Kirrawee

Population growth drivers in Kirrawee are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Kirrawee is estimated at around 11,931 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 924 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,007 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 11,786 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 128 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,314 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kirrawee's growth of 8.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (4.0%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for Kirrawee, with the area expected to grow by 1,981 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 15.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kirrawee among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Kirrawee had around 79 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21 and FY25, approximately 397 homes were approved, with another 50 in FY26 so far. Each dwelling built resulted in an average of 2.5 new residents over the past five financial years.

The average construction value was $468,000. This year, there have been $54.0 million in commercial approvals. Recent construction comprised 12% detached houses and 88% townhouses or apartments. Kirrawee currently has around 236 people per dwelling approval.

Future projections estimate an addition of 1,836 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Kirrawee has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 25 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include President Private Hospital Redevelopment, Workway Trade Centre, Gymea Trade Centre Redevelopment (Stages 2 & 3), and Heathcote Road Overtaking Lane - Lucas Heights to Engadine. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Kirrawee has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Kirrawee has a well-educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate was 4.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.7%. As of December 2025, 6,596 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 0.2% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is on par with Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Based on Census responses, 43.4% of residents work from home. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. The area has a particularly strong specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employ only 10.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. During the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.7%, and labour force increased by 0.7%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.2% and labour force expand by 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kirrawee's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending 30 June 2023 shows that Kirrawee suburb has higher median assessed income of $59,643 and average income of $73,972 compared to national figures. Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 with an average of $83,003 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% from financial year ending 30 June 2023, estimated current incomes are approximately $64,927 (median) and $80,526 (average) by September 2025. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from 2021, Kirrawee's household, family and personal incomes fall around the 74th percentile nationally. Income analysis indicates that the largest segment comprises 30.6% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, aligning with surrounding regions at 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 31.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 18.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 65th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kirrawee displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As per the latest Census evaluation in Kirrawee, 49.7% of dwellings were houses while 50.3% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This differs from Sydney metropolitan area's figures which stood at 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings respectively. Home ownership in Kirrawee was recorded at 30.2%, with mortgaged properties making up 39.0% and rented dwellings comprising the remaining 30.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kirrawee was $2,600, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent in Kirrawee was $500 compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Kirrawee's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kirrawee has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.3% of all households, including 33.8% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.7%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kirrawee shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Kirrawee residents aged 15 and over have a university degree qualification rate of 31.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 22.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.7% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 13.2% and certificates at 23.5%. Current educational participation is high at 29.0%, including primary education (9.3%), secondary education (7.8%), and tertiary education (4.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kirrawee has 71 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 38 unique routes, collectively facilitating 3,662 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 150 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuters travel outward due to Kirrawee's residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode at 83%, followed by train at 10% and walking at 4%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 43.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 523 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 51 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kirrawee's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Kirrawee's health data shows positive results, aligning with national averages for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health issues are less prevalent among its general population compared to national figures but higher among older, at-risk groups.

Approximately 56% (~6,700 people) have private health cover, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common conditions are arthritis (8.0%) and mental health issues (8.0%), with 69.3% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Under-65 residents have better-than-average health outcomes. Kirrawee has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 19.9% (2,374 people), versus Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kirrawee was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kirrawee's population showed above-average cultural diversity, with 22.8% born overseas and 16.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kirrawee, comprising 57.8%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (27.6%), Australian (25.3%), and Irish (8.8%).

Notably, Russian (0.5%) Welsh (0.7%), and Macedonian (0.5%) ethnicities had higher representation in Kirrawee than the regional averages of 0.4% each.

Kirrawee's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Kirrawee is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 75-84 age group is over-represented in Kirrawee at 7.7%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 12.5%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the percentage of the population aged 75-84 has increased from 6.6% to 7.7%, while the percentage of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 13.7% to 12.5%. Population forecasts for Kirrawee in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the 75-84 age group expected to grow by 63% (578 people), reaching a total of 1,497 from 918. The population growth will be largely driven by residents aged 65 and older, who are anticipated to represent 67% of the overall growth. Conversely, the 25-34 age group and the 5-14 age group are expected to experience population declines.