Bass Hill

Population growth drivers in Bass Hill are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As per ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation for the suburb of Bass Hill, the estimated population as of May 2026 is around 10,493. This figure represents an increase of 263 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,230. The current resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 10,465, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,544 persons per square kilometer, placing Bass Hill in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections, Bass Hill is expected to experience a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation, with an anticipated expansion of 985 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 9.1% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Bass Hill when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Bass Hill had approximately 47 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 237 homes were approved, with an additional 37 approved in FY26 up to now. This results in an average of about 1.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed during these years.

The market exhibits a balanced supply and demand dynamic, indicating stable conditions. The average construction cost value for new homes is around $423,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting focus on quality developments. In FY26 up to now, approximately $7.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's predominantly residential character. New development consists of 35% detached houses and 65% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a shift from the existing housing composition of 72% houses.

This shift indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles, with an increasing need for diverse, affordable housing options. Bass Hill has around 261 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Bass Hill is projected to add approximately 957 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Bass Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 15 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Chester Square Redevelopment, Chester Hill Station Upgrade, Condell Park High School Upgrade, and Bankstown Central Masterplan. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Bass Hill lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Bass Hill has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 11.5% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 4.2%. As of December 2025, 3983 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 7.3%, higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation lags at 55.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A high 35.3% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a significant specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, employing 1.7 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employ only 6.6% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. In the past year, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bass Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Bass Hill suburb's income level is lower than average nationally, per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Median income among taxpayers in Bass Hill is $41,776, with an average of $53,185. Greater Sydney's figures are $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. With a Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Bass Hill would be approximately $46,087 (median) and $58,674 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, individual incomes are at the 5th percentile ($534 weekly), while household income is at the 29th percentile. Income brackets indicate that 28.9% of locals (3,032 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the metropolitan region's 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 19th percentile.

Bass Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bass Hill, as per the latest Census evaluation, 72.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 27.9% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bass Hill stood at 31.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.1% and rented ones at 34.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Bass Hill was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bass Hill's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,383 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bass Hill features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, consisting of 44.7% couples with children, 16.9% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.7% and group households comprising 1.8% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Bass Hill fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (20.3%). Educational participation is high, with 36.5% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 13.1% in primary, 11.2% in secondary, and 5.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.1% in primary education, 11.2% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bass Hill has 70 active public transport stops offering mixed bus services. These are covered by 22 unique routes, facilitating 1,436 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport access is rated excellent with residents typically located 149 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most commuters travel outward using cars at 88%, and trains at 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, exceeding regional norms. In 2021 Census data, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions, 35.3% of residents worked from home.

Daily service frequency averages 205 trips across all routes, equating to about 20 weekly trips per stop.

Bass Hill's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Bass Hill's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. AreaSearch assessed mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, finding that common health conditions among the general population are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~5,038 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.0 and 6.0% of residents respectively, while 74.8% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,490 people), lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Bass Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bass Hill has a high cultural diversity, with 38.4% of its population born overseas and 63.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Bass Hill, comprising 44.4% of people. However, Islam is notably overrepresented at 37.5%, which is significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

The top three represented ancestry groups in Bass Hill are Lebanese at 22.3% (substantially higher than the regional average of 2.6%), Other at 20.4%, and Australian at 14.8%. Notably, Vietnamese is overrepresented at 9.0% compared to the regional average of 1.8%, Macedonian at 1.2% versus 0.4%, and Samoan at 0.6% compared to 0.5%.

Bass Hill hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Bass Hill's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bass Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.9%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.0%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population of those aged 15-24 has grown from 13.8% to 15.9%, while the proportion of those aged 0-4 has declined from 7.5% to 6.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Bass Hill. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 15%, adding 204 residents and reaching a total of 1,569. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are projected to decline in population.