Guildford - South Granville

Population growth drivers in Guildford - South Granville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Guildford - South Granville's population is approximately 24,124 as of May 2026. This represents an increase of 1,738 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,386. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 24,112 in June 2025 and 212 new addresses validated after the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,547 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's population growth of 7.8% since the 2021 Census exceeds both state (7.1%) and SA3 averages, indicating strong growth leadership. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57.8% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, above median growth is projected for the area, with an expected increase of 3,385 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 14.0% over the 16-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Guildford - South Granville when compared nationally

Guildford - South Granville has seen approximately 119 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 598 homes were approved, with an additional 90 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, around 1.3 new residents have arrived per new home each year over these five years. However, recent data shows this has increased to 9.3 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $190,000, reflecting more affordable housing options. This financial year, $77.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville has about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 47th percentile nationally, offering limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings.

New developments consist of 61% detached houses and 39% townhouses or apartments, providing a mix of housing types catering to various price ranges. The area has approximately 352 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established population. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Guildford - South Granville is projected to gain 3,373 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Guildford - South Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects likely affecting the area. Notable ones include the Cumberland LED Street Lighting Program, Guildford Town Centre Public Domain Plan, Guildford Station Platform 2 Reconstruction, and the development at 422-428 Guildford Road (Mixed Use). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Guildford - South Granville face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Guildford - South Granville has an unemployment rate of 17.0% as of December 2025. This is higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. The area had an estimated employment growth of 4.0% over the past year.

As of December 2025, 7,465 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 12.8% above Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation lags significantly at 48.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, a high 29.9% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

The area shows strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. However, professional & technical employs just 6.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 4.0% while labour force increased by 4.3%, resulting in an unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Guildford - South Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Guildford - South Granville SA2 had a median income of $44,361 and an average of $52,709 among taxpayers. This is below the national average. Greater Sydney's median was $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 are approximately $48,939 (median) and $58,149 (average). Census data indicates household, family and personal incomes in Guildford - South Granville fall between the 2nd and 14th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 27.3% of locals (6,585 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 74.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 8th percentile.

Guildford - South Granville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Guildford-South Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 62.2% houses and 37.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Guildford-South Granville stood at 22.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.8% and rented ones at 48.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Guildford-South Granville was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents lower at $375.

Guildford - South Granville has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 73.6% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 15.3% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 26.4%, with lone person households at 23.6% and group households making up 2.9%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Guildford - South Granville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 22.1%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 28.1% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 17.2%. Educational participation is high, with 38.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.1% in primary, 10.5% in secondary, and 6.3% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Guildford-South Granville has 141 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 39 routes, collectively facilitating 5,154 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 130 meters to the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with most commuters traveling outward. Car remains the primary mode of transportation at 80%, while train use stands at 12%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 29.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 736 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Guildford - South Granville's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Guildford-South Granville residents have relatively positive health outcomes, according to AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions (released on 20th April 2021). The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low among the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover stands at approximately 46% of the total population (~11,169 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

Diabetes (6.1%) and arthritis (5.8%) are the most common medical conditions in the area, with 77.3% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. The under-65 population has better-than-average health outcomes. The area has 13.1% of residents aged 65 and over (3,157 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Guildford - South Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Guildford-South Granville has a population where 47.8% were born overseas, and 73.7% speak a language other than English at home. The predominant religion is Islam, with 50.5% of the population identifying as such, compared to 6.8% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (31.8%), Lebanese (27.1%), and Australian (12.1%).

These figures differ from regional averages: Other is substantially higher (31.8% vs 16.0%), Lebanese is also notably higher (27.1% vs 2.6%), while Australian is lower (12.1% vs 17.8%). Additionally, Vietnamese are overrepresented at 2.0%, Samoan at 0.4%, and Chinese at 6.2%.

Guildford - South Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Guildford - South Granville's median age is 31 years, lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Guildford - South Granville has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.9%). Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group increased from 14.8% to 16.0%, while the 65-74 cohort rose from 6.6% to 7.7%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group decreased from 15.6% to 14.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Guildford - South Granville's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to grow by 690 people (71%), from 967 to 1,658. Conversely, the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to decrease in population.