Oatley - Hurstville Grove

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Oatley-Hurstville Grove's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 13,275, an increase of 681 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census recorded a population of 12,594. This change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 12,839 in June 2024 and an additional 108 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,051 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. The area's 5.4% growth since the census is within 2.2 percentage points of its SA4 region's growth rate of 7.6%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 93.8% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and the latest annual ERP population numbers, Oatley-Hurstville Grove is expected to grow by approximately 904 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of around 3.5% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Oatley - Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has recorded approximately 53 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 268 homes. As of FY-26, 12 approvals have been granted. The population has declined in recent years, indicating that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice. New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $497,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $8.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oatley - Hurstville Grove has recorded somewhat elevated construction activity, balancing buyer choice while supporting current property values. New building activity shows 38% standalone homes and 62% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living that creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix of 75% houses, likely due to reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The area has approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Oatley - Hurstville Grove is expected to grow by 468 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 projects that may affect the region. Notable initiatives include Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Mortdale RSL Redevelopment, Trinity Majors Bay, and King Georges Road Upgrade. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Oatley - Hurstville Grove places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 1.7% as of September 2025. There was an estimated employment growth of 4.0% over the past year.

As of that date, 7,934 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.5 percentage points below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 74.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 56.6% of residents worked from home. Key industries of employment among residents were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

The area had a notable concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food showed lower representation at 4.1% versus the regional average of 5.8%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. During the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.0%, and labour force increased by 4.1%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oatley - Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Oatley - Hurstville Grove SA2 has a high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median income among taxpayers is $57,855 and average income stands at $76,297. In comparison, Greater Sydney's figures are $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $62,981 (median) and $83,057 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes rank highly in Oatley - Hurstville Grove, between the 76th and 89th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows that 28.9% of residents (3,836 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, mirroring regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Oatley - Hurstville Grove demonstrates considerable affluence with 41.0% earning over $3,000 per week. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 89th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Oatley - Hurstville Grove, as per the latest Census, consisted of 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oatley - Hurstville Grove stood at 45.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.4% and rented ones at 21.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Weekly rent in the area was $490, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 79.9% of all households, including 44.0% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.1%, with lone person households at 18.0% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oatley - Hurstville Grove exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Oatley - Hurstville Grove, educational attainment significantly exceeds national and state averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 42.3% possess university qualifications, compared to the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. This high level of educational attainment is driven by a significant number of residents holding bachelor degrees (28.2%), postgraduate qualifications (11.2%), and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.6% of residents aged 15 and above having trade or technical skills.

This includes advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (15.4%). Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (9.1%), secondary education (7.9%), and tertiary education (7.0%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 62 active transport stops operating within Oatley - Hurstville Grove. These consist of a mix of train and bus services. There are 13 individual routes servicing these stops, collectively providing 3454 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 185 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. The dominant mode of transport for commuting is car at 80%, while train accounts for 13%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 56.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 493 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 55 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results for Oatley - Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 57% (~7,566 people) of the total population has private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. Arthritis and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 6.4% and 5.5% of residents respectively. About 75.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.7% (2,883 people), compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, with national rankings generally in line with the overall population.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has a high cultural diversity, with 32.8% of its population born overseas and 37.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oatley-Hurstville Grove, accounting for 60.0% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (18.0%), Australian (17.2%), and Chinese (15.5%), which is higher than the regional average of 8.4%.

Other ethnic groups with notable representation include Croatian at 2.9%, Greek at 5.9%, and Macedonian at 2.2%.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Oatley-Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 65-74 years make up 11.6% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years constitute 9.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 14.8%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 6.0% to 7.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.3%, and the 35 to 44 age group has dropped from 12.6% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75 to 84 age cohort will increase by 311 people (32%), rising from 977 to 1,289. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above are expected to account for 79% of total population growth. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.