Turrella

Turrella lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Turrella's population is estimated at around 2,882, reflecting an increase of 209 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 2,673 in the suburb. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of Turrella's resident population at 2,840 following examination of ABS ERP data released June 2024 and validation of three new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio of 4,503 persons per square kilometer places Turrella in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Turrella's growth rate of 7.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both its SA4 region (5.5%) and the state level. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the suburb.

AreaSearch projections for Turrella are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, while NSW State Government's SA2-level projections with a 2021 base year are used for areas not covered by this data. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to Turrella for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 620 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 21.6% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Turrella when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Turrella experienced around 21 dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 105 homes. So far in FY-26, 13 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.9 people moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions.

New homes were constructed at an average value of $501,000. Compared to Greater Sydney, Turrella had 38.0% more development per person over the past 5 years, offering good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. Recent construction comprised 4.0% detached dwellings and 96.0% medium to high-density housing, marking a significant shift from current housing patterns (47.0% houses), likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The area had approximately 56 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Population forecasts indicate Turrella will gain 622 residents by 2041.

With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Turrella has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that may affect this region. Notable ones include Arncliffe Central, Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan, 67-73 West Botany Street Heritage Development, and Ice Zoo Wolli Creek. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Turrella exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Turrella has a highly educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate was 3.4% as of June 2025, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. As of June 2025, 1,744 residents were employed with an unemployment rate 0.8% lower than Greater Sydney's. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents were professional & technical, construction, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area had a particularly notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance showed lower representation at 9.1% versus the regional average of 14.1%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 2.3%, labour force by 2.8%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6%, labour force expand by 2.9%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Turrella. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific growth rates differing significantly. Applying these projections to Turrella's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2022, Turrella had a median income among taxpayers of $52,456. The average income stood at $64,906. This is inline with national averages and compares to levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year ending June 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,071 (median) and $73,091 (average) as of September 2025. From the Census conducted in August 2021, household income ranks at the 74th percentile ($2,137 weekly), while personal income sits at the 57th percentile. Income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 35.5% of residents (1,023 people). Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 30.8% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 19.6% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 68th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Turrella features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Turrella, as evaluated at the 2016 Census, dwelling structures consisted of 47.0% houses and 53.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's 39.8% houses and 60.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Turrella was at 22.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.7% and rented dwellings at 45.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, compared to Sydney metro's $2,383. Weekly rent median was $520, against Sydney metro's $480. Nationally, Turrella's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Turrella features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.7% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.3%, with lone person households at 18.6% and group households comprising 7.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Turrella exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 40.3% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational pathways account for 24.7% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas making up 12.0% and certificates 12.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.0% in tertiary education, 7.3% in primary education, and 6.6% pursuing secondary education. Arncliffe West Infants School serves the local community in Turrella, with an enrollment of 113 students as of the latest data. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1063). There is one school focusing exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited, with only 3.9 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 11.4, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Turrella has 12 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 4 distinct routes that together facilitate 2,299 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Turrella is rated excellent, with residents typically living just 138 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 328 trips per day, equating to approximately 191 weekly trips per individual stop.

Turrella's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Turrella shows excellent health outcomes with low prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 53%, higher than the average SA2 area (~1,516 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (4.5%) and mental health issues (4.1%), while 82.9% report no medical ailments, compared to 77.5% in Greater Sydney. Only 9.4% of residents are aged 65 and over (270 people), lower than the 16.4% in Greater Sydney. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Turrella is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Turrella has a population where 52.6 percent were born overseas, with 61.4 percent speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Turrella, accounting for 36.3 percent of its population. Islam is notably overrepresented in Turrella compared to Greater Sydney, making up 23.1 percent versus the regional average of 10.3 percent.

The top three ancestry groups in Turrella are Other (21.3%), Lebanese (13.5%), and Chinese (11.9%). Lebanese representation is significantly higher than the regional average of 5.2 percent. Additionally, Macedonian (4.5% vs 3.8%), Spanish (1.1% vs 0.9%), and Vietnamese (2.7% vs 1.3%) ethnic groups are notably overrepresented in Turrella compared to their regional averages.

Turrella hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Turrella's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Turrella has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (26.8%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (8.7%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 15.3% to 16.8% of Turrella's population, while the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 10.5% to 9.7%. Demographic modeling indicates that Turrella's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to grow strongly at a rate of 86%, adding 417 residents to reach a total of 902. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 and 15 to 24 age cohorts.