. Based on these aggregations, Grays Point (SA2) is expected to increase by around 216 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall growth rate of approximately 8.2% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Grays Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Grays Point has recorded approximately 3 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 15 homes. No approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 4.8 people moving to the area for each dwelling built annually between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting that demand significantly outpaces supply. The average construction cost value for new homes is $522,000, indicating that developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In this financial year, $84,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, predominantly focusing on residential development. Recent development has consisted entirely of townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift marks a significant departure from the current housing pattern, which is 98.0% houses. Grays Point shows a mature, established area with around 565 people per approval.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is expected to grow by 253 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Grays Point has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified six projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones are Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development, Gymea Village Precinct Upgrade, Elliston Estate - Stage 3 & 4, and Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane from Lucas Heights to Engadine. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Grays Point rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Grays Point has an educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate is 1.7%, with estimated employment growth of 1.5% over the past year.

As of September 2025, 1,836 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is high at 67.5%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training has notably high employment levels, at 1.4 times the regional average.

Retail trade employs only 6.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 9.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 1.5%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.5%. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and an unemployment rate rise of 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 suggest total employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Grays Point's industry mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.1% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Grays Point had a median income among taxpayers of $65,996. The average income stood at $86,634. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average) across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Grays Point would be approximately $71,843 (median) and $94,310 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Grays Point rank highly nationally, between the 85th and 97th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 36.8% of locals (1,134 people) fall into the $4000+ category, unlike regional trends where 30.9% are in the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A substantial proportion of high earners, 51.0%, are above $3,000/week, suggesting strong economic capacity throughout the district. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Grays Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Grays Point's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 98.4% houses and 1.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Home ownership in Grays Point stood at 46.4%, with 47.3% of dwellings mortgaged and 6.3% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,033, while the median weekly rent figure was $630. Nationally, Grays Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.0 people

Family households constitute 88.4% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 32.2% couples without children, and 6.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.6%, with lone person households at 10.4% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 3.0 people.

Grays Point demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 35.5% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region rate of 31.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 25.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in secondary education, 10.3% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Grays Point has 28 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 9 different routes that together offer 216 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's home to the nearest transport stop is 106 meters.

On average, there are 30 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 7 weekly trips per individual stop.

Grays Point's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Grays Point. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (1,884 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.9 and 6.1% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 72.6%, declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Sydney. As of the latest data (2021), 18.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (573 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Grays Point ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Grays Point had a lower than average cultural diversity, with 84.0% of its population born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 94.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 54.1% of Grays Point's population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented, comprising 0.2% compared to None% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.6%), Australian (27.4%), and Irish (9.5%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: Russian was notably higher at 1.0%, Welsh at 0.8%, and Maltese at 0.9% compared to None% in Greater Sydney.

Grays Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Grays Point has a median age of 44, which exceeds Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and is significantly higher than the national norm of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.8% of Grays Point's population, compared to Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up only 5.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 13.9% to 15.2%, whereas the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 15.9% to 15.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Grays Point's age profile. The 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 51%, reaching 353 people from the current figure of 234. This growth reflects an aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 82% of the expected population increase. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.