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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
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Sales Activity
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Population
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends
Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay's population is around 3,372 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 3 people (0.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,369 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,366 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 6 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,655 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 79.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.
AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected, with the area expected to grow by 458 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 13.4% in total over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay has recorded around 7 residential properties granted approval annually, with 36 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 7 so far in FY-26. Given an average of only 0.5 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $632,000, demonstrating a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.
When measured against Greater Sydney, Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay has significantly less development activity (69.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, though construction activity has intensified recently. This is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 57.0% standalone homes and 43.0% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 95.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 354 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area.
Looking ahead, Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay is expected to grow by 452 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally
Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 0 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL), Ozone Cronulla Apartment Development, M6 Stage 2, and the Rail Service Improvement Program - T4 Illawarra & Eastern Suburbs Line, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy
State-wide NSW planning reforms to enable diverse low and mid-rise housing, including dual occupancies, terraces, townhouses, and apartment buildings up to 6 storeys. The policy applies to residential zones within 800m of 171 nominated transport hubs and town centres. Stage 1 (dual occupancies) commenced 1 July 2024, and Stage 2 (mid-rise apartments and terraces) commenced 28 February 2025. In June 2025, further amendments adjusted aircraft noise thresholds and clarified storey definitions to expand the policy's reach. The initiative is expected to facilitate approximately 112,000 additional homes by 2030.
Sydney Metro
Australia's largest public transport project, comprising four main lines. As of February 2026, the City & Southwest M1 line is operational to Sydenham, with the Sydenham-to-Bankstown conversion reaching 80% completion and intensive dynamic train testing underway for a late 2026 opening. Sydney Metro West has achieved major tunneling milestones at Westmead, with fit-out contracts worth $11.5 billion signed to target a 2032 opening. The Western Sydney Airport line remains under heavy construction with stations and viaducts progressing for an opening aligned with the airport in late 2026.
Mariyung Fleet (New Intercity Fleet)
The Mariyung Fleet is a 610-carriage double-deck electric train fleet (D sets) replacing the aging V-set fleet across the NSW intercity network. Delivered by the RailConnect consortium, the trains feature 2x2 seating, charging ports, dedicated luggage/bicycle spaces, and enhanced accessibility with wheelchair spaces and accessible toilets. The fleet operates in 4, 6, 8, or 10-car formations. Passenger services commenced on the Central Coast & Newcastle Line on 3 December 2024 and the Blue Mountains Line on 13 October 2025. South Coast Line services are scheduled to begin in the first half of 2026. The project includes the Kangy Angy Maintenance Facility and extensive corridor upgrades such as platform extensions and signaling modifications.
Rail Service Improvement Program - T4 Illawarra & Eastern Suburbs Line
A major multi-billion-dollar upgrade program (formerly More Trains, More Services) designed to modernize the rail network for higher frequency and reliability. Key works for the T4 line include the Digital Systems Program replacing traditional signalling with ETCS Level 2 'in-cab' technology, platform extensions at stations like Waterfall and Kiama to accommodate New Intercity Fleet (Mariyung) trains, power supply upgrades, and a new stabling yard at Waterfall. Testing for Digital Systems is currently underway between Sutherland and Cronulla, with the Bondi Junction to Erskineville section beginning tests in 2026.
M6 Stage 2
M6 Stage 2 is the proposed southern extension of the M6 motorway from President Avenue at Kogarah through twin tunnels to connect with the Princes Highway near Loftus and ultimately link to the M1 Princes Motorway. The project has been indefinitely shelved since 2022 due to market conditions, labour shortages and lack of funding commitment. The corridor remains reserved but there is no active planning, approval process or construction timeline as of December 2025.
Rail Service Improvement Program (formerly More Trains More Services)
Program of staged upgrades across Sydney's heavy rail network to increase frequency and capacity through digital systems, track and signalling works, station upgrades and new or upgraded rollingstock. Formerly branded as More Trains More Services, the program continues delivery on lines including T4 Eastern Suburbs & Illawarra, T8 Airport & South, and integration works tied to broader network changes.
Illawarra Rail Resilience Plan
Comprehensive plan to examine and upgrade rail infrastructure along South Coast Line between Sydney and Wollongong. Includes improving resilience of cuttings, embankments, drainage systems, and ballast cleaning. Coalcliff/Scarborough tunnel upgrade underway.
Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL)
The Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL) is an 11km cycleway and pedestrian path connecting Sutherland to Cronulla, utilizing the rail corridor and various locations. Stage 1 (Sutherland to Kirrawee) and Stage 2 (Kirrawee to Caringbah, including Jackson Avenue, Miranda to Gannons Road, Caringbah) are completed, with Stage 2 finalized in early 2024 using $65M in funding. Stage 3 (Caringbah to Cronulla) is in construction, with a focus on connecting key centers, transport hubs, schools, and business precincts in the Sutherland Shire.
Employment
Employment conditions in Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay features a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 0.9%, and relative employment stability over the past year. As of December 2025, 1,960 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 3.3% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (72.9% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 45.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.
Employment among residents is concentrated in construction, professional & technical, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in construction, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 11.5% versus the regional average of 14.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.
Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.2% while labour force increased by 0.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. This compares to Greater Sydney, where employment grew by 2.2%, labour force expanded by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $74,990 with the average level standing at $108,450. This is among the top percentile nationally and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $81,634 (median) and $118,059 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay, between the 90th and 99th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals the $4000+ earnings band captures 43.9% of the community (1,480 individuals), contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. The district demonstrates considerable affluence with 58.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
Dwelling structure within Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.7% houses and 5.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 48.3%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (44.1%) or rented (7.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $3,900, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $833, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households dominate at 90.3% of all households, comprising 55.0% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 6.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 9.7%, with lone person households at 9.3% and group households comprising 0.4% of the total. The median household size of 3.2 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Educational achievement in Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community
The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (36.2% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and that of the SA4 region (31.0%), reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 24.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 32.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (19.7%).
Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Public transport analysis reveals 21 active transport stops operating within Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 4 individual routes, collectively providing 496 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 146 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.2 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 45.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Service frequency averages 70 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups
Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 75% of the total population (2,539 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.
The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 6.8% and 5.6% of residents, respectively, while 77.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (631 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 87.0% of its population born in Australia, 95.7% being citizens, and 91.3% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay is Christianity, which makes up 68.5% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.
In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay are English, comprising 29.4% of the population (substantially higher than the regional average of 19.0%), Australian, comprising 27.2% of the population (substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%), and Irish, comprising 9.8% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of other ethnic groups: French is overrepresented at 1.0% (vs 0.5% regionally), Greek at 3.7% (vs 1.9%), and Maltese at 1.1% (vs 1.0%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay's median age exceeds the national pattern
At 41 years, Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay's median age is significantly above the Greater Sydney average of 37 as well as somewhat older than the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 15 - 24 cohort is notably over-represented (17.8% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (7.2%). This 15 - 24 concentration is well above the national 12.5%. Following the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 15.4% to 17.8% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 5.1% to 7.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 15.2% to 13.5% and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 10.8% to 9.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Lilli Pilli - Port Hacking - Dolans Bay's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 32%, adding 144 residents to reach 599. On the other hand, both 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups will see reduced numbers.