Loftus - Yarrawarrah
Statistical Area - sa2

Loftus - Yarrawarrah is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Loftus-Yarrawarrah's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 7,424 people. This figure represents an increase of 76 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,348. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates of 7,424 in June 2024 and the addition of 15 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a population density of 1,933 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national averages according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's 1.0% growth since the census is comparable to its SA3 region's 2.5%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 56.4% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are applied. Growth rates by age group are used for all areas from 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area's population is projected to decline by 86 persons overall, but specific age cohorts like those aged 85 and over are expected to grow, with an increase of 337 people in this group.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Loftus - Yarrawarrah, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Loftus-Yarrawarrah has recorded approximately 13 residential property approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY2021 to FY2025, 68 homes were approved, and there have been 7 approvals so far in FY2026. The population decline over recent years has resulted in adequate housing supply relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $402,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options for purchasers. This financial year, there have been $1.2 million worth of commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Loftus-Yarrawarrah records about 58% of the building activity per person and ranks in the 22nd percentile nationally when assessed for buyer options, suggesting limited choices while demand for established properties strengthens. This is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 44.0% detached houses and 56.0% townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 91.0% houses.

With around 720 people per dwelling approval, Loftus-Yarrawarrah reflects a highly mature market. Population projections indicating stability or decline should result in reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Loftus - Yarrawarrah has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Heathcote Road Koala Protection Fencing, Heathcote Road Bridge Widening Project, Engadine Town Park Land Exchange, and Seymour Shaw Park Off-Street Carpark. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Loftus - Yarrawarrah positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Loftus-Yarrawarrah has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation, unemployment rate of 2.2% as of June 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.9%.

The area's unemployment rate is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, with a workforce participation rate of 65.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Public administration & safety shows strong specialization, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 9.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.9%, labour force by 3.3%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded similar trends with 2.6% employment growth, 2.9% labour force growth, and a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Loftus-Yarrawarrah's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Loftus - Yarrawarrah had a median income among taxpayers of $62,323 and an average of $76,561. This is among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $70,182 (median) and $86,215 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Loftus - Yarrawarrah rank highly nationally, between the 76th and 91st percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 27.3% of locals (2,026 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, reflecting regional patterns where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. A substantial proportion of high earners (42.1%) have incomes above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the locality. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Loftus - Yarrawarrah is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Loftus - Yarrawarrah, as per the latest Census, 90.7% of dwellings were houses while 9.2% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's 70.4% houses and 29.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Loftus - Yarrawarrah stood at 44.8%, with mortgaged properties at 46.3% and rented ones at 8.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,684, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,600. Median weekly rent in the area was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $483. Nationally, Loftus - Yarrawarrah's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Loftus - Yarrawarrah features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.2 percent of all households, including 46.8 percent couples with children, 27.5 percent couples without children, and 9.4 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.8 percent, with lone person households at 14.7 percent and group households comprising 1.2 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Loftus - Yarrawarrah shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Loftus-Yarrawarrah trail has 29.6% of residents aged 15+ with university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are the most common (20.2%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 38.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (26.2%).

Educational participation is high at 29.9%, comprising 9.8% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 4.5% in tertiary education. The area's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,626 students. Loftus-Yarrawarrah has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1070). Education provision is balanced with two primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs, with 21.9 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 17.8, suggesting the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Loftus-Yarrawarrah has 85 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 15 individual routes, collectively providing 1,271 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 129 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 181 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per stop.

Loftus - Yarrawarrah's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data for Loftus-Yarrawarrah shows positive health outcomes. Prevalence of common conditions is low across younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is high at 58% (4,291 people), compared to Sydney's 60%. Common medical conditions are arthritis (8.5%) and asthma (7.8%). 70.4% report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 70.6%. The area has 19.4% residents aged 65+ (1,438 people). Senior health outcomes align with the general population.

Loftus - Yarrawarrah is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Loftus-Yarrawarrah was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 87.2% of its population born in Australia, 95.0% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Loftus-Yarrawarrah is Christianity, comprising 60.2% of the population, compared to 61.9% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (30.9%), English (30.1%), and Irish (10.5%).

Notably, French ethnicity is overrepresented at 0.6%, Lebanese at 0.4%, and Maltese at 0.5%.

Loftus - Yarrawarrah's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Loftus-Yarrawarrah has a median age of 40, higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. The 45-54 cohort is notably over-represented in Loftus-Yarrawarrah at 14.6%, while the 25-34 cohort is under-represented at 8.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.0% to 13.8% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 14.3% to 13.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Loftus-Yarrawarrah's age profile. The 85+ age cohort is projected to surge dramatically, increasing by 317 people (165%) from 193 to 511. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 89% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.