Oatley - Hurstville Grove

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's population is approximately 13,239. This figure reflects a growth of 645 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,594. The increase is inferred from ABS estimates: the resident population was 12,839 in June 2024, with an additional 94 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 3,043 persons per square kilometer, placing Oatley - Hurstville Grove in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's growth rate of 5.1% since the census is within 2.4 percentage points of the SA4 region's 7.5%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 93.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered SA2 areas, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for uncovered areas. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Oatley - Hurstville Grove is expected to grow by 904 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of approximately 3.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Oatley - Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has granted approximately 53 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 268 homes. In the current financial year FY-26, 12 approvals have been recorded to date. The area's population has declined in recent years, but new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering a good range of options for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $497,000, indicating that developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $8.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oatley - Hurstville Grove has recorded construction levels 10.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years, balancing buyer choice while supporting current property values. New building activity consists of 38.0% standalone homes and 62.0% townhouses or apartments, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, marking a significant change from the current housing mix which is currently 75.0% houses. The area has approximately 295 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Oatley - Hurstville Grove is expected to grow by 504 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), Mortdale RSL Redevelopment, Trinity Majors Bay, and King Georges Road Upgrade. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Oatley - Hurstville Grove places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.0%. As of September 2025, 7,934 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was 74.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A high 56.6% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with notable concentration in the latter at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food services showed lower representation at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 5.8%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.0%, labour force by 4.1%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and an unemployment increase of 0.2 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oatley-Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Oatley - Hurstville Grove SA2 has a high national income level according to AreaSearch aggregated ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers is $57,855 and the average income stands at $76,297. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $62,981 (median) and $83,057 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes rank highly in Oatley - Hurstville Grove, between the 76th and 89th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 28.9% of residents (3,826 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. The area demonstrates affluence with 41.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 89th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Oatley - Hurstville Grove, as per the latest Census evaluation, 75.2% of dwellings were houses while 24.9% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is in contrast to Sydney metropolitan area's figures which stood at 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings respectively. Home ownership in Oatley - Hurstville Grove was recorded at 45.5%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 33.4% and rented dwellings making up the remaining 21.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in this area was $3,000, which is higher than Sydney metropolitan average of $2,427. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure stood at $490 compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.9% of all households, including 44.0% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.1%, with lone person households at 18.0% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oatley - Hurstville Grove exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Oatley-Hurstville Grove shows significant surpassing of broader benchmarks. As of 2016, 42.3% of residents aged 15 years and above held university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. This area's educational advantage is notable with bachelor degrees leading at 28.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.9%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.6% of residents aged 15 years and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 15.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in the area comprising Oatley - Hurstville Grove shows that there are 62 active transport stops operating. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 13 individual routes servicing these stops, collectively providing 3454 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 185 meters from the nearest stop. As it is primarily residential, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 80%, while trains account for 13%.

On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents work from home, at 56.6%. This may be reflective of COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 493 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 55 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment shows excellent health outcomes across Oatley - Hurstville Grove. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 57% of the total population (around 7,546 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.4 and 5.5% of residents respectively. 75.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.9% (2,772 people), compared to 15.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatley-Hurstville Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.8% of its population born overseas and 37.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oatley-Hurstville Grove, accounting for 60.0% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (18.0%), Australian (17.2%), and Chinese (15.5%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 8.4%.

Notably, Croatian (2.9%) and Greek (5.9%) populations in Oatley-Hurstville Grove are substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 0.7% and 1.9%. Additionally, Macedonian ancestry makes up 2.2% of the population, compared to the regional average of 0.4%.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Oatley - Hurstville Grove is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 make up 11.2% of the population, while those aged 25-34 constitute 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 14.6%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 6.0% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75 to 84 age cohort will increase by 346 people (37%), reaching a total of 1,289. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above are projected to account for 83% of total population growth. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.