Peakhurst - Lugarno
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Peakhurst - Lugarno are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Peakhurst-Lugarno's population is approximately 20,994 as of August 2025. This represents an increase of 774 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 20,220. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,852 in June 2024 and an additional 203 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of approximately 2,810 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Peakhurst-Lugarno has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.1%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 92.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on latest population numbers, Peakhurst-Lugarno is expected to grow by approximately 2,375 persons to 2041, with an increase of about 10.6% in total over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Peakhurst - Lugarno when compared nationally

Peakhurst - Lugarno recorded approximately 86 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25434 homes were approved, with a further 67 approved in FY26 as of now. On average, around two people moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years. However, recent data shows this has increased to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost value of $539,000. This year alone, $14.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Peakhurst - Lugarno has slightly more development activity, 13.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This balance supports buyer choice while maintaining current property values. Recent construction comprises 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% medium and high-density housing, marking a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 71.0% houses.

The location has approximately 371 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. By 2041, Peakhurst - Lugarno is projected to grow by 2,233 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Peakhurst - Lugarno has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The impact of local infrastructure changes on an area's performance is significant. AreaSearch has identified a total of 34 projects that are likely to influence the area. Notable projects include Henry Lawson Drive Stage 1B Upgrade, 824-834 Forest Road Affordable Housing initiative, Mortdale Maintenance Centre Upgrade, and the social housing developments at 2-6 Gover Street and 69 Trafalgar Street in Peakhurst. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Peakhurst - Lugarno ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Peakhurst-Lugarno has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate as of June 2025 was 3.1%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.2%. In June 2025, 12,160 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate 1.1% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 56.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%.

Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 12.7% of Peakhurst-Lugarno's workforce compared to 14.1% in Greater Sydney. The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 2.2%, while labour force increased by 2.6%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest growth of 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years in Peakhurst-Lugarno, based on industry-specific projections applied to its employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Peakhurst-Lugarno's median income among taxpayers was $49,602 and average income stood at $65,780 in financial year 2022. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $55,857 and average income around $74,075 based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%. Household income ranks at the 72nd percentile ($2,091 weekly), with personal income at the 55th percentile. The largest segment comprises 28.2% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (5,920 residents). High housing costs consume 15.8% of income, but disposable income ranks at the 72nd percentile. Peakhurst-Lugarno's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Peakhurst - Lugarno is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Peakhurst-Lugarno, as per the latest Census, consisted of 70.8% houses and 29.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metropolitan areas which had 52.1% houses and 47.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Peakhurst-Lugarno stood at 39.6%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (39.4%) or rented (21.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than the Sydney metro average of $2,466. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to Sydney's $440. Nationally, Peakhurst-Lugarno's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Peakhurst - Lugarno features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 77.8% of all households, including 41.4% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

The educational profile of Peakhurst - Lugarno exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Peakhurst-Lugarno, as of the latest data, 31.2% of residents aged 15 years and above possess university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.7% of residents aged 15 years and above, with advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 20.7%. Current enrollment in formal education stands at 29.8%, including primary (9.7%), secondary (8.5%), and tertiary (6.0%) levels.

Six schools operate within Peakhurst-Lugarno, educating approximately 2,376 students as of the latest count. The area's socio-educational conditions are above average, with an ICSEA value of 1054. Educational provision is balanced, with five primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Peakhurst-Lugarno shows that there are currently 143 active transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 27 individual routes providing service to the area. Together, these routes facilitate approximately 2,173 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of public transport in this region is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 145 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are around 310 trips per day across all routes, which translates to about 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Peakhurst - Lugarno's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Peakhurst-Lugarno residents.

Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average in older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover rate is approximately 52%, slightly above the average SA2 area's rate. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.8% of residents) and asthma (6.1%). About 72.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 77.2% in Greater Sydney. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 21.6% of the population (4,543 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 19.1%.

Peakhurst - Lugarno was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Peakhurst-Lugarno has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 29.0% of its residents born overseas and 35.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Peakhurst-Lugarno, making up 65.8% of the population compared to 49.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (18.8%), English (18.4%), and Other (11.7%).

Notably, Greek (6.8%) and Macedonian (3.1%) populations are higher than regional averages of 5.6% and 2.3%, respectively. Additionally, the Lebanese population is at 3.8%, slightly higher than the regional average of 3.2%.

Peakhurst - Lugarno hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Peakhurst - Lugarno is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's 38 years. The 75-84 age group comprises 7.6% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 10.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 13.1%, and the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.4% to 12.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Peakhurst - Lugarno. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 52%, adding 831 people and reaching a total of 2,429 from the current 1,597. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 83% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.