Bexley - North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bexley - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bexley - North's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 10,202 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 57 individuals, a 0.6% rise from the 2021 Census which reported a population of 10,145. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,154 as of June 2024 and the addition of 95 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,923 persons per square kilometer, placing Bexley - North within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, indicating high demand for land in the area. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Bexley - North is anticipated to increase by 336 persons, reflecting a total increase of approximately 2.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bexley - North according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bexley - North averaged approximately 42 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25. A total of 214 homes were approved during this period, with an additional 7 approved in FY-26 as of the current date.

The average construction cost value for these dwellings is $387,000. Despite a recent population decline, the development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, which may benefit buyers. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bexley - North has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 51st percentile nationally based on area assessments. The new developments consist of 40% detached dwellings and 60% medium to high-density housing, marking a shift from the current predominant housing pattern of 64% houses. This trend may indicate diminishing developable land availability and respond to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

Bexley - North has a low density population, with approximately 317 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to gain 284 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bexley - North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that may impact this region. Notable initiatives include Georges River Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy, Kogarah North Urban Design Strategy Implementation, The Parq, and Bexley North High Density Residential Development. Projects of particular relevance are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Bexley - North remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Bexley - North has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate was 4.2% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.8% in the past year.

There were 5,432 residents employed at that time, and the unemployment rate aligned with Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was lower, at 53.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a particularly strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services were under-represented, at 8.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 3.8%, while labour force grew by 4.0%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and an unemployment rate increase of 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, which compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Bexley - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, assuming stable population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Bexley - North SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $52,590 and an average income of $68,113. These figures are above the national averages of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively for Greater Sydney. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, median income is estimated at approximately $59,222 and average income at $76,702. The 2021 Census ranks household income at the 62nd percentile ($1,949 weekly) and personal income at the 34th percentile. Distribution data indicates that 32.0% of locals (3,264 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Bexley - North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bexley - North's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 63.7% houses and 36.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 39.8% houses and 60.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bexley - North was at 37.7%, with the rest being mortgaged (38.1%) or rented (24.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,383. The median weekly rent was $520, compared to Sydney metro's $480. Nationally, Bexley - North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bexley - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.8% of all households, including 44.5% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

Bexley - North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 28.4%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 38.7%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are held by 29.6% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 17.8%. Educational participation is high, with 31.5% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bexley - North operates 64 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 26 different routes that collectively facilitate 2,880 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents' homes to the nearest transport stop is 141 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 411 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 45 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bexley - North is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population across older, at risk cohorts

Bexley North shows superior health outcomes with fewer common health conditions among its general population, particularly among older adults and those at risk.

Approximately 53% of the total population (~5,447 people) have private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.8%) and asthma (5.3%), while 75.0% report having no medical ailments, compared to 77.5% in Greater Sydney. Bexley North has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 19.1% (1,944 people), compared to the 16.4% in Greater Sydney.

Bexley - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bexley-North scores highly in cultural diversity, with 40.9% of its population born overseas and 56.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 54.6%. Islam is overrepresented at 21.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 10.3%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (14.5%), Lebanese (13.6%), and Australian (12.7%). Notably, Greek (10.0%) and Macedonian (4.8%) are overrepresented, while Serbian is underrepresented at 0.6% compared to the regional average of 0.9%.

Bexley - North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Bexley - North is 39 years, higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group is notably over-represented at 10.2% locally compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 12.8%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15-24 age group grew from 12.3% to 13.5%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 11.8% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 13.2% to 12.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Bexley - North. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 61%, reaching 1,020 people from 634. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 88% of the anticipated population growth, while the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.