Bass Hill

Population growth drivers in Bass Hill are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

By Nov 2025, Bass Hill's population is estimated at around 10,418. This reflects an increase of 188 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,230. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 10,408 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,519 persons per square kilometer, placing Bass Hill in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, Bass Hill is expected to grow by 1,051 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 10.8% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bass Hill recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Bass Hill had approximately 48 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 240 homes were approved, with an additional 19 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 1.2 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these five years, indicating balanced supply and demand, creating stable market conditions.

The average construction cost value of new dwellings was $423,000, lower than regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year, $7.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. New development consists of 34% detached houses and 66% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living and offering more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift contrasts with the existing housing stock, which is currently 72% houses, suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles driving demand for diverse, affordable housing options.

Bass Hill has a low density profile, with around 245 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Bass Hill is projected to grow by 1,123 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Bass Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects likely to impact this area. Notable projects include Chester Square Redevelopment, Chester Hill Station Upgrade, Condell Park High School Upgrade, and Bankstown Central Masterplan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bass Hill face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Bass Hill has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 11.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3%.

As of June 2025, 3984 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 7.0%, higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags at 41.9% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical employs only 6.6% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.3% and labour force by 2.4%, raising the unemployment rate by 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth varies significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Bass Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows Bass Hill's median income is $41,776 and average income is $53,185. This is lower than national averages of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average). Greater Sydney's figures are higher. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, median income in Bass Hill is estimated to be approximately $47,044 and average income $59,892. The 2021 Census reports individual incomes at the 5th percentile ($534 weekly) and household incomes at the 29th percentile. Income brackets show 28.9% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (3,010 residents). Housing affordability is severe with only 75.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 19th percentile.

Bass Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bass Hill's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 72.2% houses and 27.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Sydney metro had 0.0% houses and 0.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bass Hill stood at 31.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.1% and rented ones at 34.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $450, compared to Sydney metro's figures of $0 for both. Nationally, Bass Hill's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bass Hill features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.3 people

Family households comprise 80.8% of all households, including 44.7% couples with children, 16.9% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.7% and group households making up 1.8%. The median household size is 3.3 people.

Educational outcomes in Bass Hill fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has educational challenges with university qualification rates at 19.2%, significantly below Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 14.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (20.3%). Educational participation is high at 36.5%, comprising 13.1% in primary, 11.2% in secondary, and 5.6% in tertiary education.

Bass Hill's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,259 students. The area has varied educational conditions (ICSEA: 943) and includes one primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bass Hill has 65 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 26 different routes that together facilitate 1,888 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located 148 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 269 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 29 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bass Hill is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Bass Hill shows better-than-average health outcomes with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, older cohorts at risk have higher rates of these conditions.

Private health cover is low, around 48% (~5002 people), while the national average is 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.0% and 6.0% respectively. About 74.8% report no medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Sydney. Around 14.3% of residents are aged 65 or over (1489 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Bass Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bass Hill's population shows high cultural diversity, with 38.4% born overseas and 63.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bass Hill, practiced by 44.4% of residents. Notably, Islam has a higher representation in Bass Hill at 37.5%, compared to none across Greater Sydney.

Regarding ancestry, Lebanese people make up 22.3%, Other groups account for 20.4%, and Australians comprise 14.8%. Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Vietnamese are overrepresented at 9.0% in Bass Hill (vs none regionally), Macedonian at 1.2% (vs none), and Samoan at 0.6% (vs none).

Bass Hill hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

At 34 years, Bass Hill's median age is somewhat lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years. This figure is also considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Bass Hill has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.0%). Between the censuses of 2016 and 2021, the population aged 15 to 24 grew from 13.8% to 15.7%. Population forecasts for Bass Hill in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 15-24 age group is projected to grow by 13%, adding 209 residents to reach a total of 1,845. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 5-14 and 0-4 age cohorts.