Oatley - Hurstville Grove

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates that Oatley - Hurstville Grove's population was around 12,999 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 405 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,594. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 12,985 in June 2025 and an additional 108 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,988 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 91.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is expected to grow by 863 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 6.5% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Oatley - Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has recorded approximately 53 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 268 homes. As of FY26, 22 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $497,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $8.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oatley - Hurstville Grove records elevated construction activity, measuring 11.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. New building activity comprises 38.0% standalone homes and 62.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living and creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The current housing mix is 75.0% houses, with approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

By 2041, Oatley - Hurstville Grove is projected to grow by 849 residents (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 34 potential impact projects. Key initiatives include Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Mortdale RSL Redevelopment, Trinity Majors Bay, and King Georges Road Upgrade. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Oatley - Hurstville Grove places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.2%.

As of that date, 7,986 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.5% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was higher at 73.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 56.6% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Notably, education & training had employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average, while accommodation & food showed lower representation at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 5.8%. The area's predominantly residential nature suggests limited local employment opportunities. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.2%, labour force grew by 5.3%, with unemployment remaining largely unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, varying significantly by industry sector. Applying these projections to Oatley-Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Oatley - Hurstville Grove SA2 had a very high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended 30 June 2023. Its median income among taxpayers was $57,855 and average income stood at $76,297, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year ended 30 June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $63,826 (median) and $84,171 (average) as of March 2026. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Oatley - Hurstville Grove ranked highly nationally, between the 76th and 89th percentiles. Income distribution showed that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominated with 28.9% of residents, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupied this bracket. Oatley - Hurstville Grove exhibited considerable affluence with 41.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounted for 13.7% of income while strong earnings placed residents within the 89th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Oatley - Hurstville Grove, as per the latest Census, consisted of 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Oatley - Hurstville Grove was 45.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (33.4%) or rented (21.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $490, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.9% of all households, including 44.0% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.1%, with lone person households at 18.0% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oatley - Hurstville Grove exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Oatley - Hurstville Grove is notably high, with 42.3% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications. This figure exceeds the national average of 30.4% and the state average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.6% of residents aged 15 years and over holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.2% and certificates for 15.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in the area comprising Oatley - Hurstville Grove shows that there are 62 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. There are 13 individual routes servicing these stops, collectively providing 3,454 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 185 meters from the nearest transport stop. As this area is primarily residential, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 80%, while train accounts for 13%.

The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.4, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high percentage of residents, specifically 56.6%, work from home. This may be reflective of COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 493 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 55 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's health outcomes data shows excellent results for Oatley - Hurstville Grove. The area has very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 57% of the total population (~7,409 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.4%) and asthma (5.5%). A higher proportion of residents, 75.5%, claim to be completely clear of medical ailments than in Greater Sydney (74.6%). The area has a larger senior population at 21.3% (2,773 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes for seniors are strong and align with national rankings.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.8% of its population born overseas and 37.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oatley-Hurstville Grove, accounting for 60.0% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (18.0%), Australian (17.2%), and Chinese (15.5%), with Chinese being significantly higher than the regional average of 8.4%.

Notably, Croatian (2.9%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.7%, as are Greek (5.9% vs 1.9%) and Macedonian (2.2% vs 0.4%).

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Oatley-Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent at 11.5%, while the 25-34 age group is smaller at 10.6% compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 12.3% to 14.7%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 6.0% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has declined from 12.6% to 11.1%, and the 35-44 age group has dropped from 12.6% to 11.3%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Oatley-Hurstville Grove's age structure. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to increase by 333 people (36%), from 928 to 1,262. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 71% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.