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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Padstow Heights is $1.57m, with units at $1.20m. House values have moved 3.7% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Padstow Heights has an estimated 3,611 residents. That puts 1,815 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Padstow Heights has an estimated population of around 3,611, determined through AreaSearch's evaluation of broader ABS demographic releases and newly validated addresses following the Census. This figure indicates an expansion of 17 people (0.5%) compared to the 2021 Census, when 3,594 people were recorded. Such changes are drawn from an estimated resident count of 3,583 derived by AreaSearch from the ABS June 2025 ERP release, alongside 14 validated new addresses identified since the Census date. The suburb of Padstow Heights records a population density of 1,814 persons per square kilometer, placing it above the national average across locations evaluated by AreaSearch.
In recent times, population additions have been largely underpinned by overseas migration, which accounted for approximately 80.0% of total demographic growth. Projections utilized by AreaSearch incorporate ABS/Geoscience Australia modeling released in 2024 with 2022 serving as the baseline year for each SA2 region, supplemented by NSW State Government SA2 projections published in 2022 with 2021 as the base year where necessary. Furthermore, age-cohort growth rates from these datasets are projected across all locations for the years 2032 to 2041. Anticipated demographic trajectories suggest that the suburb of Padstow Heights will record population growth tracking just beneath the median benchmark of statistical regions assessed by AreaSearch. Specifically, aggregated SA2-level estimates indicate the suburb of Padstow Heights is forecast to expand by 283 persons to 2041, representing a cumulative increase of 7.1% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
130 new dwellings have been approved in Padstow Heights over the past five years, an average of 26 a year. That is 5.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 20 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 20% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 2, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's assessment of ABS building approvals distributed from statistical area statistics, development approval has been granted to approximately 26 dwellings annually in Padstow Heights, culminating in roughly 130 homes throughout the past 5 financial years. Within FY-25 to date, 2 approvals have been logged. Considering local demographic contractions in recent times, residential building volumes have remained comparatively sufficient, creating favourable conditions for purchasers. Newly built dwellings carry an average construction value of $483,000. Additionally, commercial development approvals amounting to $589,000 have been filed during this financial year, underlining the overwhelmingly residential focus of the locality.
Per-capita construction volumes in Padstow Heights align closely with Greater Sydney benchmarks, preserving equilibrium across the broader market despite a recent moderation in building rates. Of the approved residential developments, medium and high-density housing represents 80.0%, while detached dwellings account for 20.0%. This orientation toward higher-density stock offers attainable entry pathways that cater to first-home purchasers, investors, and downsizers. It also marks a noticeable departure from the existing residential landscape, where freestanding houses comprise 72.0%, illustrating both a scarcity of development parcels and an adaptation to evolving buyer lifestyles and affordability pressures. With approximately 1800 people per approval, Padstow Heights exhibits the profile of a well-established urban setting. Projections from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate indicate that Padstow Heights will add 255 residents through to 2041. Ongoing rates of residential construction appear well positioned to satisfy upcoming dwelling requirements, establishing supportive conditions for buyers while offering the capacity to accommodate population expansion exceeding current forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Padstow Heights
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 55 current infrastructure and development projects close to Padstow Heights, worth an estimated $7.1 billion. 14 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure investments and urban works play a decisive role in shaping local prospects, with AreaSearch identifying 1 major project expected to influence the surrounding district. Notable developments within the vicinity encompass the UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project, a Mixed use development including affordable housing, Padstow, the Heathcote Road Upgrade - Infantry Parade to The Avenue, and the Revesby Workers Club Redevelopment.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project
Conversion and expansion of the existing UMA Centre in Padstow into a modern indoor sports and community complex featuring multi-use indoor courts (soccer, basketball, volleyball), boxing and martial arts facilities, parking, accessible amenities, change rooms, storage and a flexible auditorium. Works have progressed through demolition and bulk excavation, with construction advancing from the basement slab stage.
29-35 Lochinvar Road Seniors Housing
Demolition of 4 dwellings and construction of a 2-storey seniors housing development containing 19 independent living units (11 x 1-bedroom and 8 x 2-bedroom), 9 car spaces, associated site works and landscaping, and consolidation of 4 lots into a single lot. Determined under Part 5 (HSEPP) with LAHC as proponent.
17-21 Pennsylvania Road Residential Development - Riverwood
A residential development at 17-21 Pennsylvania Road, Riverwood, delivering modern apartments to address housing demand in the Riverwood precinct. The project features contemporary design, communal spaces, and sustainable elements to support local population growth.
Evergreen Industrial
Evergreen Industrial comprises the development of 38 multi-level industrial warehouse units with integrated mezzanine office spaces in the established Padstow industrial precinct. The project delivers strategic light industrial and logistics accommodation with proximity to the M5 Motorway corridor, with construction underway by Belcorp Constructions.
Rail Power Supply Upgrade - Revesby Station
Transport for NSW is delivering power supply upgrades at and around Revesby Station as part of the Sydney rail network enhancement program. Works include upgrades to substations, AC feeder cables, overhead wiring, cable routes and associated electrical infrastructure to support increased rail capacity and future network operations. Construction activity continued through 2025 with staged cable installation and substation works.
21 Charles St Riverwood & 7-9 Brighton Rd Peakhurst Seniors Housing
NSW Land and Housing Corporation (Homes NSW) seniors housing project delivering 14 independent living units (6 x 1-bed and 8 x 2-bed) with landscaping, fencing and 7 surface car spaces across consolidated lots at 21 Charles St Riverwood and 7-9 Brighton Rd Peakhurst. Part 5 REF approved on 27 May 2024. No public evidence of construction commencement specific to this site as at 10 Oct 2025.
Illawong Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Redevelopment and expansion of Illawong Village Shopping Centre including refurbishment of the existing centre, additional retail floor space, new specialty tenancies, upgraded public domain, improved parking and associated site works. The project received planning approval and has progressed into the delivery phase.
Riverwood Community Centre Upgrade
$6 million NSW Government investment to upgrade the 50-year-old community centre serving over 2,000 people weekly. Comprehensive modernisation to support growing multicultural community. Works alongside broader Riverwood Estate redevelopment to improve local amenities.
2,042 residents of Padstow Heights are employed, from a labour force of 2,089. Unemployment sits at 2.2%, with participation at 69.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,914, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Aggregated statistical area data evaluated by AreaSearch indicates that Padstow Heights maintains a skilled labour pool with strong representation in essential services, accompanied by an unemployment rate of 2.2% and annual employment growth estimated at 1.4%. As of March 2026, employed residents total 2,042, with joblessness standing 1.9% beneath the Greater Sydney figure of 4.1%, while overall labour force engagement aligns closely with the metropolitan rate of 68.9%. Census records show 49.5% of workers operating from home, though pandemic-related lockdown measures at the time must be taken into account. The largest shares of working residents are engaged in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.
Concentration is especially pronounced in education & training, which captures a workforce proportion 1.2 times that of the regional benchmark. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 8.1% of local workers compared with 11.5% across Greater Sydney. Comparing the Census working population against resident numbers confirms that this predominantly residential suburb generates limited local employment within its own borders. Over the 12-month period, AreaSearch evaluation of broader ABS and SALM figures shows local employment expanded by 1.4% while the labour pool widened by 1.6%, resulting in an unemployment rate uptick of 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney saw both employment and the labour force increase by 1.9%, with joblessness edging down slightly. Future labour demand can be evaluated using national industry projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia from Mar-26 across five and ten-year horizons. Across Australia, workforce expansion is projected at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with distinct variations across sectors. Applying these sectoral trajectories to the resident workforce profile of Padstow Heights indicates projected job gains of 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, serving as a weighted baseline for illustrative purposes without factoring in localized population adjustments.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Padstow Heights is $1,938 a week (about $101,000 a year), with median personal income at $841 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $56,787 a year against an average of $70,700. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode figures for financial year 2023 show personal earnings in the suburb of Padstow Heights exceed nationwide standards, recording a median income of $56,787 and an average income of $70,700, compared with Greater Sydney medians of $60,817 and averages of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index gains of 10.32% since financial year 2023, updated figures as of March 2026 reach approximately $62,647 for median earnings and $77,996 for the average. Census data places family, household, and individual incomes near the 59th percentile across Australia. Weekly earnings between $1,500 - 2,999 account for 26.8% of residents (967 individuals), aligning with the broader regional level of 30.9%.
Those receiving above $3,000 per week represent 30.5% of the local population. While accommodation expenses absorb 16.6% of income, after-housing earnings reach the 60th percentile, positioning the area in the 7th decile for SEIFA income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Padstow Heights had 1,264 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 72% detached houses and 13% apartments. 42% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 42% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $495 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,500 a month. Rent absorbs 25.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 29.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records reveal that separate houses constitute 72.4% of residential stock in Padstow Heights, with the remaining 27.6% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwellings, whereas the Sydney metro balance stands at 55.9% houses and 44.1% alternative formats. Outright property ownership is elevated at 41.8%, while mortgaged properties represent 42.2% and rented residences make up 16.0%. Monthly mortgage commitments average a median of $2,500 locally, tracking above the Sydney metro median of $2,427 and significantly above the Australian baseline of $1,863. Similarly, median weekly rents stand at $495, surpassing both the Sydney metro rate of $470 and the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Padstow Heights counted 1,264 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.7 people each. 38% are couples with children, against 25% couples without children. 25% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family arrangements comprise 73.7% of total households, made up of couples with children at 38.2%, childless couples at 25.3%, and single parent families at 9.3%. Independent living accounts for the remaining 26.3% of homes, including 25.1% single-person occupants and 1.4% group households. The median household occupancy is 2.7 people, equaling the Greater Sydney norm.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
25.9% of adults in Padstow Heights hold a university qualification, including 17.9% with a bachelor degree and 5.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 25.7% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 307 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,050 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Attainment of tertiary degrees in Padstow Heights sits at 25.9%, remaining below the Greater Sydney standard of 38.0%. Within higher education credentials, bachelor degrees represent 17.9%, postgraduate awards comprise 5.8%, and graduate diplomas account for 2.2%. Vocational qualifications form a substantial component of local skill sets, with 37.6% of residents aged 15+ holding technical certifications, consisting of 11.9% with advanced diplomas and 25.7% with certificates. Student engagement is prominent throughout the community, with 29.0% of the population actively undertaking formal schooling or study. This cohort encompasses 9.7% attending primary schools, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.0% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Padstow Heights reaches 23 stops on 10 routes, timetabled for about 610 services a week. The typical home sits about 190 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure across Padstow Heights comprises 23 active bus stops operating across 10 distinct routes, generating 611 weekly scheduled services. Network access is exceptionally convenient, with local homes situated an average of 193 meters from the nearest stop. Commuting patterns reflect the area's residential profile as workers travel outward, with private vehicles accounting for 89% of journeys and rail transit utilized by 7%. Household car availability averages 1.5 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the metropolitan standard. Additionally, 49.5% of working residents performed their jobs from home according to the 2021 Census, reflecting prevailing COVID-19 circumstances.
Transit timetables provide an average of 87 daily services across the entire route network, representing approximately 26 departures per week at each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.5% of residents in Padstow Heights report no long-term health condition. 7.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 54.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
General wellness metrics across Padstow Heights reflect favourable health trends, with AreaSearch evaluations of chronic conditions and mortality figures aligning with nationwide standards. While general health ailments remain infrequent across the wider populace, higher incidence rates emerge among senior and vulnerable groups. Private health insurance membership is held by approximately 55% of residents (~1,981 people), compared with 59.9% recorded throughout Greater Sydney. The most frequently reported long-term ailments are arthritis, affecting 9.4% of individuals, and mental health issues, impacting 6.4%, while 68.5% of the local population reported no chronic conditions compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney.
Residents aged under 65 generally display above-average physical wellbeing. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 25.4% of the population (917 people), substantially exceeding the Greater Sydney share of 15.5%, with older cohorts encountering greater health challenges and scoring lower against national health benchmarks than younger age brackets.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Padstow Heights is largely Australian-born, at 75.8% of residents, with 26.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (23.4%) and Australian (21.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Padstow Heights demonstrates notable cultural variety, with 24.2% of residents born abroad and 26.2% speaking a non-English language in their households. Religious affiliation is predominantly Christian, representing 72.1% of the community compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. In terms of parental lineage, the leading ancestral backgrounds in Padstow Heights are English at 23.4%, Australian at 21.0%, and Other at 9.9%, which sits below the regional level of 16.0%. Specific cultural groups exhibit marked concentration relative to wider benchmarks, including Greek heritage at 6.4% (versus 1.9% regionally), Lebanese at 4.4% (versus 2.6%), and Macedonian at 2.1% (versus 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Padstow Heights is 44, older than 76% of areas nationally. 22.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic distribution in the suburb of Padstow Heights leans substantially toward mature age cohorts. As of estimates updated to August 2026, seniors and retirees aged 65+ make up 25.4% of the community compared to 15.5% across Greater Sydney, while residents aged 25 - 44 represent 22.2% against a regional level of 31.4%. The median age is estimated at 44, remaining static since the 2021 Census, which sits 7 years above the Greater Sydney median of 37 and higher than the national Census figure of 38. Between the Census and current figures, the share of residents aged 45 - 64 decreased from 25.2% to an estimated 23.9%.
Long-term forecasts to 2041 indicate that the retiree and elderly demographic will see the greatest expansion, rising by 404 residents (44%) to reach 1,321, while cohorts comprising children, young adults, and people aged 25 - 44 are expected to experience contractions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Padstow Heights
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 14 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,594 at the 2021 Census → 3,611 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL13132). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.