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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Padstow is $1.67m, with units at $1.06m. House values have moved 5.5% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Padstow has an estimated 14,645 residents, up from 14,017 at the 2021 Census — a change of 628 people, or 4.5%. Growth has averaged 0.7% a year over five years. That puts 2,737 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the population for the suburb of Padstow stands at approximately 14,645, according to AreaSearch assessments that combine ABS population revisions across the broader region with post-Census validated address counts. This represents an addition of 628 people (4.5%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 14,017 people. The estimate builds upon an Estimated Resident Population (ERP) figure of 14,518 from the ABS release in June 2025, alongside 84 validated new addresses recorded since the Census. With a density of 2,737 persons per square kilometer, the suburb of Padstow ranks in the upper quartile across nationally evaluated areas.
The local post-Census growth rate of 4.5% sits within 1.2 percentage points of the surrounding SA3 area (5.7%), highlighting resilient local expansion. Most of this population expansion was generated by overseas migration, which made up around 81.0% of recent population gains. Population projections for the suburb of Padstow utilize 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 models benchmarked to 2022, supplemented where necessary by NSW State Government 2022 releases based on 2021. For the period spanning 2032 to 2041, cohort growth patterns from these aggregations are applied locally. On these aggregated SA2 projections, long-term demographic trajectories place the suburb of Padstow in the lower quartile nationwide, with an anticipated increase of 629 persons through to 2041, corresponding to a cumulative gain of 3.4% over 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
537 new dwellings have been approved in Padstow over the past five years, an average of 107 a year. That places the area in the 73rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 7 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 108 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 24% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 121, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Over the past 5 financial years between FY-21 and FY-25, residential construction approvals in Padstow have averaged approximately 107 dwellings annually, generating 537 homes in total according to AreaSearch analysis of ABS figures. In FY-25 to date, 121 approvals have been logged. The local building pace has comfortably met or exceeded incoming demand, with only 0.9 people arriving annually per completed dwelling over the past 5 financial years, giving purchasers greater variety and creating headroom for demographic growth beyond baseline forecasts. New residential approvals carry an average expected construction cost of $483,000.
Meanwhile, commercial planning activity has remained subdued, registering $2.0 million in approved commercial works during this financial year. Residential development in Padstow has trended higher than the broader region, exceeding the Greater Sydney per-capita average by 40.0% over the 5 year period, thereby sustaining healthy buyer choice alongside established asset values. Recent approvals comprise 24.0% detached houses and 76.0% medium and high-density housing, opening accessible entry points for first-home buyers, downsizers, and property investors. This development mix represents a clear departure from the standing stock of 68.0% houses, reflecting constrained land availability for detached housing alongside heightened demand for varied and attainable housing formats. Across the area, a ratio of roughly 115 people per dwelling approval aligns with low density structural traits. According to the latest quarterly demographic projections from AreaSearch, Padstow is forecast to expand by 502 residents leading up to 2041. Sustained residential building activity at existing rates is expected to comfortably accommodate this additional population, reinforcing favorable market conditions for purchasers and potentially enabling growth past baseline projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Padstow
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Padstow, worth an estimated $136 million. A further 66 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $25.3 billion. 20 are already under construction and 27 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Public investment, planning schemes, and major construction projects serve as primary catalysts for local performance. AreaSearch has highlighted 16 infrastructure projects with the potential to influence the area. Prominent works include Evergreen Industrial, Uranus Road Culvert Upgrade, UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project, and 63-67 Marco Avenue Residential Development, with key details provided in the accompanying project inventory.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project
Conversion and expansion of the existing UMA Centre in Padstow into a modern indoor sports and community complex featuring multi-use indoor courts (soccer, basketball, volleyball), boxing and martial arts facilities, parking, accessible amenities, change rooms, storage and a flexible auditorium. Works have progressed through demolition and bulk excavation, with construction advancing from the basement slab stage.
Evergreen Industrial
Evergreen Industrial comprises the development of 38 multi-level industrial warehouse units with integrated mezzanine office spaces in the established Padstow industrial precinct. The project delivers strategic light industrial and logistics accommodation with proximity to the M5 Motorway corridor, with construction underway by Belcorp Constructions.
Mixed use development including affordable housing, Padstow
Eight storey mixed use development on a 2992 sqm corner site in the Padstow town centre, delivering 113 new homes comprising 64 social and 49 affordable homes, ground floor commercial and retail space, and basement parking for 73 vehicles. State Significant Development approval was granted by the NSW Minister on 25 June 2025, and construction is now underway. The project is being delivered by Traders in Purple in partnership with Homes NSW under the Building Homes for NSW program, co-funded by the Commonwealth Housing Australia Future Fund.The site sits about 250 m from Padstow Station and 100 m from Padstow Park Public School.
19-21 Banks Street Co-living Development
Development application for demolition of existing structures, consolidation of lots, and construction of a 4-storey co-living building with 52 rooms (including a manager residence). Public exhibition on the NSW Planning Portal ran 11/06/2025 to 01/07/2025. The consent authority is Canterbury-Bankstown Council.
Rail Power Supply Upgrade - Revesby Station
Transport for NSW is delivering power supply upgrades at and around Revesby Station as part of the Sydney rail network enhancement program. Works include upgrades to substations, AC feeder cables, overhead wiring, cable routes and associated electrical infrastructure to support increased rail capacity and future network operations. Construction activity continued through 2025 with staged cable installation and substation works.
4 Doyle Road Residential Development
3-storey low-rise residential development with 31 apartments and 48 car spaces. Modern apartment complex featuring contemporary architecture, landscaped courtyards and proximity to transport links. Designed for first-home buyers and young families.
17-21 Pennsylvania Road Residential Development - Riverwood
A residential development at 17-21 Pennsylvania Road, Riverwood, delivering modern apartments to address housing demand in the Riverwood precinct. The project features contemporary design, communal spaces, and sustainable elements to support local population growth.
Revesby Place Mixed Development
Mixed residential development at 2-16 Revesby Place featuring units, apartments, townhouses and villas. Comprehensive redevelopment creating diverse housing options with shared recreational facilities, landscaped common areas and sustainable design features.
7,986 residents of Padstow are employed, from a labour force of 8,370. Unemployment sits at 4.6%, with participation at 69.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour market in Padstow is characterized by a qualified workforce and prominent professional services participation, with an unemployment rate of 4.6% and a 3.5% gain in employment over the preceding year based on AreaSearch statistical aggregations. By March 2026, total employed residents numbered 7,986, while the jobless rate was 0.5% higher than the 4.1% recorded for Greater Sydney, alongside workforce participation closely matching the metropolitan mark of 68.9%. Census records indicate that 46.7% of working residents operated from home, though pandemic lockdown restrictions during that period should be noted.
Key employment sectors for local workers include health care & social assistance, retail trade, as well as education & training. Transport, postal & warehousing exhibits significant local concentration, capturing a workforce proportion 1.6 times that of the wider region. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for 8.5% of workers compared to the Greater Sydney benchmark of 11.5%. A comparison between local resident workers and local employment positions indicates that a substantial share of the workforce travels outside the suburb for employment. Data compiled from SALM and ABS statistical releases shows that in the year to March 2026, Padstow recorded a 3.5% increase in employment alongside a 3.9% rise in the labour force, leading to a 0.4 percentage point uptick in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 1.9% and labour force expansion of 1.9%, accompanied by a minor decline in joblessness. Looking ahead, Jobs and Skills Australia projections from Mar-26 provide industry employment trajectories across five and ten-year horizons. Nationally, total employment is projected to expand by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying by industry. Applied to the area's workforce profile via simple weighting extrapolation, these benchmarks suggest local employment could rise by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, independent of local demographic forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Padstow is $1,891 a week (about $98,000 a year), with median personal income at $743 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,220 a year against an average of $62,480. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest postcode ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Padstow reported a median income of $50,220 and an average income of $62,480, sitting below the national mark and the Greater Sydney figures of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average). Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, updated estimates reach approximately $55,403 for median earnings and $68,928 for average earnings as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed weekly household earnings at $1,891 (58th percentile nationally) and individual earnings at the 37th percentile.
The single largest income bracket encompasses 31.8% of residents (4,657 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the regional proportion of 30.9%. Residential costs account for 18.2% of income, with disposable earnings positioning the suburb at the 56th percentile and a SEIFA income score in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Padstow had 4,777 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 68% detached houses and 6% apartments. 34% are owned with a mortgage, 33% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $470 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,400 a month, a total housing cost higher than 79% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 24.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 29.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential dwellings in Padstow at the latest Census were split between 67.7% houses and 32.3% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes and apartments, differing from the Sydney metro composition of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Outright home ownership reached 33.0%, substantially exceeding metropolitan levels, while properties with a mortgage accounted for 33.7% and rented properties comprised 33.3%. The median monthly mortgage payment stood at $2,400, below the Sydney metro level of $2,427 but well above the national median of $1,863. Median weekly rent was $470, equaling the Sydney metro rate of $470 and exceeding the Australian benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Padstow counted 4,777 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.8 people each. 39% are couples with children, more than in 77% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The local household landscape is predominantly family-oriented, with family households comprising 76.2% of the total. This breakdown includes 39.0% couples with children, 22.6% couples without children, and 13.0% single parent families. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 23.8%, split between single-person households at 21.1% and group households at 2.6%. The typical household contains a median of 2.8 people, exceeding the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
30.1% of adults in Padstow hold a university qualification, including 21.1% with a bachelor degree and 6.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 18.4% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 968 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,032 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher educational attainment in Padstow sits below the regional average, with 30.1% of residents aged 15+ holding a tertiary qualification compared to 38.0% across Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees form the primary credential at 21.1%, accompanied by postgraduate qualifications at 6.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. Vocational and trade education is prominent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (18.4%). Formal educational engagement is strong, with 28.9% of the local population actively studying. Among these students, primary education accounts for 8.8%, secondary education represents 7.6%, and tertiary studies comprise 6.3%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Padstow reaches 112 stops on 31 routes, timetabled for about 4,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 160 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Padstow is serviced by 112 operational public transport stops across train and bus networks, accommodating 31 separate routes that generate 4,062 passenger trips each week. Transport connectivity is rated as excellent, with typical walking distances of 161 meters to the nearest transit stop. Given the area's residential profile, commuting outward is prevalent, with private vehicles accounting for 78% of journeys and train travel capturing 14%. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.3 vehicles per dwelling. Work-from-home arrangements were utilized by 46.7% of working residents at the 2021 Census, subject to prevailing COVID-19 settings.
Transit service frequency across the network averages 580 daily trips, corresponding to roughly 36 weekly departures per transit stop. The associated mapping illustrates the 100 closest transit stops relative to the area's central coordinates.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
73.8% of residents in Padstow report no long-term health condition. 6.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health measures in Padstow trend above average based on AreaSearch assessments of chronic illness and mortality indicators, with minor incidence of standard health issues observed across younger and older age brackets. Private health insurance coverage covers approximately 52% of the community (~7,565 people), lower than the Greater Sydney proportion of 59.9%. Arthritis and asthma represent the most widespread chronic conditions locally, diagnosed in 7.0 and 5.9% of the population, respectively, while 73.8% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes remain particularly positive among residents under 65.
The cohort aged 65 and over accounts for 18.2% of residents (2,665 people), tracking above the 15.5% share across Greater Sydney, with senior health indicators rating above average and matching national standing.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
41.1% of Padstow residents were born overseas and 48.4% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 86% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (15.2%) and Chinese (14.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Padstow displays marked cultural diversity, with 41.1% of residents born overseas and 48.4% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity represents the leading religious affiliation, observed by 54.0% of the population. Buddhism demonstrates the most pronounced local concentration, accounting for 6.2% of residents compared to 4.1% across Greater Sydney. Regarding parental country of birth, the top three ancestral backgrounds in Padstow are Other (15.7%), Australian (15.2%), and Chinese (14.3%), with the Chinese cohort well above the 8.4% regional average. Additional notable cultural representations include Lebanese at 5.3% (against 2.6% across the region), Vietnamese at 4.4% (compared to 1.8% regionally), and Macedonian at 1.9% (versus 0.4% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Padstow is 40. 25.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Age distributions in Padstow align closely with Greater Sydney benchmarks, with the largest divergence across the four broad cohorts measuring 3.7 percentage points. AreaSearch estimates the median age at 40 as at August 2026, identical to the 2021 Census and 3 years older than the Greater Sydney median of 37 at that time. The 45 - 64 age bracket has decreased from 26.9% to an estimated 24.5% since the Census. By 2041, seniors aged 65+ are expected to drive local population expansion, gaining 1,001 residents (38%) to reach 3,666, while young to middle-aged adults, along with children and young adults, are forecast to see contractions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Padstow
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 84 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (14,017 at the 2021 Census → 14,645 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL13131). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.