Sutherland - Kirrawee

Population growth drivers in Sutherland - Kirrawee are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Sutherland-Kirrawee's population is 24,757 as of November 2025. This reflects a growth of 1,519 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,238. The increase is inferred from ABS estimates: 24,447 in June 2024 and an additional 400 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,190 persons per square kilometer, placing Sutherland-Kirrawee in the upper quartile nationally. The area's growth rate of 6.5% since the 2021 Census exceeded its SA3 and SA4 regions. Overseas migration contributed approximately 73.5% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a 2022 base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Demographic trends project above median population growth nationally; Sutherland-Kirrawee is expected to grow by 3,881 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 14.4%.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Sutherland - Kirrawee among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Sutherland-Kirrawee averaged approximately 148 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY2021 and FY2025741 homes were approved, with an additional 78 approved in FY2026 to date. Each year, an average of 2.8 new residents was gained per dwelling built during these five financial years.

The average construction cost value for new homes was $467,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY2026, commercial approvals totalled $96.3 million, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Sutherland-Kirrawee had 102.0% more development activity per person as of recent periods. The new development composition was 13.0% detached dwellings and 87.0% attached dwellings, promoting higher-density living and affordability for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift contrasts with the current housing mix of 34.0% houses. With around 243 people per dwelling approval, Sutherland-Kirrawee exhibits a growing market.

By 2041, population forecasts estimate an increase of 3,571 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Current construction levels should meet housing demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth beyond current projections.

Sutherland - Kirrawee has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 28 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects are President Private Hospital Redevelopment, Workway Trade Centre, Sutherland Public School Hall Upgrade, and Grand Vermont. The following details projects likely most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Sutherland - Kirrawee demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Sutherland - Kirrawee has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 4.1% as of June 2025, which is 0.1% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.8%. There are 14,292 residents in work with a workforce participation rate of 66.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area has a notable concentration in public administration & safety, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food shows lower representation at 4.6% compared to the regional average of 5.8%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.8% while labour force increased by 3.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points in Sutherland - Kirrawee. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.6%, labour force expanded by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. As of Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Sutherland - Kirrawee's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2022, Sutherland - Kirrawee SA2 had median income among taxpayers of $63,291 and average income of $78,456. These figures are high nationally compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. As of September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $71,272 and average income is $88,349, based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year ended June 2022. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data for 2021, individual earnings in Sutherland - Kirrawee SA2 are at the 83rd percentile nationally ($1,056 weekly). Income distribution shows that 34.2% of the population (8,466 individuals) fall within the $1,500 to $2,999 income range, similar to regional patterns where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 62nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Sutherland - Kirrawee features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Sutherland - Kirrawee, as per the latest Census, houses accounted for 34.2% of dwellings while other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others made up 65.8%. In contrast, Sydney metro had 70.4% houses and 29.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Sutherland - Kirrawee stood at 26.7%, with mortgaged properties at 36.3% and rented ones at 37.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, lower than Sydney metro's $2,600. Weekly rent averaged $460 compared to Sydney metro's $483. Nationally, Sutherland - Kirrawee's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national average of $375.

Sutherland - Kirrawee features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 65.3% of all households, including 28.3% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.7%, with lone person households at 31.4% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Sutherland - Kirrawee shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

University qualification levels in Sutherland - Kirrawee stand at 33.7%, slightly below Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 23.0% of residents holding these qualifications. Postgraduate qualifications follow at 8.1%, and graduate diplomas are held by 2.6%.

Vocational credentials are prominent, with 35.7% of residents aged 15+ possessing them. Advanced diplomas account for 12.7% while certificates make up 23.0%. Educational participation is high, with 27.1% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary, 6.5% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that there are currently 110 active public transport stops operating within the Sutherland-Kirrawee area. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. A total of 58 individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 6,238 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located an average of 161 meters from their nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 891 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 56 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Sutherland - Kirrawee are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Sutherland-Kirrawee shows below-average health indicators.

Common health conditions are somewhat typical but higher than national averages among older cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 59% of the total population of 14,557 people. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 8.6 and 7.9% of residents respectively. 69.1% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 18.0% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 4,463 people. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Sutherland - Kirrawee was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Sutherland-Kirrawee has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 24.3% of its population born overseas and 18.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Sutherland-Kirrawee, accounting for 55.7% of the population, compared to 61.9% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (26.6%), Australian (25.0%), and Other (9.0%).

Notably, Russian (0.8%) is overrepresented in Sutherland-Kirrawee compared to the regional average of 0.5%, while Macedonian (0.5%) and Spanish (0.6%) are also slightly higher than their respective regional averages of 0.8% and 0.4%.

Sutherland - Kirrawee's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Sutherland-Kirrawee is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Sutherland-Kirrawee has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (6.9%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (10.4%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the percentage of residents aged 75-84 increased from 6.0% to 6.9%, while the percentage of those aged 25-34 decreased from 16.8% to 16.1%. By 2041, Sutherland-Kirrawee's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 70%, reaching 2,886 from 1,700. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 67% of the population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 5-14 and 25-34.