Condell Park

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Condell Park's population is around 13,871 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,098 people (8.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,773 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,661 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 320 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,387 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Condell Park's 8.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (4.1%), along with the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is expected, with the area expected to grow by 1,029 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 3.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park has seen approximately 68 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25341 homes have been approved, with an additional 21 approved so far in FY-26. On average, over these five years, each dwelling constructed has accommodated about 1.9 new residents per year. However, this figure has increased to 5.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating a rise in demand and tightening supply.

The average construction value of development projects is $281,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. This year alone, Condell Park has recorded $98.7 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park maintains similar development levels per person, indicating a balanced market consistent with the broader area. The new developments consist of 37.0% detached houses and 63.0% attached dwellings, marking a shift from the current housing pattern of 66.0% houses. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

Condell Park reflects a transitioning market with around 320 people per approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Condell Park is expected to grow by 538 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Condell Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 30 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion, Parks for People Program - Bankstown, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, and Riverlands by Mirvac. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Condell Park faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Condell Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 8.0% in the past year.

Employment growth was estimated at 3.3%. As of September 2025, 5,571 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.8%, higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags at 44.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area functions as an employment hub with 1.1 workers per resident. Over a 12-month period, ending September 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force grew by 4.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment of 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data from NSW as at 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts suggest a national expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Condell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Condell Park SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $39,808 and an average income of $49,904 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, with Greater Sydney's median income being $56,994 and average income $80,856 in the same period. By September 2025, estimates based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth suggest the median income will be approximately $44,828 and the average income around $56,197. The 2021 Census data shows individual incomes at the 8th percentile ($566 weekly) and household incomes at the 43rd percentile. In Condell Park, 32.5% of locals (4,508 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 per week, similar to the metropolitan region's 30.9%. Housing affordability is severe, with only 79.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condell Park's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.2% houses and 33.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condell Park was at 35.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.0% and rented ones at 29.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,300, higher than Sydney metro's $2,240. The median weekly rent figure was $500, compared to Sydney metro's $425. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.7% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for 16.3%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 22.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 28.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 17.3%. Educational participation is high, with 36.1% currently enrolled in formal education: 13.0% in primary, 10.3% in secondary, and 6.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.0% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condell Park has 130 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 47 different routes that together facilitate 2,325 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is considered excellent, with residents on average being located just 145 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 332 trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Condell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Condell Park's health outcomes data shows excellent results, particularly for younger cohorts with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 46% (around 6,394 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 48.6%, and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (5.9%) and diabetes (5.5%).

Around 77.4% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 75.8%. Approximately 14.8% (2,048 people) are aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 15.8%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention compared to the broader population.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.1% of its population born overseas and 68.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Condell Park is Christianity, accounting for 44.8% of the population. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented, comprising 34.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 27.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese (23.5%), Other (19.1%), and Australian (12.9%). Notably, Vietnamese (11.7%) and Macedonian (2.2%) populations are overrepresented in Condell Park compared to regional averages of 8.5% and 1.7%, respectively. Additionally, the Greek population is also higher than the regional average at 4.2%.

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Condell Park's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and considerably younger than Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (15.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population of residents aged 15-24 has grown from 14.7% to 15.7%, while the percentage of residents aged 5-14 has declined from 16.2% to 15.1%. By 2041, Condell Park's population is forecasted to undergo significant demographic changes. The cohort aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 67%, adding 462 residents to reach a total of 1,153. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 78% of the population growth, highlighting trends towards an aging population. Conversely, population declines are projected for the cohorts aged 0-4 and 15-24.