Bexley - North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bexley - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Bexley - North's population is around 10,162 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 17 people (0.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,145 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,150 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 93 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,908 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought resource. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which was essentially the sole driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated, with the area expected to increase by 336 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 3.2% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bexley - North according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bexley - North has averaged around 42 new dwelling approvals per year, with 214 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 10 so far in FY-26. With population declining over recent years, development activity has been adequate in relative terms, which is a positive for buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $387,000.

Relative to Greater Sydney, Bexley - North has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 51st percentile of areas assessed nationally. New development consists of 40.0% detached dwellings and 60.0% medium and high-density housing. This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 64.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. At around 317 people per approval, Bexley - North reflects a low density area.

Population forecasts indicate Bexley - North will gain 324 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bexley - North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 15 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Georges River Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy, Kogarah North Urban Design Strategy Implementation, The Parq, and Bexley North High Density Residential Development, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Bexley - North demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Bexley - North possesses a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of only 4.0%, and 5.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,485 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.2% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Based on Census responses, a high 38.1% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area shows particularly strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. On the other hand, professional & technical is under-represented, with only 8.6% of Bexley - North's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 5.6% while labour force increased by 5.3%, resulting in unemployment falling by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Bexley - North. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Bexley - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Bexley - North SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $56,102 with the average level standing at $71,780. This is above the national average and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $61,073 (median) and $78,140 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 62nd percentile ($1,949 weekly), while personal income sits at the 34th percentile. Distribution data shows the predominant cohort spans 32.0% of locals (3,251 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.8% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 60th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Bexley - North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Bexley - North, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 63.7% houses and 36.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Bexley - North was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 37.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (38.1%) or rented (24.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Sydney metro average at $2,500, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $520, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Bexley - North's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bexley - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 79.8% of all households, comprising 44.5% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size of 3.0 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bexley - North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (28.4%) substantially below the SA3 area average of 38.7%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 29.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (17.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 79 active transport stops operating within Bexley - North, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 27 individual routes, collectively providing 2,930 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 141 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 82%, with 9% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 38.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 418 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bexley - North is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bexley - North faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 55% of the total population (~5,578 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be arthritis and asthma, impacting 6.8 and 5.3% of residents, respectively, while 75.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 19.7% of residents aged 65 and over (2,006 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Bexley - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bexley - North scores quite highly on cultural diversity, with 40.9% of its population born overseas and 56.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Bexley - North is Christianity, which makes up 54.6% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 21.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Bexley - North are Other, comprising 14.5% of the population, Lebanese, comprising 13.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 2.6%, and Australian, comprising 12.7% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 17.8%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Greek is notably overrepresented at 10.0% of Bexley - North (vs 1.9% regionally), Macedonian at 4.8% (vs 0.4%) and Serbian at 0.6% (vs 0.5%).

Bexley - North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The 39-year median age in Bexley - North is somewhat higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and similarly very close to the 38-year national average. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 65 - 74 cohort is notably over-represented (10.4% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (12.6%). Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.3% to 13.9% of the population, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 9.3% to 10.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 13.2% to 11.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Bexley - North. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 54% (357 people), reaching 1,020 from 662. Demographic aging continues as residents 65 and older represent 83% of anticipated growth. On the other hand, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.