Condell Park

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Condell Park is around 14,540, reflecting an increase of 1,474 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 11.3% rise from the previous population count of 13,066. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 13,696 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 163 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,737 persons per square kilometer, placing Condell Park in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth exceeded both its SA4 region (7.6%) and state averages during this period. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in Condell Park.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Condell Park is expected to grow by approximately 1,131 persons to the year 2041, reflecting a gain of around 2.0% in total over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park recorded approximately 56 residential properties granted approval annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 284 homes were approved, with an additional 28 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, each dwelling accommodated about 2.4 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

The average construction value of new homes was approximately $388,000. This year, Condell Park has seen around $67.4 million in commercial approvals. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park exhibits roughly 75% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally. New development consists of approximately 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% attached dwellings, indicating a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 66.0% houses. Condell Park currently supports around 394 people per approval, suggesting a mature market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Condell Park is projected to gain approximately 287 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Condell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion, Parks for People Program - Bankstown, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, and New Bankstown Hospital. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Condell Park lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Condell Park has a skilled workforce with diverse industry representation. Its unemployment rate was 7.7% as of an unspecified recent period. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.4%.

As of December 2025, 5,773 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, indicating potential improvement areas. Workforce participation in Condell Park lags behind Greater Sydney at 58.4% compared to 70.2%. A high proportion of residents, 32.5%, work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade is particularly strong with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.6% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.4%, while labour force also grew by 5.4%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at an unspecified rate. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Condell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that median income in Condell Park is $39,806. Average income stands at $49,901. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $43,333 (median) and $54,322 (average). The 2021 Census reports individual income at the 7th percentile ($565 weekly), while household income is at the 43rd percentile. Income brackets indicate that 32.5% of residents fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket (4,725 people), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condell Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.5% houses and 33.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 66.5% houses and 33.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condell Park stood at 35.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.8% and rented ones at 28.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Condell Park was $500, higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,300 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher at $500 compared to the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.9% of all households, composed of 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 14.2% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 21.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 27.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 17.3%. Educational participation is high, with 36.0% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.9% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condell Park has 81 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 17 different routes that together facilitate 1,339 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 146 meters from the nearest stop. Being primarily residential, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 86%, while only 6% use trains. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

Notably, 32.5% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census; this figure may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions). The service frequency averages 191 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Condell Park is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Condell Park shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover stands at approximately 47% of the total population (~6,795 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

Arthritis and diabetes are the most common medical conditions, affecting 5.9% and 5.5% of residents respectively. 77.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 15.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,224 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, generally in line with national rankings for the general population.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park has one of the highest percentages of overseas-born residents in Australia, with 43.3%. A majority, 68.8%, speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 44.8% of Condell Park's population.

Islam is significantly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, with 34.6% versus 6.8%. The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese (23.5%, regional average: 2.6%), Other (19.1%), and Australian (12.8%, regional average: 17.8%). Notably, Vietnamese (11.9%, regional average: 1.8%), Macedonian (2.3%, regional average: 0.4%), and Greek (4.2%, regional average: 1.9%) groups are overrepresented in Condell Park compared to the region.

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Condell Park's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 14.7% to 15.6%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 16.2% to 14.9%. By 2041, Condell Park's population is projected to see significant demographic changes. The cohort aged 75-84 is expected to grow by 55%, adding 418 residents to reach a total of 1,175. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 82% of the population growth, reflecting the trend of demographic aging. Conversely, population declines are projected for the cohorts aged 25-34 and 15-24.