Alfords Point

Alfords Point has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Alfords Point is around 3,134 people. This figure represents an increase of 3 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,131 residents. AreaSearch's analysis, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date, indicates this level of population for Alfords Point. This results in a density ratio of 1,219 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 0.1% growth since the census places it within 2.5 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.6%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth for Alfords Point, contributing approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Applying growth rates by age group from these aggregations to all areas, projections indicate an overall population decline for Alfords Point by 78 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, projected to increase by 127 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Alfords Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Alfords Point experienced around 2 dwellings receiving development approval annually.

Approximately 12 homes were approved over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26. The population has been declining in recent years, yet the development activity has been adequate relative to this decline. Compared to Greater Sydney, Alfords Point records significantly lower building activity, which is 76.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. Nationally, it also reflects below-average figures, indicating the area's maturity and potential planning constraints.

Recent development has been entirely standalone homes, maintaining Alfords Point's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 6215 people per approval, it indicates a mature, established area. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Alfords Point may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Alfords Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects that may impact this area. Key projects are Illawong Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Heathcote Road Upgrade from Infantry Parade to The Avenue, Blaxland Riverside Estate, and Baxter Place. Relevant details of these projects follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Alfords Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Alfords Point has a highly educated workforce with professional services being prominent. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.4%. There were 1,786 residents in work, with a participation rate of 64.1%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment are education & training, construction, and health care & social assistance. Education & training has particularly high representation at 1.5 times the regional average, while health care & social assistance employs 10.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 3.4%, labour force by 3.5%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alfords Point's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Alfords Point's median income among taxpayers was $59,979 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $79,227 during the same period. These figures are higher than Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $67,542 and an average income of around $89,218 by September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes ranked at the 96th percentile with $2,969 weekly. The earnings profile showed that 33.6% of residents (1,053 people) fell within the $4,000+ bracket, unlike regional trends where 30.9% fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Higher earners represented a substantial presence with 50.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retained 89.8% of their income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Alfords Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Alfords Point, as evaluated at the Census conducted on 28 August 2016, consisted of 99.1% houses and 0.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metropolitan area's 70.4% houses and 29.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfords Point was at 50.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.6% and rented dwellings at 3.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,595, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $768, compared to Sydney metropolitan area's $2,600 and $483 respectively. Nationally, Alfords Point's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, as reported in the 2016 Census, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Alfords Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 91.5% of all households, including 55.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 8.5%, with lone person households making up 7.4% and group households comprising 0.6%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Alfords Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Alfords Point has a university degree holder rate of 28.3% among residents aged 15 and above, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (20.3%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 36.3% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 23.7%. Educational participation is high, with 27.9% currently enrolled in formal education: 8.9% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Alfords Point Public School serves the local area, enrolling 177 students as of a specific date. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited (5.7 places per 100 residents vs 17.8 regionally), leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Alfords Point shows 16 operational stops, all bus services. These are covered by 11 routes offering a total of 1,261 weekly passenger trips. Accessibility is rated excellent with residents on average 192 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 78 weekly trips per individual stop.

Alfords Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Alfords Point shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with very low prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 58% of its total population (1,824 people) has private health cover, which is exceptionally high. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.9% and 5.7% of residents respectively. A majority, 74.3%, declare themselves free from medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.6%. Alfords Point has a larger senior population at 20.1% (629 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 18.8%. Despite this, seniors' health outcomes are strong and align with the general population's profile.

Alfords Point was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfords Point, surveyed in June 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most nearby areas. It had 23.0% of its population born overseas and 27.9% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Alfords Point as of June 2016, with 73.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 61.9%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians made up 22.0%, lower than the regional average of 27.0%. English heritage comprised 18.5%, also below the regional average of 27.5%. The 'Other' category accounted for 10.3% of Alfords Point's population. Notable differences existed in certain ethnic groups: Greeks were overrepresented at 7.6% (regional average 2.2%), Lebanese at 6.2% (regional average 1.1%), and Macedonians at 3.4% (regional average 0.8%).

Alfords Point hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Alfords Point is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The age group of 55-64 has a strong representation at 15.5%, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 9.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group grew from 3.5% to 5.8% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 13.9% to 15.1%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 18.8% to 15.5%, and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 10.6% to 9.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Alfords Point, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 60% (108 people), reaching 290 from 181. The combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 83% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.