Dolls Point

Dolls Point is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of the Dolls Point statistical area (Lv2) as of Nov 2025 is around 1,658. This reflects an increase of 25 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,633 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,622 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 10 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 7,536 persons per square kilometer, placing the Dolls Point (SA2) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Examining future population trends, lower quartile growth is anticipated for Australian statistical areas, with the Dolls Point (SA2) expected to grow by 16 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 0.5% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Dolls Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Dolls Point averaged approximately 8 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 44 homes. As of FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded to date. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, providing good choice for buyers.

The average construction value of new properties is $739,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Compared to Greater Sydney, Dolls Point maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. New development consists of 50% detached houses and 50% attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This differs from current patterns (16% detached housing at Census), suggesting ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures.

With around 1095 people per dwelling approval, Dolls Point reflects a highly mature market. The latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate projects Dolls Point to add 9 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Dolls Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a single project likely to impact this area. Key projects include Allure Collection, M6 Motorway Stage 1, Community and Cultural Centre - Rockdale Spine, and Sydney Metro West. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Dolls Point ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Dolls Point has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.1% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.8%. There are 1,096 residents in work and workforce participation is on par with Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level, while manufacturing employs only 3.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.7%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally, with a lower Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.8%, labour force by 4.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Dolls Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Dolls Point had a median taxpayer income of $64,373 and an average income of $89,115. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $70,076 (median) and $97,011 (average). According to the 2021 Census, personal income ranks at the 78th percentile ($996 weekly), while household income is at the 47th percentile. Income brackets indicate 34.5% of Dolls Point's population falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, mirroring the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 44th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Dolls Point features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Dolls Point, as per the latest Census, consisted of 15.5% houses and 84.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 39.8% houses and 60.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Dolls Point was 31.5%, similar to Sydney metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings were 27.5%, while rented ones were 41%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, aligning with the Sydney metro average. Median weekly rent was $451, compared to Sydney metro's $480. Nationally, Dolls Point's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,383 versus Australia's average of $1,863. Rents in Dolls Point were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Dolls Point features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 56.9% of all households, including 19.8% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 43.1%, with lone person households at 39.6% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Dolls Point places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Dolls Point's educational qualifications trail regional benchmarks, with 32.1% of its residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the SA3 area's 38.7%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (15.8%) and certificates (20.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.3% in primary education, 6.9% in tertiary education, and 5.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Dolls Point has 15 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by five different routes that together facilitate 746 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 74 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 106 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Dolls Point's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Dolls Point. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (1,029 people), compared to 54.1% across Greater Sydney and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.8% and 5.8% of residents respectively. 73.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.5% across Greater Sydney. Dolls Point has 21.9% of residents aged 65 and over (363 people), which is higher than the 16.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Dolls Point was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Dolls Point has a high level of cultural diversity, with 35.3% of its population born overseas and 38.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Dolls Point is Christianity, which accounts for 67.1% of the population, compared to 51.8% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are English (17.0%), Other (16.3%), and Australian (14.7%).

Notably, Greek ethnicity is overrepresented in Dolls Point at 13.0%, compared to 8.8% regionally. Similarly, Spanish ethnicity is higher at 1.4% vs 0.9%, and Russian ethnicity is also higher at 1.3% vs 0.6%.

Dolls Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Dolls Point has a median age of 44, which exceeds Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and is substantially higher than the national norm of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.4% of Dolls Point's population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 15-24 cohort makes up 8.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 85+ age group has grown from 2.0% to 3.2% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 15.1% to 14.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates Dolls Point's age profile will significantly evolve. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 109%, reaching 111 people from the current 53. This growth is led by those aged 65 and above, who comprise all of the projected population increase. Meanwhile, the 55-64 and 45-54 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.