Guildford - South Granville

Population growth drivers in Guildford - South Granville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Guildford - South Granville's population is around 24,644 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,258 people (10.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,386 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,787 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 195 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,624 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Guildford - South Granville's 10.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 52.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above-median population growth of national statistical areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 3,675 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 11.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Guildford - South Granville when compared nationally

Guildford - South Granville has experienced around 119 dwellings receiving development approval each year, with 598 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 78 so far in FY-26. At an average of 1.3 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, though recent data reveals this has increased to 9.3 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, reflecting the area's growing popularity and potential supply constraints. New homes are being built at an average construction cost of $190,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options. Additionally, $77.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks in the 47th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings. New development consists of 61.0% detached houses and 39.0% townhouses or apartments, featuring an increasing blend of attached housing types offering choices across price ranges, from spacious family homes to more accessible compact options. The location has approximately 352 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area.

Population forecasts indicate Guildford - South Granville will gain 2,818 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Guildford - South Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 25 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Cumberland LED Street Lighting Program, the Guildford Town Centre Public Domain Plan, the Guildford Station Platform 2 Reconstruction, and the 422-428 Guildford Road Mixed Use Development, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Guildford - South Granville face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Guildford - South Granville has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 17.0%, and 4.0% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 7,465 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 12.8% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (49.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 29.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area shows particularly strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical services employ just 6.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 4.0% while the labour force increased by 4.3%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Guildford - South Granville. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Guildford - South Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Guildford - South Granville SA2's median income among taxpayers is $44,361, with an average of $52,709. This is below the national average, and compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $48,291 (median) and $57,379 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Guildford - South Granville all fall between the 2nd and 14th percentiles nationally. Looking at income distribution, the predominant cohort spans 27.3% of locals (6,727 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 74.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 8th percentile.

Guildford - South Granville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Guildford - South Granville, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 62.2% houses and 37.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Guildford - South Granville lagged that of Sydney metro, at 22.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (28.8%) or rented (48.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $2,100, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $360, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Guildford - South Granville's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Guildford - South Granville has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 73.6% of all households, comprising 42.1% couples with children, 15.3% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.4%, with lone person households at 23.6% and group households comprising 2.9% of the total. The median household size of 3.2 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Guildford - South Granville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (22.1%) substantially below the SA4 region average of 39.1%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (17.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 38.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.1% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 141 active transport stops operating within Guildford - South Granville, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 39 individual routes, collectively providing 5,154 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 130 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 80%, with 12% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling. A high 29.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 736 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Guildford - South Granville's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Guildford - South Granville residents. AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions shows results broadly in line with national benchmarks, with the prevalence of common health conditions being quite low among the general population, though higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~11,410 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes and arthritis, impacting 6.1 and 5.8% of residents, respectively, while 77.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 13.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,285 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Guildford - South Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Guildford - South Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 47.8% of its population born overseas and 73.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Guildford - South Granville is Islam, which makes up 50.5% of the population. This compares to 6.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Guildford - South Granville are Other, comprising 31.8% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Lebanese, comprising 27.1% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 2.6%, and Australian, comprising 12.1% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 17.8%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Vietnamese is notably overrepresented at 2.0% of Guildford - South Granville (vs 1.8% regionally), Samoan at 0.4% (vs 0.5%) and Chinese at 6.2% (vs 8.4%).

Guildford - South Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 31 years, Guildford - South Granville's median age is notably under the Greater Sydney average of 37 and is significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (16.2%) but fewer 35 - 44 year-olds (12.7%). In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 14.8% to 16.2% of the population, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 6.6% to 7.7%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 15.9% to 14.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Guildford - South Granville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to expand considerably, increasing by 691 people (67%) from 1,025 to 1,717. Conversely, the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.