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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Padstow is $1.66m, with units at $1.05m. House values have moved 5.1% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Padstow has an estimated 17,841 residents, up from 17,200 at the 2021 Census — a change of 641 people, or 3.7%. That puts 2,741 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the resident population of Padstow stands at approximately 17,841 as of Aug 2026. This represents an expansion of 641 people (3.7%) following the 2021 Census tally of 17,200 people. This demographic trajectory is derived from the ABS estimated resident population figure of 17,693 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 92 validated new addresses identified following the Census. Consequently, local population density reaches 2,740 persons per square kilometer, positioning Padstow in the upper quartile across nationwide regions evaluated by AreaSearch. Furthermore, the local post-census gain of 3.7% trails the wider SA3 area (5.7%) by 2.0 percentage points, showing solid underlying momentum.
Overseas migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 78.4% of total recent population additions. SA2 projections published by ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024 (using 2022 as their starting baseline) are utilised by AreaSearch, with NSW State Government SA2 figures released in 2022 (anchored to 2021) applied where coverage is absent. Cohort-specific growth rates derived from these series are extended across all locations for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, future population expansion is projected to track marginally below the national median for statistical divisions. Based on current annual ERP metrics, Padstow is projected to add 837 persons by 2041, representing a cumulative rise of 3.9% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
616 new dwellings have been approved in Padstow over the past five years, an average of 123 a year. That places the area in the 66th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 7 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 122 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 25% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential construction approvals in Padstow have maintained an annual average of roughly 123 new dwellings, delivering 616 homes across the preceding 5 financial years. With an intake averaging only 0.5 new residents per dwelling built each year between FY-22 and FY-26, incoming residential stock is matching or outpacing demand, expanding buyer choice and accommodating prospective population growth beyond current estimates. The expected construction cost for these new homes averages $445,000, aligning with regional standards. In addition, commercial approvals reached $1.5 million in the current financial year, underlining the suburb's primarily residential character.
Per capita building activity in Padstow surpasses Greater Sydney by 30.0% over the 5 year period, maintaining healthy stock availability while underpinning ongoing demand. Recent dwelling approvals comprise 25.0% detached dwellings alongside 75.0% townhouses or apartments. This pivot toward higher-density stock offers more accessible price brackets for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. It marks a clear departure from the existing structural profile of 69.0% houses, reflecting land supply constraints, shifting lifestyle preferences, and the demand for diversified, affordable housing. With approximately 139 people per approval, Padstow maintains low-density characteristics. Forecasts indicate that Padstow will add 688 residents by 2041 according to the latest quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. The prevailing pace of residential construction is expected to satisfy demand without difficulty, supporting prospective purchasers and providing sufficient capacity to accommodate growth above current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Padstow
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Padstow, worth an estimated $136 million. A further 85 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $17.9 billion. 25 are already under construction and 41 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local economic and social development is heavily shaped by planning frameworks and capital investments. AreaSearch has identified 16 key projects with the potential to influence the area, notably the Evergreen Industrial project, the UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project, the 19-21 Banks Street Co-living Development, and the Padstow Parade Mixed Use Development.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project
Conversion and expansion of the existing UMA Centre in Padstow into a modern indoor sports and community complex featuring multi-use indoor courts (soccer, basketball, volleyball), boxing and martial arts facilities, parking, accessible amenities, change rooms, storage and a flexible auditorium. Works have progressed through demolition and bulk excavation, with construction advancing from the basement slab stage.
Evergreen Industrial
Evergreen Industrial comprises the development of 38 multi-level industrial warehouse units with integrated mezzanine office spaces in the established Padstow industrial precinct. The project delivers strategic light industrial and logistics accommodation with proximity to the M5 Motorway corridor, with construction underway by Belcorp Constructions.
Mixed use development including affordable housing, Padstow
Eight storey mixed use development on a 2992 sqm corner site in the Padstow town centre, delivering 113 new homes comprising 64 social and 49 affordable homes, ground floor commercial and retail space, and basement parking for 73 vehicles. State Significant Development approval was granted by the NSW Minister on 25 June 2025, and construction is now underway. The project is being delivered by Traders in Purple in partnership with Homes NSW under the Building Homes for NSW program, co-funded by the Commonwealth Housing Australia Future Fund.The site sits about 250 m from Padstow Station and 100 m from Padstow Park Public School.
19-21 Banks Street Co-living Development
Development application for demolition of existing structures, consolidation of lots, and construction of a 4-storey co-living building with 52 rooms (including a manager residence). Public exhibition on the NSW Planning Portal ran 11/06/2025 to 01/07/2025. The consent authority is Canterbury-Bankstown Council.
Rail Power Supply Upgrade - Revesby Station
Transport for NSW is delivering power supply upgrades at and around Revesby Station as part of the Sydney rail network enhancement program. Works include upgrades to substations, AC feeder cables, overhead wiring, cable routes and associated electrical infrastructure to support increased rail capacity and future network operations. Construction activity continued through 2025 with staged cable installation and substation works.
4 Doyle Road Residential Development
3-storey low-rise residential development with 31 apartments and 48 car spaces. Modern apartment complex featuring contemporary architecture, landscaped courtyards and proximity to transport links. Designed for first-home buyers and young families.
17-21 Pennsylvania Road Residential Development - Riverwood
A residential development at 17-21 Pennsylvania Road, Riverwood, delivering modern apartments to address housing demand in the Riverwood precinct. The project features contemporary design, communal spaces, and sustainable elements to support local population growth.
29-35 Lochinvar Road Seniors Housing
Demolition of 4 dwellings and construction of a 2-storey seniors housing development containing 19 independent living units (11 x 1-bedroom and 8 x 2-bedroom), 9 car spaces, associated site works and landscaping, and consolidation of 4 lots into a single lot. Determined under Part 5 (HSEPP) with LAHC as proponent.
9,815 residents of Padstow are employed, from a labour force of 10,236. Unemployment sits at 4.1%, with participation at 69.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 14,866, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The employment landscape in Padstow is characterized by a highly educated population and a strong presence in the professional services sector. The current unemployment rate stands at 4.1%, which matches the rate observed in Greater Sydney, while estimated job growth over the previous year was 3.1%. As of March 2026, there were 9,815 residents employed, and the workforce participation rate was comparable to the 68.9% recorded in Greater Sydney. Census data indicates that 47.4% of residents worked from home, although this figure should be viewed with caution due to the lingering effects of Covid-19 lockdown measures.
Local workforce participation is heavily weighted toward health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Concentration is particularly pronounced in transport, postal & warehousing, where representation reaches 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical occupations are under-represented, engaging 8.6% of local workers relative to 11.5% throughout Greater Sydney. Given the ratio of Census working population to resident workers, local employment capacity remains comparatively limited. AreaSearch evaluation of ABS and SALM figures shows a 3.1% rise in employment alongside a 3.5% expansion in the labour force over the 12-month period, lifting local unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. Across Greater Sydney over the same timeframe, employment increased by 1.9%, the labour force grew by 1.9%, and unemployment edged down slightly. Medium-to-long term demand trends can be assessed through national forecasts published by Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26. While overall Australian employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, sector-level variations apply. Weighting these sectoral trajectories against Padstow's employment base suggests prospective local job growth of 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on simple structural extrapolation without local demographic adjustments.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Padstow is $1,899 a week (about $99,000 a year), with median personal income at $764 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $56,646 a year against an average of $69,002. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, taxable incomes in the Padstow SA2 sit slightly above national benchmarks. Median taxpayer income is $56,646 while the average reaches $69,002, compared with Greater Sydney figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of approximately $62,492 (median) and $76,123 (average) as of March 2026. In the 2021 Census, local household income achieved the 59th percentile ($1,899 weekly) while individual earnings sat at the 41st percentile. The single largest income bracket comprises 30.7% of workers earning between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (5,477 residents), closely aligning with the broader regional share of 30.9%.
Residential housing costs account for 17.7% of income, while disposable income remains at the 57th percentile and the local SEIFA income measure occupies the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Padstow had 5,909 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 69% detached houses and 7% apartments. 35% are owned with a mortgage, 30% rented and 35% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $470 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,427 a month, a total housing cost higher than 78% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 24.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 29.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, the local housing stock consisted of 69.2% houses and 30.8% other dwellings including apartments and semi-detached properties, whereas Sydney metro recorded 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Outright home ownership stood at 35.2%, substantially exceeding metropolitan averages, with mortgaged properties making up 35.0% and rental accommodation accounting for 29.9%. Typical monthly mortgage commitments matched Sydney metro at $2,427, and median weekly rent also aligned with the metropolitan benchmark at $470. Relative to national figures, Padstow's mortgage costs exceed the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents sit well above the nationwide level of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Padstow counted 5,909 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.8 people each. 39% are couples with children, more than in 75% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 22% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units account for 75.6% of local households, consisting of 38.6% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family living arrangements represent 24.4% of dwellings, including lone person households at 22.0% and group households at 2.5%. The average household size sits at 2.8 people, higher than the Greater Sydney median of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
29.3% of adults in Padstow hold a university qualification, including 20.4% with a bachelor degree and 6.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 19.9% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 1,172 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,046 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment in Padstow remains below broader metropolitan levels, with 29.3% of residents aged 15+ holding a higher education degree compared to 38.0% across Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees constitute the largest share at 20.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 6.8% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. Vocational qualifications are well represented, with 31.1% of residents aged 15+ holding technical credentials, comprising advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (19.9%). Formal study engagement is substantial across the area, with 28.9% of the local population actively enrolled in education. This proportion comprises 8.9% attending primary schools, 7.9% in secondary institutions, and 6.0% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Padstow reaches 126 stops on 29 routes, timetabled for about 3,900 services a week. The typical home sits about 170 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Padstow is served by an integrated public transport network comprising 126 active bus and train stops. These nodes accommodate 29 distinct routes that generate 3,896 passenger departures every week. Physical connectivity is strong, with the typical resident residing 172 meters from their closest transit facility. As an established residential district, outgoing commuting patterns prevail; private vehicles represent 81% of journey-to-work travel, while trains facilitate 12%. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. Working from home was recorded at 47.4% in the 2021 Census under prevailing COVID-19 settings. Network operations average 556 daily trips across all routes, translating to roughly 30 weekly departures per transport stop.
The accompanying mapping displays the 100 closest stops relative to the area centroid.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.6% of residents in Padstow report no long-term health condition. 6.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 53.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality indicators and chronic illness rates show favorable health outcomes in Padstow, with low condition prevalence across younger and older demographics alike. Private health insurance coverage encompasses approximately 53% of the resident population (~9,509 people), marginally outpacing the typical SA2 average, though trailing the 59.9% recorded across Greater Sydney. Arthritis and asthma represent the most frequently reported conditions, affecting 7.6 and 6.0% of local residents, while 72.6% reported having no diagnosed health conditions compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health metrics among residents under 65 are particularly favorable.
The area includes 3,525 people aged 65 and over (19.8% of the population), above the 15.5% share in Greater Sydney. Senior health outcomes remain above average, aligning closely with wider national rankings.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
37.4% of Padstow residents were born overseas and 43.3% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 83% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (16.5%) and English (16.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity is pronounced across Padstow, where 37.4% of residents were born overseas and 43.3% speak a non-English language at home. Christianity is the predominant religious affiliation, practiced by 58.0% of the community. Islam accounts for 8.0% of residents, demonstrating notable concentration compared to the Greater Sydney figure of 6.8%. Regarding parental lineage, the leading ancestry groups in Padstow are Australian (16.5%), English (16.2%), and Other (14.3%). Distinct ethnic concentrations are evident across specific backgrounds: Lebanese ancestry represents 5.0% locally (compared to 2.6% regionally), Macedonian accounts for 2.0% (versus 0.4%), and Greek stands at 4.7% (compared to 1.9%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Padstow is 41. 25.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Padstow exhibits a more mature age distribution than Greater Sydney. As of August 2026, AreaSearch estimates indicate that 19.8% of the population comprises residents aged 65+, compared to 15.5% across Greater Sydney, while adults aged 25 - 44 represent 26.7% locally versus 31.4% regionally. The estimated median age is 41, matching the 2021 Census figure and exceeding the Greater Sydney Census benchmark of 37 by 4 years. The 45 - 64 age cohort has decreased from 26.7% at the Census to an estimated 24.4%. Projections to 2041 anticipate that the 65+ cohort will experience the highest growth, expanding by 1,366 residents (39%) to reach 4,891, whereas young to middle-aged adults, children, and young adults are forecast to decline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Padstow
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 92 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (17,200 at the 2021 Census → 17,841 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (119011358). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.