Oatley - Hurstville Grove

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's population is approximately 12,835. This figure reflects a growth of 241 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,594. The increase is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 12,840 as of June 2024 and an additional 94 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density of 2,950 persons per square kilometer, placing the area in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 93.8% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas until 2041. Future demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of statistical areas nationally, with an expected growth of 904 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 7.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Oatley - Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove recorded approximately 53 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 268 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice. New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $718,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $8.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oatley - Hurstville Grove has somewhat elevated construction activity, measuring 10.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. New building activity shows 38.0% standalone homes and 62.0% townhouses or apartments, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix of 75.0% houses, likely due to reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands. The location has approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Oatley - Hurstville Grove is expected to grow by 908 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Mortdale RSL Redevelopment, Trinity Majors Bay, and King Georges Road Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Oatley - Hurstville Grove places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.6%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year is estimated at 2.5%. As of June 2025, 7,914 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.6% below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation is on par with Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with notable concentration in education & training at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food shows lower representation at 4.1% versus the regional average of 5.8%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force by 2.7%, resulting in a slight unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded similar trends but with slightly higher growth rates and unemployment increase. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oatley - Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The Oatley - Hurstville Grove SA2 has a high national income level according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers is $53,474 and the average income stands at $73,360. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $60,217 (median) and $82,611 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Oatley - Hurstville Grove rank highly nationally, between the 76th and 89th percentiles. The income distribution shows that 28.9% of residents (3,709 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Oatley - Hurstville Grove demonstrates affluence with 41.0% earning over $3,000 per week. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income, and residents rank in the 89th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Oatley - Hurstville Grove, as per the latest Census, consisted of 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oatley - Hurstville Grove was at 45.5%, with the rest being mortgaged (33.4%) or rented (21.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,466. The median weekly rent figure was $490, compared to Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.9% of all households, consisting of 44.0% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.1%, with lone person households at 18.0% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Oatley - Hurstville Grove exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Oatley - Hurstville Grove shows significant surpassing of broader benchmarks. As of 2016, 42.3% of residents aged 15 years and above held university qualifications, compared to the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.9%.

Trade and technical skills also feature prominently, with 26.6% of residents aged 15 years and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 15.4%. Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2017. This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 51 active transport stops operating within Oatley-Hurstville Grove. These include a mix of train and bus services. They are serviced by 12 individual routes, collectively providing 3063 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 186 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 437 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 60 weekly trips per stop.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data for Oatley - Hurstville Grove shows very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is approximately 56%, or about 7,187 people, which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 53.6%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.4% and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 75.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.2% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.9%, or about 2,687 people, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 19.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and broadly align with the general population's health profile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.8% of its population born overseas and 37.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Oatley-Hurstville Grove, comprising 60.0% of people, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (18.0%), Australian (17.2%), and Chinese (15.5%), which is lower than the regional average of 23.9%.

Some ethnic groups have notable representation: Croatian at 2.9%, Greek at 5.9%, and Macedonian at 2.2%.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Oatley - Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 years make up 11.2% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years comprise 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 14.6%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 6.0% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Oatley - Hurstville Grove's age structure. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to increase by 375 people (41%), growing from 913 to 1,289. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 74% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 55 to 64 and 0 to 4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.