Peakhurst - Lugarno

Population growth drivers in Peakhurst - Lugarno are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Peakhurst-Lugarno's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 21,216 as of May 2026. This figure shows a rise of 996 individuals, representing a 4.9% increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 20,220. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 21,068 in June 2025 and an additional 237 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,840 persons per square kilometer, placing Peakhurst-Lugarno in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Peakhurst-Lugarno has exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 90.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate a growth of approximately 2,260 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 9.9% in total over the 16-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Peakhurst - Lugarno when compared nationally

Peakhurst-Lugarno recorded approximately 86 residential properties approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25434 homes were approved, with an additional 127 approvals in FY26 so far. On average, about two people moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years. However, this figure increased to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $342,000. Commercial development approvals totalled $14.9 million in FY26, demonstrating moderate commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Peakhurst-Lugarno has seen slightly more development, with 12.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This balances buyer choice while supporting current property values. Recent construction comprises 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% medium to high-density housing.

This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 71.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 371 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. By 2041, Peakhurst-Lugarno is projected to grow by 2,111 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth.

Peakhurst - Lugarno has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly impact local performance. AreaSearch identified 34 projects likely affecting the area. Notable ones are Henry Lawson Drive Stage 1B Upgrade, 824-834 Forest Road Affordable Housing, 2-6 Gover Street and 69 Trafalgar Street Social Housing (Peakhurst), Mortdale Local Centre Development Control Plan. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Peakhurst - Lugarno well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Peakhurst-Lugarno has a well-educated workforce with professional services strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 3.0% and there was an estimated employment growth of 5.3% in the past year. As of December 2025, 12,183 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is 71.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 48.9% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented at 12.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.3% while labour force grew by 5.2%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Peakhurst-Lugarno's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Peakhurst-Lugarno SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $54,868 and an average income of $69,357 in the financial year 2023, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data. These figures are slightly higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 during the same period. By March 2026, adjusting for a Wage Price Index growth of 10.32%, estimated incomes would be approximately $60,530 (median) and $76,515 (average). Census data indicates that household income ranks at the 71st percentile ($2,091 weekly), with personal income at the 55th percentile. The largest income segment comprises 28.2% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (5,982 residents). This is comparable to the metropolitan region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. Economic strength is evident with 33.3% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 15.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Peakhurst - Lugarno is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Peakhurst-Lugarno's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consists of 70.8% houses and 29.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Peakhurst-Lugarno stands at 39.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.4% and rented ones at 21.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Peakhurst-Lugarno is $450, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments are significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Peakhurst - Lugarno features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.8% of all households, including 41.4% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Peakhurst - Lugarno exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Peakhurst-Lugarno trail show that 31.2% of residents aged 15 and above have university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are the most common (21.9%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (20.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.7% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 164 active transport stops operating within Peakhurst-Lugarno as of 2021 Census data. These stops consist of a mix of buses serviced by 27 individual routes, collectively providing 2,099 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 144 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward using cars as the dominant mode at 85%, while 9% use trains. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, above the regional average. Notably, 48.9% of residents work from home, potentially reflecting COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 299 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

The level of general health in Peakhurst - Lugarno is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Peakhurst-Lugarno demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low among the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (~11,435 people), leading the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (7.8%) and asthma (6.1%), while 72.1% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 21.9% of residents aged 65 and over (4,646 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%, but ranks lower nationally than the broader population.

Peakhurst - Lugarno was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Peakhurst-Lugarno was found to be more culturally diverse than most local areas, with 29.0% of its population born overseas and 35.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Peakhurst-Lugarno is Christianity, accounting for 65.8% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are Australian (18.8%), English (18.4%), and Other (11.7%).

Notably, Greek (6.8%) and Macedonian (3.1%) populations are higher than regional averages of 1.9% and 0.4%, respectively, while Lebanese population is also relatively high at 3.8%.

Peakhurst - Lugarno's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Peakhurst - Lugarno is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group comprises 7.9% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 10.5%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has increased from 7.3% to 7.9%, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 12.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Peakhurst - Lugarno. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 45%, reaching 2,441 people from 1,678. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 81% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.