Turrella

Population growth drivers in Turrella are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Turrella is around 2,856, reflecting an increase of 183 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 6.8% rise from the previous population count of 2,673. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, based on the June 2025 ABS ERP data release and additional validated new addresses, is 2,854. Turrella's population density ratio is 4,462 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate since the 2021 Census exceeded that of its SA4 region at 6.8% compared to 6.5%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.0% of Turrella's population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 using a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Turrella is expected to increase its population by 503 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 17.5% over the 16-year period. This projection indicates an above median growth trend for statistical areas analyzed by AreaSearch.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Turrella according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Turrella had around 3 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 16 homes. As of FY-26, 14 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 6.6 people moved to the area per dwelling built annually.

This indicates supply lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $501,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Compared to Greater Sydney, Turrella has markedly lower building activity, 79.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Recent construction comprises 25.0% standalone homes and 75.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition of 47.0% houses. Turrella has an established population density of around 1120 people per approval.

Population forecasts indicate it will gain 501 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Turrella has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan, 67-73 West Botany Street Heritage Development, Ice Zoo Wolli Creek, and Bayou Wolli Creek. The following list details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Turrella ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Turrella's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in the technology sector. The unemployment rate was 3.4% as of past year data aggregated by AreaSearch. Employment grew by an estimated 4.7% over that period.

As of December 2025, Turrella's unemployment rate was 0.8% lower than Greater Sydney's at 4.2%, with workforce participation at 73.0%. Census responses indicated 39.5% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing sectors. Turrella has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average.

Health care & social assistance employs only 9.1% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in recent AreaSearch analysis, employment increased by 4.7% alongside labour force growth of the same percentage, leaving unemployment broadly unchanged. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with marginal unemployment increase. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Turrella's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch reports that, based on its aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Turrella's median taxpayer income was $52,456 with an average of $64,906. This is below the national average and compares to Greater Sydney levels of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average). By March 2026, estimates suggest median income would be approximately $57,869 and average $71,604, accounting for a Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year ending June 2023. Census data shows household income ranks at the 74th percentile ($2,137 weekly) and personal income at the 57th percentile. Income distribution reveals that 35.5% (1,013 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, mirroring the region's 30.9%. Higher earners comprise 30.8%, indicating strong purchasing power. High housing costs consume 19.6% of income, but disposable income ranks at the 68th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Turrella features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Turrella's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 47.0% houses and 53.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Turrella was at 22.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.7% and rented ones at 45.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Turrella was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Turrella was $520, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Turrella's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Turrella features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 73.7% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.3%, with lone person households at 18.6% and group households making up 7.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Turrella exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 40.3%, higher than the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational pathways account for 24.7% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 12.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.0% in tertiary education, 7.3% in primary education, and 6.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Turrella has 21 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by three routes that collectively facilitate 2,591 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is excellent, with residents typically located 134 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 63%, while 28% use the train. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.0, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 39.5% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 370 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 123 weekly trips per stop.

Turrella's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Turrella. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low among the general population, nearing the nation's average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover was approximately 53% of the total population (~1,502 people), leading the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 4.5% and 4.1% of residents respectively. 82.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. The area had 9.3% of residents aged 65 and over (265 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors were above average but ranked lower nationally than the broader population.

Turrella is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Turrella has a population where 52.6% were born overseas, with 61.4% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 36.3%. Islam's representation in Turrella is significantly higher at 23.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.3%), Lebanese (13.5%), and Chinese (11.9%), each substantially higher than regional averages. Notably, Macedonian (4.5%) is significantly overrepresented compared to the region's 0.4%, along with Spanish (1.1% vs 0.6%) and Vietnamese (2.7% vs 1.8%).

Turrella hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Turrella's median age at 31 years is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Turrella has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (27.4%) compared to Greater Sydney, but fewer residents aged 5-14 (8.5%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.6%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of Turrella's population aged 35-44 has grown from 15.3% to 17.1%, while the percentage of those aged 45-54 has declined from 10.5% to 9.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Turrella's age profile. The 35-44 age cohort is projected to increase by 77%, from 488 to 864 people. Conversely, the 25-34 and 15-24 cohorts are expected to decrease in population.