Bexley - North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bexley - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bexley - North's population is around 10,162 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 17 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,145. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,150 from ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 93 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,908 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate lower quartile growth, with the area expected to increase by 336 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 3.2% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bexley - North according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bexley - North has averaged approximately 42 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, with a total of 214 homes approved between FY21 and FY25. As of FY26, there have been 8 approvals so far.

Despite recent population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas. The average construction cost value for new properties in Bexley - North is $387,000. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bexley - North's new dwelling approval rate per person is around three-quarters of the citywide average, placing it among the 51st percentile nationally. New development consists of 40% detached dwellings and 60% medium and high-density housing. This shift from predominantly house-based development (currently 64%) suggests decreasing developable land availability and responds to changing lifestyle preferences and affordability needs.

With approximately 317 people per approval, Bexley - North reflects a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to gain 324 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Bexley - North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects that could impact the area. Major initiatives include Georges River Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy, Kogarah North Urban Design Strategy Implementation, The Parq, and Bexley North High Density Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Bexley - North remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Bexley - North has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 4.2%, with estimated employment growth of 3.8% in the past year. As of September 2025, 5,432 residents are employed, mirroring Greater Sydney's 4.2% unemployment rate but with lower workforce participation at 67.8%.

Home workership is high at 38.1%, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specialises in transport, postal & warehousing (1.6 times regional level) but has lower representation in professional & technical services (8.6% vs Greater Sydney's 11.5%). Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by resident-to-working population ratio.

Over September 2024 to 2025, employment grew by 3.8%, labour force by 4.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. Comparatively, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rise of 0.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bexley - North's industry mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.7% in five years and 13.6% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Bexley - North SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $56,102 and an average level of $71,780. This is above the national averages of $54,936 (median) and $71,486 (average). Comparing with Greater Sydney's levels of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average), Bexley - North SA2 shows higher median income but lower average income. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from June 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $61,073 (median) and $78,140 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 62nd percentile ($1,949 weekly), while personal income sits at the 34th percentile. Distribution data shows that 32.0% of locals (3,251 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Bexley - North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bexley - North, as assessed in the latest Census, 63.7% of dwellings were houses, with 36.3% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bexley - North stood at 37.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.1% and rented ones at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $2,427. Weekly rent in Bexley - North was recorded at $520, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bexley - North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bexley - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.8% of all households, consisting of 44.5% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households making up 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bexley - North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 28.4%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 38.7%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are held by 29.6% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 17.8%. Educational participation is high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bexley - North has 79 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 27 different routes that collectively facilitate 2,930 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 141 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 82%, while train usage accounts for 9%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 38.1% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 418 trips per day, equating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bexley - North is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bexley North faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high among both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 55% of the total population (~5,578 people) have private health cover, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.8% and 5.3% of residents respectively. 75.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 74.6% figure for Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 19.7% (2,006 people), compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. National rankings for health indicators are also high among this age group.

Bexley - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bexley-North scores highly on cultural diversity, with 40.9% of its population born overseas and 56.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Bexley-North, comprising 54.6%. Islam is overrepresented, making up 21.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (14.5%), Lebanese (13.6%), and Australian (12.7%). Lebanese representation is substantially higher than the regional average of 2.6%. Greek, Macedonian, and Serbian groups are notably overrepresented in Bexley-North compared to regional averages.

Bexley - North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Bexley - North is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 65-74 age group is notably higher at 10.4% locally, while the 25-34 age group is lower at 12.6%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15-24 age group grew from 12.3% to 13.9%, and the 65-74 cohort increased from 9.3% to 10.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 13.2% to 11.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Bexley - North. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 54%, reaching 1,020 people from 662. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 83% of the anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are projected to experience population declines.