Peakhurst - Lugarno

Population growth drivers in Peakhurst - Lugarno are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Peakhurst-Lugarno's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 21,327. This figure shows an increase of 1,107 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 20,220. The growth from June 2024's estimated resident population of 20,852 and validated new addresses contributes to this change. This results in a population density of 2,855 persons per square kilometer, placing Peakhurst-Lugarno in the upper quartile compared to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2016 to 2026, Peakhurst-Lugarno has shown resilient growth with an average annual growth rate of 1.1%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 92.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Peakhurst-Lugarno is expected to grow by approximately 2,375 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 8.9% over the 17-year period from 2026 to 2041.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Peakhurst - Lugarno when compared nationally

Peakhurst-Lugarno has averaged around 86 residential property approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25434 homes were approved, with an additional 117 approved in FY26 so far. On average, 2 people have moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years. However, this figure has increased to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $342,000. This year alone, $14.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Comparatively, Peakhurst-Lugarno has seen slightly more development than the Greater Sydney average, with 13.0% more per person over the past five years. Recent construction comprises 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% medium to high-density housing, marking a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 71.0% houses. The area has approximately 371 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its established nature.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Peakhurst-Lugarno is projected to grow by 1,900 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Peakhurst - Lugarno has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 34 projects likely affecting the region. Key projects include Henry Lawson Drive Stage 1B Upgrade, 824-834 Forest Road Affordable Housing, 2-6 Gover Street and 69 Trafalgar Street Social Housing (Peakhurst), Mortdale Local Centre Development Control Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Peakhurst - Lugarno ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Peakhurst - Lugarno has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 3.3% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.5%.

As of that date, 12,071 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 72.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 48.9% of residents worked from home.

The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. However, health care & social assistance was under-represented at 12.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.5% while labour force increased by 3.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Peakhurst - Lugarno's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Peakhurst - Lugarno SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $54,868 and an average income of $69,357 in the financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This compares to figures for Greater Sydney of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average). By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $59,729 and average income $75,502 based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. Census data shows household income ranks at the 71st percentile ($2,091 weekly) and personal income at the 55th percentile. The largest income segment comprises 28.2% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (6,014 residents), similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. Economic strength is evident with 33.3% of households having high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. High housing costs consume 15.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Peakhurst - Lugarno is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Peakhurst-Lugarno's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 70.8% houses and 29.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Peakhurst-Lugarno was 39.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.4% and rented ones at 21.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Sydney's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Peakhurst-Lugarno was $450, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Peakhurst - Lugarno features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.8% of all households, including 41.4% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Peakhurst - Lugarno exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Peakhurst-Lugarno trail regional benchmarks show that as of 2016, 31.2% of residents aged 15 years and over held university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. The most common degree type was bachelor degrees at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 6.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational credentials were also prominent among residents aged 15 years and over, with 32.7% holding such qualifications; advanced diplomas accounted for 12.0% and certificates for 20.7%. Educational participation was high, with 29.8% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2016.

This included 9.7% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis in Peakhurst-Lugarno reveals 164 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops are serviced by 27 individual bus routes, collectively providing 2,099 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 144 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 85%, with 9% using the train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 48.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 299 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

The level of general health in Peakhurst - Lugarno is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Peakhurst-Lugarno demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is held by approximately 54% of the total population (~11,495 people), slightly leading the average SA2 area's rate of 53%. This compares to Greater Sydney's rate of 59.9%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.8 and 6.1% of residents respectively, while 72.1% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 22.2% of residents aged 65 and over (4,743 people), which is higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%, though it ranks lower nationally than the broader population.

Peakhurst - Lugarno was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Peakhurst-Lugarno was found to be more culturally diverse than most local areas, with 29.0% of its population born overseas and 35.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Peakhurst-Lugarno, accounting for 65.8% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (18.8%), English (18.4%), and Other (11.7%).

Notably, Greek (6.8%) and Macedonian (3.1%) populations in Peakhurst-Lugarno exceed regional averages of 1.9% and 0.4%, respectively, while Lebanese residents make up 3.8%, slightly higher than the regional average of 2.6%.

Peakhurst - Lugarno's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Peakhurst-Lugarno is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group constitutes 7.9% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group makes up 9.9%, which is less prevalent than in Greater Sydney. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 13.1% of the population, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 10.8% to 9.9%. By 2041, the population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Peakhurst-Lugarno. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 44%, reaching 2,429 people from 1,686. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 84% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 55-64 and 15-24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.