Guildford - South Granville

Population growth drivers in Guildford - South Granville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Guildford - South Granville's population was approximately 24,644 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 2,258 people (10.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,386. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,787 in June 2024 and an additional 195 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,624 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Guildford - South Granville's growth rate of 10.1% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state average (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, indicating its status as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate an above median growth for national statistical areas, with Guildford - South Granville expected to grow by 3,675 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 11.4% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Guildford - South Granville when compared nationally

Guildford - South Granville has seen approximately 119 dwellings granted development approval annually. From FY-21 to FY-25598 homes received approvals, with a further 72 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, about 1.3 new residents moved into the area per new home each year over these five financial years. However, recent data shows this has increased to 9.3 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

The average expected construction cost of new homes is $190,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. This year alone, $77.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville has about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks at the 47th percentile nationally, suggesting limited housing choices for buyers, which supports demand for existing dwellings.

New developments consist of 61.0% detached houses and 39.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of attached housing types catering to various price ranges. The area has approximately 352 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established population. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Guildford - South Granville is projected to gain 2,818 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Guildford - South Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to its local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified a total of 25 projects that are expected to impact this particular area. Notable among these are the Cumberland LED Street Lighting Program, Guildford Town Centre Public Domain Plan, Guildford Station Platform 2 Reconstruction, and the Mixed Use Development at 422-428 Guildford Road. The following list provides details on those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Guildford - South Granville face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Guildford - South Granville has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 17.8%. This rate has remained relatively stable over the past year.

There are 7,353 residents in work, but this is below Greater Sydney's employment level and participation rate. The unemployment rate is 13.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation lags significantly at 48.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, a high 29.9% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns.

Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services employ only 6.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels increased by 3.5%, but employment declined by 0.1%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 2.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a smaller rise in the unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Guildford - South Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Guildford - South Granville SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $44,361 and an average of $52,709. This is below the national average. Greater Sydney's median was $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $48,291 (median) and $57,379 (average). Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Guildford - South Granville fall between the 2nd and 14th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows 27.3% of locals (6,727 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to the regional pattern at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 74.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 8th percentile nationally.

Guildford - South Granville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Guildford - South Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 62.2% houses and 37.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Guildford - South Granville stood at 22.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.8% and rented ones at 48.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in the area was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Guildford - South Granville's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,100 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $360 compared to the national figure of $375.

Guildford - South Granville has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.6% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 15.3% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.4%, with lone person households at 23.6% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Guildford - South Granville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 22.1%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 28.1% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 17.2%. Educational participation is high, with 38.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.1% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Guildford-South Granville has 141 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 39 individual routes, facilitating 5,154 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 130 meters to the nearest stop. Commuter patterns show that most residents travel outward from this primarily residential area. Cars remain the dominant mode of commuting at 80%, while train usage stands at 12%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling.

Notably, a high proportion of residents work from home, at 29.9% according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 736 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this data, illustrating the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Guildford - South Granville's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Guildford - South Granville's health data shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health conditions' prevalence is low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover stands at approximately 46% of the total population (~11,410 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

Diabetes and arthritis are the most common conditions, affecting 6.1 and 5.8% respectively. 77.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Under-65s have better-than-average health outcomes. The area has 13.3% seniors (3,285 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Senior health outcomes present challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Guildford - South Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Guildford-South Granville has one of the highest levels of cultural diversity in Australia, with 47.8% of its population born overseas and 73.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Guildford-South Granville is Islam, accounting for 50.5% of the population compared to 6.8% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestry, the top groups are Other (31.8%), Lebanese (27.1%), and Australian (12.1%).

These figures differ significantly from regional averages: Other is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Lebanese is also notably higher at 27.1% compared to 2.6%, while Australian is lower at 12.1% against a regional average of 17.8%. There are notable variations in other ethnic groups too: Vietnamese is overrepresented at 2.0%, Samoan is slightly underrepresented at 0.4%, and Chinese is notably lower at 6.2%.

Guildford - South Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Guildford - South Granville's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.7%). Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 increased from 14.8% to 16.2%, while those aged 65-74 grew from 6.6% to 7.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 15.9% to 14.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Guildford - South Granville's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to expand considerably, growing by 691 people (67%) from 1,025 to 1,717. Conversely, the 5-14 and 0-4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.