Granville (NSW)

Granville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of Granville NSW is estimated at around 18,738 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,022 people (12.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,716 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 18,729, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025, and an additional 263 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 5,576 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Granville's 12.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.1%), along with the Greater Sydney region, marking it as a growth leader in the area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national statistical areas is forecast for Granville NSW, with an expected growth of 6,145 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 32.8% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Granville among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Granville had around 45 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 225 homes. Up to FY-26, 56 approvals have been recorded. On average, 5.9 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. This has led to demand exceeding supply, potentially driving price growth and increased buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $458,000, higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development. In FY-26, $15.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Building activity comprises 33.0% detached dwellings and 67.0% townhouses or apartments, favouring compact living which offers affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

Granville's population density is around 249 people per approval. Population forecasts suggest Granville will gain 6,136 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 40 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Gran Central Granville, Connecting Granville Centres, Granville Town Square, and East Street Granville Mixed-Use Development. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Granville has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Granville's workforce is highly educated with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate stood at 6.7% as of an unspecified period, with estimated employment growth of 4.5% over the preceding year. As of December 2025, 10,336 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 2.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Granville matched Greater Sydney's figure of 68.8%. Notably, 26.9% of residents worked from home based on Census responses, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food services. Specialization in health care & social assistance was particularly strong at an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 7.4% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Over the twelve months to December 2025, employment increased by 4.5%, labour force grew by 4.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Granville. These projections suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Granville's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for Granville in financial year 2023 shows a median income among taxpayers of $45,378 and an average of $55,126. This is lower than the national average. Greater Sydney has a median income of $60,817 and an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Granville are approximately $50,061 (median) and $60,815 (average) as of March 2026. According to census data, household income ranks at the 41st percentile ($1,598 weekly), while personal income sits at the 24th percentile. Distribution data shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.8% of residents (6,520 people). This aligns with regional levels where this cohort also represents 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Granville, with only 79.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Granville features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 35.0% houses and 65.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Granville stood at 18.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.7% and rented dwellings at 56.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,873, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Granville was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Granville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.5% of all households, including 30.2% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.5%, with lone person households at 22.4% and group households comprising 10.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Granville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate of 37.0%, among residents aged 15+, exceeds the Australian average of 30.4% and that of NSW at 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 23.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas making up 12.5% and certificates 12.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in tertiary education, 7.7% in primary education, and 5.9% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Granville has 92 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 37 routes, providing 6,785 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 127 meters to the nearest stop. As a mainly residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 50%, followed by trains at 35% and buses at 9%. The average vehicle ownership is 0.8 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents work from home, at 26.9%, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 969 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 73 weekly trips per individual stop.

Granville's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows strong health metrics across Granville. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low for both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be low at approximately 49% of the total population (~9,140 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common conditions were diabetes (4.3%) and arthritis (4.1%). 82.7% declared no medical ailments, higher than the 74.6% in Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 11.1% of residents were aged 65 and over (2,079 people), lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Senior health outcomes ranked nationally in line with the general population.

Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville has one of the most culturally diverse populations in Australia, with 66.0% of its residents born overseas and 76.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Granville, making up 32.7% of the population. However, Hinduism is substantially overrepresented compared to the Greater Sydney average, comprising 22.0% of Granville's population.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are 'Other', Chinese, and Lebanese, with percentages of 37.9%, 12.2%, and 9.0% respectively, all higher than regional averages. Notably, Filipino (3.9%), Indian (7.9%), and Korean (1.2%) ethnicities are also overrepresented in Granville compared to the Greater Sydney region.

Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Granville's median age at 31 years is notably lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and significantly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Granville has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (25.9%) but fewer individuals aged 5-14 (8.7%). This concentration of 25-34-year-olds is well above the national average of 14.6%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of Granville's population in the 75-84 age group has increased from 2.7% to 3.5%, while the 5-14 age cohort has declined from 9.6% to 8.7%. Demographic projections suggest significant changes in Granville's age profile by 2041, with the 45-54 age group expected to expand considerably, growing by 1,260 people (68%) from 1,855 to 3,116.