Oatley - Hurstville Grove

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates that Oatley - Hurstville Grove had a population of around 12,835 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 241 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,594. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 12,840 in June 2024 and an additional 94 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,950 persons per square kilometer, placing the area in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 93.8% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former data. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is expected to grow by 904 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 7.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Oatley - Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has recorded approximately 53 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 268 homes. In FY-26 so far, ten approvals have been recorded. The area's population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $497,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $8.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oatley - Hurstville Grove has recorded construction levels 10.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years, balancing buyer choice while supporting current property values. New building activity comprises 38.0% standalone homes and 62.0% townhouses or apartments, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, marking a considerable change from the current housing mix of 75.0% houses. The area has approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Oatley - Hurstville Grove is expected to grow by 908 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to its local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified a total of 34 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Mortdale RSL Redevelopment, Trinity Majors Bay, and King Georges Road Upgrade. The following list details those projects expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Oatley - Hurstville Grove places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.7% and it experienced 4.0% employment growth in the year up to September 2025.

As of that date, 7,934 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is at Greater Sydney's average of 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with the latter showing notable concentration at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food shows lower representation at 4.1% versus the regional average of 5.8%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census data comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.0%, labour force by 4.1%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% over the same period. State-wide in NSW as of 25-Nov-25, employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourably comparing to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Oatley - Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not consider localised population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The median income among taxpayers in Oatley - Hurstville Grove SA2 was $53,474 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $73,360 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Oatley - Hurstville Grove would be approximately $60,217 (median) and $82,611 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Oatley - Hurstville Grove rank highly nationally, between the 76th and 89th percentiles. Income distribution data shows that 28.9% of residents (3,709 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, mirroring regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. The area demonstrates considerable affluence with 41.0% earning over $3,000 per week. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 89th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Oatley - Hurstville Grove, as per the latest Census evaluation, 75.2% of dwellings were houses while 24.9% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Sydney metropolitan area had 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Oatley - Hurstville Grove was 45.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.4% and rented ones at 21.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,466. The median weekly rent figure was recorded as $490 compared to Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.9% of all households, including 44.0% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.1%, with lone person households at 18.0% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Oatley - Hurstville Grove exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Oatley-Hurstville Grove shows a significant advantage with 42.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, compared to the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.6% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.2% and certificates for 15.4%. Educational participation is high in the area, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 51 active transport stops operating within Oatley-Hurstville Grove. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. The stops are served by 12 individual routes, collectively providing 3063 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 186 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 437 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 60 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Oatley - Hurstville Grove, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is high at approximately 56% of the total population (~7,187 people), compared to 53.6% across Greater Sydney.

Arthritis and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.4 and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 75.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.2% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 20.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,687 people), which is higher than the 19.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has a high cultural diversity, with 32.8% of its population born overseas and 37.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oatley-Hurstville Grove, accounting for 60.0% of people, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (18.0%), Australian (17.2%), and Chinese (15.5%), with the latter being lower than the regional average of 23.9%.

Notably, Croatian (2.9%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.2%, while Greek (5.9%) is slightly higher than the regional average of 5.6%, and Macedonian (2.2%) is nearly equal to the regional average of 2.3%.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Oatley - Hurstville Grove is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 make up 11.2%, while those aged 25-34 comprise 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 15-24 grew from 12.3% to 14.6%, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 6.0% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 12.6% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75-84 age cohort will increase by 375 people (41%), rising from 913 to 1,289. Notably, those aged 65 and above are projected to account for 74% of total population growth. Meanwhile, the 55-64 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.