Condell Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Condell Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Condell Park's population is approximately 13,775 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,002 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,773. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,718 in June 2024 and an additional 275 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,377 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Condell Park's growth rate of 7.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (4.0%) and the SA4 region, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Condell Park is expected to grow by 1,029 persons based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 4.6% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Condell Park when compared nationally

Condell Park has received approximately 68 dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reports that between Financial Year (FY) 21 and FY 25, around 341 homes were approved. As of FY 26, there have been 9 approvals. On average, each dwelling constructed has accommodated 1.9 new residents over the past five financial years. However, this figure has increased to 5.6 people per dwelling in the last two years, indicating growing demand and potential supply constraints.

The average construction value of new properties is $388,000, which is lower than regional levels. In FY 26, commercial approvals totalled $98.7 million, suggesting strong local business investment. Condell Park's development levels are similar to Greater Sydney's when considered per capita, maintaining market balance with the broader area. New developments consist of 37% standalone homes and 63% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the current housing mix of 66% houses. This trend reflects reduced availability of development sites and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 320 people per dwelling approval, Condell Park exhibits a developing market. By 2041, Condell Park is projected to gain approximately 634 new residents. Given current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Condell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 32 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Sydney Metro Bankstown Line Conversion, Birdwood Road Mixed-Use Precinct, Riverlands by Mirvac, and The Gateway. Below is a list of those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market performance in Condell Park lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Condell Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 7.6%. Over the past year ending June 2025, employment grew by an estimated 2.1%.

As of that date, 5,557 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation in Condell Park lags significantly at 44.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade is particularly strong with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 6.7% of Condell Park's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. There are 1.1 workers for every resident in Condell Park, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1% while the labour force grew by 2.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. By Sep-25, NSW employment had contracted by 0.41%, losing 19,270 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.5% and employment growth lagged behind NSW at 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project an expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Condell Park's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4%% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, although this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Condell Park's median taxpayer income in financial year 2022 was $39,808, with an average of $49,904 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is below the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By March 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $44,028, and average income would be around $55,194, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, individual incomes were at the 8th percentile ($566 weekly), while household incomes were at the 43rd percentile. The earnings profile shows that 32.5% of locals (4,476 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Condell Park, with only 79.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Condell Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condell Park's dwellings, as per the latest Census report, consisted of 66.2% houses and 33.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condell Park stood at 35.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.0% and rented ones at 29.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,240. The median weekly rent in Condell Park was recorded as $500, compared to Sydney metro's $425. Nationally, Condell Park's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Condell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.7% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.3%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Condell Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 22.0%, significantly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 28.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (17.3%).

Educational participation is high at 36.1%, including 13.0% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education. Condell Park's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,507 students and demonstrate typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 993). The educational mix includes one primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school. School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average at 10.9, with some students likely attending schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condell Park has 130 active public transport stops. These are served by buses from 47 different routes. Together, these provide 2,325 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 145 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency is 332 trips per day across all routes, which equals about 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Condell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Condell Park, particularly for younger cohorts who have a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 46% (~6,350 people) have private health cover, compared to 48.6% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (5.9%) and diabetes (5.5%), with 77.4% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to 75.8% in Greater Sydney.

Condell Park has 14.8% (2,034 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than the 15.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average.

Condell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condell Park, one of the country's most culturally diverse areas, has 43.1% of its population born overseas and 68.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Condell Park, comprising 44.8% of people. Islam is overrepresented, making up 34.7%, higher than Greater Sydney's average of 27.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese (23.5%), Other (19.1%), and Australian (12.9%). Notably, Vietnamese (11.7%) and Macedonian (2.2%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 8.5% and 1.7%, respectively. Greek population is also higher at 4.2%.

Condell Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Condell Park's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Condell Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (15.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 14.7% to 15.7%, while the percentage of residents aged 5 to 14 has declined from 16.2% to 15.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Condell Park. The cohort aged 75 to 84 is projected to grow by 68%, adding 467 residents to reach a total of 1,153. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 76% of the population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 years.