Granville (NSW)

Granville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the estimated population of Granville NSW as of Feb 2026 is around 18,528. This reflects an increase of 1,812 people (10.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,716 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 18,325 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 265 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 5,514 persons per square kilometer, which places Granville NSW in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 10.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the state average (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in Granville NSW's top quartile of national statistical areas, with an expected growth of 6,441 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 32.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Granville among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Granville averaged around 45 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, an estimated 225 homes were approved, with a further 25 approved so far in FY26. On average, 4.3 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed over these five years.

This significant demand exceeding supply typically results in price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new dwellings was $458,000, higher than regional norms, indicating quality-focused development. In FY26, there have been $15.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development.

New building activity comprises 33.0% standalone homes and 67.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Granville reflects a transitioning market with around 246 people per approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Granville is expected to grow by 5,980 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 43 projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include Gran Central Granville, Connecting Granville Centres, Granville Town Square, and East Street Granville Mixed-Use Development. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Granville faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Granville has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 7.0% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 1.9%. As of September 2025, 9,981 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 2.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 26.9% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food. Granville had a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services had limited presence at 7.4% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 1.9%, while labour force grew by 3.5%, resulting in a 1.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, and an unemployment increase of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Granville. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with variations across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Granville's median income is $45,378 and average income is $55,126. This is lower than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes would be approximately $49,398 (median) and $60,010 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Granville's household income ranks at the 41st percentile ($1,598 weekly), while personal income is at the 24th percentile. The earnings profile indicates that 34.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 (6,447 individuals). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Granville features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Granville's latest Census data shows 35.0% houses and 65.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Granville was 18.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.7% and rented ones at 56.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,873, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Granville was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Granville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.5% of all households, including 30.2% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.5%, with lone person households at 22.4% and group households comprising 10.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Granville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 37.0% for residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 23.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.5% and certificates at 12.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in tertiary education, 7.7% in primary education, and 5.9% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Granville has 92 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 37 routes, collectively facilitating 6,785 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 127 meters from the nearest stop. In this primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward. The dominant mode of transport is car at 50%, followed by train at 35% and bus at 9%. Vehicle ownership averages 0.8 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 26.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 969 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 73 weekly trips per individual stop.

Granville's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows Granville's health metrics perform strongly based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is found to be very low at approximately 49% of the total population, around 9,037 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Nationally, it stands at 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes and arthritis, affecting 4.3% and 4.1% of residents respectively. About 82.7% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Granville has 11.2% of residents aged 65 and over, around 2,075 people, which is lower than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, ranking broadly in line with the general population nationally.

Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville has high cultural diversity, with 66.0% of its population born overseas and 76.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Granville is Christianity, comprising 32.7%. Hinduism is notably overrepresented at 22.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (37.9%), Chinese (12.2%), and Lebanese (9.0%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Filipino at 3.9% (regional average 2.0%), Indian at 7.9% (3.6%), and Korean at 1.2% (1.1%).

Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Granville's median age in 2021 was 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Granville had a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (24.3%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.2%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds was notably higher than the national average of 14.4%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of Granville's population aged 65 to 74 has increased from 6.0% to 6.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 25.3% to 24.3%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest that Granville's age profile will change significantly. The number of residents aged 45 to 54 is projected to increase by 1,261 people (67%), from 1,889 to 3,151.