South Hurstville - Blakehurst
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in South Hurstville - Blakehurst are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

South Hurstville - Blakehurst's population is 27,035 as of August 2025. This shows an increase of 1,776 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 25,259. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 26,922 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 4,332 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% nationally according to AreaSearch. The area's 7.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeds the SA4 region (5.3%) and SA3 area, indicating strong population growth. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.7% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 using 2021 as the base year are applied. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are used for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is expected nationally, with South Hurstville - Blakehurst projected to increase by 5,221 persons to 2041, representing an 18.9% total increase over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within South Hurstville - Blakehurst when compared nationally

South Hurstville-Blakehurst has recorded approximately 133 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 666 homes. As of FY26, 15 approvals have been granted. The average population increase per dwelling built in the area between FY21 and FY25 was 1.9 people per year. However, this figure has intensified to 8.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $644,000, slightly above the regional average.

In FY26, $3.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Greater Sydney, South Hurstville-Blakehurst records elevated construction activity, with 36.0% more dwellings per person over the five-year period, balancing buyer choice and supporting current property values. New building activity comprises 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift towards higher-density living to suit downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The location has approximately 450 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established area. By 2041, South Hurstville-Blakehurst is projected to grow by 5,108 residents.

Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond projections.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 41 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Horizon Hurstville, Lotus Residence Hurstville, 53-75 Forest Road Mixed Development, and Allen & George South Hurstville. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals South Hurstville - Blakehurst significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

South Hurstville - Blakehurst has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.1% as of June 2025, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. As of June 2025, 16,546 residents were in work and workforce participation was 57.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services.

Education & training had limited presence with 7.1% employment compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3%, labour force by 2.6%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment (0.3 percentage points). Greater Sydney recorded similar employment growth of 2.6% during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to South Hurstville - Blakehurst's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, South Hurstville - Blakehurst had a median income among taxpayers of $50,821 and an average level of $75,051. These figures are high compared to national levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $57,230 (median) and $84,515 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 72nd percentile ($2,097 weekly), while personal income sits at the 45th percentile. The data shows that 31.3% of the population (8,461 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 32.2% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.7% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 71st percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In South Hurstville-Blakehurst, as per the latest Census, 55.2% of dwellings were houses while 44.8% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in South Hurstville-Blakehurst stood at 36.2%, with mortgaged properties making up 33.4% and rented ones 30.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than Sydney's average of $2,466. Meanwhile, median weekly rent was $490 compared to Sydney's $440. Nationally, South Hurstville-Blakehurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.7% of all households, including 38.9% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.3%, with lone person households at 18.5% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 39.8% for residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 25.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (12.9%).

Educational participation is high at 31.6%, including 8.8% in tertiary education, 8.2% in primary education, and 7.2% pursuing secondary education. South Hurstville-Blakehurst has a robust network of 9 schools serving approximately 3,179 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1080. Education provision is balanced with 6 primary and 3 secondary schools serving distinct age groups. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis shows 110 active transport stops in South Hurstville - Blakehurst. These include train and bus services. There are 20 routes serving these stops, collectively providing 6565 weekly passenger trips.

Residents' accessibility to public transport is rated excellent, with an average distance of 134 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 937 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 59 weekly trips per individual stop.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

South Hurstville - Blakehurst showed excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover was approximately 57% (around 15,436 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 53.6%.

Arthritis and asthma were the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 5.1% and 4.1% of residents respectively. About 80.2% of residents reported no medical ailments, compared to 77.2% in Greater Sydney. The area had 18.3% (4,947 people) aged 65 and over, with seniors showing strong health outcomes, largely aligning with the general population's profile.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

South Hurstville-Blakehurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 50.0% of its population born overseas and 60.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in South Hurstville-Blakehurst is Christianity, comprising 48.8% of people in the area. However, Buddhism is notably overrepresented, making up 6.2% of the population compared to 5.4% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Chinese (26.2%), Other (16.7%), and English (11.0%). There are also notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Greek is overrepresented at 9.2%, Lebanese at 3.9%, and Macedonian at 2.1%.

South Hurstville - Blakehurst's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in South Hurstville - Blakehurst is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, South Hurstville - Blakehurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (15.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.1%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the percentage of residents aged 15 to 24 increased from 14.6% to 15.6%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5 to 14 decreased from 10.9% to 9.6%, and those aged 45 to 54 dropped from 12.5% to 11.3%. By 2041, South Hurstville - Blakehurst is projected to experience significant changes in its age composition. The number of residents aged 75 to 84 is expected to grow by 85%, reaching 2,923 from 1,584. The population aged 65 and above is projected to comprise 60% of the total growth. The 0 to 4 age group is expected to grow at a more modest rate of 4%, adding only 39 residents.