South Hurstville - Blakehurst

Population growth drivers in South Hurstville - Blakehurst are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, South Hurstville - Blakehurst's population is around 27,487 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,228 people (8.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 25,259 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 26,922 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 421 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 4,405 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought resource. South Hurstville - Blakehurst's 8.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (7.6%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 94.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above-median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to expand by 5,221 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 16.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within South Hurstville - Blakehurst when compared nationally

South Hurstville - Blakehurst has recorded around 133 residential properties granted approval annually, with 666 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 34 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 1.9 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, though recent data shows this has intensified to 8.9 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average value of $330,000. There have also been $3.7 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating a limited commercial development focus.

Compared to Greater Sydney, South Hurstville - Blakehurst has slightly more development (36.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), maintaining good buyer choice while supporting existing property values, though development activity has moderated in recent periods. New building activity shows 36.0% detached dwellings and 64.0% medium and high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 55.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. At around 450 people per approval, South Hurstville - Blakehurst indicates a mature market.

Population forecasts indicate South Hurstville - Blakehurst will gain 4,656 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 41 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Horizon Hurstville, 53-75 Forest Road Mixed Development, Lotus Residence Hurstville, and Allen & George South Hurstville, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

South Hurstville - Blakehurst has a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 2.2%, and 5.1% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 16,787 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 2.0% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (73.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 40.8% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical. On the other hand, education & training is under-represented, with only 7.1% of South Hurstville - Blakehurst's workforce compared to 8.9% in Greater Sydney. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.1% and the labour force increased by 5.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within South Hurstville - Blakehurst. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to South Hurstville - Blakehurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the South Hurstville - Blakehurst SA2 is well above average nationally, with the median assessed at $54,975 while the average income stands at $78,777. This contrasts to Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $59,846 (median) and $85,757 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household income ranks at the 72nd percentile ($2,097 weekly), while personal income sits at the 44th percentile. Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 31.3% of the community (8,603 individuals), mirroring regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 32.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 16.7% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 71st percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within South Hurstville - Blakehurst, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 55.2% houses and 44.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within South Hurstville - Blakehurst was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 36.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (33.4%) or rented (30.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Sydney metro average at $2,600, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $490, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, South Hurstville - Blakehurst's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 76.7% of all households, comprising 38.9% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.3%, with lone person households at 18.5% and group households comprising 4.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (39.8% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and that of NSW (32.2%), reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 26.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 25.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (12.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.8% in tertiary education, 8.2% in primary education, and 7.2% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 127 active transport stops operating within South Hurstville - Blakehurst, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 25 individual routes, collectively providing 7,242 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 133 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 61%, with 26% by train and 7% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling. A high 40.8% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,034 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 57 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across South Hurstville - Blakehurst, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~16,052 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 5.1% and 4.1% of residents, respectively, while 80.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 19.0% of residents aged 65 and over (5,230 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

South Hurstville - Blakehurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 50.0% of its population born overseas and 60.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in South Hurstville - Blakehurst is Christianity, which makes up 48.8% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Hinduism, which comprises 9.2% of the population, compared to 5.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in South Hurstville - Blakehurst are Chinese, comprising 26.2% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 8.4%, Other, comprising 16.7% of the population, and English, comprising 11.0% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 19.0%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Greek is notably overrepresented at 9.2% of South Hurstville - Blakehurst (vs 1.9% regionally), Macedonian at 2.1% (vs 0.4%) and Croatian at 1.5% (vs 0.7%).

South Hurstville - Blakehurst's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in South Hurstville - Blakehurst is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, South Hurstville - Blakehurst has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (15.6%) but fewer 35 - 44 year-olds (11.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 9.0% to 10.1% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 10.9% to 9.6% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 12.5% to 11.3%. By 2041, South Hurstville - Blakehurst is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 70% (1,202 people), reaching 2,923 from 1,720. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 60% of projected growth. The 0 to 4 group displays more modest growth at 4%, adding only 42 residents.