Kirrawee

Population growth drivers in Kirrawee are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

According to ABS population updates for the wider region and new address verifications by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Kirrawee has an estimated population of 12,273 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 1,266 individuals (11.5%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 11,007 residents. This change is calculated from a resident population of 12,200, which AreaSearch estimated using the June 2025 ABS ERP release, combined with 126 validated new addresses registered since the Census. This population level yields a density of 3,409 persons per square kilometer, placing the suburb of Kirrawee in the highest quartile of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The 11.5% growth rate since the 2021 census outpaced the SA4 region (5.0%) as well as the state, establishing the suburb of Kirrawee as a regional growth leader. This expansion was mostly fueled by overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 73.0% of the total population gains in recent times.

AreaSearch incorporates ABS and Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, published in 2024 with 2022 as the anchor year. For SA2 regions lacking this data, projections from the NSW State Government's 2022 release with a 2021 base year are utilized. Age group growth rates from these combined sources are also projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic shifts, the suburb of Kirrawee is projected to experience population growth above the national median, expanding by 1,653 residents by 2041 based on compiled SA2-level projections, which represents a total increase of 12.9% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kirrawee among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Analysis by AreaSearch of ABS building approvals allocated from statistical areas shows that Kirrawee averages approximately 83 residential approvals annually, matching an estimated 417 dwellings over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 68 approvals have been registered. With an average of 3.4 new residents per year arriving per finished dwelling over the 5 financial years between FY-21 and FY-25, demand outstrips new supply, which typically drives up prices and buyer rivalry, while new residences are being constructed at a mean cost of $468,000, which is slightly above the regional average and points to a focus on high-quality builds. Furthermore, $54.0 million in commercial development approvals have been logged during this financial year, highlighting robust local business activity.

New residential approvals comprise 11.0% detached houses and 89.0% townhouses or apartments. This trend toward high-density options offers affordable entry points and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. This represents a clear departure from the existing housing stock, where houses make up 50.0% of properties, showing a decline in developable land and reflecting changing lifestyles and a need for varied, budget-friendly housing. The area has approximately 321 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth.

Future forecasts indicate Kirrawee will add 1,580 residents by 2041 based on the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current construction rates, the supply of new housing is expected to easily satisfy demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting expansion beyond current population projections.

Kirrawee has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and major developments are primary drivers of area performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 active projects likely to influence the locality. Key initiatives include the President Private Hospital Redevelopment, Workway Trade Centre, Gymea Trade Centre Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), and Gymea Hotel Redevelopment, with the most relevant ones detailed in the list below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Kirrawee remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Kirrawee possesses a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services, an unemployment rate of 4.4%, and consistent employment numbers over the past year, according to AreaSearch statistical area data. In March 2026, working residents numbered 6,699, with the unemployment rate sitting 0.2% above the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, and workforce participation matching the Greater Sydney rate of 69.1%. Census records show a high proportion of residents working from home at 43.4%, though this figure may be influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns.

Resident employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical fields. The area exhibits a notable concentration in public administration & safety, with staffing levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical jobs are underrepresented at 10.2% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Although local jobs are available within the area, the ratio of the Census working population to the local population indicates that many residents commute to other districts for work.

According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data compiled from broader statistical areas, the 12-month period recorded a 0.2% rise in employment and a 0.7% expansion of the labor force, leading to a 0.5 percentage point increase in unemployment. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 1.9%, the labor force expand by 1.9%, and unemployment decline slightly. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia dated May-25 offer additional context on future demand patterns in Kirrawee. These projections, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been aligned with the local employment profile to estimate growth. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary by industry. Applying these industry projections to the local workforce mix suggests employment for Kirrawee residents should rise by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, representing a simple weighted extrapolation for illustrative purposes that does not incorporate local population forecasts.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Based on AreaSearch's compilation of the most recent ATO postcode data released for financial year 2023, the suburb of Kirrawee recorded a median taxpayer income of $59,643 and an average income of $73,972. This stands above the national average and compares to $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to approximately $65,798 (median) and $81,606 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Kirrawee sit around the 74th percentile nationally. The largest income bracket contains 30.6% of taxpayers earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (3,755 residents), which is very close to regional levels where 30.9% are in this range. The high proportion of top-tier earners (31.5% above $3,000/week) indicates strong financial capacity in Kirrawee. High housing costs account for 18.7% of income, yet strong earnings keep disposable income at the 65th percentile and place the area in the 8th decile of the SEIFA income ranking.

Kirrawee displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The mix of housing types in Kirrawee at the time of the latest Census consisted of 49.7% freestanding houses and 50.3% other dwellings like townhouses and apartments, compared to the Sydney metro ratio of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kirrawee was higher than the Sydney metro average at 30.2%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (39.0%) or rented (30.8%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was higher than the Sydney metro average at $2,600, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $500, compared to Sydney metro averages of $2,427 and $470. On a national level, mortgage repayments in Kirrawee are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are higher than the national figure of $375.

Kirrawee has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households make up the majority of homes at 69.3%, consisting of 33.8% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.7%, with single person homes at 27.7% and group households representing 2.9% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 residents is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kirrawee shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Kirrawee is lower than regional averages, with 31.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This difference suggests opportunities for further educational growth and skills training. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 22.0%, followed by postgraduate degrees (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational and technical training is common, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (13.2%) and certificates (23.5%).

Enrolment in education is high, with 29.0% of residents actively participating in formal study. This comprises 9.3% in primary school, 7.8% in secondary school, and 4.9% attending tertiary institutions.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transit analysis shows 71 active transport stops operating within Kirrawee, providing a mix of train and bus options. These stops support 38 distinct routes that deliver a combined 3,662 passenger trips each week. Transit access is rated as excellent, with residents living an average of 150 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, resulting in most workers commuting outward; private vehicles remain the primary transit mode at 83%, followed by trains at 10%, and walking at 4%. Car ownership averages 1.2 vehicles per household. A high 43.4% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data, which may reflect pandemic-related conditions.

Service frequency across all transit routes averages 523 trips daily, representing roughly 51 weekly departures per stop.

Kirrawee's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health metrics indicate favorable outcomes for Kirrawee residents, with AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic conditions showing results that align with national averages. The prevalence of common health issues is low within the general population, though it rises above national averages for older, at-risk groups. Additionally, private health insurance coverage is high, representing approximately 56% of the population (~6,892 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions recorded in the area were arthritis and mental health challenges, each affecting 8.0% of residents, while 69.3% of the population reported no chronic medical conditions, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Residents under the age of 65 experience better health outcomes than average. Seniors aged 65 and older make up 19.0% of the population (2,331 people), which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. Health outcomes for this senior cohort present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the rest of the local population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kirrawee was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kirrawee exhibits a high level of cultural diversity, with 22.8% of residents born outside Australia and 16.9% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, followed by 57.8% of the local population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

Regarding parental country of birth, the three largest ancestry groups in Kirrawee are English at 27.6% (above the regional average of 19.0%), Australian at 25.3% (above the regional average of 17.8%), and Irish at 8.8%. There are also distinct concentrations of other ethnic backgrounds, with Russian represented at 0.5% of Kirrawee (vs 0.4% regionally), Welsh at 0.7% (vs 0.4%), and Macedonian at 0.5% (vs 0.4%).

Kirrawee's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age of 39 in Kirrawee is slightly older than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and close to the national average of 38. The 75 - 84 age cohort is highly represented at 7.3% locally, while young adults aged 25 - 34 are underrepresented at 13.4% compared to Greater Sydney. Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group has expanded from 14.6% to 15.6% of the population, whereas the cohort aged 85 and over has contracted from 4.1% to 3.1%. Population projections for 2041 signal major demographic shifts for Kirrawee, led by a 59% increase in the 75 to 84 group (adding 530 people) to reach 1,426 residents from an initial 895. Demographic aging will continue, with residents aged 65 and older accounting for 68% of the expected growth, while the 25 to 34 and 5 to 14 cohorts are projected to contract.