Guildford - South Granville

Population growth drivers in Guildford - South Granville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Guildford - South Granville's population was approximately 23,863 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,477 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,386. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: the resident population was 23,787 in June 2024, with an additional 194 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,509 persons per square kilometer, placing Guildford - South Granville in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's growth rate of 6.6% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area average of 6.5%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Guildford - South Granville is projected to have an above median population growth, increasing by 3,675 persons to a total of 27,538, reflecting a 15.1% increase over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Guildford - South Granville when compared nationally

Guildford - South Granville has seen approximately 119 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 598 homes were approved, with an additional 64 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, about 1.3 new residents have moved into each newly approved dwelling per year over these five years. However, this figure has increased to 9.3 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential supply constraints in the area.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $190,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options for purchasers. This year, FY-26, has seen $77.9 million worth of commercial development approvals recorded, suggesting strong local business investment in the area. Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville has about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 47th percentile nationally, indicating more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings.

New developments consist of 61% detached houses and 39% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of housing types catering to various price ranges. The area has approximately 352 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its established nature. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Guildford - South Granville is projected to gain 3,599 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Guildford - South Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones are Cumberland LED Street Lighting Program, Guildford Town Centre Public Domain Plan, Guildford Station Platform 2 Reconstruction, and 422-428 Guildford Road Mixed Use Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Guildford - South Granville face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Guildford - South Granville has an unemployment rate of 17.8% as of September 2025, with 7,353 residents employed. The area's unemployment rate is 13.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in the area is significantly lower at 36.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a high specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical employs only 6.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels increased by 3.5%, but employment declined by 0.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 2.9 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Guildford - South Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates Guildford - South Granville SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $40,398 and an average of $49,637. These figures are below the national averages. Greater Sydney's median was $56,994 with an average of $80,856 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $45,492 (median) and $55,896 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Guildford - South Granville fall between the 2nd and 14th percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals that 27.3% of locals (6,514 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to patterns seen regionally where 30.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 74.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 8th percentile nationally.

Guildford - South Granville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Guildford-South Granville's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 62.2% houses and 37.8% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), similar to Sydney metro's 62.1% houses and 37.8% others. Home ownership in Guildford-South Granville was at 22.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.8% and rented ones at 48.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, below Sydney metro's $2,167. Median weekly rent in the area was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Guildford-South Granville's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,100 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $360 compared to the national figure of $375.

Guildford - South Granville has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.6% of all households, including 42.1% that are couples with children, 15.3% that are couples without children, and 14.7% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.4%, with lone person households at 23.6% and group households comprising 2.9% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational outcomes in Guildford - South Granville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has university qualification rates of 22.1%, which is significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications. This includes advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (17.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 38.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This comprises 13.1% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Guildford-South Granville has 138 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 40 routes facilitating 5,228 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 130 meters to the nearest stop.

Daily service frequency averages 746 trips across all routes, translating to about 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Guildford - South Granville's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows strong health performance in Guildford - South Granville, particularly among younger cohorts with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover rate is approximately 46%, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

Diabetes and arthritis are most prevalent, affecting 6.1% and 5.8% respectively. 77.3% report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 77.0%. The area has 12.8% residents aged 65 and over (3,049 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 13.9%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention.

Guildford - South Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Guildford-South Granville has a population where 47.8% were born overseas, with 73.7% speaking languages other than English at home. The predominant religion is Islam, practiced by 50.5% of the population, compared to 29.1% in Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (31.8%), Lebanese (27.1%, significantly higher than the regional average of 16.2%), and Australian (12.1%).

There are notable differences in representation for certain ethnicities: Vietnamese at 2.0% (vs regional 4.0%), Samoan at 0.4% (vs 0.7%), and Chinese at 6.2% (vs 8.0%).

Guildford - South Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Guildford - South Granville's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.3%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.9%). Between 2021 and the present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 14.8% to 16.0%, while the 25-34 age group has decreased from 15.9% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Guildford - South Granville's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to grow by 767 people (an 81% increase), from 949 to 1,717. Conversely, the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to experience population declines.