Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali

An assessment of population growth drivers in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's population is around 22,909 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 846 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,063 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 22,878 from the ABS as of June 2025 and an additional 55 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,571 persons per square kilometer. Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's growth rate of 3.8% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 3.1%. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 66.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali, with the area expected to grow by 1,264 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 5.4% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali has granted approval for approximately 52 residential properties per year over the past five financial years, totalling 260 homes. As of FY-26, 30 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 resulted in an average increase of 2.3 new residents annually, indicating strong demand which supports property values. The average construction cost value for new homes is $405,000.

In FY-26, commercial approvals totalling $25.8 million have been registered, showing moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks in the 31st percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice which supports interest in existing dwellings. This reflects the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity comprises 56.0% standalone homes and 44.0% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a shift from the current housing mix of 76.0% houses. The location has approximately 547 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established area.

Population forecasts estimate Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali will gain 1,233 residents by 2041. Current development patterns suggest new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of 12 projects that are likely to impact the area, with key projects including the mixed-use development at 544-550 Box Road Jannali, M6 Stage 2, President Private Hospital Redevelopment, and Florida Street Affordable Housing. The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.2% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.6%.

As of December 2025, 12,768 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.0%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 71.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A high proportion of residents, 52.8%, worked from home according to Census responses. Key industries of employment were professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Education & training had notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Health care & social assistance showed lower representation at 12.1% versus the regional average of 14.1%. Limited local employment opportunities were indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. During the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.6%, labour force increased by 0.7%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.1 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali SA2 has an extremely high national income level according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers is $70,440 and the average income stands at $94,189, which compares to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $77,709 (median) and $103,909 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali rank highly nationally, between the 83rd and 94th percentiles. Distribution data shows that the $4000+ bracket dominates with 30.2% of residents (6,918 people), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali demonstrates considerable affluence with 46.1% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.5% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 75.7% houses and 24.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali stood at 38.4%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (46.7%) or rented (15.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $500, higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.3% of all households, including 47.2% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.7%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households making up 1.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 36.3% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4%. This rate also exceeds that of the SA3 area (30.5%), indicating a strong emphasis on higher education in the community. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent, held by 24.1% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.8%, and graduate diplomas at 3.4%.

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 34.2% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.2%) and certificates (21.0%). Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 157 active transport stops operating within Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali. These stops are serviced by 25 individual routes, collectively providing 3,398 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 158 meters from the nearest transport stop. As of the 2021 Census, most residents commute outward, primarily using cars at an 84% rate, while 11% use trains. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, above the regional average. A high 52.8% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 485 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 21 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (15,463 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.4 and 7.1% of residents respectively, while 72.8% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney.

Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.0% of residents aged 65 and over (4,128 people), which is higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oyster Bay-Como-Jannali has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 12.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oyster Bay-Como-Jannali, accounting for 58.6%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (28.4%), Australian (25.9%), and Irish (9.6%).

Notably, Macedonian (0.7%), Russian (0.5%), and Greek (2.1%) ethnicities have higher representations than the regional averages of 0.4%, 0.4%, and 1.9% respectively.

Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali is 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. The area has a notably high proportion of the 45-54 age group (15.2%) compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.2%. Between 2021 and now, the 15-24 age group has increased from 11.6% to 13.8%, and the 75-84 cohort has grown from 5.4% to 6.8%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 15.3% to 14.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Oyster Bay - Como - Jannali's age profile. The 85+ age cohort is projected to increase dramatically by 757 people (147%), rising from 515 to 1,273. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 73% of total population growth. The area's aging demographic profile is reflected in this projection. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 0-4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.