Granville (NSW)

Granville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the suburb of Granville (NSW) had an estimated population of 18,528 as of Feb 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 1,812 people from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,716. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 18,325 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024) and an additional 265 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 5,514 persons per square kilometer, placing Granville in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 10.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney averages. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in Granville.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of national statistical areas for Granville, with an expected rise to 25,025 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 34.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Granville among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Granville averaged approximately 45 new dwelling approvals annually between FY-21 and FY-26. Around 225 homes were approved in the past five financial years, with an additional 27 approved so far this year. Each newly constructed dwelling accommodates about 4.3 new residents on average over these years.

This high demand coupled with limited supply typically leads to price growth and increased competition among buyers. The average construction cost of new dwellings is around $458,000. Commercial development has seen approvals totaling $15.8 million in FY-26.

Housing developments consist mostly of medium and high-density housing (67%), with standalone homes making up the remainder (33%). This mix caters to various buyer types, including downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Currently, Granville reflects a population growth rate of around 246 people per approval. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates an increase of approximately 6,294 residents. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 43 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Gran Central Granville, Connecting Granville Centres, Granville Town Square, and East Street Granville Mixed-Use Development. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Granville recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Granville has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 6.7% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 3.8%. As of December 2025, 10,054 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 2.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. In December 2025, 26.9% of residents worked from home. Key industries of employment among residents were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food. Granville had a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services had limited presence, at 7.4% compared to the regional 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.8%, while labour force grew by 4.2%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment rose by 2.2%, the labour force grew by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Granville. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Income data from AreaSearch's postcode level ATO figures for financial year 2023 shows Granville's median income was $45,378 and average income was $55,126. This is lower than Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Projecting forward using the Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% since FY2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $49,398 (median) and $60,010 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Granville's household income ranks at the 41st percentile ($1,598 weekly), with personal income at the 24th percentile. The earnings profile indicates that 34.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 (6,447 people). Housing affordability is severe, with only 79.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Granville features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 35.0% houses and 65.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Granville was at 18.7%, with the rest either mortgaged (24.7%) or rented (56.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Granville was $1,873, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Granville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.5% of all households, including 30.2% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.5%, with lone person households at 22.4% and group households comprising 10.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Granville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 37.0% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 23.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.5% and certificates at 12.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in tertiary education, 7.7% in primary education, and 5.9% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Granville has 92 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 37 routes, providing a total of 6,785 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 127 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. In this predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 50%, followed by train at 35% and bus at 9%. Granville has an average vehicle ownership rate of 0.8 per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 26.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 969 trips per day, equating to approximately 73 weekly trips per individual stop.

Granville's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Granville's health metrics demonstrate strong performance according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be relatively low at approximately 49% of Granville's total population, which is around 9,037 people.

This compares to Greater Sydney's rate of 59.9%. Nationally, the average private health cover stands at 55.7%. Diabetes and arthritis were identified as the most common medical conditions in Granville, affecting approximately 4.3% and 4.1% of residents respectively. Around 82.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to Greater Sydney's rate of 74.6%. In terms of demographics, around 11.2% of Granville's residents are aged 65 and over, which amounts to approximately 2,075 people. This is lower than Greater Sydney's figure of 15.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Granville rank broadly in line with the general population nationally.

Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 66.0% of its population born overseas and 76.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Granville, making up 32.7% of people. Hinduism is significantly overrepresented, comprising 22.0% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (37.9%), Chinese (12.2%), and Lebanese (9.0%). Notably, Filipino, Indian, and Korean ethnicities are also overrepresented in Granville at 3.9%, 7.9%, and 1.2% respectively.

Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Granville's median age in 2021 was 31 years, lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Granville had a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (24.4%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.1%). This 25-34 concentration was notably higher than the national average of 14.4%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of Granville's population aged 75-84 has increased from 2.7% to 3.5%, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 25.3% to 24.4%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Granville's age profile, with the 45-54 age group expected to grow by 69% from 1,871 to 3,158 people.