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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
Padstow Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends
Based on ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of November 2025, the Padstow Heights statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 4,283. This reflects a growth of 689 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,594. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 4,056 residents following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 2,152 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Padstow Heights (SA2) growth rate of 19.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region's 7.5% and the state's growth rates, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 80.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.
AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to demographic trends and aggregated SA2-level projections, the Padstow Heights (SA2) is expected to grow by 377 persons to 2041, reflecting a decrease of 2.2% in total over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Padstow Heights recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide
AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Padstow Heights shows around 37 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years ending FY25. This totals an estimated 189 homes. So far in FY26, 24 approvals have been recorded. The average population increase per dwelling built over these years is 0.1 people.
New supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes is $483,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $589,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Padstow Heights records 79.0% more new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice. New building activity consists of 26.0% detached dwellings and 74.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current housing pattern of 72.0% houses. This suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.
With around 107 people per dwelling approval, Padstow Heights exhibits characteristics of a growth area. However, with population expected to remain stable or decline, reduced pressure on housing is anticipated, potentially creating buying opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Padstow Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally
Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project expected to affect the region: UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project, involving a mixed-use development featuring affordable housing. Other notable initiatives include Heathcote Road Upgrade from Infantry Parade to The Avenue and Revesby Workers Club Redevelopment.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Sydney Metro City & Southwest
A 30km metro rail extension connecting Chatswood to Bankstown. The Chatswood to Sydenham section, featuring a new harbour crossing and seven CBD stations, opened in August 2024. The final stage involves converting the 13km T3 Bankstown Line to metro standards, including upgrades to 10 stations with platform screen doors and full accessibility. Following the T3 line closure in late 2024, the project is currently in a rigorous testing and commissioning phase, with trains operating end-to-end at speeds up to 100km/h as of early 2026. The Sydenham to Bankstown section is scheduled to open in the second half of 2026.
Sydney Metro West
Sydney Metro West is a new 24-kilometre underground metro rail line connecting Greater Parramatta and the Sydney CBD. The project includes nine confirmed stations: Westmead, Parramatta, Sydney Olympic Park, North Strathfield, Burwood North, Five Dock, The Bays, Pyrmont, and Hunter Street. As of early 2026, major tunneling is nearing completion with the western section (Pyrmont to Westmead) finished in late 2025 and eastern TBMs Ruby and Jessie progressing toward Hunter Street. The project will double rail capacity between the two CBDs, offering a 20-minute travel time and 'turn-up-and-go' services by the target opening date of 2032.
Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion
The conversion of the 13.5km T3 Bankstown Line to metro standards involves upgrading 11 stations (Marrickville to Bankstown) with platform screen doors and mechanical gap fillers. The project provides level access at all stations, including new lifts at Wiley Park, Dulwich Hill, and others. Following a September 2024 closure for intensive works, the line will support driverless trains every 4 minutes during peak periods. As of February 2026, testing is ramping up with multiple trains performing high-speed trials at 100km/h and 80 percent of overall construction is complete.
Community Infrastructure Strategic Plan 2050
Adopted in May 2024, this long-term framework guides the planning, funding, and delivery of 149 community facilities through 2050. It focuses on consolidating ageing assets into modern multipurpose hubs, including district libraries, youth centers, and aquatic facilities like the Canterbury Leisure and Aquatics Centre. The plan addresses a population forecast to exceed 500,000 by 2036, prioritizing high-growth catchments such as Bankstown CBD and Campsie.
Rail Service Improvement Program - T4 Illawarra & Eastern Suburbs Line
A major multi-billion-dollar upgrade program (formerly More Trains, More Services) designed to modernize the rail network for higher frequency and reliability. Key works for the T4 line include the Digital Systems Program replacing traditional signalling with ETCS Level 2 'in-cab' technology, platform extensions at stations like Waterfall and Kiama to accommodate New Intercity Fleet (Mariyung) trains, power supply upgrades, and a new stabling yard at Waterfall. Testing for Digital Systems is currently underway between Sutherland and Cronulla, with the Bondi Junction to Erskineville section beginning tests in 2026.
Revesby Workers Club Redevelopment
$120 million club-led redevelopment delivering the Revesby Village Centre (anchored by Coles and Liquorland), a multi-level medical precinct (Brett St Medical), family entertainment with Zone Bowling and Flip Out, plus new links and facilities integrated with Revesby Workers Club. The Village Centre opened in 2015 and the broader redevelopment has been trading since, with ongoing leasing and operations.
UMA Centre Padstow Transformation Project
Conversion and expansion of the existing UMA Centre in Padstow into a modern indoor sports and community complex featuring multi-use indoor courts (soccer, basketball, volleyball), boxing and martial arts facilities, parking, accessible amenities, change rooms, storage and a flexible auditorium. Works have progressed through demolition and bulk excavation, with construction advancing from the basement slab stage.
M6 Stage 2
M6 Stage 2 is the proposed southern extension of the M6 motorway from President Avenue at Kogarah through twin tunnels to connect with the Princes Highway near Loftus and ultimately link to the M1 Princes Motorway. The project has been indefinitely shelved since 2022 due to market conditions, labour shortages and lack of funding commitment. The corridor remains reserved but there is no active planning, approval process or construction timeline as of December 2025.
Employment
AreaSearch analysis reveals Padstow Heights significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide
Padstow Heights has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.7%.
As of September 2025, 2,179 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 1.9% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. The workforce participation rate is significantly lower at 54.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Major employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, the area has a high specialization in education & training, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level.
However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 8.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.7% while the labour force grew by 3.8%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% with a slight increase in unemployment to 4.4%. State-level data from November 25 shows NSW employment contracted slightly by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national average of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts, released in May-25, project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Padstow Heights' employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch
AreaSearch's data for Padstow Heights in financial year 2023 shows median income at $56,787 and average income at $70,700. This is higher than national averages of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average). By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $61,818 (median) and $76,964 (average), based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census places Padstow Heights at the 59th percentile nationally for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis shows that 26.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, consistent with regional trends of 30.9%. Notably, 30.5% of residents earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the area. Housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but disposable income remains at the 60th percentile nationally. Padstow Heights ranks in the 7th decile for SEIFA income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Padstow Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
Dwelling structure in Padstow Heights, as evaluated at the latest Census on 28 August 2016, comprised 72.4% houses and 27.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Padstow Heights stood at 41.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.2% and rented dwellings at 16.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's $2,240 average. Median weekly rent in Padstow Heights was $495, compared to Sydney metro's $425. Nationally, Padstow Heights' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 as of 2017-2018, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 for the same period.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Padstow Heights has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size
Family households constitute 73.7% of all households, including 38.2% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 26.3%, with lone person households at 25.1% and group households at 1.4%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
The educational profile of Padstow Heights exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics
The area's university qualification rate is 25.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (25.7%). Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.7% in primary, 9.0% in secondary, and 5.0% in tertiary education.
Educational participation is notably high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
The transport analysis indicates that Padstow Heights has 18 active public transport stops in operation. These are served by a mix of buses operating along 12 different routes. In total, these routes facilitate 747 weekly passenger trips.
The accessibility to transport is rated as good, with residents generally residing within 225 meters of the nearest stop. On average, there are 106 daily trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 41 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Padstow Heights is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts
Padstow Heights faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 55% of its total population (~2,350 people) have private health cover, compared to 49.5% across Greater Sydney.
The most common medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 9.4% of residents) and mental health issues (6.4%). About 68.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.8% in Greater Sydney. Approximately 25.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,079 people), which is higher than the 15.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Padstow Heights was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Padstow Heights, surveyed in June 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 24.2% of its population born overseas and 26.2% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 72.1%, compared to 46.5% in Greater Sydney (as of June 2016). The top three ancestry groups were English (23.4%), Australian (21.0%), and Other (9.9%).
Notably, Greek (6.4%) and Lebanese (4.4%) populations were higher than regional averages (3.4% and 14.9%, respectively), while Macedonian was slightly higher at 2.1%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Padstow Heights hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average
Padstow Heights has a median age of 44, which exceeds Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and is substantially higher than the national norm of 38. The 75-84 age group comprises 9.2%, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 10.0%. Following the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 9.0% to 10.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.0% to 11.9%. Demographic modeling indicates Padstow Heights's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041. Leading this shift, the 85+ group is projected to grow by 67%, reaching 422 from 252. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for all projected growth. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.