Caringbah
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Caringbah are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Caringbah's population stands at approximately 14,115 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,257 individuals (9.8%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,858 people. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,761 in June 2024 and an additional 211 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,528 persons per square kilometer, placing Caringbah in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's population growth of 9.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (4.1%) and the SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected for Caringbah's statistical area, with an expected increase of 2,382 persons by 2041 based on the latest population numbers, resulting in a total increase of 14.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caringbah among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Caringbah has seen approximately 152 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 763 homes. As of FY-26270 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 new residents arrive per year for each new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. The market shows a balanced supply and demand, supporting stable conditions with an average dwelling value of $340,000.

In FY-26, there have been $41.0 million in commercial approvals, indicating high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Caringbah has 71.0% higher building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and reflecting robust developer interest. New building activity comprises 7.0% detached dwellings and 93.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift from the current 28.0% houses reflects reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands. With around 185 people per dwelling approval, Caringbah exhibits growth area characteristics. By 2041, Caringbah is projected to grow by 2,028 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Caringbah is expected to grow by 2,028 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Caringbah has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Caringbah Pavilion, Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL), Caringbah Greens, and Live Caringbah. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Caringbah demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Caringbah has a well-educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. Its unemployment rate is 4.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.6% in the past year as of June 2025.

There are 7,837 residents employed, with an unemployment rate aligned with Greater Sydney's at 4.2%. Workforce participation is higher than Greater Sydney's average, at 65.9%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction is particularly prominent, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 8.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The worker-to-resident ratio of 1.0 indicates substantial local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.6%, while the labour force grew by 3.3%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caringbah's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Caringbah had a median taxpayer income of $63,104 and an average income of $93,718 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This places it in the top percentile nationally, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $71,061 for median income and $105,536 for average income. Census data shows individual earnings at the 80th percentile nationally were $1,020 weekly. Distribution data indicates that 31.2% of Caringbah's population (4,403 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region where 30.9% are in the same category. High housing costs consume 20.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 53rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Caringbah features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Caringbah's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 28.3% houses and 71.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caringbah stood at 26.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.7% and rented ones at 38.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,544, lower than Sydney metro's $2,774. The median weekly rent in Caringbah was $470, compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Caringbah's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Caringbah features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 63.6% of all households, including 27.9% couples with children, 23.0% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 36.4%, with lone person households at 33.0% and group households making up 3.4%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Caringbah shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Caringbah trail regional benchmarks, with 28.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. The area has a gap in educational attainment that highlights potential for development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 38.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (25.6%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education. A total of 7 schools operate within Caringbah, educating approximately 3,951 students as of the latest data. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1095). The educational mix includes 3 primary, 3 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. As an education hub, Caringbah has 28.2 school places per 100 residents – significantly above the regional average of 13.9 – attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caringbah has 84 active public transport stops, served by a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are covered by 36 individual routes that facilitate 3,798 weekly passenger trips in total. The average distance from residents to the nearest transport stop is 126 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 542 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 45 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Caringbah is notably higher than the national average with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Caringbah shows higher-than-average health outcomes. Common health conditions seen across both young and old age groups are relatively standard. Approximately 68% of Caringbah's total population (9,626 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 65.7%.

Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis were the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.5% and 7.3% of residents respectively. 72.4% of residents reported having no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 72.3%. Caringbah has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 16.2% (2,283 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 21.1%. Health outcomes among seniors in Caringbah are above average, largely mirroring the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Caringbah was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caringbah has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 22.4% of its population born overseas and 15.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Caringbah, accounting for 57.5% of its population, compared to 61.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (26.9%), Australian (25.4%), and Irish (8.9%).

Notably, Russian, Serbian, and Maltese ethnicities are more prevalent in Caringbah than in the broader region, at 0.9%, 0.5%, and 0.9% respectively.

Caringbah's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Caringbah's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and remaining comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 25-34 age group comprises 17.2%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 15-24 cohort stands at 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group has increased from 16.4% to 17.2%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 8.5% to 7.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Caringbah's age structure. Notably, the 55-64 group is projected to grow by 34%, adding 537 people and reaching 2,094 from 1,556. Meanwhile, both the 5-14 and 25-34 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.