Kirrawee

Population growth drivers in Kirrawee are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Kirrawee statistical area's population is estimated at around 11,924 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 917 people (8.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,007 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 11,786 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 118 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,312 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kirrawee's 8.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (3.9%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the Kirrawee (SA2) expected to expand by 1,982 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 14.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kirrawee among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Kirrawee has seen around 79 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 395 homes were approved, with another 46 in FY-26 so far. Each dwelling has attracted an average of 2.4 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost for these dwellings is $468,000. This financial year, commercial approvals totalled $54.0 million. Recent construction comprises 12.0% detached houses and 88.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift from the current 50.0% houses in the area. There are around 238 people per dwelling approval in Kirrawee.

Future projections estimate an addition of 1,720 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially exceeding current forecasts.

Kirrawee has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 25 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include President Private Hospital Redevelopment, Workway Trade Centre, Gymea Trade Centre Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), and Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane - Lucas Heights to Engadine. The following list details those projects that are likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Kirrawee has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kirrawee has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 3.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.7% in the past year based on AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, there are 6,625 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.5% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. The workforce participation is 63.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. Notably, public administration & safety has an employment share that is 1.3 times the regional level, while professional & technical employs only 10.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Many Kirrawee residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census working population data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels in Kirrawee increased by 1.7%, while the labour force increased by 1.5%, leading to a fall in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points over the same period. State-level data from NSW up to 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for national employment. Applying these projections to Kirrawee's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, assuming constant population growth for illustrative purposes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Kirrawee's median income is $59,643 and average income is $73,972. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Kirrawee are approximately $64,927 (median) and $80,526 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Kirrawee cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 30.6% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (3,648 residents), aligning with surrounding regions at 30.9%. Economic strength is evident through 31.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. High housing costs consume 18.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 65th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kirrawee displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Kirrawee, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 49.7% houses and 50.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Home ownership level was 30.2%, with 39.0% of dwellings mortgaged and 30.8% rented. Median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, while median weekly rent was $500. Nationally, Kirrawee's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kirrawee has a typical household mix, with a median household size of 2.5 people

Family households account for 69.3% of all households, including 33.8% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.7%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people.

Kirrawee shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Kirrawee's residents aged 15+ have 31.3% with university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.7%, including advanced diplomas (13.2%) and certificates (23.5%). Educational participation is high, with 29.0% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.3% in primary, 7.8% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kirrawee has 71 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus services. There are 38 individual routes operating in total, providing 3,662 weekly passenger trips collectively.

The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 150 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility. Across all routes, service frequency averages 523 trips per day, equating to approximately 51 weekly trips per stop.

Health outcomes in Kirrawee are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Kirrawee's health indicators show below-average results with common health conditions prevalent among its general population at levels somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Approximately 56% (~6,696 people) of Kirrawee's total population has private health cover, a rate found to be very high. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.0% and 8.0% of residents respectively. In contrast, 69.3% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Sydney. Kirrawee has 19.1% (2,277 people) of its residents aged 65 and over, with health outcomes among seniors presenting challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kirrawee was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kirrawee had a cultural diversity index above average, with 22.8% of its population born overseas and 16.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kirrawee, accounting for 57.8% of the population, compared to None% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (27.6%), Australian (25.3%), and Irish (8.8%).

Notably, Russian (0.5%) was overrepresented compared to regional figures (None%), as were Welsh (0.7%) and Macedonian (0.5%).

Kirrawee's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Kirrawee is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 75-84 age group is over-represented in Kirrawee at 7.4%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 12.9%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has grown from 6.6% to 7.4% of Kirrawee's population. Conversely, the 85+ age group has declined from 4.1% to 3.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Kirrawee. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 68%, reaching 1,480 people from the current 882. This growth will contribute to a total of 597 additional residents in this age group. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 69% of the population growth. Conversely, the 5-14 and 25-34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.