Alfords Point

Alfords Point has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Alfords Point is around 3,139, reflecting an increase of 8 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,131. This increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,137 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,221 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Alfords Point's growth rate of 0.3% since the census places it within 2.8 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.1%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth in the suburb. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the suburb's population is expected to decline by 86 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 131 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Alfords Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Alfords Point averaged approximately two new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated twelve homes. As of FY26, zero approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

This year, $1.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Alfords Point shows significantly reduced construction activity, 76.0% below the regional average per person, which generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Nationally, this level is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and suggesting possible planning constraints. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving Alfords Point's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

With stable or declining population forecasts, the area may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Alfords Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified three key projects impacting the area: Illawong Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Heathcote Road Upgrade from Infantry Parade to The Avenue, Blaxland Riverside Estate, and Baxter Place.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Alfords Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Alfords Point has a highly educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate was 1.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.4%. As of December 2025, 1795 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.8%, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was equal to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 45.1% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries among residents were education and training, construction, and health care and social assistance. Alfords Point showed strong specialization in education and training with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level, while health care and social assistance was under-represented at 10.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%.

The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.4%, labour force increased by 0.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.2%, labour force expanded by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggested that national employment was forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alfords Point's employment mix indicated local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Alfords Point suburb's median income among taxpayers was $59,979 during financial year 2023. The average income stood at $79,227 in the same period. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $65,293 and average income is around $86,247, factoring in an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to Census 2021 income data, household incomes rank at the 96th percentile with a weekly income of $2,969. Income distribution shows that 33.6% of Alfords Point's population (1,054 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, differing from regional trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Economic strength is evident with 50.3% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Alfords Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As per the latest Census evaluation, Alfords Point's dwelling structure consisted of 99.1% houses and 0.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfords Point stood at 50.5%, higher than Sydney metro, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (45.6%) or rented (3.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,595, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $768, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Alfords Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Alfords Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 91.5% of all households, inclusive of 55.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 8.5%, with lone person households accounting for 7.4% and group households making up 0.6% of the total. The median household size stands at 3.3 people, surpassing the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Alfords Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Alfords Point residents aged 15+ have a university degree attainment rate of 28.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (20.3%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.3% of residents, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (23.7%). Current educational participation is high at 27.9%, with 8.9% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfords Point has 16 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 11 different routes that collectively facilitate 785 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 192 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward, primarily using cars (94%). On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling in Alfords Point, which exceeds the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant portion of residents work from home (45.1%), potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 112 trips per day, translating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Alfords Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment shows Alfords Point has excellent health outcomes.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Approximately 58% of residents have private health cover (around 1,827 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.9%) and asthma (5.7%). About 74.3% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. Alfords Point has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.2% (665 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with national rankings.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Alfords Point was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfords Point, surveyed in August 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas. Its population born overseas was 23.0%, and those speaking a language other than English at home were 27.9%. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 73.5% of people adhering to it, compared to 49.2% in Greater Sydney (as of June 2016).

The top three ancestral groups were Australian (22.0%), English (18.5%), and Other (10.3%), the latter being lower than the regional average of 16.0%. Notably, Greek ancestry was higher at 7.6% compared to the regional 1.9%, Lebanese at 6.2% versus 2.6%, and Macedonian at 3.4% against 0.4%.

Alfords Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Alfords Point is 43 years, considerably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and substantially exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 years are particularly prominent, making up 13.1% of the population. In contrast, the 25-34 year-old group is smaller at 8.6%. Since 2021, the 75-84 year-old cohort has grown from 3.5% to 6.4%, while the 65-74 year-old group increased from 11.6% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 55-64 year-old cohort declined from 18.8% to 14.9%, and the 25-34 year-old group dropped from 10.6% to 8.6%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Alfords Point's age structure. The 75-84 year-old cohort is projected to increase by 94 people (47%) from 200 to 295. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 82% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15-24 and 0-4 year-old cohorts are expected to experience population declines.