Peakhurst - Lugarno

Population growth drivers in Peakhurst - Lugarno are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Peakhurst-Lugarno's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 21,081. This figure represents an increase of 861 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 20,220. The change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 20,852 in June 2024 and an additional 234 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,822 persons per square kilometer, placing Peakhurst-Lugarno in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Peakhurst-Lugarno has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.1%, outpacing its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 92.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Peakhurst-Lugarno is expected to grow by approximately 2,375 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 10.2% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Peakhurst - Lugarno when compared nationally

Peakhurst-Lugarno has seen approximately 86 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25434 homes were approved, with a further 112 approved in FY26 so far. On average, about two people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years. However, this figure has increased to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $342,000. This year alone, commercial development approvals totaling $14.9 million have been recorded. Compared to Greater Sydney, Peakhurst-Lugarno has seen slightly more development, with 13.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This balance supports buyer choice while maintaining current property values. Recent construction comprises 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% medium to high-density housing, marking a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 71.0% houses.

The location has approximately 371 people per dwelling approval. Looking ahead, Peakhurst-Lugarno is projected to grow by 2,146 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Peakhurst - Lugarno has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 projects likely to affect the area. Notable projects include Henry Lawson Drive Stage 1B Upgrade, 824-834 Forest Road Affordable Housing, 2-6 Gover Street and 69 Trafalgar Street Social Housing in Peakhurst, and Mortdale Local Centre Development Control Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Peakhurst - Lugarno ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Peakhurst-Lugarno has a well-educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.3% in September 2025, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.5%. As of September 2025, 12,071 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.9% lower than Greater Sydney's. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, at 12.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.5%, while labour force increased by 3.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data from NSW to 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Peakhurst-Lugarno's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The Peakhurst-Lugarno SA2's median income among taxpayers was $49,602 and average income was $65,780 in financial year 2022. These figures are lower than Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856 for the same period. By September 2025, based on a 12.61% increase from the Wage Price Index, estimated median income would be approximately $55,857 and average income would be around $74,075. According to census data, household income ranks at the 71st percentile with weekly earnings of $2,091. Personal income ranks at the 55th percentile. The largest segment comprises 28.2% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (5,944 residents), similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. Economic strength is evident with 33.3% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 15.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Peakhurst - Lugarno is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Peakhurst-Lugarno, as per the latest Census, 70.8% of dwellings were houses while 29.2% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differed from Sydney metro's 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Peakhurst-Lugarno stood at 39.6%, with mortgaged properties at 39.4% and rented ones at 21.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, above Sydney metro's average of $2,466. Median weekly rent in Peakhurst-Lugarno was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Peakhurst-Lugarno's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Peakhurst - Lugarno features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 77.8% of all households, including 41.4% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, aligning with the Greater Sydney average.

The educational profile of Peakhurst - Lugarno exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Peakhurst-Lugarno trail, 31.2% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This indicates a gap that suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (20.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.7% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis conducted in Peakhurst-Lugarno area shows 143 active transport stops operating. These are a mix of bus stops serviced by 27 individual routes. The total weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes is 2,173.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 145 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 310 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Peakhurst - Lugarno's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Peakhurst - Lugarno indicates positive outcomes with low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population.

However, prevalence is higher than the national average among older and at-risk cohorts. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~11,046 people), slightly above the average for SA2 areas. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (7.8%) and asthma (6.1%). A majority of residents (72.1%) report having no medical ailments, compared to 77.2% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over (21.6%, or 4,561 people) than Greater Sydney (19.1%).

Peakhurst - Lugarno was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Peakhurst-Lugarno was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 29.0% of its population born overseas and 35.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Peakhurst-Lugarno, comprising 65.8% of people, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (18.8%, higher than the regional average of 12.6%), English (18.4%, higher than the regional average of 13.2%), and Other (11.7%).

Notably, Greek (6.8% vs regional 5.6%), Macedonian (3.1% vs regional 2.3%), and Lebanese (3.8% vs regional 3.2%) groups are overrepresented in Peakhurst-Lugarno.

Peakhurst - Lugarno's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Peakhurst - Lugarno is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group makes up 7.6% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort comprises 10.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 13.1%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.4% to 12.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Peakhurst - Lugarno. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 51%, reaching 2,429 people from 1,604. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 85% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.