Loftus

Loftus is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Loftus is around 4,254, reflecting an increase of 64 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 1.5% change from the previous population count of 4,190. The latest ABS ERP data release (June 2024) and validation of new addresses by AreaSearch indicate this figure. Loftus's population density is approximately 1,681 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Between the Census date and Nov 2025, natural growth contributed around 56% of overall population gains in Loftus. Future projections for Loftus are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data (released in 2024 with a base year of 2022) and NSW State Government SA2-level projections (released in 2022 with a base year of 2021).

By 2041, Loftus is expected to grow by approximately 10 persons, reflecting an increase of about 0.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Loftus, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Loftus shows an average of approximately 12 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 64 homes. In the current financial year, FY-26, 8 approvals have been recorded to date. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed in Loftus between FY-21 and FY-25 is around 0.4.

New construction has matched or outpaced demand during this period. The average value of new homes being built is $402,000, which is below regional norms. This reflects more affordable housing options for purchasers. In FY-26, $1.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Loftus has similar development levels per person compared to Greater Sydney, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. However, this activity is under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations.

New building activity shows 45.0% detached houses and 55.0% townhouses or apartments. This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. It marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 88.0% houses. This suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Loftus has around 425 people per dwelling approval, indicating a developed market. Population forecasts suggest Loftus will gain 19 residents by the year 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Loftus has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified six projects likely affecting this region. Notable initiatives are Grand Vermont, Eterna Sutherland, Sutherland Public School Hall Upgrade, and Heathcote Road Koala Protection Fencing. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Loftus shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Loftus has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.6% as of June 2025, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment grew by an estimated 2.7% over the past year. As of June 2025, 2,281 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 64.9%, similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Loftus shows high specialization in public administration & safety, at 1.7 times the regional level, but lower representation in retail trade at 7.4% compared to the regional average of 9.3%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.7% while labour force grew by 3.2%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Loftus's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Loftus had a median taxpayer income of $60,207 and an average income of $73,961. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, estimated median income would be approximately $67,799 and average income $83,287. According to the 2021 Census, Loftus's household incomes rank at the 88th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,425. The dominant earnings bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, with 28.1% of residents (1,195 people). Higher earners make up a substantial presence, with 39.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income. Loftus residents rank at the 89th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Loftus is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Loftus, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.1% houses and 12.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 70.4% houses and 29.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Loftus was at 43.8%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (44.5%) or rented (11.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Loftus was $2,600, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent figure stood at $550 compared to Sydney metro's $2,600 and $483 respectively. Nationally, Loftus's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Loftus features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.1% of all households, including 45.5% couples with children, 25.1% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.9%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Loftus exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Loftus Trail has educational qualifications that lag behind regional benchmarks. Specifically, 29.9% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%).

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 37.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.2% and certificates for 25.3%. Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education. Loftus Trail's three schools have a combined enrollment reaching 410 students as of the latest data (20XX). The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions with an ICSEA value of 1027, indicating balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes two primary schools and one K-12 school. School places per 100 residents (9.6) fall below the regional average (17.8), suggesting some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. Note that where school enrolments are marked as 'n/a', please refer to the parent campus for accurate figures.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Loftus has 50 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are covered by 8 individual routes, offering a total of 1,321 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 121 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility.

Service frequency averages 188 trips per day across all routes, with each stop receiving approximately 26 weekly trips.

The level of general health in Loftus is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Loftus demonstrates above-average health outcomes, with prevalence of common health conditions low across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~2,388 people), compared to 60.0% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.3 and 7.4% of residents respectively, while 70.8% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 70.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 19.2% of residents aged 65 and over (816 people), with health outcomes among seniors being above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Loftus is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Loftus, as per the 2016 Census, showed low cultural diversity with 88.1% of its population born in Australia, 95.2% being Australian citizens, and 94.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 57.9% of Loftus' population, compared to 61.9% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.7%), English (29.9%), and Irish (10.9%).

Notably, French (0.6%) and Hungarian (0.3%) ethnicities were overrepresented in Loftus compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 0.2%, respectively, while Maltese was slightly underrepresented at 0.6%.

Loftus's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Loftus is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Loftus at 15.3%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 8.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.5% to 14.1% of Loftus' population. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 14.7% to 13.6%, and the 35-44 age group has dropped from 13.1% to 12.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Loftus, with the 85+ group expected to grow by 162% (from 136 to 356 people). Residents aged 65 and older will represent 91% of this growth. Conversely, the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.