Oatley - Hurstville Grove

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's population is around 12,999 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 405 people (3.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,594 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,985 from the ABS as of June 2025 and an additional 108 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,988 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 91.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

Projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are utilised by AreaSearch for each SA2 region. For locations where such data is unavailable, the 2022 projections from the NSW State Government, established with a 2021 base year, are adopted instead. Age-specific growth percentages derived from these sources are likewise applied to all localities for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Future demographic shifts suggest a total growth rate slightly below the national median for similar areas. The community is projected to expand by 863 persons by 2041 relative to recent annual ERP statistics, representing a cumulative rise of 6.5% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Oatley - Hurstville Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has recorded around 53 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 268 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 30 approvals have been recorded. With an average of only 0.4 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts, while new homes are being built at an average value of $497,000, revealing that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Also, $8.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

In comparison to Greater Sydney, Oatley - Hurstville Grove registers moderately high construction volumes (11.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), balancing consumer options with support for local real estate valuations. Approvals for new residential structures consist of 38.0% standalone homes and 62.0% townhouses or apartments. Focusing on high-density configurations provides more accessible entry thresholds and caters to downsizers, property investors, and buyers entering the market for the first time. This represents a significant transition from the existing housing stock (currently 75.0% houses), driven by the diminishing supply of development parcels and reacting to evolving lifestyle preferences and budget constraints. The community exhibits a low density market with approximately 299 people per dwelling approval.

Looking ahead, Oatley - Hurstville Grove is expected to grow by 849 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Local infrastructure updates, large-scale projects, and planning changes have a significant influence on regional development. A total of 34 developments have been identified by AreaSearch as having a likely impact on this locality. Notable initiatives include the Morshead Drive Boardwalk (Oatley Bay Memorial Boardwalk), the Mortdale RSL Redevelopment, Trinity Majors Bay, and the King Georges Road Upgrade, with the accompanying list detailing the most significant undertakings.

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The exceptional employment performance in Oatley - Hurstville Grove places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oatley - Hurstville Grove possesses a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 1.7%, and 3.3% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of March 2026, 7,947 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (73.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 69.1%). Based on Census responses, a high 56.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The primary sectors employing local citizens are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. There is a particularly high density of education & training personnel in the area, reaching 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food services are underrepresented, accounting for only 4.1% of the workforce compared to the regional average of 5.8%. This predominantly residential enclave seems to provide relatively few local jobs, as highlighted by comparing the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to March 2026, employment levels increased by 3.3% and labour force increased by 3.4%, resulting in unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 1.9%, labour force growth of 1.9%, with unemployment falling marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Oatley - Hurstville Grove. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Oatley - Hurstville Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Oatley - Hurstville Grove SA2's income level is very high nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The Oatley - Hurstville Grove SA2's median income among taxpayers is $57,855 and the average income stands at $76,297, which compares to figures for Greater Sydney's of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $63,826 (median) and $84,171 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Oatley - Hurstville Grove, between the 76th and 89th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 28.9% of residents (3,756 people), mirroring regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Oatley - Hurstville Grove demonstrates considerable affluence with 41.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 89th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Oatley - Hurstville Grove, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Oatley - Hurstville Grove was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 45.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (33.4%) or rented (21.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $3,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $490, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Oatley - Hurstville Grove's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family units constitute the vast majority of households at 79.9%, consisting of 44.0% couples raising children, 25.6% couples without children, and 9.4% single parents. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 20.1%, with single-person households representing 18.0% and group housing comprising 2.0%. The local median household occupancy of 2.9 people exceeds the Greater Sydney benchmark of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oatley - Hurstville Grove exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Academic credentials in Oatley - Hurstville Grove significantly exceed wider averages, with 42.3% of individuals aged 15+ possessing university-level degrees, compared to 30.4% nationwide and 32.2% across NSW. This high level of education places the area in a favorable position for knowledge-based employment. Bachelor degrees constitute the largest share at 28.2%, with postgraduate qualifications at 11.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.9%. Practical and technical competencies are also notable, as 26.6% of residents aged 15+ hold vocational credentials, split between advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 15.4%.

Enrolment in learning institutions is exceptionally high, with 29.0% of local inhabitants actively engaged in formal study. This segment includes 9.1% attending primary schools, 7.9% in secondary schools, and 7.0% enrolled in higher education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 62 active transport stops operating within Oatley - Hurstville Grove comprising a mix of train and buses. These stops are serviced by 13 individual routes, collectively providing 3,454 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 185 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward - car remains the dominant mode at 80%, with 13% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, above the regional average. A high 56.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Across all transit routes, services run at an average frequency of 493 trips daily, representing about 55 weekly connections per transit stop.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Oatley - Hurstville Grove, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups , and the rate of private health cover found to be very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~7,409 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be arthritis and asthma, impacting 6.4 and 5.5% of residents, respectively, while 75.5% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 21.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,773 people), which is higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Oatley - Hurstville Grove was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatley - Hurstville Grove scores quite highly on cultural diversity, with 32.8% of its population born overseas and 37.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Oatley - Hurstville Grove was found to be Christianity, which makes up 60.0% of people in Oatley - Hurstville Grove. This compares to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

Regarding family background, the three most common heritages declared locally are English at 18.0%, Australian at 17.2%, and Chinese at 15.5%, which is notably higher than the regional average of 8.4%. Significant differences are also evident in other backgrounds, with Croatian showing a elevated level at 2.9% (compared to 0.7% regionally), Greek at 5.9% (compared to 1.9%), and Macedonian at 2.2% (compared to 0.4%).

Oatley - Hurstville Grove's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age of 43 years in Oatley - Hurstville Grove is notably higher than both the Greater Sydney standard of 37 and the national average of 38 years. Age demographic breakdowns show that residents aged 65 - 74 represent a substantial share (11.5%), whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is relatively small (10.6%) compared to Greater Sydney. Since 2021, the proportion of individuals aged 15 to 24 grew from 12.3% to 14.7%, and the 75 to 84 cohort expanded from 6.0% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group contracted from 12.6% to 11.1%, and the 35 to 44 cohort declined from 12.6% to 11.3%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic models project significant changes in the local age structure, with the 75 to 84 group growing by 333 people (36%) from 928 to 1,262. The combined cohorts aged 65 and older are projected to comprise 71% of the total population increase, highlighting the aging profile of the suburb, while the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 brackets are expected to contract.