Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali

An assessment of population growth drivers in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's population is around 23,042 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 979 people (4.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,063 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 22,773 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,586 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's 4.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (3.1%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 62.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected, with the area expected to grow by 1,379 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 4.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali has recorded around 52 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 260 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 24 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 2.3 new residents per year gained for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating healthy demand that should support property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $405,000. Additionally, $25.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks in the 31st percentile of areas assessed nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. New building activity consists of 56.0% standalone homes and 44.0% townhouses or apartments, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 76.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 547 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area.

Population forecasts indicate Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali will gain 1,110 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 12 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include 544-550 Box Road Jannali Mixed-Use Development, M6 Stage 2, President Private Hospital Redevelopment, and Florida Street Affordable Housing, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali possesses a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 2.2%, and 0.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 12,768 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.0% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Based on Census responses, a high 52.8% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 12.1% versus the regional average of 14.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.6% and the labour force increased by 0.7%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.1 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali SA2's income level is extremely high nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali SA2's median income among taxpayers is $70,440 and the average income stands at $94,189, which compares to figures for Greater Sydney's of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $76,681 (median) and $102,534 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali, between the 83rd and 94th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows the $4000+ bracket dominates with 30.2% of residents (6,958 people), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali demonstrates considerable affluence with 46.1% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.5% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 94th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 75.7% houses and 24.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 38.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (46.7%) or rented (15.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $3,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $500, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 82.3% of all households, comprising 47.2% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.7%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households comprising 1.3% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (36.3% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and that of the SA3 area (30.5%), reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 24.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 34.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.2%) and certificates (21.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 157 active transport stops operating within Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 25 individual routes, collectively providing 3,398 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 158 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 84%, with 11% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 52.8% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 485 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 21 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (15,553 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.4% and 7.1% of residents, respectively, while 72.8% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.2% of residents aged 65 and over (4,195 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali was found to be above average in terms of cultural diversity, with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 12.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali is Christianity, which makes up 58.6% of the population. This compares to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali are English, comprising 28.4% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 19.0%, Australian, comprising 25.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%, and Irish, comprising 9.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Macedonian is notably overrepresented at 0.7% of Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali (vs 0.4% regionally), Russian at 0.5% (vs 0.4%) and Greek at 2.1% (vs 1.9%).

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's population is slightly older than the national pattern

With a median age of 40, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali is somewhat higher than the Greater Sydney figure of 37 and similarly marginally higher than Australia's 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 45 - 54 cohort is notably over-represented (15.2% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (7.9%). In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.6% to 13.7% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 5.4% to 6.9%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 8.8% to 7.9%. Demographic modeling suggests Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to surge dramatically, expanding by 743 people (145%) from 511 to 1,255. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 74% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 0 to 4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.