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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Alfords Point is $2.19m. House values have moved 6.4% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Alfords Point has an estimated 3,136 residents. That puts 1,220 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Alfords Point has an estimated population of 3,136, determined through AreaSearch's evaluation of wider ABS updates alongside post-Census validated addresses. Compared to the 3,131 residents recorded in the 2021 Census, this indicates an addition of 5 people (0.2%). This figure is derived from the resident count of 3,136 modeled by AreaSearch using address validation following the Census date and the ABS ERP release from June 2025. Across the suburb of Alfords Point, population density stands at 1,220 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical benchmark across national locations evaluated by AreaSearch.
In recent times, population expansion was predominantly fueled by overseas arrivals, accounting for roughly 68.0% of overall demographic increases. Projections for the suburb of Alfords Point incorporate ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 modeling published in 2024 (using 2022 as a base year), supplemented by NSW State Government SA2 forecasts from 2022 (with a 2021 base year) where necessary, extending age-cohort growth rates across all locations between 2032 and 2041. Based on these projections, the suburb of Alfords Point is anticipated to undergo a net reduction of 88 persons by 2041. In contrast to this overall demographic contraction, certain older cohorts are set to expand, most notably the 75 to 84 bracket with an expected gain of 101 people. Additional insights are provided in the age section.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Statistical area ABS building approvals evaluated by AreaSearch indicate that Alfords Point averages roughly 2 approved dwellings each year, totaling approximately 11 residential approvals across the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, with none approved during FY-25 to date. Given the local contraction in resident numbers, this level of construction has generally satisfied incoming demand and maintained availability for prospective purchasers. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $1.4 million during the current financial year, underlining the suburb's predominantly residential character. Residential development volumes in Alfords Point remain 76.0% below the Greater Sydney per-capita benchmark.
This constrained delivery of new housing tends to reinforce pricing and buyer interest across existing dwellings. Activity is similarly subdued when measured against nationwide levels, signaling a mature market that may face physical or planning constraints. In addition, all newly approved residences have been detached single dwellings, maintaining the low-density, suburban environment that appeals to buyers seeking standalone properties. With demographic forecasts pointing to flat or diminishing headcount, Alfords Point is likely to see reduced housing pressure, offering favorable conditions for property buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Alfords Point
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Alfords Point, worth an estimated $188 million. A further 25 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $617 million. 8 are already under construction and 7 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, major planning endeavors, and capital projects exert a decisive influence on local market dynamics. AreaSearch has highlighted 3 notable developments positioned to affect the area, including the Illawong Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Heathcote Road Upgrade - Infantry Parade to The Avenue, Blaxland Riverside Estate, and Baxter Place, with further specifics detailed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Illawong Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Redevelopment and expansion of Illawong Village Shopping Centre including refurbishment of the existing centre, additional retail floor space, new specialty tenancies, upgraded public domain, improved parking and associated site works. The project received planning approval and has progressed into the delivery phase.
Heathcote Road Upgrade - Infantry Parade to The Avenue
Major road upgrade duplicating a 2.2km section of Heathcote Road to a four-lane divided road to improve safety and reduce traffic congestion. The project included the construction of five new bridges crossing Harris Creek, Williams Creek, and the T8 Airport railway line, alongside upgraded intersections with traffic lights at Macarthur Drive and The Avenue, and active transport shared pathways.
Construction of a three (3) storey mixed use development, comprising two (2) commercial tenancies
A three-storey mixed-use development including two commercial tenancies on the ground floor and eight one-bedroom dwellings above, involving demolition of existing structures and subdivision of the site.
Weston Street Affordable Housing
Demolition of existing structures and construction of a 4-5 storey residential flat building comprising 42 affordable housing apartments over basement carparking. The project is delivered by Homes NSW to expand social and affordable housing stock in South West Sydney.
UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project
Conversion and expansion of the existing UMA Centre in Padstow into a modern indoor sports and community complex featuring multi-use indoor courts (soccer, basketball, volleyball), boxing and martial arts facilities, parking, accessible amenities, change rooms, storage and a flexible auditorium. Works have progressed through demolition and bulk excavation, with construction advancing from the basement slab stage.
Mixed use development including affordable housing, Padstow
Eight storey mixed use development on a 2992 sqm corner site in the Padstow town centre, delivering 113 new homes comprising 64 social and 49 affordable homes, ground floor commercial and retail space, and basement parking for 73 vehicles. State Significant Development approval was granted by the NSW Minister on 25 June 2025, and construction is now underway. The project is being delivered by Traders in Purple in partnership with Homes NSW under the Building Homes for NSW program, co-funded by the Commonwealth Housing Australia Future Fund.The site sits about 250 m from Padstow Station and 100 m from Padstow Park Public School.
Panania Library and Knowledge Centre
A new state-of-the-art multipurpose library and knowledge centre replacing the existing ageing library and seniors centre at the corner of Anderson Avenue and Tower Street, Panania. Designed by award-winning architects Lahznimmo, the ~1000sqm facility will include a 600sqm library with dedicated children's area, private study and lounging areas, a 130sqm hireable community room (70 people) with kitchenette, meeting rooms for up to 12 people, a new public plaza, enhanced green space, covered outdoor areas, and public toilets.The existing car park will be retained. Concept design consultation concluded in August 2025 with 123 submissions received; council is now finalising the design ahead of a development application. Funded by the NSW Government's Western Sydney Infrastructure Grants Program in association with the City of Canterbury Bankstown.
Creating a Walking City - Canterbury-Bankstown
Council-led active transport program delivering approximately 23.5 km of new priority footpaths across 58 locations throughout Canterbury-Bankstown. Works improve pedestrian safety, accessibility and connections to schools, parks, transport hubs and community facilities as part of the NSW Western Sydney Infrastructure Grants Program.
1,788 residents of Alfords Point are employed, from a labour force of 1,815. Unemployment sits at 1.5%, with participation at 69.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,467, about 79% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Alfords Point features a highly skilled labor pool where professional sectors hold a prominent share, and the unemployment figure stands at 1.5 percent while projected job creation for the previous year reaches 0.7 percent according to AreaSearch compiled statistics. By March 2026, 1,788 individuals are employed and the local joblessness rate sits at 2.6 percent which is lower than the Greater Sydney benchmark of 4.1 percent and the workforce engagement level closely mirrors the Greater Sydney figure of 68.9 percent. Census survey results indicate that 45.1 percent of locals perform their jobs from home, although the lingering effects of Covid-19 lockdown periods must be taken into account.
The primary employment sectors for local workers are education & training, construction, and health care & social assistance. Local specialization is particularly pronounced in education & training, where the employment concentration is 1.5 times the regional norm. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for 10.4% of resident jobs compared with 14.1% across the wider region. Comparing local resident workers against the internal Census working population suggests that the area provides relatively few jobs within its own boundaries. According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM statistical data, the past 12 months recorded a 0.7% lift in employment and a 0.4% rise in the total labor force, resulting in a 0.3 percentage point reduction in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe, Greater Sydney registered 1.9% job growth, a 1.9% increase in the labor pool, and a slight dip in joblessness. National employment projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 provide further context on potential occupational demand. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though trajectories vary widely across individual industries. Weighting these national sector projections against the local industry composition indicates prospective local employment growth of 6.5% across five years and 13.2% across ten years (this illustrative extrapolation applies industry weightings without incorporating local population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Alfords Point is $2,969 a week (about $154,000 a year), with median personal income at $956 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $59,979 a year against an average of $79,227. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxation data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicates that Alfords Point recorded a median taxpayer income of $59,979 alongside an average of $79,227. While notably high on a national scale, these figures sit just below the Greater Sydney median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Factoring in subsequent Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% brings estimated March 2026 figures to $66,169 (median) and $87,403 (average). Census data from 2021 places local household earnings in the 96th percentile nationally at $2,969 per week. Furthermore, 33.6% of residents (1,053 individuals) earn $4000+ weekly, differing from the broader region where the $1,500 - 2,999 tier is largest at 30.9%.
High local affluence is demonstrated by the 50.3% of earners receiving over $3,000 weekly, providing strong support for premium commercial and retail services. Households retain 89.8% of their earnings after servicing shelter costs, placing the area in the 9th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Alfords Point had 941 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 0% apartments. 46% are owned with a mortgage, 4% rented and 51% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $768 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,595 a month. Rent absorbs 25.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, separate houses made up 99.1% of dwellings in Alfords Point, while semi-detached dwellings, apartments, and other configurations accounted for 0.9%, compared with 55.9% standalone houses and 44.1% higher-density dwellings across metropolitan Sydney. Outright home ownership reached 50.5%, substantially outpacing the metropolitan rate, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (45.6%) or rented (3.9%). Typical monthly mortgage commitments stood at $2,595, compared with the Sydney metropolitan figure of $2,427 and the national benchmark of $1,863. Median weekly rents were recorded at $768, noticeably higher than the regional median of $470 and the Australian average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Alfords Point counted 941 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.3 people each. 55% are couples with children, more than in 97% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 7% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 91.5% of households, consisting of couples with children (55.4%), childless couples (28.1%), and single parent arrangements (7.8%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 8.5%, made up of single-person households at 7.4% and group households at 0.6%. The typical household size stands at 3.3 individuals, exceeding the Greater Sydney benchmark of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
28.3% of adults in Alfords Point hold a university qualification, including 20.3% with a bachelor degree and 5.6% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 23.7% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 177 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,061 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in Alfords Point sits below the regional standard, with 28.3% of individuals aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% across Greater Sydney. Bachelor qualifications represent 20.3% of the resident population, followed by postgraduate degrees at 5.6% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Meanwhile, vocational qualifications are widely held, with 36.3% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, including 12.6% with advanced diplomas and 23.7% with certificates. Student participation is substantial across the community, with 27.9% of the population actively enrolled in formal study. This comprises 8.9% attending primary schools, 8.6% in secondary education, and 6.0% undertaking tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Alfords Point reaches 16 stops on 11 routes, timetabled for about 800 services a week. The typical home sits about 190 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.3 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Commuters in Alfords Point are served by 16 active public bus stops distributed across 11 transit routes, delivering a combined total of 802 weekly scheduled passenger trips. Transit access is rated as excellent, with residents located an average distance of 192 meters from the nearest stopping point. Given the residential orientation of the suburb, outbound travel is standard, and private motor vehicles serve as the principal travel mode at 94%. Households maintain an average of 2.3 vehicles, above the regional standard, while 45.1% of workers worked from home at the 2021 Census under prevailing pandemic circumstances.
Public transport operations provide an average frequency of 114 daily trips across the combined network, generating roughly 50 weekly departures at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
74.3% of residents in Alfords Point report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 94% of areas nationally. 3.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 58.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Mortality figures and chronic illness metrics assessed by AreaSearch highlight exceptional health outcomes across Alfords Point, marked by minimal incidence of prevalent health disorders across all age groups. In addition, private health insurance coverage is extensive, held by roughly 58% of the community (~1,825 people). Arthritis and asthma are the most widely reported medical conditions, affecting 6.9% and 5.7% of residents, respectively, while 74.3% of the population reported no chronic conditions, closely tracking the Greater Sydney average of 74.6%. The working-age cohort demonstrates strong vitality with minimal chronic health issues.
Seniors aged 65 and over represent 21.0% of residents (658 individuals), compared to 15.5% across Greater Sydney, with older residents recording favorable health metrics that align well with national benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Alfords Point is largely Australian-born, at 77.0% of residents, with 27.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (22.0%) and English (18.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Alfords Point displays notable cultural diversity compared with most local markets, with 23.0% of the community born overseas and 27.9% using a language other than English at home. Christianity forms the dominant faith, practiced by 73.5% of the population, which is considerably higher than the 49.2% recorded across Greater Sydney. Regarding parental lineage, the primary ancestries reported are Australian (22.0%), English (18.5%), and Other (10.3%, which sits below the regional average of 16.0%). Several specific ethnic groups show elevated local representation relative to the broader region, notably Greek backgrounds at 7.6% (versus 1.9% regionally), Lebanese at 6.2% (versus 2.6%), and Macedonian at 3.4% (versus 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Alfords Point is 43. 24.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Alfords Point has a mature age profile, with older and retired residents (65+) accounting for 21.0% of the population as of August 2026 estimates, compared to 15.5% across Greater Sydney. Meanwhile, young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) represent 19.5%, below the regional benchmark of 31.4%. The estimated median age of 43 is unchanged from the 2021 Census, sitting 6 years above the Greater Sydney median of 37 and higher than the national figure of 38 recorded at that Census. The retiree and elderly cohort has seen the most pronounced shift since the Census, expanding from 16.2% to an estimated 21.0%.
Looking toward 2041, seniors are projected to show the largest increase, adding 86 residents (13%) to reach 745, while numbers of children, young adults, and young to middle aged adults are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Alfords Point
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,131 at the 2021 Census → 3,136 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL10031). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.