Condell Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Condell Park's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 13,871. This figure shows an increase of 1,098 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,773. The growth from June 2024's estimated resident population of 13,661, combined with 320 validated new addresses, accounts for this increase. This results in a population density ratio of 1,387 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Condell Park's growth rate of 8.6% since the 2021 census exceeds the SA3 area's 4.1%, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving this growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Condell Park is projected to grow by 1,029 persons, reflecting a total increase of 3.9% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park has seen around 68 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25341 homes were approved, with an additional 17 approved so far in FY-26. This translates to approximately 1.9 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these five years, indicating balanced supply and demand, stable market conditions. However, recent figures show this has increased to 5.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting rising demand and tightening supply.

Development projects average $281,000 in construction value, lower than the regional average, offering more affordable housing options for buyers. This year alone, $98.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating strong local business investment. Comparing Condell Park to Greater Sydney, it maintains similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. New developments consist of 37.0% detached houses and 63.0% attached dwellings, a shift from existing housing patterns (currently 66.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 320 people per approval, Condell Park reflects a transitioning market.

Looking ahead, Condell Park is projected to grow by 538 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Condell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 30 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion, Parks for People Program - Bankstown, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, and Riverlands by Mirvac. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Condell Park faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Condell Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 7.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1%.

As of June 2025, there are 5,557 residents employed, while the unemployment rate is 3.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags behind Greater Sydney at 44.5%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade is particularly strong with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 6.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. As at the Census, there are 1.1 workers for every resident, indicating Condell Park functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.1% while labour force grew by 2.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Condell Park's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Condell Park had a median taxpayer income of $39,808 and an average of $49,904 in financial year 2022. This was lower than the national average, with Greater Sydney having a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856 during the same period. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $44,828 (median) and $56,197 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, individual incomes were at the 8th percentile ($566 weekly), while household income was at the 43rd percentile. The earnings profile showed that 32.5% of locals (4,508 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. This trend was similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupied this range. Housing affordability pressures were severe in Condell Park, with only 79.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condell Park's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.2% houses and 33.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Sydney metro had 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condell Park was 35.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.0% and rented ones at 29.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,300, compared to Sydney metro's $2,240. Median weekly rent in Condell Park was $500, while it was $425 in Sydney metro. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,300 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.7% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.3%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 22.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 28.0% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 17.3%. Educational participation is high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 13.0% in primary, 10.3% in secondary, and 6.3% in tertiary education.

Condell Park's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,507 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 993) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes one primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school. School places per 100 residents are at 10.9, below the regional average of 16.8, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condell Park has 130 active public transport stops. These are served by buses on 47 different routes. The total weekly passenger trips made from these stops is 2,325.

Residents have excellent accessibility to transport, with an average distance of 145 meters to the nearest stop. On average, there are 332 trips per day across all routes, which means each stop gets about 17 weekly trips.

Condell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Condell Park, particularly for younger cohorts with low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover rate is very low at approximately 46% (~6,394 people), compared to 48.6% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (5.9%) and diabetes (5.5%), with 77.4% of residents reporting no medical ailments, higher than the 75.8% in Greater Sydney.

Condell Park has 14.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,048 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.8%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention compared to the broader population.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park has a culturally diverse population, with 43.1% born overseas and 68.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Condell Park, accounting for 44.8%. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented at 34.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 27.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese (23.5%), Other (19.1%), and Australian (12.9%). Notably, Vietnamese (11.7%) and Macedonian (2.2%) are overrepresented in Condell Park compared to regional averages of 8.5% and 1.7%, respectively. Greek ancestry is also somewhat higher at 4.2%.

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Condell Park's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.1%), but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 14.7% to 15.7%, while the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 16.2% to 15.1%. By 2041, Condell Park's population is projected to undergo significant demographic changes. The cohort aged 75-84 is expected to grow by 67%, adding 462 residents and reaching a total of 1,153. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 78% of the population growth, indicating a trend towards an aging demographic. Conversely, population declines are projected for the cohorts aged 0-4 and 15-24.