Bexley - North
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bexley - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bexley - North's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 10,193 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 48 people from the 2021 Census count of 10,145, indicating a 0.5% rise. The population estimate for June 2024 was 10,151, with an additional 93 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 3,920 persons per square kilometer, placing Bexley - North within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver behind this population increase.

AreaSearch's projections for the area are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, using a base year of 2021. By 2041, the population is expected to increase by 336 persons, reflecting an overall growth rate of 2.9% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bexley - North according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bexley - North averaged approximately 28 new dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis. Between FY20 and FY25143 dwellings were approved, with 3 approved so far in FY26.

Despite recent population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to demand. New properties are constructed at an average cost of $590,000. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bexley - North has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 52nd percentile nationally. New development comprises 40% detached dwellings and 60% medium and high-density housing, marking a shift from the current 64% houses. At approximately 317 people per approval, Bexley - North is a low density area.

Population forecasts indicate an increase of 293 residents by 2041. Current development rates should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bexley - North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Georges River Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy, Kogarah North Urban Design Strategy Implementation, The Parq, and Bexley North High Density Residential Development. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Bexley - North remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Bexley - North has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 4.3%, with estimated employment growth of 2.1% in the past year as of June 2025.

There are 5,442 residents employed, matching Greater Sydney's 4.2% unemployment rate but with lower participation at 53.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade, with notable specialization in transport, postal & warehousing (1.6 times the regional level). However, professional & technical jobs are under-represented at 8.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on resident vs working population counts.

In the year to June 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, labour force by 2.6%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point unemployment rise. Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data (Sep-25) shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, differing significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Bexley - North's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Bexley - North had a median taxpayer income of $52,590 and an average income of $68,113. Both figures are above the national averages of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, estimated median and average incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $58,165 and $75,333 respectively. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 62nd percentile ($1,949 weekly) and personal income is at the 35th percentile. Distribution data indicates that 32.0% of locals (3,261 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which aligns with regional levels at 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Bexley - North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bexley - North, houses accounted for 63.7% of dwellings, with the remaining 36.3% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differs from Sydney metro's 39.8% houses and 60.3% other dwellings, as per the latest Census. Home ownership in Bexley - North stood at 37.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.1% and rented ones at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, above Sydney metro's average of $2,383. Weekly rent in Bexley - North averaged $520, compared to Sydney metro's $480. Nationally, Bexley - North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bexley - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.8% of all households, including 44.5% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

Bexley - North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 28.4%, significantly below the SA3 area average of 38.7%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 6.4% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 29.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 17.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.9% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education. Bexley - North's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 2,110 students while the area shows above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1094). Education provision is balanced with 4 primary and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups. The area functions as an education hub with 20.7 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 11.4, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bexley - North has 64 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 26 different routes that together facilitate 2,880 weekly passenger trips. The average distance residents live from the nearest transport stop is 141 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 411 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 45 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bexley - North is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population across older, at risk cohorts

Bexley - North shows better-than-average health outcomes, with lower prevalence of common conditions among older adults and those at risk compared to other areas.

Approximately 53% (~5,443 people) have private health cover, which is higher than the average rate in Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.8%) and asthma (5.3%), while 75.0% of residents reported no medical ailments, compared to 77.5% across Greater Sydney. Residents aged 65 and over make up 19.1% (1,942 people) of the population, higher than the 16.4% in Greater Sydney.

Bexley - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bexley-North scores highly on cultural diversity, with 40.9% of its population born overseas and 56.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Bexley-North is Christianity, comprising 54.6% of the population. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented, making up 21.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 10.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 14.5%, Lebanese at 13.6%, and Australian at 12.7%. Notably, Greek (10.0%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 8.8%, Macedonian (4.8%) exceeds the regional average of 3.8%, and Serbian (0.6%) shows a slight divergence from the regional average of 0.9%.

Bexley - North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Bexley - North is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 10.2% of the local population, compared to 8.2% in Greater Sydney, indicating an over-representation of this cohort. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up 12.8% of Bexley - North's population, lower than Greater Sydney's average of 16.0%, showing under-representation. Post-2021 Census data reveals that the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 13.5%, while the 25 to 34 cohort has risen from 11.8% to 12.8%. However, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 13.2% to 12.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Bexley - North. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 61%, reaching 1,020 people from 634. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to account for 88% of the population growth. Conversely, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.