Alfords Point

Alfords Point has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, AreaSearch estimates the population of the Alfords Point statistical area (Lv2) to be around 3,137 people. This figure represents an increase of 6 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,131 residents. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,220 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Alfords Point (SA2)'s growth rate of 0.2% since the census places it within 2.7 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth (2.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth in the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the area's population is expected to decline by 79 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, with the 75 to 84 age group projected to increase by 127 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Alfords Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates that Alfords Point has experienced approximately 2 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, around 12 homes have been approved for construction.

As of FY-26, no dwelling approvals have been recorded yet. The population decline in recent years suggests that the current level of development activity has been adequate relative to other areas. This year, there have been $1.4 million worth of commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Alfords Point shows significantly reduced construction levels, with 76.0% below the regional average per person.

This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes in the area. Nationally, the area also falls below average construction levels, suggesting maturity and potential planning constraints. Recent development has been exclusively detached houses, maintaining Alfords Point's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should result in reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers in the area.

Alfords Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified three projects that are expected to impact this particular area. Notable among these are the Illawong Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Heathcote Road Upgrade from Infantry Parade to The Avenue, Blaxland Riverside Estate, and Baxter Place. The following list provides more details about those projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Alfords Point places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Alfords Point has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.3% in the year ending September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.8%.

As of that date, 1790 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 2.9%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 64.1%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors among residents included education & training, construction, and health care & social assistance. The area showed strong specialization in education & training with an employment share of 150% compared to the regional level.

Meanwhile, health care & social assistance had limited presence at 10.4%, lower than the regional average of 14.1%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census working population vs resident population data. During the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.8% and labour force grew by 1.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising slightly to 4.4%. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Alfords Point's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Alfords Point has one of the highest income levels in Australia according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers is $59,979 and the average income stands at $79,227. For Greater Sydney, these figures are $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $65,293 (median) and $86,247 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household incomes rank at the 96th percentile ($2,969 weekly). Income brackets show that 33.6% of the population falls within the $4,000+ range, while 50.3% exceeds $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 89.8% of their income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Alfords Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Alfords Point, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.1% houses and 0.9% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Sydney metropolitan area had 70.4% houses and 29.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfords Point stood at 50.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.6% and rented ones at 3.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,595, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,600. The median weekly rent in Alfords Point was $768, higher than the Sydney metro figure of $483. Nationally, Alfords Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Alfords Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 91.5% of all households, including 55.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 8.5%, with lone person households at 7.4% and group households comprising 0.6%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Alfords Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Alfords Point's educational qualifications trail Greater Sydney's benchmarks, with 28.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.6% and certificates for 23.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.9% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfords Point has 16 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by 11 different routes that together facilitate 785 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to public transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 192 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 112 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Alfords Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Alfords Point shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 58% (~1,826 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 61.6%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.9%) and asthma (5.7%). 74.3% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.6%. Alfords Point has 20.1% of residents aged 65 and over (630 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 18.8%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Alfords Point was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfords Point, surveyed in June 2016, had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 23.0% of its population born overseas and 27.9% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 73.5%, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 61.9%. The top three ancestral groups were Australian (22.0%), English (18.5%), and Other (10.3%).

Notably, Greek (7.6%) and Lebanese (6.2%) populations were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.2% and 1.1%, respectively. Macedonian representation was also higher at 3.4%.

Alfords Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Alfords Point is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, and also older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 15.5% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.5% to 5.8%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 13.9% to 15.1%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 18.8% to 15.5%, and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 10.6% to 9.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Alfords Point, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 59% (108 people), reaching 290 from 181. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 84% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.