Oatley - Hurstville Grove
Statistical Area - sa2

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis estimates Oatley - Hurstville Grove's population as 12,837 as of Aug 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 243 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,594. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 12,839 in June 2024 and 95 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,951 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 93.8% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, the area is expected to grow by 904 persons to 2041, with an increase of 7.1% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Oatley - Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has recorded approximately 45 residential property approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports that between financial years 2020 to 2025, a total of 228 approvals were granted, with an additional 7 approved in the current financial year ending June 2026. The average construction cost value of new homes is $718,000, indicating a focus on premium market properties. This financial year has seen $8.8 million in commercial approvals registered.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Oatley - Hurstville Grove maintains similar construction rates per capita, reflecting balanced market conditions. The area's building activity comprises 38% standalone homes and 62% townhouses or apartments, promoting affordable housing options for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift contrasts with the current housing mix of 75% houses, suggesting reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands. The population density is approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. Future projections estimate an increase of 906 residents by 2041.

At present development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, ensuring favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 38 projects potentially affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Rail Service Improvement Program (Mortdale-Kiama), Mortdale Maintenance Centre Upgrade, and Enterprise Industrial Estate Mortdale. The following list details projects likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The exceptional employment performance in Oatley - Hurstville Grove places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% in June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.5%. As of June 2025, 7,914 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate equal to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with the latter showing notable concentration at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food had lower representation at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 5.8%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force grew by 2.7%, resulting in a slight unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, losing 19,270 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oatley - Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local growth could be approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's median income among taxpayers was $53,474 and the average income stood at $73,360 in financial year 2022, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Oatley - Hurstville Grove would be approximately $59,142 (median) and $81,136 (average) as of March 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Oatley - Hurstville Grove rank highly nationally, between the 76th and 89th percentiles. Income distribution data shows that 28.9% of residents (3,709 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, mirroring regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Oatley - Hurstville Grove demonstrates affluence with 41.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income, while strong earnings place residents within the 90th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Oatley - Hurstville Grove, as per the latest Census evaluation, 75.2% of dwellings were houses while 24.9% consisted of other types such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan area's dwelling composition which was 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oatley - Hurstville Grove stood at 45.5%, higher than the Sydney metro average. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 33.4% and rented ones made up 21.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $2,466. The median weekly rent figure stood at $490 compared to Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while median weekly rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 79.9% of all households, including 44.0% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.1%, with lone person households at 18.0% and group households at 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8 people.

The educational profile of Oatley - Hurstville Grove exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Oatley-Hurstville Grove shows a significant advantage with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to the national average of 30.4%. This percentage is also higher than that of New South Wales at 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, held by 28.2% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 15.4%.

Educational participation is high in the area, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary (9.1%), secondary (7.9%), and tertiary (7.0%) levels. Six schools operate within Oatley-Hurstville Grove, educating approximately 1,745 students. The socio-educational conditions are above average, with an ICSEA score of 1065. The educational mix includes four primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that there are 51 active public transport stops in the area comprising Oatley and Hurstville Grove. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. There are 12 individual routes operating in total, providing 3063 weekly passenger trips combined.

The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents on average located only 186 meters away from the nearest stop. On average, there are 437 trips made per day across all routes, which amounts to approximately 60 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Oatley - Hurstville Grove, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~7,188 people), compared to 53.6% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 6.4 and 5.5% of residents respectively, while 75.5% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.2% across Greater Sydney. As of August 2021, 20.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,688 people), which is higher than the 19.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.8% of its population born overseas and 37.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oatley-Hurstville Grove, making up 60.0% of the population, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (18.0%), Australian (17.2%), and Chinese (15.5%), which is lower than the regional average of 23.9%.

Notably, Croatian (2.9%) and Greek (5.9%) are overrepresented compared to their regional averages of 1.2% and 5.6%, respectively. Macedonian representation is also notable at 2.2%.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Oatley - Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 make up 11.2%, while those aged 25-34 comprise 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 14.6%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 6.0% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75 to 84 age cohort will increase by 375 people (41%) from 913 to 1,289. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 74% of total population growth. The area is expected to experience population declines in the 55 to 64 and 0 to 4 age cohorts.