Condell Park

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Condell Park's population is estimated at around 14,540 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,474 people (11.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,066 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 13,696 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 163 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,737 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Condell Park's 11.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (7.6%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected in Condell Park, with the area expected to grow by 1,156 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 2.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park has seen approximately 56 residential properties approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 283 homes were granted approval, with an additional 25 approved so far in FY-26. On average, each dwelling accommodates about 2.4 new residents annually over these five years, reflecting strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value of new homes is approximately $388,000. In the current financial year, Condell Park has seen around $67.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park exhibits roughly 75% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally, suggesting more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. New development in Condell Park consists of approximately 37.0% standalone homes and 63.0% attached dwellings, indicating a shift towards denser development to provide accessible entry options appealing to downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. This trend reflects the decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring more diverse, affordable housing options.

With around 400 people per approval, Condell Park indicates a mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain approximately 312 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Condell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects that may impact the area. Key projects include Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion, Parks for People Program - Bankstown, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, and New Bankstown Hospital. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Condell Park lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Condell Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 8.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3%. As of September 2025, 5715 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation lags at 58.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A high 32.5% of residents work from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, with retail trade showing strong specialization at 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.6%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force grew by 4.2%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.7 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Condell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Condell Park's median income is $39,806 and average income is $49,901. This is lower than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $43,333 (median) and $54,322 (average), based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census reveals individual incomes at the 7th percentile ($565 weekly) and household incomes at the 43rd percentile. Income brackets indicate that 32.5% of residents (4,725 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, consistent with metropolitan trends showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condell Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 66.5% houses and 33.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condell Park was at 35.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.8% and rented ones at 28.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,300, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Condell Park was $500, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 83.9% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for 16.1%, with lone person households at 14.2% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 21.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 27.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 17.3%. Educational participation is high, with 36.0% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.9% in primary, 10.3% in secondary, and 6.3% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condell Park has 81 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 17 different routes that collectively facilitate 1,339 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 146 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 86%, while trains account for 6%. On average, each dwelling owns 1.6 vehicles, which exceeds the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 32.5% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 191 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Condell Park is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Condell Park shows superior health outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 47% (~6,795 people) have private health cover, which is significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%, and the national average of 55.7%.

Arthritis and diabetes are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 5.9% and 5.5% of residents respectively. Notably, 77.5% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 15.2% (2,210 people) of residents aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park has a population where 43.3% were born overseas, with 68.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Condell Park, making up 44.8% of its population. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney's average, comprising 34.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese (23.5%), Other (19.1%), and Australian (12.8%). Notably, Vietnamese (11.9%) and Macedonian (2.3%) are overrepresented in Condell Park compared to regional averages of 1.8% and 0.4%, respectively. Greek ancestry is also somewhat overrepresented at 4.2%.

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Condell Park's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population share of those aged 15-24 has increased from 14.7% to 15.6%, while the share of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 16.2% to 14.9%. By 2041, Condell Park's population is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 58%, adding 432 residents and reaching a total of 1,174. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 82% of the population growth, indicating a trend towards demographic aging. Conversely, populations in the 25-34 and 15-24 age groups are projected to decline.