Sutherland - Kirrawee

Population growth drivers in Sutherland - Kirrawee are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Sutherland-Kirrawee's population is 25,066 as of May 2026. This figure shows an increase of 1,828 people from the 2021 Census total of 23,238. The change is inferred from ABS data: 24,903 in June 2025 and an additional 407 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 3,234 persons per square kilometer, placing Sutherland-Kirrawee in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's analysis. The area's growth rate of 7.9% since the 2021 census exceeds its SA3 and SA4 regions, indicating it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 58.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where data is not available, with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Sutherland-Kirrawee is projected to grow by 3,292 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 12.5% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Sutherland - Kirrawee among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Sutherland-Kirrawee averaged approximately 148 new dwelling approvals per year. From FY21 to FY25741 homes were approved, with an additional 108 approved in FY26 up until now. Each dwelling built over these five financial years resulted in an average of 2.8 new residents annually, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average expected construction cost value for new homes is $323,000. This year has seen $96.3 million in commercial approvals, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Sutherland-Kirrawee records 99.0% more new home approvals per capita, offering buyers greater choice. However, development activity has moderated recently. The majority of new building activity involves townhouses or apartments (87.0%), with a smaller proportion being standalone homes (13.0%). This shift towards higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and caters to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

Currently, 34.0% of dwellings are houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands. The location has approximately 243 people per dwelling approval, indicating potential for growth. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Sutherland-Kirrawee is expected to grow by 3,129 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Sutherland - Kirrawee has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects likely to impact the area. Major projects include President Private Hospital Redevelopment, Workway Trade Centre, Sutherland Public School Hall Upgrade, and Grand Vermont. The following list details projects of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Sutherland - Kirrawee maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Sutherland - Kirrawee has a well-educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 4.1% in December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.7% over the past year. As of that date, 14,488 residents were employed, aligning with Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was 72.1%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Census responses indicated a high 44.7% of residents worked from home. Key industries for employment include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area has notable concentration in public administration & safety, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food services show lower representation at 4.6% compared to the regional average of 5.8%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.7%, labour force grew by 0.8%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Sutherland - Kirrawee's employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Sutherland - Kirrawee SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $67,818. The average income stood at $82,488. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to the national median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 for Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $74,817 (median) and $91,001 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, individual earnings at the 83rd percentile nationally stood at $1,056 weekly. Distribution data shows that 34.2% of the population, equating to 8,572 individuals, fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 62nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Sutherland - Kirrawee features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Sutherland - Kirrawee, as per the latest Census data, 34.2% of dwellings were houses while 65.8% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. In contrast, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Sutherland - Kirrawee stood at 26.7%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 36.3% and rented dwellings making up 37.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,427. Weekly rent in Sutherland - Kirrawee was recorded at $460, slightly higher than the Sydney metro figure of $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Sutherland - Kirrawee features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.3% of all households, including 28.3% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.7%, with lone person households at 31.4% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Sutherland - Kirrawee shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

University qualification levels in Sutherland-Kirrawee are at 33.7%, slightly below Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 23.0% of residents holding one. Postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas follow, at 8.1% and 2.6% respectively.

Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 35.7% of residents aged 15+ having them. Advanced diplomas account for 12.7%, while certificates make up 23.0%. Educational participation is high, with 27.1% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary, 6.5% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Sutherland-Kirrawee has 124 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 68 routes, facilitating 6,681 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 161 meters to the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with most commuters traveling outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 79%, followed by trains at 13% and walking at 4%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.0 per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 44.7% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 954 trips daily, equating to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop. The map provided shows the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Health performance in Sutherland - Kirrawee is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Sutherland - Kirrawee faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups, but particularly so among older cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (15,240 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 8.6 and 7.9% of residents respectively. However, 69.1% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 17.9% of residents aged 65 and over (4,496 people), which is higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, although they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Sutherland - Kirrawee was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Sutherland-Kirrawee has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 24.3% of its population born overseas and 18.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Sutherland-Kirrawee, accounting for 55.7%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Sutherland-Kirrawee are English (26.6%), Australian (25.0%), and Other (9.0%).

These figures are higher than the regional averages of 19.0%, 17.8%, and 16.0% respectively. Notably, Russian (0.8%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.4%. Similarly, Macedonian (0.5%) and Spanish (0.6%) are also notably present in Sutherland-Kirrawee.

Sutherland - Kirrawee's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Sutherland-Kirrawee is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, matching Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Sutherland-Kirrawee has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (6.8%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (10.4%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 increased from 6.0% to 6.8%, while the proportion of those aged 0-4 decreased from 6.5% to 5.8%. By 2041, Sutherland-Kirrawee is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The number of residents aged 75-84 is expected to grow by 61%, reaching 2,734 from 1,694, with those aged 65 and above comprising 66% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 5-14 age groups.