Condell Park

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Condell Park's population is around 14,241 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,468 people (11.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,773 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,395 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 319 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,424 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Condell Park's 11.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (7.6%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 1,029 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 1.2% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park has seen around 68 new homes approved annually, totalling 341 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 32 approvals have been recorded. At an average of 1.9 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, though recent data shows this has intensified to 5.6 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. Development projects average $281,000 in construction value—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $98.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating strong commercial development momentum.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Condell Park has similar development levels (per person), maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. New building activity shows 37.0% detached dwellings and 63.0% attached dwellings. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 66.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 320 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth.

Population forecasts indicate Condell Park will gain 168 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Condell Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 31 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion, Parks for People Program - Bankstown, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, and Riverlands by Mirvac, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Condell Park are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Condell Park possesses a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 7.7%, and 5.4% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,628 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 3.5% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (58.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 32.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in retail trade, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. On the other hand, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 6.7% of Condell Park's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. With 1.1 workers for every resident as at the Census, the area functions as an employment hub, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 5.4% alongside the labour force increasing by 5.3%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Condell Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Condell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Condell Park SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $44,707 and an average of $53,765 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is below the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $48,668 (median) and $58,529 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, individual incomes lag at the 8th percentile ($566 weekly), while household income performs better at the 43rd percentile. Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 32.5% of the community (4,628 individuals), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Condell Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 66.2% houses and 33.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Condell Park was higher than that of Sydney metro, at 35.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (36.0%) or rented (29.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Sydney metro average at $2,300, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $500, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 83.7% of all households, comprising 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.3%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size of 3.4 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (22.0%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 28.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (17.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.0% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 136 active transport stops operating within Condell Park, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 44 individual routes, collectively providing 2,323 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 145 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 86%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 32.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 331 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Condell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Condell Park, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 47% of the total population (~6,636 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and diabetes, impacting 5.9 and 5.5% of residents, respectively, while 77.4% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 15.2% of residents aged 65 and over (2,171 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park scores highly on cultural diversity, with 43.1% of its population born overseas and 68.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Condell Park is Christianity, making up 44.8% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 34.7% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Condell Park are Lebanese, comprising 23.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 2.6%, Other, comprising 19.1% of the population, and Australian, comprising 12.9% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of other ethnic groups: Vietnamese is overrepresented at 11.7% of Condell Park (vs 1.8% regionally), Macedonian at 2.2% (vs 0.4%) and Greek at 4.2% (vs 1.9%).

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

At 34 years, Condell Park's median age is somewhat lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and similarly considerably younger than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (15.0%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (12.7%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 14.7% to 15.7% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 16.2% to 15.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Condell Park. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 57%, adding 416 residents to reach 1,153. Senior residents (65+) will drive 85% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 and 15 to 24 cohorts.