Turrella

Population growth drivers in Turrella are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of Turrella is around 2,838, reflecting an increase of 165 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 6.2% rise from the previous population count of 2,673. AreaSearch validated this estimate using resident population data from June 2024's ERP release by the ABS and additional new addresses confirmed since the Census date. Turrella's population density stands at 4,434 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Turrella has shown resilience with a compound annual growth rate of 2.3%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024, with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022, based on 2021, are applied. Growth rates by age group are projected for all areas between 2032 and 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Turrella is expected to increase its population by 624 persons to reach a total of 3,462 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 21.6% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Turrella according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Turrella had approximately 3 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling around 16 homes. In FY26 so far, 14 approvals have been recorded. Over these 5 years (FY21 to FY25), an average of 12.1 people moved to Turrella for each dwelling built.

This indicates supply is significantly lagging demand, likely leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost value of $501,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Compared to Greater Sydney, Turrella has markedly lower building activity, 79.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. This level is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. Recent construction in Turrella comprises 25.0% standalone homes and 75.0% medium to high-density housing. This shift from the area's existing housing (currently 47.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles, potentially creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

At around 1137 people per approval, Turrella shows a mature, established area with a population forecast to gain 614 residents by 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Turrella has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Fourteen projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Arncliffe Central, Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan, 67-73 West Botany Street Heritage Development, and Ice Zoo Wolli Creek. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Turrella ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Turrella's workforce is highly educated with notable representation in the technology sector. The unemployment rate was 3.4% as of an unspecified past year. Employment growth over this period was estimated at 5.5%.

As of December 2025, 1,774 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Turrella was 76.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 39.5% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing sectors.

The area has a particularly high concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average. Health care & social assistance employs only 9.1% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Over a 12-month period ending unspecified, employment increased by 5.5% alongside labour force growth of 5.5%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, and marginal unemployment increase. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Turrella's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 30 June 2023 for financial year 2023, Turrella had a median income among taxpayers of $52,456 and an average income of $64,906. These figures are below the national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively across Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $57,104 and average income is $70,657. Census data shows household income ranks at the 74th percentile with a weekly income of $2,137, while personal income ranks at the 57th percentile. Income distribution indicates that 35.5% of Turrella's population (1,007 individuals) falls within the $1,500 to $2,999 range, similar to the regional average of 30.9%. Higher earners make up a significant portion at 30.8%, suggesting strong purchasing power. High housing costs consume 19.6% of income, but disposable income still ranks at the 68th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Turrella features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Turrella's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 47.0% houses and 53.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Turrella stood at 22.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.7% and rented ones at 45.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Turrella was $520, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Turrella's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Turrella features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.7% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.3%, consisting of 18.6% lone person households and 7.5% group households. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Turrella exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 40.3%, higher than the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational pathways account for 24.7% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 12.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.0% in tertiary education, 7.3% in primary education, and 6.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Turrella has 21 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by three routes that facilitate 2,591 weekly passenger trips in total. The area boasts excellent transport accessibility, with residents living an average of 134 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, Turrella sees most commuters traveling outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 63%, while train usage stands at 28%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.0, lower than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 39.5% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 370 trips daily, equating to approximately 123 weekly trips per individual stop.

Turrella's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Turrella. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were assessed by AreaSearch to be low among the general population, nearing the nation's average across older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover was found to be approximately 53% of the total population (~1,493 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 4.5 and 4.1% of residents respectively, while 82.9% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents showed low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 9.4% of residents aged 65 and over (266 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors were above average but ranked lower nationally than the broader population.

Turrella is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Turrella, as per the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016 data, has a population where 52.6% were born overseas and 61.4% speak languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Turrella, with 36.3%. However, Islam's presence is significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average, comprising 23.1% of Turrella's population compared to 6.8%.

Ancestry-wise, 'Other' tops at 21.3%, Lebanese follow at 13.5%, and Chinese at 11.9%, all notably higher than regional averages. Notably, Macedonian (4.5%), Spanish (1.1%), and Vietnamese (2.7%) groups are also overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney figures of 0.4%, 0.6%, and 1.8% respectively.

Turrella hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Turrella's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Turrella has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (26.3%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (8.6%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35 to 44 age group grew from 15.3% to 17.2% of Turrella's population, while the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 10.5% to 9.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Turrella's age profile will change significantly. The 35 to 44 cohort is projected to grow by 82%, adding 401 residents to reach a total of 890. Conversely, the number of residents aged 15 to 24 is expected to fall by 80.