Condell Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Condell Park's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 13,775. This figure represents a growth of 1,002 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,773. The increase is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 13,718 in June 2024 and an additional 275 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,377 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Condell Park's growth rate of 7.8% since the 2021 census exceeds both the SA3 area (4.0%) and the SA4 region, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.4% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Condell Park is projected to have a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with an expected growth of 1,029 persons. This reflects an overall increase of 4.6% over the 17-year period based on the latest population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park has seen approximately 68 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 341 homes were approved, with an additional 13 approved in FY26 so far. On average, each dwelling constructed over these years accommodated about 1.9 new residents yearly. However, this figure has increased to 5.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing demand and tightening supply.

The average construction value of development projects in Condell Park is $388,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year alone, commercial development approvals totalled $98.7 million, reflecting robust local business investment. Comparing Condell Park's development levels with Greater Sydney on a per capita basis shows similar figures, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. New developments in Condell Park consist of 37% detached houses and 63% attached dwellings, marking a shift from the current housing pattern of 66% houses. This transition reflects diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

Currently, Condell Park has around 320 people per approval. By 2041, it is projected to grow by an additional 634 residents. If current development rates continue, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Condell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 29 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, Riverlands by Mirvac, and The Gateway. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Condell Park faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Condell Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 7.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1%.

As of June 2025, 5,557 residents are employed, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Sydney's at 3.4%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation lags behind Greater Sydney's at 44.5%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area functions as an employment hub with 1.1 workers per resident, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, labour force by 2.6%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local growth patterns may differ due to variations between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Condell Park's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Condell Park's median taxpayer income was $39,808 and average income was $49,904 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is below the national average of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average) for Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated median income as of September 2025 is approximately $44,828, with average income estimated at $56,197. In the 2021 Census, individual incomes were at the 8th percentile ($566 weekly), while household incomes were at the 43rd percentile. The earnings profile shows that 32.5% of locals (4,476 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condell Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.2% houses and 33.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condell Park stood at 35.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.0% and rented ones at 29.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, higher than Sydney metro's $2,240. The median weekly rent was $500, compared to Sydney metro's $425. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.7% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.3%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 22.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (16.2%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 28.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (17.3%). Educational participation is high at 36.1%, comprising 13.0% in primary, 10.3% in secondary, and 6.3% in tertiary education.

Condell Park's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,507 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 993). The educational mix includes one primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school. School places per 100 residents are 10.9, below the regional average of 16.8, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condell Park has 130 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 47 different routes that together facilitate 2,325 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located 145 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 332 trips per day, which equates to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Condell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Condell Park's health outcomes show exceptional results, particularly for younger age groups who have a very low prevalence of common health conditions. As of June 2021, approximately 46% (~6,350 people) had private health cover, which is lower than Greater Sydney's 48.6%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in Condell Park are arthritis (5.9%) and diabetes (5.5%), while 77.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 75.8% across Greater Sydney. As of June 2021, 14.8% (~2,034 people) of Condell Park's population is aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 15.8%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park has a population where 43.1% were born overseas, with 68.4% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Condell Park, accounting for 44.8% of its residents. Islam, however, is significantly overrepresented compared to the Greater Sydney average, comprising 34.7% of Condell Park's population.

The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese (23.5%), Other (19.1%), and Australian (12.9%). Notably, Vietnamese (11.7%) and Macedonian (2.2%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages, as is Greek (4.2%).

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Condell Park's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (15.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population of those aged 15 to 24 has grown from 14.7% to 15.7%, while the percentage of those aged 5 to 14 has declined from 16.2% to 15.1%. By 2041, Condell Park's population is expected to show significant demographic changes. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 68%, adding 467 residents to reach a total of 1,153. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 76% of the population growth, indicating a trend towards an aging demographic. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 years old.