Caringbah

Population growth drivers in Caringbah are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Caringbah's population is around 14,115 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,257 people (9.8%) since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 12,858 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,761 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 211 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,528 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Caringbah's 9.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (4.1%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 52.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest annual ERP population numbers, an above median population growth is projected, with Caringbah expected to increase by 2,382 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 14.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caringbah among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Caringbah has seen approximately 152 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 763 homes. As of FY-26339 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 new residents arrive per year for each new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $340,000.

In the current financial year, there have been $41.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Caringbah shows 71.0% higher building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and indicating robust developer interest. New building activity comprises 7.0% detached dwellings and 93.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects the reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, differing from the current housing mix of 28.0% houses. With around 185 people per dwelling approval, Caringbah exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Caringbah is projected to grow by 2,028 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Caringbah is expected to grow by 2,028 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Caringbah has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of a region can significantly be influenced by alterations to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 18 such projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable among these are Caringbah Pavilion, Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL), Live Caringbah, and Live Caringbah. The following list provides details on those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Caringbah demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Caringbah has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. The unemployment rate is 3.8%, with estimated employment growth of 1.8% in the past year.

As of September 2025, 8,011 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, 0.4% lower than Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation is high at 65.9%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction is particularly specialized, with employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 8.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The worker-to-resident ratio of 1.0 indicates substantial local employment opportunities. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.8%, labour force by 1.6%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had higher growth rates but a slight increase in unemployment. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted slightly (-0.03%), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caringbah's employment mix suggests local growth should be around 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Caringbah SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $63,104 and an average income of $93,718 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $71,061 (median) and $105,536 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals individual earnings stand out at the 80th percentile nationally ($1,020 weekly). Distribution data shows 31.2% of the population (4,403 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 20.3% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 53rd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Caringbah features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Caringbah's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 28.3% houses and 71.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caringbah was at 26.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.7% and rented ones at 38.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,544, below Sydney metro's average of $2,774. The median weekly rent figure for Caringbah was $470, compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Caringbah's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,544 than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Caringbah features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 63.6% of all households, including 27.9% couples with children, 23.0% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 36.4%, with lone person households at 33.0% and group households comprising 3.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Caringbah shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Caringbah's educational qualifications trail Greater Sydney's regional benchmarks. 28.5% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 20.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 38.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (25.6%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caringbah has 84 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 36 different routes that facilitate 3798 weekly passenger trips in total. The accessibility of these transports is rated excellent with residents typically located just 126 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 542 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to approximately 45 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Caringbah is notably higher than the national average with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Caringbah shows superior health outcomes, with common health conditions distributed evenly across age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 68% of the total population (9,626 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 65.7%, and significantly above the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 7.5% and 7.3% of residents respectively.

Around 72.4% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 72.3%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 16.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 21.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Caringbah are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Caringbah was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caringbah had a cultural diversity level above average, with 22.4% of its population born overseas and 15.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Caringbah, making up 57.5% of its population, compared to 61.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (26.9%), Australian (25.4%), and Irish (8.9%).

Notably, Russian, Serbian, and Greek ethnicities had higher representations in Caringbah than the regional averages: Russian at 0.9% vs 0.6%, Serbian at 0.5% vs 0.3%, and Greek at 2.3% vs 3.2%.

Caringbah's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Caringbah's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age group constitutes 17.2% of Caringbah's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort makes up 9.9%, which is less prevalent compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and the present day, the 25-34 age group has increased from 16.4% to 17.2%. During this period, the 65-74 age group has decreased from 8.5% to 7.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Caringbah's age structure. Notably, the 55-64 age group is expected to grow by 34%, adding 537 people and reaching a total of 2,094 from its current figure of 1,556. Meanwhile, both the 5-14 and 25-34 age groups are projected to decrease in number.