Bass Hill

Population growth drivers in Bass Hill are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Bass Hill is around 10,925. This figure represents an increase of 695 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,230. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 10,499 in June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS and an additional 30 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,690 persons per square kilometer, placing Bass Hill in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2016 to 2026, Bass Hill has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%, outpacing the state average. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate an increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, the suburb is expected to expand by 1,027 persons, reflecting a total increase of 5.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bass Hill recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Bass Hill has seen approximately 47 new homes approved annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 237 homes were approved, with an additional 29 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 1.4 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The market shows a balanced supply and demand, supporting stable conditions. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $423,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In FY-26, $7.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential character. New development in Bass Hill consists of 35.0% detached houses and 65.0% townhouses or apartments.

This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 72.0% houses) suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles, with a need for more diverse and affordable housing options. With around 261 people per dwelling approval, Bass Hill shows a developing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add approximately 601 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bass Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is greatly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 15 projects that are likely to impact the area. Key projects include Chester Square Redevelopment, Chester Hill Station Upgrade, Condell Park High School Upgrade, and Bankstown Central Masterplan. The following list details those projects expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Bass Hill lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Bass Hill's workforce is skilled with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 11.5% in the past year. Employment growth was estimated at 4.5%.

As of December 2025, 4,017 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 7.3%, higher than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation was 56.1%, lower than Greater Sydney's 70.2%. A high 35.3% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. Professional & technical employs only 6.6% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by resident population vs working population counts. In the 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 4.5%, labour force by 5.1%, raising unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bass Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Bass Hill's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2023 was $41,776. The suburb's average income stood at $53,185 during the same period. Comparing these figures with Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively, Bass Hill's income levels were lower than the national averages. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes for Bass Hill as of September 2025 would be approximately $45,477 and $57,897 respectively. According to the 2021 Census, individual incomes in Bass Hill lagged at the 5th percentile with weekly earnings of $534, while household income performed better at the 29th percentile. The predominant income cohort in Bass Hill comprised 28.9% of locals (3,157 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, which was similar to the metropolitan region's figure of 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe in Bass Hill, with only 75.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 19th percentile.

Bass Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bass Hill, as per the latest Census evaluation, 72.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 27.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan areas, where 55.9% of dwellings are houses and 44.1% are other dwelling types. Home ownership in Bass Hill stood at 31.6%, higher than the Sydney metro average. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (34.1%) or rented (34.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Bass Hill was $2,383, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Bass Hill was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bass Hill's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,383 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bass Hill features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 44.7% couples with children, 16.9% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.7% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Bass Hill fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (20.3%). Educational participation is high, with 36.5% currently enrolled in formal education: 13.1% in primary, 11.2% in secondary, and 5.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.1% in primary education, 11.2% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bass Hill has 70 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by 22 unique routes that facilitate a total of 1,436 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 149 meters to the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with most commuters traveling outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 88% of residents. Train usage stands at 5%.

On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, a significant 35.3% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 205 trips per day, resulting in approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bass Hill's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Bass Hill's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Private health cover rate is very low at approximately 48% (5,246 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.0%) and asthma (6.0%), with 74.8% of residents reporting no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.6% (1,595 people) aged 65 and over, with health outcomes among seniors presenting some challenges but ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Bass Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bass Hill's population includes 38.4% born overseas, with 63.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 44.4%. Islam is notably higher than the Greater Sydney average, comprising 37.5%.

The top three parental ancestry groups are Lebanese (22.3%), Other (20.4%), and Australian (14.8%). Vietnamese (9.0%) and Macedonian (1.2%) are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.8% and 0.4%, respectively. Samoan representation is also notable at 0.6%.

Bass Hill hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

At 34 years, Bass Hill's median age is somewhat lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bass Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.9%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.9%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 13.8% to 16.0%. By 2041, Bass Hill's population is forecasted to undergo substantial demographic changes. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 11%, adding 154 residents to reach a total of 1,531. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups.