Guildford - South Granville
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Guildford - South Granville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Guildford-South Granville's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 23,863. This figure represents a growth of 1,477 people, a 6.6% increase since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,386. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 23,787 in June 2024 and an additional 194 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,509 persons per square kilometer, placing Guildford-South Granville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth exceeded that of its SA3 region, with overseas migration contributing approximately 52.6% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, Guildford-South Granville is projected to have above median population growth, with an expected increase of 3,675 persons by 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 15.1% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Guildford - South Granville when compared nationally

Guildford - South Granville has seen approximately 119 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY2021 to FY2025, a total of 598 homes were approved, with an additional 59 approved in FY2026 as of now. On average, about 1.3 new residents per year have been arriving for each new home over the past five financial years. However, recent data shows this figure has increased to 9.3 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating the area's growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $190,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options for purchasers. This year alone, $77.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 48th percentile of areas assessed nationally, indicating more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings.

New developments consist of 61% detached houses and 39% townhouses or apartments, offering a range of housing types across different price ranges. The area has approximately 352 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established population. Population forecasts project Guildford - South Granville to gain 3,599 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply is expected to meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Guildford - South Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

In total, twenty-six projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact the area's performance. These include key initiatives such as the Cumberland LED Street Lighting Program, Guildford Town Centre Public Domain Plan, Guildford Station Platform 2 Reconstruction, and the development at 422-428 Guildford Road Mixed Use Development. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Guildford - South Granville face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Guildford-South Granville has an unemployment rate of 18.0% as of June 2025. This is higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

There are 7,277 residents in work. Workforce participation in the area is 36.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction employment is high at 1.4 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services employ just 6.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels increased by 3.2%, but employment declined by 1.8%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 4.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Guildford-South Granville's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Guildford - South Granville's median income among taxpayers is $40,398. The average income in the area was $49,637 during this period. This is below the national average. In Greater Sydney, the median income was $56,994 and the average was $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Guildford - South Granville would be approximately $45,492 (median) and $55,896 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household incomes in Guildford - South Granville fall between the 2nd and 15th percentiles nationally. Family incomes also fall within this range. Personal incomes in the area are similarly distributed. The predominant income cohort spans 27.3% of locals (6,514 people) with incomes between $1,500 and $2,999. This pattern is seen across the region where 30.9% of residents fall within this income range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Guildford - South Granville, with only 74.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 8th percentile nationally.

Guildford - South Granville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Guildford-South Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 62.2% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. This is similar to Sydney metro's distribution of 62.1% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Guildford-South Granville stood at 22.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.8% and rented ones at 48.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in the area was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Guildford-South Granville's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,100 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $360 compared to the national figure of $375.

Guildford - South Granville has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.6% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 15.3% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households consist of the remaining 26.4%, with lone person households at 23.6% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational outcomes in Guildford - South Granville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 22.1%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (17.2%).

Educational participation is high at 38.0%, including 13.1% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education. Six schools operate within Guildford - South Granville, educating approximately 2,480 students. The area has varied educational conditions, with five primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average (10.4 vs. 13.2), suggesting some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Guildford-South Granville has 138 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. There are 40 individual routes operating in total, providing 5,228 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 130 meters to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency averages 746 trips across all routes, equating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Guildford - South Granville's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows strong health performance in Guildford - South Granville, particularly for younger cohorts with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 46%, or around 11,000 people, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Diabetes and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 6.1% and 5.8% respectively. 77.3% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 77.0%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.8%, or approximately 3,049 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 13.9%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Guildford - South Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Guildford-South Granville is one of Australia's most culturally diverse areas, with 47.8% of its population born overseas and 73.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Guildford-South Granville is Islam, accounting for 50.5% of the population, compared to 29.1% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are Other (31.8%), Lebanese (27.1%, significantly higher than the regional average of 16.2%), and Australian (12.1%).

Notably, Vietnamese (2.0%) and Chinese (6.2%) are underrepresented compared to Greater Sydney averages, while Samoan is slightly overrepresented at 0.4%.

Guildford - South Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Guildford - South Granville's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. It has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (15.3%) compared to Greater Sydney but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.9%). Between 2021 and the present, the population aged 15-24 grew from 14.8% to 16.0%, while the population aged 25-34 declined from 15.9% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Guildford - South Granville's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to expand by 767 people (an increase of 81%), from 949 to 1,717. Conversely, the populations aged 0-4 and 35-44 are projected to decline.