Guildford - South Granville
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Guildford - South Granville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Guildford-South Granville's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 23,863. This figure shows an increase of 1,477 people from the 2021 Census total of 22,386, representing a growth rate of 6.6%. This change is inferred from ABS estimates; as of June 2024, the estimated resident population was 23,787, with an additional 194 validated new addresses since the census date. The population density ratio is 3,509 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile compared to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Notably, Guildford-South Granville's growth rate exceeded both state (6.4%) and SA3 area averages since the 2021 census. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where ABS data is not available, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections, the area is expected to experience above median growth, increasing by approximately 3,675 persons to reach a total of around 27,538 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of about 15.1% over the seventeen-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Guildford - South Granville when compared nationally

Guildford-South Granville has seen approximately 195 dwellings receive development approval annually. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics data on a financial year basis, from FY20 to FY25, around 976 homes were approved. As of FY26, 54 dwellings have been recorded so far. On average, over the past five financial years, 1.3 new residents arrived per new home. However, this has increased to 9.3 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating rising demand and tightening supply.

The average construction value of development projects is $345,000, which is lower than regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, there have been $77.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford-South Granville has about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks at the 48th percentile nationally, implying more limited housing choices for buyers but supporting demand for existing dwellings.

New development consists of 61% detached houses and 39% townhouses or apartments, offering a range of housing types across price points. The area has approximately 352 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established population. Population forecasts project Guildford-South Granville to gain 3,599 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth.

Guildford - South Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 27 projects likely affecting this area. Notable ones include the Cumberland LED Street Lighting Program, Guildford Town Centre Public Domain Plan, Sydney Metro West, and Guildford Station Platform 2 Reconstruction. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Guildford - South Granville face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Guildford - South Granville had an unemployment rate of 18.0% with 7,277 residents employed as of June 2025. This rate was 13.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in the area was at 36.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area had a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level, while professional & technical services employed only 6.2% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels increased by 3.2%, but employment declined by 1.8%, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate by 4.2 percentage points.

In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. State-level data to Sep-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Guildford - South Granville's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 6.5%% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Guildford - South Granville had a median income among taxpayers of $40,398 and an average of $49,637. This is below the national average. Greater Sydney had a median income of $56,994 and an average of $80,856 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $44,680 (median) and $54,899 (average). Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Guildford - South Granville fall between the 2nd and 15th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 27.3% of locals (6,514 people), earning between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting regional patterns where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 74.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 8th percentile nationally.

Guildford - South Granville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Guildford - South Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 62.2% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had similar percentages with 62.1% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Guildford - South Granville stood at 22.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.8% and rented ones at 48.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, lower than Sydney's average of $2,167. Weekly rent median was $360, compared to Sydney's $400. Nationally, Guildford - South Granville's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,100 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $360 compared to the national figure of $375.

Guildford - South Granville has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.6% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 15.3% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.4%, with lone person households at 23.6% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational outcomes in Guildford - South Granville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 22.1%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (17.2%). Educational participation is high at 38.0%, with 13.1% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

The five schools in Guildford - South Granville have a combined enrollment of 2,480 students. Education provision is balanced with four primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. School places per 100 residents (10.4) are below the regional average (13.2), indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Guildford-South Granville has 138 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. There are 40 individual routes operating in total, serving the area collectively with 5,228 weekly passenger trips.

Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 130 meters to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency averages 746 trips across all routes, translating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Guildford - South Granville's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Guildford - South Granville. Younger cohorts in particular have a very low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~11,000 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are diabetes and arthritis, impacting 6.1 and 5.8% of residents respectively. A total of 77.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 77.0% across Greater Sydney. As of October 2021, 12.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,049 people), which is lower than the 13.9% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges that require more attention compared to the broader population.

Guildford - South Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Guildford-South Granville has one of the most diverse populations in Australia, with 47.8% of its residents born overseas and 73.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Guildford-South Granville is Islam, which accounts for 50.5% of the population, significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 29.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (31.8%), Lebanese (27.1%, compared to the regional average of 16.2%), and Australian (12.1%).

Notably, Vietnamese is overrepresented at 2.0% in Guildford-South Granville compared to the regional rate of 4.0%. Samoan representation stands at 0.4%, lower than the regional average of 0.7%, while Chinese representation is 6.2%, slightly below the regional average of 8.0%.

Guildford - South Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Guildford - South Granville's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (15.3%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.9%). Between 2021 and the present, the population of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 14.8% to 16.0%, while the population of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 15.9% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Guildford - South Granville's age profile. The population of residents aged 75-84 is expected to increase by 767 people (an 81% rise) from 949 to 1,717. Conversely, the populations of residents aged 0-4 and 35-44 are projected to decrease.