South Hurstville - Blakehurst

Population growth drivers in South Hurstville - Blakehurst are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the population of South Hurstville - Blakehurst is approximately 27,483 as of May 2026. This indicates a growth of 2,224 individuals (8.8%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 25,259 people. This shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 27,385 from June 2025 alongside 430 validated new addresses identified since the Census. Such population numbers translate to a density ratio of 4,404 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality within the highest 10% of all areas assessed countrywide and highlighting local land as a highly sought-after resource. The 8.8% expansion recorded in South Hurstville - Blakehurst since the 2021 census outpaced the wider SA4 region (6.5%) as well as the state, positioning the locality as a regional leader in population growth. This growth was mostly fueled by offshore migration, which accounted for roughly 95.9% of the total population increase in recent times.

For each SA2 locality, AreaSearch uses projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia that were published in 2024 using 2022 as their baseline year. In instances where SA2 areas lack coverage in that dataset, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 baseline are applied instead. Age bracket growth rates derived from these figures are also applied across all areas for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead to coming demographic trends, a rate of population growth exceeding the national median is anticipated, with the district set to grow by 4,720 people by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, which represents a total increase of 16.8% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees South Hurstville - Blakehurst among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

An average of approximately 133 residential properties receive building approval each year in South Hurstville - Blakehurst, totaling 666 residential approvals over the previous 5 financial years (spanning FY-21 to FY-25) and 52 approvals during the current FY-26 period. Based on an average occupancy of 2.5 new residents per dwelling annually over the previous 5 financial years (spanning FY-21 to FY-25), indicating robust demand that helps maintain property valuations, new structures are being erected at an average cost of $330,000. Additionally, commercial building approvals worth $3.7 million have been logged during the current financial year, highlighting the predominantly residential character of the area.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst displays slightly elevated levels of building activity relative to Greater Sydney, tracking 35.0% higher than the regional average per capita over the 5 year timeframe, which helps sustain existing real estate valuations while offering buyer choices, even though construction activity has moderated recently. Modern developments comprise 36.0% stand-alone houses and 64.0% medium to high-density options. Focusing on higher-density builds creates more accessible pricing thresholds and serves downsizers, property investors, and first-time buyers well. This represents a major departure from the current residential landscape, where houses make up 55.0% of the market, indicating a shrinking pool of available development sites and aligning with evolving preferences for lifestyle and affordability. The area has roughly 457 residents for every dwelling approval, which is characteristic of an established community.

Long-term forecasts indicate that South Hurstville - Blakehurst will gain 4,622 residents by 2041, calculated from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly projections. Judging by ongoing building trends, the supply of new housing is expected to easily satisfy this demand, presenting favorable market conditions for prospective buyers and potentially enabling population expansion that surpasses current forecasts.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Few elements have as much influence on local performance as updates to community infrastructure, major developments, and urban planning schemes. AreaSearch has identified a total of 40 projects that are expected to influence the locality. Prominent projects include Horizon Hurstville, the 53-75 Forest Road Mixed Development, Lotus Residence Hurstville, and Allen & George South Hurstville, with the subsequent list outlining the developments of greatest relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

The local labor force in South Hurstville - Blakehurst is highly qualified, featuring a strong concentration of professionals, a low unemployment rate of 2.2%, and an estimated job growth rate of 3.2% over the previous year. As of March 2026, there are 16,708 employed locals, while the unemployment rate tracks 1.9% below the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, and the participation rate is relatively typical, sitting at 72.0% compared to 69.1% for Greater Sydney. Census statistics indicate that a substantial 40.8% of the working population performed their duties from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 containment measures.

The primary sectors employing local residents are healthcare & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Conversely, the education & training sector is under-represented, employing only 7.1% of the workforce in South Hurstville - Blakehurst compared to 8.9% throughout Greater Sydney. The mostly residential characteristics of the district mean local employment opportunities are somewhat restricted, as demonstrated by comparing the census working population to the resident population.

Based on an evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch, the year leading up to March 2026 saw employment numbers rise by 3.2% and the local labor force grow by 3.5%, resulting in a 0.3 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 1.9% and labor force growth of 1.9%, with a slight decline in unemployment. National labor forecasts published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional perspective on prospective future demand in South Hurstville - Blakehurst. These forecasts, which look at five and ten-year horizons, have been applied to the local workforce composition to estimate growth paths. On a national level, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though these figures vary widely across different industries. Applying these sector-specific forecasts to the employment distribution of South Hurstville - Blakehurst yields an estimated local job growth of 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, noting that this is a basic weighted projection for visualization purposes and does not incorporate localized population adjustments.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The latest postcode-level data from the ATO for the 2023 financial year indicates that incomes in the South Hurstville - Blakehurst SA2 are exceptionally high by national standards, featuring a median of $54,975 and an average of $78,777. For comparison, Greater Sydney recorded a median income of $60,817 and an average of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to approximately $60,648 (median) and $86,907 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed weekly household income at the 72nd percentile ($2,097 weekly) and personal income at the 44th percentile. Earnings analysis shows that the weekly income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 accounts for 31.3% of the local population (8,602 individuals), which aligns with the broader regional figure of 30.9% in the same bracket. The significant presence of high-income earners, with 32.2% receiving more than $3,000 weekly, points to robust financial capacity throughout South Hurstville - Blakehurst. High accommodation outlays account for 16.7% of earnings, yet strong wages still place disposable income at the 71st percentile, and the local SEIFA income metric ranks in the 7th decile.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

According to the most recent Census, the housing stock in South Hurstville - Blakehurst consisted of 55.2% standalone houses and 44.8% alternative dwellings such as semi-detached homes, units, and other property types, compared to the Sydney metro split of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The level of home ownership in South Hurstville - Blakehurst was considerably higher than the Sydney metro average, standing at 36.2%, while the remaining properties were either held with a mortgage (33.4%) or rented (30.4%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was higher than the Sydney metro average at $2,600, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $490, compared to $2,427 and $470 for Sydney metro. Across the country, the mortgage costs in South Hurstville - Blakehurst are notably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rent prices are also significantly above the national average of $375.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families represent the vast majority of households at 76.7% of the total, consisting of couples with children at 38.9%, couples without children at 25.3%, and single parent families at 10.5%. Non-family living situations account for the remaining 23.3%, with single-person households at 18.5% and group households making up 4.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 individuals is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The educational makeup of the area is distinct within the region, with university graduation rates representing 39.8% of residents aged 15 and over, which is higher than the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%, highlighting the local focus on higher learning. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 26.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 11.3% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational and technical training is also highly represented, with 25.4% of residents aged 15 and over holding trade qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (12.9%).

Enrolment in education is remarkably strong, with 31.6% of local residents actively participating in academic programs. This includes 8.8% studying at the tertiary level, 8.2% in primary school, and 7.2% enrolled in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of local transit options shows 127 active transport stops operating within South Hurstville - Blakehurst, offering a combination of train and bus services. These stops are served by 25 unique routes, which together provide 7,242 weekly passenger journeys. Access to transport is classified as excellent, with residents living an average of 133 meters from the nearest stop. Because the area is mostly residential, most workers commute out of the district, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel at 61%, followed by trains at 26% and buses at 7%. The average number of vehicles per household is 1.2. A notable 40.8% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect conditions during the pandemic.

Transit service frequency averages 1,034 daily trips across all routes, which translates to about 57 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest transit stops relative to the center of the locality.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health metric evaluations show exceptional outcomes in South Hurstville - Blakehurst, according to AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and the occurrence of chronic conditions, which reveals a low prevalence of widespread health issues across all age brackets, alongside a high rate of private health insurance coverage held by roughly 58% of the population (~16,050 people).

The medical issues most frequently reported by local residents were arthritis and asthma, affecting 5.1 and 4.1% of the population respectively, while 80.2% of residents stated they were completely free of any medical conditions compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Residents aged 65 and older make up 18.4% of the local population (5,056 people), which exceeds the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. The health status of these senior residents is particularly strong, with nationwide rankings aligning closely with those of the wider population.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

South Hurstville - Blakehurst ranks among the most multicultural communities in the nation, with 50.0% of residents born outside Australia and 60.6% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity stands as the primary religious affiliation, representing 48.8% of the population in South Hurstville - Blakehurst. The most pronounced divergence from regional averages is seen in Hinduism, which represents 9.2% of the local population compared to 5.2% across Greater Sydney.

Regarding ancestry based on parents' place of birth, the three most common backgrounds in South Hurstville - Blakehurst are Chinese, representing 26.2% of the population, which is considerably higher than the regional average of 8.4%, Other at 16.7%, and English at 11.0%, which is notably lower than the regional average of 19.0%. Other distinct demographic differences include a high representation of Greek ancestry at 9.2% of South Hurstville - Blakehurst compared to 1.9% regionally, Macedonian at 2.1% compared to 0.4%, and Croatian at 1.5% compared to 0.7%.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age of 38 years in South Hurstville - Blakehurst is very close to the Greater Sydney average of 37 and matches the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, South Hurstville - Blakehurst features a higher proportion of people aged 15 - 24 (16.1%) but a lower share of those aged 35 - 44 (12.0%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket has expanded from 14.6% to 16.1% of the population, and the 25 to 34 group has risen from 16.0% to 17.1%. In contrast, the 5 to 14 age group has fallen from 10.9% to 9.4%, and the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 12.5% to 11.1%. Significant shifts in age structure are projected by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort is expected to lead these changes, growing by 70% (1,180 people) to reach 2,862 from 1,681. This aging trend is prominent, with individuals aged 65 and over accounting for 58% of the projected population increase. The 0 to 4 age group is projected to experience much lower growth of 4%, adding just 40 children.