Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's population is around 22,781 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 718 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,063. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 22,773 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 48 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,556 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's growth rate of 3.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 2.5%. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 62.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on latest population numbers, the area is expected to grow by 1,379 persons to 2041, with an increase of 6.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali has seen around 52 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling 260 homes. As of FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 has attracted 2.3 new residents per year, indicating strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value of new homes is $548,000.

This financial year has seen $25.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 31st percentile nationally, suggesting relatively constrained buyer choice that supports interest in existing dwellings. This is indicative of the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity comprises 56.0% standalone homes and 44.0% townhouses or apartments, offering options across different price points, a significant shift from the current housing mix of 76.0% houses. The location has approximately 547 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its established nature.

Population forecasts suggest Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali will gain 1,371 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of twelve projects that could significantly impact the area's performance due to changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Among these key projects are the 544-550 Box Road Jannali Mixed-Use Development, M6 Stage 2, President Private Hospital Redevelopment, and Sutherland Public School Hall Upgrade. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali has a well-educated workforce as of June 2025. The unemployment rate is 2.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.9% over the past year.

There are 12,671 residents in work, and the unemployment rate is 2.0% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 65.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include professional & technical services, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Notably, employment in education & training is at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 12.1% versus the regional average of 14.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population count vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.9%, labour force increased by 3.3%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded similar growth patterns with employment increasing by 2.6% and labour force by 2.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali suggests local growth of approximately 6.9%% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on the area's employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali has an extremely high income level nationally according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended June 2022. The median income among taxpayers in this area is $66,473 and the average income stands at $89,899. For Greater Sydney, these figures are $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% from July 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $74,855 (median) and $101,235 (average). According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family, and personal incomes in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali rank highly nationally, between the 84th and 94th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 30.2% of residents earn over $4,000 per week, compared to regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. The area demonstrates considerable affluence with 46.1% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.5% of income, and strong earnings rank residents within the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali, as per the latest Census evaluation, 75.7% of dwellings were houses, with 24.2% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan areas where 70.4% were houses and 29.6% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali stood at 38.4%, similar to the Sydney metro average, with mortgaged dwellings making up 46.7% and rented ones accounting for 15.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, higher than the Sydney metro average of $2,600. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure was $500 compared to Sydney's $483. Nationally, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents being substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.3% of all households, including 47.2% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.7%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households making up 1.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 36.3% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA3 area's rate of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 24.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 34.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas (13.2%) and certificates (21.0%).

Educational participation is high at 31.6%, including 11.4% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. The area has 11 schools serving 3,226 students, with above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1080). These schools include 9 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average at 14.2 compared to 17.8, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas. Note: for schools marked 'n/a' regarding enrolments, please refer to their respective parent campuses.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 137 active public transport stops within Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali area. These include a mix of train and bus services. The region is served by 24 individual routes, collectively facilitating 3024 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 159 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 432 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates robust performance across Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali. Both younger and older age groups exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (15,194 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%.

Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 7.4 and 7.1% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 72.8%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.6%. As of the latest data (not specified), 17.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (4,066 people). Health outcomes among seniors align closely with those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oyster Bay-Como-Jannali has a cultural diversity above average, with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 12.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Oyster Bay-Como-Jannali, comprising 58.6%, compared to 61.9% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (28.4%), Australian (25.9%), and Irish (9.6%).

Notably, Macedonian, Russian, and Welsh ethnicities show slight overrepresentation in Oyster Bay-Como-Jannali compared to regional averages: Macedonian at 0.7% vs 0.8%, Russian at 0.5% vs 0.5%, and Welsh at 0.7% vs 0.6%.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali is 40, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented at 15.4%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 11.6% to 13.4%, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 5.4% to 6.7%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 8.8% to 8.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's age profile. The 85+ age cohort is projected to surge dramatically, increasing by 781 people (165%) from 473 to 1,255. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 74% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 15-24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.