Grays Point

Grays Point is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Grays Point is around 3,098, reflecting an increase of 64 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Grays Point by AreaSearch was 3,091 in June 2024, with one additional validated new address since the Census date contributing to the total population. This results in a population density of 2,364 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The suburb's 2.1% growth since the census is within 2.0 percentage points of its SA4 region (4.1%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56% of overall population gains during recent periods, primarily driving growth in the area. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is expected to increase by 215 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 7.6% over the 17-year period. This anticipated growth places Grays Point just below the median of statistical areas across the nation in terms of population dynamics.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Grays Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Grays Point recorded approximately two residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated eleven homes. No approvals have been recorded so far in FY26. On average, 6.5 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25.

This indicates demand significantly outpacing supply, which typically exerts upward pressure on prices and intensifies competition among buyers. Recent construction comprises 33% detached houses and 67% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the current housing mix of 98% houses. This change is due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Grays Point has around 3108 people per dwelling approval, indicating a highly mature market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Grays Point is projected to grow by 236 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Grays Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified six projects that could impact the area, including Gymea Bay Road Mixed-Use Development, Gymea Village Precinct Upgrade, Elliston Estate Stages 3 and 4, Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane from Lucas Heights to Engadine. The following list provides details on those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Grays Point rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Grays Point has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.4%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. In June 2025, 1,830 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 67.5%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, the concentration in education & training is high at 1.4 times the regional average.

Retail trade has limited presence with 6.4% employment compared to 9.3% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 3.4% while labour force grew by 3.6%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6%, labour force expand by 2.9%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Grays Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Grays Point has an extremely high national median income of $65,996 and an average income of $86,634. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Grays Point would be approximately $74,318 (median) and $97,559 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Grays Point rank highly nationally, between the 85th and 97th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 36.8% of locals (1,140 people) in the $4000+ category, differing from the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. A substantial proportion of high earners (51.0% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Grays Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Grays Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 98.4% houses and 1.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Sydney metro had no houses or other dwellings recorded at that time. Home ownership in Grays Point stood at 46.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.3% and rented ones at 6.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,033, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $630, compared to Sydney metro's figures of $0 for both. Nationally, Grays Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Grays Point features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.0 people

Family households constitute 88.4% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 32.2% couples without children, and 6.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.6%, with lone person households at 10.4% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 3.0 people.

Grays Point demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally. University qualification rates exceed the Australian average of 30.4%, at 35.5% of residents aged 15+, and surpass those of the SA4 region (31.0%). Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%).

Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 25.1%. Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in secondary education, 10.3% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education. Grays Point Public School serves the local community, enrolling 334 students as of a recent date. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. The area demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement, indicated by an ICSEA score of 1117.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Grays Point has 28 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by nine different routes that together facilitate 211 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located just 106 meters from their nearest stop.

On average, there are 30 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately seven weekly trips per individual stop.

Grays Point's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows Grays Point's health metrics indicate strong performance across all age groups. Both younger and older cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (1,893 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.9% and 6.1% of residents respectively. A majority, 72.6%, report no medical ailments, which is higher than the 0% reported across Greater Sydney. The area has 18.6% of residents aged 65 and over (576 people). Health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with the general population's health profile.

Grays Point ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Grays Point, surveyed between July 2016 and June 2021, had a predominantly Australian-born population with 84.0% of residents born in Australia. Citizenship was also high at 94.5%, and English was the primary language spoken at home for 94.5%. Christianity was the dominant religion, accounting for 54.1% of the population.

Notably, Judaism, at 0.2%, was overrepresented compared to its regional average of None%. For parental country of birth, the top three ancestries were English (30.6%), Australian (27.4%), and Irish (9.5%). Other ethnic groups with notable representation included Russian (1.0%), Welsh (0.8%), and Maltese (0.9%), all overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Grays Point hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Grays Point has a median age of 44, which exceeds Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and is substantially higher than the national norm of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.8% of Grays Point's population compared to Greater Sydney. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up only 5.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 13.9% to 15.1%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 15.9% to 15.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Grays Point's age profile. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 50%, reaching 352 people from the current 235. This growth will contribute significantly to the overall population increase, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 84% of projected growth. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 25-34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.