Alfords Point

Alfords Point has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Alfords Point is around 3,136 people. This figure reflects an increase of 5 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,131 people. The current population was inferred from AreaSearch's examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,220 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 0.2% growth since census positions it within 2.9 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.1%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to this methodology, projections indicate an overall population decline in the suburb by 73 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 110 people.

The level of residential development activity in Alfords Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Alfords Point averaged approximately 2 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling an estimated 12 homes. As of July 2026, no dwelling approvals have been recorded in FY-26. The population decline in recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

This financial year, $1.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting a residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Alfords Point shows significantly reduced construction activity, 76.0% below the regional average per person. Limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Nationally, this level is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving Alfords Point's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With stable or declining population forecasts, the area may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Alfords Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly impacted by changes in local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified three projects that are expected to influence this area. Notable projects include Illawong Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Heathcote Road Upgrade from Infantry Parade to The Avenue, Blaxland Riverside Estate, and Baxter Place. Below is a list of these projects, which are deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Alfords Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Alfords Point has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 1.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.4%. As of December 2025, 1,794 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.9%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Census responses indicated that 45.1% worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading employment industries included education & training, construction, and health care & social assistance. Education & training had a particularly strong share of 1.5 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance was under-represented at 10.4%.

Local employment opportunities appeared limited based on resident population vs working population counts. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.4%, labour force grew by 0.9%, and unemployment fell by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.2% and labour force expand by 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Alfords Point's employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Alfords Point suburb's median income among taxpayers was $59,979 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $79,227 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes as of March 2026 are approximately $66,169 and $87,403 respectively. According to Census 2021 income data, household incomes rank at the 96th percentile with a weekly figure of $2,969. Income distribution shows that 33.6% of Alfords Point's population (1,053 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, unlike regional trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Economic strength is evident with 50.3% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Alfords Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Alfords Point, as per the latest Census, was 99.1% houses and 0.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfords Point stood at 50.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.6% and rented ones at 3.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,595, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Alfords Point was $768, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Alfords Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Alfords Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 91.5% of all households, including 55.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 8.5%, with lone person households at 7.4% and group households comprising 0.6% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Alfords Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Alfords Point's educational qualifications trail Greater Sydney's benchmarks, with 28.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding university degrees compared to the region's 38.0%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.6% while certificates make up 23.7%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfords Point has 16 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 11 different routes that together facilitate 785 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 192 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Alfords Point being primarily residential. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation, used by 94% of residents. On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling in the area, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 45.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 112 trips per day, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Alfords Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Alfords Point's health outcomes show exceptional results based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 58% of the total population (around 1,825 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.9 and 5.7% of residents respectively. 74.3% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.1% (661 people), compared to 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Alfords Point was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfords Point, surveyed in August 2016, showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 23.0% of its population born overseas and 27.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 73.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (22.0%), English (18.5%), and Other (10.3%), which is lower than the regional average of 16.0%.

Notably, Greek (7.6%) and Lebanese (6.2%) populations were higher than the regional averages of 1.9% and 2.6%, respectively. Macedonian ancestry also showed a notable difference at 3.4%, compared to the region's 0.4%.

Alfords Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Alfords Point is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 65-74 years make up 13.1% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years comprise 9.1%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of individuals aged 75-84 years has grown from 3.5% to 6.3%, and the 65-74 age group has increased from 11.6% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 18.8% to 14.8%, and the 25-34 age group has dropped from 10.6% to 9.1%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75-84 age cohort is expected to increase by 89 people (45%), growing from 197 to 287 individuals. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 years and above are projected to account for 77% of total population growth, reflecting Alfords Point's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.