Condell Park

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of the Condell Park statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 14,539 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,473 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,066 people in the area. The change was inferred from the resident population of 13,696 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 163 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,737 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Condell Park (SA2) saw an 11.3% growth since the 2021 census, exceeding the SA4 region's 7.5% and the state's growth rate. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected in the Condell Park (SA2) by 2041. The area is expected to grow by 1,159 persons over these years, reflecting a gain of 2.2% in total.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park recorded approximately 56 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 283 homes were approved, with an additional 25 approved so far in FY-26. On average, each dwelling accommodates about 2.4 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost value of new homes is approximately $388,000. This year has seen $67.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park exhibits about 75% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally, suggesting limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. New development comprises 37.0% standalone homes and 63.0% attached dwellings, reflecting a trend towards denser development to cater to diverse housing needs. The area's current population is around 400 people per approval, indicating a mature market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Condell Park is projected to gain 315 residents by 2041. At present development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Condell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified ten projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion, Parks for People Program - Bankstown, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, and New Bankstown Hospital. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Condell Park lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Condell Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 8.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3%.

As of September 2025, there are 5,714 residents employed, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Sydney's at 3.8%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation lags behind Greater Sydney at 44.4% compared to its 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.6% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, while labour force grew by 4.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Condell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest data for financial year 2023 shows Condell Park's median income is $39,806 and average income is $49,901. This is lower than Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $43,333 (median) and $54,322 (average), based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census reports Condell Park's individual income at the 7th percentile ($565 weekly) and household income at the 43rd percentile. Income brackets indicate that 32.5% of residents (4,725 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, consistent with broader metropolitan trends. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condell Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.5% houses and 33.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condell Park stood at 35.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.8% and rented ones at 28.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,300, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,240. Median weekly rent in Condell Park was recorded at $500, compared to Sydney metro's $425. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.9% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 14.2% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 21.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (17.3%). Educational participation is high, with 36.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.9% in primary, 10.3% in secondary, and 6.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.9% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condell Park has 81 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 17 different routes that together facilitate 1,339 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in Condell Park is rated excellent, with residents on average located 146 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 191 trips per day, which equates to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Condell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Condell Park's health outcomes show notable results, with younger cohorts having a low prevalence of common health conditions. The area has approximately 47% private health cover (~6,795 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 49.5% and the national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and diabetes are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 5.9% and 5.5% of residents respectively.

Around 77.5% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 75.8%. As of 2021, Condell Park has 14.7% of residents aged 65 and over (2,137 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.8%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park has a population where 43.3% were born overseas, and 68.8% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Condell Park with 44.8%. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney average, comprising 34.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese (23.5%), Other (19.1%), and Australian (12.8%). Notably, Vietnamese (11.9%) and Macedonian (2.3%) are also overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Condell Park's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 14.7% to 15.7%, while the population aged 5-14 has decreased from 16.2% to 15.0%. By 2041, Condell Park's population is forecasted to have significant demographic changes. The cohort aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 65%, adding 463 residents to reach a total of 1,176. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 80% of the population growth, indicating aging trends in the demographics. Conversely, populations aged 25-34 and 15-24 are projected to decline.