Peakhurst - Lugarno
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Peakhurst - Lugarno are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Peakhurst-Lugarno's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 21,081. This figure represents a growth of 861 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 20,220. The increase is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 20,852 in June 2024 and validated new addresses totalling 234 since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,822 persons per square kilometer, placing Peakhurst-Lugarno in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Peakhurst-Lugarno has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.1%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 92.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For projections up to 2041, AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, Peakhurst-Lugarno is expected to grow by approximately 2,375 persons by 2041, representing a total increase of 10.2% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Peakhurst - Lugarno when compared nationally

Peakhurst-Lugarno has recorded approximately 86 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25434 homes were approved, with an additional 73 approved in FY26 as of now. On average, about two people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years. However, this figure has increased to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

The average expected construction cost value for new homes is $342,000. This year, $14.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, showing moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Peakhurst-Lugarno has slightly more development, 13.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, balancing buyer choice while supporting current property values. Recent construction comprises 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% medium and high-density housing. This shift towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

This is a notable change from the area's existing housing composition, currently at 71.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles. The location has approximately 371 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Looking ahead, Peakhurst-Lugarno is projected to grow by 2,146 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Peakhurst - Lugarno has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 34 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Henry Lawson Drive Stage 1B Upgrade, 824-834 Forest Road Affordable Housing, Mortdale Maintenance Centre Upgrade, and 2-6 Gover Street and 69 Trafalgar Street Social Housing (Peakhurst). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Peakhurst - Lugarno ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Peakhurst-Lugarno has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.1%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.2%. As of June 2025, 12,160 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.1% and workforce participation at 56.5%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance (12.7%), education & training, and professional & technical services.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.2% while labour force grew by 2.6%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Peakhurst-Lugarno's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Peakhurst-Lugarno's median income among taxpayers was $49,602 and average income stood at $65,780 in financial year 2022. This compares to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $55,857 (median) and $74,075 (average) as of September 2025. According to census data, household income ranks at the 72nd percentile ($2,091 weekly), while personal income sits at the 55th percentile. The largest segment comprises 28.2% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (5,944 residents). Economic strength is evident with 33.3% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. High housing costs consume 15.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Peakhurst - Lugarno is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Peakhurst-Lugarno as per the latest Census, 70.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 29.2% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan area's 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Peakhurst-Lugarno stood at 39.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.4% and rented ones at 21.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,466. Median weekly rent in Peakhurst-Lugarno was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $440. Nationally, Peakhurst-Lugarno's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national average of $375.

Peakhurst - Lugarno features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 77.8% of all households, including 41.4% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

The educational profile of Peakhurst - Lugarno exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Peakhurst-Lugarno show that 31.2% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (20.7%). Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.7% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Peakhurst-Lugarno, educating approximately 2,376 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1054), with a balanced provision of five primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 143 active transport stops operating within Peakhurst-Lugarno. These stops are served by a mix of buses along 27 individual routes, collectively providing 2,173 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 145 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 310 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per stop.

Peakhurst - Lugarno's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows Peakhurst - Lugarno residents have relatively positive health outcomes.

The prevalence of common health conditions among the general population is low but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Approximately 52% of the total population (~11,046 people) has private health cover, slightly above the average SA2 area rate. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.8% and 6.1% of residents respectively. About 72.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 77.2% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over, at 21.6% (4,561 people), than Greater Sydney's 19.1%.

Peakhurst - Lugarno was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Peakhurst-Lugarno has higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 29.0% of its population born overseas and 35.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Peakhurst-Lugarno, comprising 65.8%, compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (18.8%), English (18.4%), and Other (11.7%).

Notably, Greek (6.8%) and Macedonian (3.1%) groups are overrepresented in Peakhurst-Lugarno compared to regional averages of 5.6% and 2.3%, respectively. Lebanese representation is also higher at 3.8%.

Peakhurst - Lugarno hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Peakhurst - Lugarno is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's 38 years. The 75-84 age group constitutes 7.6%, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort comprises 10.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group grew from 12.3% to 13.1%, but the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 13.4% to 12.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 51%, reaching 2,429 people from 1,604. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 85% of total population growth, reflecting Peakhurst - Lugarno's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.