Condell Park

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Condell Park's population is approximately 14,241 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 1,468 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,773. The growth is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 13,395 in June 2024 and an additional 319 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density of 1,424 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Condell Park's growth rate of 11.5% since the 2021 Census exceeds both its SA4 region (7.6%) and state averages, positioning it as a growth leader in the area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is utilizing ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the median of national statistical areas, with Condell Park expected to gain approximately 1,029 persons by 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total growth rate of 1.2% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park has seen approximately 68 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 341 homes. As of FY-26, 29 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 1.9 new residents arrived per new home each year. However, this number has increased to 5.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. The average construction value of development projects in Condell Park is $281,000, below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year alone, $98.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. New building activity shows 37.0% detached dwellings and 63.0% attached dwellings, reflecting a focus on higher-density living that caters to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This is a significant change from the current housing mix of 66.0% houses. The location has approximately 320 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Condell Park is forecasted to gain 168 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Condell Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 31 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion, Parks for People Program - Bankstown, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, and Riverlands by Mirvac. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Condell Park are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Condell Park's workforce is skilled with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 8.0% in the past year. Employment growth was estimated at 3.3%.

As of September 2025, 5,571 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags significantly at 57.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A high 32.5% of residents work from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade is notably concentrated with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. There are 1.1 workers per resident, indicating Condell Park functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. In the 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force grew by 4.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.7 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, and a 0.2 percentage point increase in unemployment during the same period. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Condell Park's employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Condell Park SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $44,707 and an average income of $53,765 in the financial year 2023. This was lower than the national average. In Greater Sydney, the median income was $60,817 and the average was $83,003. By September 2025, based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes would be approximately $48,668 (median) and $58,529 (average). According to the 2021 Census, individual incomes were at the 8th percentile ($566 weekly), while household income was at the 43rd percentile. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 captured 32.5% of Condell Park's community (4,628 individuals). This is consistent with regional trends, where 30.9% fell into the same category. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 79.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condell Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.2% houses and 33.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condell Park was at 35.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.0% and rented ones at 29.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $500, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments are higher at $2,300 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.7% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.3%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 22.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (17.3%). Educational participation is high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.0% in primary, 10.3% in secondary, and 6.3% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condell Park has 136 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 44 different routes, offering a total of 2,323 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living 145 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Condell Park being primarily residential. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 86%, while trains account for 6%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 32.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 331 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 17 weekly trips per stop. The provided map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Condell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Condell Park shows excellent health outcomes according to AreaSearch's evaluation. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is quite low at approximately 47% of the total population (~6,636 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (5.9%) and diabetes (5.5%). 77.4% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. 15.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,171 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.1% of its population born overseas and 68.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Condell Park, making up 44.8% of people. However, Islam is overrepresented, comprising 34.7%, which is substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese (23.5%), Other (19.1%), and Australian (12.9%). Notably, Vietnamese (11.7%) and Macedonian (2.2%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.8% and 0.4%, respectively. Greek population is also notably higher at 4.2%.

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Condell Park's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 14.7% to 15.7%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 16.2% to 15.0%. By 2041, Condell Park's population is projected to see significant demographic changes. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 57%, adding 416 residents to reach a total of 1,153. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 85% of the population growth, indicating a trend towards an aging population. Conversely, populations in the 25-34 and 15-24 age groups are projected to decline.