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2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
Wolli Creek lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends
As of November 2025, Wolli Creek's population is estimated at around 12,278. This reflects a growth of 1,624 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,654. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 12,265 following examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and an additional 65 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 18,603 persons per square kilometer, placing Wolli Creek in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 15.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (5.5%) and the state, indicating it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.
AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Wolli Creek is forecasted to increase its population by 4,431 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 35.9% over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
The level of residential development activity in Wolli Creek was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country
AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Wolli Creek has seen approximately 60 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 300 homes. As of FY26, no approvals have been recorded. On average, 9.8 new residents per year are associated with each home built between FY21 and FY25. This supply lag suggests heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, with new homes being constructed at an average value of $306,000, below regional levels.
In FY26, commercial approvals valued at $848,000 have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Wolli Creek maintains similar construction rates per person relative to Greater Sydney, though recent periods show increased development activity, with all new housing being medium or high-density. Wolli Creek's population is projected to grow by 4,405 residents by 2041, potentially leading to housing supply lagging behind population growth if current construction levels persist, which could intensify buyer competition and support price growth.
Population forecasts indicate Wolli Creek will gain 4,405 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Wolli Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally
The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 19 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Wolli Creek and T8 Airport Line Power Supply Upgrade, Bayou Wolli Creek, M6 Stage 1 (St Peters to Kogarah), and Duncan Street Apartment Development. The following list details those projects most relevant to the area.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan
The Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan is the approved strategic planning framework for the renewal of the Arncliffe, Banksia and Cooks Cove areas in Sydney's south. It supports the delivery of approximately 5,000 new homes (with potential for more under review), new parks and open space, upgraded community facilities, local employment opportunities, active transport links and revitalisation of town centres and the Princes Highway corridor over the period to 2036 and beyond.
M6 Stage 1 (St Peters to Kogarah)
Construction of M6 Stage 1 motorway connecting St Peters to Kogarah, featuring twin four-kilometre tunnels, new interchanges, and a new five-kilometre shared pedestrian and cyclist pathway. The project aims to reduce congestion on local roads, bypass up to 23 sets of traffic lights on the Princes Highway, and link Sydney's south to the wider motorway network. The expected completion has been delayed from late 2025 to late 2028 due to two subsidence incidents in March 2024. As of July 2025, surface works and shared path construction are being prioritised, with nearly 90 per cent of tunnelling complete.
Cooks Cove Trade & Innovation Precinct
Major mixed-use trade, logistics and innovation precinct on the former Kogarah Golf Club site in Sydney's south. Delivers up to 343,250 sqm of commercial, logistics, warehousing, advanced manufacturing, hotel and supporting retail floorspace, 17.7 ha of public open space, waterfront access and new active transport links. Rezoning approved May 2025. Expected to create approximately 3,300 direct jobs and transform the Bayside West area.
Arncliffe Estate Redevelopment
Arncliffe Central is a transformative mixed-tenure redevelopment replacing 142 ageing dwellings with 806 new residential units comprising four towers ranging from 17 to 21 storeys. The development includes 196 social housing units, affordable housing, and private market apartments integrated with a 4,000 sqm public park, retail precinct featuring supermarket and cafes, childcare centre, community centre and library. Construction commenced in 2023 with the project representing one of the largest mixed-tenure housing developments in NSW, delivered in partnership between NSW Land and Housing Corporation, Billbergia Group, Evolve Housing, and St George Community Housing.
Discovery Point
Discovery Point is a completed masterplanned community featuring 1,929 apartments across 14 buildings, offering resort-style living with waterfront access to Cooks River, expansive parklands, swimming pools, gymnasiums, retail village square, and its own train station just one stop from Sydney Airport. The project has won state and national accolades for excellence in mixed-use design. Building 14, a final Build-to-Rent development, remains in planning stages as of 2025.
Wolli Creek and Bonar Street Precincts Urban Renewal Area
Comprehensive urban renewal area, formerly industrial, being redeveloped into a high-density, mixed-use residential and employment area centered around the Wolli Creek transport hub. The Contributions Plan 2019, adopted by Bayside Council, outlines a schedule of local infrastructure works with a total value of around $217 million (in 2019 dollars), to be funded by development contributions. This infrastructure includes open space, roads, flood mitigation, and community facilities. The plan is effective and enables contributions to fund the required infrastructure for the continuing urban transformation.
Kogarah Golf Club Redevelopment
Redevelopment of the 18.3-hectare former Kogarah Golf Club site into a world-class multi-storey logistics precinct with up to 340,000 square metres of floor space. The $3.5 billion project will feature aviation-linked logistics, high-value freight distribution for medical, technology and perishable goods, and last mile distribution facilities. The development includes plans for Pemulwuy Park, a 14-hectare public park to be delivered by Bayside Council, and an active transport corridor along the Cooks River. The precinct will incorporate solar power, energy efficient design, EV charging infrastructure, and adapt to evolving freight trends including automation, robotics and AI-driven warehouse management. Expected to generate 4,500 direct and indirect jobs once operational.
Wolli Creek Mixed Use (Princes Highway)
Completed mixed-use development featuring a flagship Woolworths supermarket, Dan Murphy's liquor store, retail spaces, and residential apartments in a modern precinct adjacent to Wolli Creek railway station. The 4,200 square meter Woolworths store opened in October 2012 with the latest technology and features. The development transformed the former industrial site into a vibrant retail and residential hub serving the growing Wolli Creek community.
Employment
The exceptional employment performance in Wolli Creek places it among Australia's strongest labour markets
Wolli Creek has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.0% as of June 2025.
Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.5%. The area's unemployment rate is below Greater Sydney's, standing at 3.2% compared to 4.2%, while workforce participation is higher at 69.7% versus 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are professional & technical, finance & insurance, and accommodation & food. Wolli Creek shows particular strength in professional & technical services with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.
However, health care & social assistance has limited presence at 8.7% compared to 14.1% regionally. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population versus resident population data. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.5% while labour force grew by 2.6%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. This contrasts with Greater Sydney where employment rose by 2.6%, labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 indicate potential future demand within Wolli Creek. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Wolli Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Wolli Creek has an average national income. The median assessed income is $53,116 and the average income stands at $65,205. Greater Sydney's figures are higher, with a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. As of September 2025, current estimates put Wolli Creek's median income at approximately $59,814 and the average at around $73,427, based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data indicates that incomes in Wolli Creek rank highly nationally, between the 75th and 84th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. Income brackets show that 42.0% of Wolli Creek's population (5,156 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the regional pattern where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 23.3% of income in Wolli Creek, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 64th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Wolli Creek features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region
Dwelling structure in Wolli Creek, as per the latest Census, consisted of 0.7% houses and 99.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 39.8% houses and 60.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wolli Creek stood at 7.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.3% and rented ones at 64.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, matching the Sydney metro average, while median weekly rent was $540, compared to Sydney metro's $2,383 and $480 respectively. Nationally, Wolli Creek's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Wolli Creek features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size
Family households account for 58.8% of all households, consisting of 14.0% couples with children, 38.3% couples without children, and 3.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 41.2%, with lone person households at 25.9% and group households comprising 15.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Wolli Creek demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics
Wolli Creek's residents aged 15 and above have a higher proportion with university qualifications (63.2%) compared to national (30.4%) and NSW state averages (32.2%). Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 39.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (21.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 18.9% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 8.0%. Wolli Creek has a high educational participation rate of 35.1%, including 14.7% in tertiary education, 2.4% in primary education, and 1.4% pursuing secondary education.
Educational facilities are located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Wolli Creek has seven active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by nine different routes that together facilitate 9,366 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically residing within 250 meters of the nearest stop.
Across all routes, service frequency averages 1,338 trips per day, equating to approximately 1338 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Wolli Creek's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups
Wolli Creek demonstrates excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.
The rate of private health cover in Wolli Creek is approximately 53%, higher than the average SA2 area (~6,474 people). Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions, affecting 4.1% and 3.8% of residents respectively. A total of 88.8% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.5% across Greater Sydney. Wolli Creek has a lower percentage of seniors aged 65 and over at 4.1% (503 people), compared to the 16.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors align with those of the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Wolli Creek is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics
Wolli Creek, as per the 2016 Census, has a population where 72.2% speak languages other than English at home and 75.5% were born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion with 28.1%. Buddhism, at 11.0%, is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 4.5%.
The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (32.5%), Other (27.4%), and English (8.5%). Notably, Spanish (0.9% vs regional 0.9%), Korean (1.5% vs 0.4%), and Vietnamese (2.8% vs 1.3%) groups are overrepresented in Wolli Creek compared to the region's averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Wolli Creek hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide
Wolli Creek's median age in 2021 was 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and lower than Australia's national average of 38. Wolli Creek had a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (42.1%) compared to Greater Sydney but fewer residents aged 5-14 (3.3%). This 25-34 concentration was above the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, Wolli Creek's median age increased from 30 to 32 years. The proportion of residents aged 35-44 grew from 18.2% to 22.4%, while those aged 45-54 increased from 5.6% to 7.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 46.7% to 42.1%, and those aged 15-24 dropped from 14.4% to 11.7%. By 2041, Wolli Creek's age profile is projected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 15-24 is expected to increase by 97%, adding 1,398 people to reach 2,835. However, the number of residents aged 35-44 is projected to decline by 1,248 people.