Oatley - Hurstville Grove
Statistical Area - sa2

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Oatley - Hurstville Grove's population is approximately 12,835 as of Nov 2025. This represents an increase of 241 individuals, a 1.9% rise from the 2021 Census figure of 12,594 people. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 12,840 in June 2024 and 94 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,950 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 93.8% of total population growth recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on current demographic trends and latest population numbers, the area is projected to grow by 904 persons by 2041, marking a 7.1% increase over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Oatley - Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove recorded approximately 53 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 268 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice. Developers target the premium market segment, with an average construction value of $497,000 for new homes.

In this financial year, $8.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a primarily residential area. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oatley - Hurstville Grove has somewhat elevated construction activity, at 10.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. New building activity consists of 38.0% standalone homes and 62.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living to suit downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This marks a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 75.0% houses. The location has approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Looking ahead, Oatley - Hurstville Grove is projected to grow by 908 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 projects likely to impact the region. Notable projects include Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Mortdale Maintenance Centre Upgrade, Enterprise Industrial Estate Mortdale, and Trinity Majors Bay. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Oatley - Hurstville Grove places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.5%. As of June 2025, 7,914 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate matching Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with notable concentration in the latter at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food services showed lower representation at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 5.8%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force grew by 2.7%, resulting in a slight unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% with an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oatley - Hurstville Grove's employment mix indicates potential local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, although these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has a high national income level according to AreaSearch aggregated ATO data for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers is $53,474 and the average income stands at $73,360. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on a 12.61% increase since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $60,217 (median) and $82,611 (average). The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes rank highly in Oatley-Hurstville Grove, between the 76th and 89th percentiles nationally. Income distribution data indicates that the $1,500-$2,999 bracket dominates with 28.9% of residents (3,709 people), similar to regional levels at 30.9%. The area demonstrates affluence with 41.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and services. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income, with strong earnings ranking residents within the 90th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Oatley - Hurstville Grove, as per the latest Census evaluation, 75.2% of dwellings were houses while 24.9% consisted of other types such as semi-detached units and apartments. This is in contrast to Sydney metro's dwelling composition which was 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. The home ownership rate within the area was 45.5%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 33.4% and rented dwellings making up 21.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Oatley - Hurstville Grove stood at $3,000, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,466. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure was recorded as $490 compared to Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households represent 79.9 percent of all households, consisting of 44.0 percent couples with children, 25.6 percent couples without children, and 9.4 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.1 percent, with lone person households at 18.0 percent and group households comprising 2.0 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Oatley - Hurstville Grove exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Oatley-Hurstville Grove is notably high, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% statewide (NSW). Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 28.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.9%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.2% and certificates for 15.4%. Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education. There are six schools operating within Oatley-Hurstville Grove, educating approximately 1,745 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1065. The educational mix includes four primary schools, one secondary school, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 51 active transport stops operating within Oatley-Hurstville Grove. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. There are 12 individual routes serving these stops, collectively providing 3063 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 186 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 437 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 60 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Oatley - Hurstville Grove, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is high at approximately 56% of the total population, which amounts to around 7,187 people.

This compares to 53.6% across Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.4 and 5.5% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 75.5%, reported being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 77.2% across Greater Sydney. As of 2019, 20.9% of residents are aged 65 and over, totaling 2,687 people, which is higher than the 19.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors align closely with those of the general population.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.8% of its population born overseas and 37.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oatley-Hurstville Grove, comprising 60.0% of the population, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (18.0%), Australian (17.2%), and Chinese (15.5%), with Chinese being notably lower than the regional average of 23.9%.

There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, including Croatian at 2.9% compared to the regional average of 1.2%, Greek at 5.9% versus 5.6%, and Macedonian at 2.2% versus 2.3%.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Oatley - Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 years make up 11.2%, while those aged 25-34 years comprise 9.9%. Between 2021 and now, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 14.6%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 6.0% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75 to 84 age cohort will increase by 375 people (41%), growing from 913 to 1,289. Notably, those aged 65 and above will account for 74% of total population growth. Conversely, the 55 to 64 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.