Sutherland - Kirrawee

Population growth drivers in Sutherland - Kirrawee are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Sutherland - Kirrawee's population is around 24,808 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,570 people (6.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,238 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 24,447 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 410 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,196 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Sutherland - Kirrawee's 6.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (3.1%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 73.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, an above-median population growth relative to national areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 3,881 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 14.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Sutherland - Kirrawee among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Sutherland - Kirrawee has averaged around 148 new dwelling approvals each year, with 741 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 96 so far in FY-26. With an average of 2.8 new residents per year gained for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating healthy demand that should support property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $323,000. Additionally, $96.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Sutherland - Kirrawee records 102.0% more new home approvals (per person), offering buyers greater choice, though development activity has moderated in recent periods. New building activity shows 13.0% standalone homes and 87.0% townhouses or apartments. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 34.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 243 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Looking ahead, Sutherland - Kirrawee is expected to grow by 3,520 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Sutherland - Kirrawee has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 28 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the President Private Hospital Redevelopment, Workway Trade Centre, Sutherland Public School Hall Upgrade, and Grand Vermont, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Sutherland - Kirrawee maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Sutherland - Kirrawee possesses a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of 4.1%, and 0.7% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 14,488 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is in line with Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (73.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 44.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in public administration & safety, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food shows lower representation at 4.6% versus the regional average of 5.8%. While local employment opportunities exist in the area, it appears many residents commute elsewhere for work, based on the count of Census working population to local population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.7% and labour force increased by 0.8%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Sutherland - Kirrawee. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Sutherland - Kirrawee's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Sutherland - Kirrawee SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $67,818 with the average level standing at $82,488. This is extremely high nationally and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $73,827 (median) and $89,796 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, individual earnings stand out at the 83rd percentile nationally ($1,056 weekly). Distribution data shows 34.2% of the population (8,484 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 62nd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Sutherland - Kirrawee features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Sutherland - Kirrawee, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 34.2% houses and 65.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Sutherland - Kirrawee was slightly lagging that of Sydney metro, at 26.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (36.3%) or rented (37.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Sydney metro average at $2,383, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $460, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Sutherland - Kirrawee's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Sutherland - Kirrawee features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 65.3% of all households, comprising 28.3% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 34.7%, with lone person households at 31.4% and group households comprising 3.4% of the total. The median household size of 2.3 people is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Sutherland - Kirrawee shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

At 33.7%, university qualification levels in Sutherland - Kirrawee sit marginally below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%, though the modest gap indicates reasonable educational competitiveness. Bachelor degrees lead at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 35.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (23.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary education, 6.5% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 124 active transport stops operating within Sutherland - Kirrawee, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 68 individual routes, collectively providing 6,681 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 161 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 79%, with 13% by train and 4% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.0 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 44.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 954 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Sutherland - Kirrawee is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Sutherland - Kirrawee faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (15,083 people). The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 8.6% and 7.9% of residents, respectively, while 69.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (4,634 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Sutherland - Kirrawee was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Sutherland - Kirrawee was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 24.3% of its population born overseas and 18.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Sutherland - Kirrawee is Christianity, which makes up 55.7% of people in the area. This compares to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Sutherland - Kirrawee are English, comprising 26.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 19.0%, Australian, comprising 25.0% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%, and Other, comprising 9.0% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 16.0%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Russian is notably overrepresented at 0.8% of Sutherland - Kirrawee (vs 0.4% regionally), Macedonian at 0.5% (vs 0.4%) and Spanish at 0.6% (vs 0.6%).

Sutherland - Kirrawee's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Sutherland - Kirrawee is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Sutherland - Kirrawee has a higher concentration of 75 - 84 residents (7.1%) but fewer 15 - 24 year-olds (10.4%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.0% to 7.1% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 16.8% to 15.6%. By 2041, Sutherland - Kirrawee is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 63% (1,117 people), reaching 2,886 from 1,768. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 66% of projected growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 and 5 to 14 cohorts.