Picnic Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Picnic Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of the Picnic Point statistical area (Lv2) as of Nov 2025 is around 6,733 people. This reflects an increase of 320 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,413 people. The change was inferred from the resident population estimate of 6,732 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 26 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,744 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Picnic Point's growth rate of 5.0% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 4.1%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 61.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to demographic trends and aggregated SA2-level projections, the Picnic Point (SA2) is expected to increase by 479 persons to reach a total population of around 7,212 people by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 5.0% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Picnic Point when compared nationally

Picnic Point has seen approximately 48 residential properties approved annually, with a total of 242 homes approved over the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25. As of FY-26, around 23 dwellings have been granted approval.

On average, about 0.7 people per year have moved into the area for each dwelling built during these five years. This suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and potential for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new properties in Picnic Point is $532,000, indicating a focus on the premium market. Compared to Greater Sydney, Picnic Point has recorded somewhat elevated construction levels, with 34.0% more dwellings approved per person over the past five years. This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values.

New development consists of 27.0% detached dwellings and 73.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the area's current housing composition of 76.0% houses. This change reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and evolving lifestyles that require more diverse and affordable housing options. With around 146 people per dwelling approval, Picnic Point exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to gain approximately 336 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Picnic Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A single project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include Heathcote Road Upgrade from Infantry Parade to The Avenue, UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project, Revesby Workers Club Redevelopment, and Mixed use development including affordable housing in Padstow. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Picnic Point ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Picnic Point has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 2.5%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%.

Over the past year, employment grew by 3.8%. As of September 2025, 3,976 residents are employed, with a participation rate of 63.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key sectors include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Education & training is particularly strong at 1.5 times the regional level, while professional & technical services are under-represented at 8.8%.

Employment opportunities may be limited locally based on Census data comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment rose by 3.8%, labour force increased by 4.2%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. State-wide in NSW as of 25-Nov-25, employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Picnic Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Picnic Point's median income among taxpayers is $63,274. The average income in the suburb is $78,395. Both figures are among the highest in Australia. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income is $56,994 and the average is $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Picnic Point would be approximately $71,253 (median) and $88,281 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family, and personal incomes in Picnic Point rank highly nationally, between the 75th and 89th percentiles. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominates with 27.5% of residents (1,851 people), aligning with regional levels where this cohort represents 30.9%. Higher earners are a substantial presence in Picnic Point, with 39.8% exceeding $3,000 weekly. This indicates strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 89th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Picnic Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Picnic Point's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 75.5% houses and 24.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Picnic Point was 40.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.1% and rented ones at 15.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,817, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,240. Median weekly rent in Picnic Point was $580, compared to Sydney metro's $425. Nationally, Picmic Point's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,817 than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Picnic Point features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.4% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.6%, consisting of 15.5% lone person households and 1.0% group households. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

The educational profile of Picnic Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Picnic Point trail has 30.0% of residents aged 15+ with university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 34.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 22.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.0% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.6% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 4.5% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 29 active public transport stops in Picnic Point. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 21 individual routes. They collectively facilitate 529 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 154 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 75 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per stop.

Picnic Point's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Picnic Point. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 58% of the total population (3,897 people), compared to 48.6% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.6 and 6.6% of residents respectively. Seventy-three point six percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.8% across Greater Sydney. The area has 17.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,185 people), which is higher than the 15.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Picnic Point was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Picnic Point's population showed higher cultural diversity than most nearby markets, with 23.1% born overseas and 27.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Picnic Point, accounting for 66.8%, compared to 46.5% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (20.7%), English (20.2%), and Other (10.4%).

Notably, Lebanese (5.0%) and Greek (5.4%) populations were higher than regional averages of 14.9% and 3.4%, respectively. Macedonian representation was also notably higher at 2.0%.

Picnic Point's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Picnic Point is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age cohort is notably over-represented in Picnic Point at 14.4%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 9.8%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.7% to 13.3%, while the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 10.8% to 9.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Picnic Point. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 51%, reaching 600 people from 397. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 70% of the population growth, while the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.