Condell Park

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Condell Park's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 13,638. This figure represents an increase of 865 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,773. The growth is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 13,584 in June 2025 and validated new addresses since then. This results in a population density ratio of 1,363 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Condell Park's growth rate of 6.8% since the 2021 Census exceeds both its SA3 area (5.4%) and SA4 region, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56.1% to the overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Condell Park's population is projected to increase by approximately 937 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 6.5% over the 16-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park has seen approximately 68 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 341 homes received approval, with an additional 47 approved so far in FY-26. On average, each dwelling constructed over these years has accommodated around 1.9 new residents per year. However, this figure has increased to 5.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing demand and tightening supply.

The average construction value of development projects in Condell Park is $281,000, which is lower than the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. This year alone, commercial development approvals have totalled $98.7 million, reflecting strong local business investment. When compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park maintains similar levels of development per capita, indicating a balanced market consistent with the broader area. New developments consist of 37.0% detached houses and 63.0% attached dwellings, marking a shift from the current housing pattern of 66.0% houses. This focus on higher-density living caters to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers, potentially responding to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences.

With around 320 people per approval, Condell Park reflects a transitioning market. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 880 residents, with current development rates expected to comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Condell Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 31 projects expected to affect the area. Notable ones include Parks for People Program - Bankstown, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, Riverlands by Mirvac, and Bankstown Airport Retail Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Condell Park faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Condell Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 7.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.4%. As of December 2025, 5,628 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, indicating room for improvement.

Workforce participation lagged significantly at 57.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 32.5% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade was particularly strong, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services were under-represented at 6.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. With a worker-to-resident ratio of 1.1, Condell Park functioned as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.4% alongside labour force growth of 5.3%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Condell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Condell Park SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $44,707 and an average income of $53,765 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was below the national average, with Greater Sydney's median income being $60,817 and average income being $83,003. By March 2026, estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $49,321 and the average income around $59,314, based on a 10.32% growth in wages since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census data showed individual incomes at the 8th percentile ($566 weekly) and household incomes at the 43rd percentile. In Condell Park, 32.5% of locals (4,432 people) earned between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, similar to the metropolitan region's pattern where 30.9% fell into this range. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 79.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condell Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census report, consisted of 66.2% houses and 33.8% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is in contrast to Sydney metropolitan areas which had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Condell Park was higher at 35.1%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 36.0% and rented dwellings making up the remaining 29.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Condell Park was $2,300, lower than Sydney's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure stood at $500, compared to Sydney's average of $470 nationally. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.7% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.3%, comprising 14.3% lone person households and 2.0% group households. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 22.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 28.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (17.3%). Educational participation is high at 36.1%, with 13.0% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.0% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condell Park has 136 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 44 different routes that together facilitate 2,323 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is excellent, with residents on average located just 145 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to Condell Park being primarily residential. Car remains the dominant mode of transport, used by 86% of residents, while only 6% use the train. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.6, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 32.5% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 331 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per stop. The map provided shows the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Condell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows notable results in Condell Park, with AreaSearch's assessment indicating low mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 47% (~6,355 people) have private health cover, which is significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (5.9%) and diabetes (5.5%), while 77.4% report being free from medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney.

Condell Park has a senior population of 15.1% (2,056 people), with health outcomes among seniors ranking lower nationally than the broader population but above average locally.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.1% of its population born overseas and 68.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Condell Park, making up 44.8% of people there, but Islam is significantly overrepresented at 34.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.8%. The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese at 23.5%, Other at 19.1%, and Australian at 12.9%.

Notably, Vietnamese (11.7% vs regional 1.8%), Macedonian (2.2% vs 0.4%), and Greek (4.2% vs 1.9%) ethnic groups are also overrepresented in Condell Park compared to the regional averages.

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Condell Park's median age is 34 years, lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.0%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 14.7% to 15.5%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 16.2% to 14.9%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes in Condell Park's population structure. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 65%, adding 461 residents to reach a total of 1,171. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 71% of the population growth, reflecting demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 0-4 and 5-14.