Heathcote (NSW)

Heathcote is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025 Heathcote's population is estimated at around 6,186. This reflects an increase of 38 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,148. The change is inferred from AreaSearch estimates following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 68 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 608 persons per square kilometer in Heathcote (NSW). The area's 0.6% growth since census positions it within 2.3 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated. The Heathcote (NSW) SA2 is expected to increase by 267 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 4.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Heathcote, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval data indicates Heathcote has averaged around 25 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 125 homes were approved, with a further 9 approved in FY-26 as of the present time. Despite population decline, development activity has been relatively adequate.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $680,000, targeting the premium market segment. Commercial approvals this financial year total $1.4 million, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Comparatively, Heathcote has slightly more development than the Greater Sydney regional average per person over the past five years (28.0% above). This balances buyer choice while supporting current property values, although building activity has slowed recently. New building activity comprises 32.0% detached houses and 68.0% medium and high-density housing, offering affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

The estimated population per dwelling approval in Heathcote is 536 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to gain 247 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Heathcote has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified eight projects likely influencing the region. Notable developments include Heathcote Apartments Development, Hermitage Apartments, Engadine Central Shopping Centre Redevelopment, and Waratah Road Townhouses. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Heathcote significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Heathcote has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.1% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.8%.

As of September 2025, 3474 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.0%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 62.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area has a strong specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Finance & insurance shows lower representation at 4.6% versus the regional average of 7.3%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.8%, labour force by 1.2%, resulting in a unemployment fall of 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a national expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Heathcote's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Heathcote's median income among taxpayers was $61,720, with an average of $75,005. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median would be approximately $67,188 and the average $81,650, based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census 2021 data shows incomes in Heathcote rank highly nationally, between the 74th and 80th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis reveals that 29.4% of residents earn $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, similar to the metropolitan region's 30.9%. Notably, 34.4% of residents earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating strong economic capacity. Housing accounts for 14.9% of income, and residents rank highly in disposable income at the 80th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Heathcote is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Heathcote, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 74.5% houses and 25.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 70.4% houses and 29.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Heathcote was 42.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.3% and rented ones at 11.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,553, below Sydney metro's $2,600. Median weekly rent in Heathcote was $520, compared to Sydney metro's $483. Nationally, Heathcote's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Heathcote features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.9% of all households, including 39.4% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise 22.1%, with lone person households at 21.0% and group households making up 1.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Heathcote exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 12.4% and certificates at 29.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Heathcote shows that there are 55 active transport stops currently operating. These include a mix of train and bus services. A total of 18 individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 1,507 weekly passenger trips.

The report rates transport accessibility as excellent, with residents typically located 125 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 215 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 27 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Heathcote is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Health data shows significant health challenges in Heathcote with a notably higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to averages, particularly among older age groups. Approximately 57% (~3,498 people) have private health cover, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 61.6%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.6%) and mental health issues (8%). Conversely, 65.0% of residents report no medical ailments compared to 70.6% in Greater Sydney. Heathcote has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.4% (1,385 people) than Greater Sydney's 18.8%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these challenges.

Heathcote is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Heathcote's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.8% of its population born in Australia, 93.5% being citizens, and 95.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Heathcote, comprising 59.4% of people, compared to 61.9% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.5%), Australian (31.3%), and Irish (9.8%).

Notably, Russian (0.4%) was overrepresented in Heathcote compared to the regional average of 0.5%, Maltese (0.7% vs 0.8%), and Hungarian (0.3% vs 0.2%).

Heathcote hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Heathcote is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 85 years and above constitute 5.2% of the population, while those aged 25 to 34 make up 8.3%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of individuals aged 15 to 24 has increased from 11.2% to 12.4%, while the percentage of those aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 9.7% to 8.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Heathcote's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 216 people (47%) from 463 to 680. Notably, the combined total population growth for those aged 65 years and above will account for 87%, reflecting Heathcote's aging demographic trend. Conversely, the populations of those aged 5 to 14 and 25 to 34 are expected to decline.