Granville (NSW)

Granville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Granville (NSW) is around 18,163, reflecting an increase of 1,447 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents an 8.7% rise from the previous population figure of 16,716. The latest estimated resident population (ERP) for Granville, as per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS data released in June 2024, stands at 18,168. This estimate considers an additional 266 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is approximately 5,405 persons per square kilometer, placing Granville within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Granville's growth rate exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area averages between censuses.

Overseas migration contributed about 72.0% to overall population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, significant population growth is forecast for Granville, with an expected increase of 6,334 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 34.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Granville among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Granville has averaged approximately 45 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 225 homes. As of FY-26, 21 approvals have been recorded. Historically, each dwelling constructed has accommodated around 4.3 new residents per year on average between FY-21 and FY-25. This demand significantly outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and intensifying competition among buyers.

The average construction value of new homes is $458,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. In the current financial year, Granville has seen $21.8 million in commercial development approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. New building activity comprises 35.0% detached houses and 65.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a trend towards denser development that caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

The area has approximately 230 people per dwelling approval, suggesting potential for further growth. Population forecasts indicate Granville will gain an additional 6,231 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates persist, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially exacerbating buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 43 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Gran Central Granville, Granville Town Square, Connecting Granville Centres, and East Street Granville Mixed-Use Development. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Granville faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Granville has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 7.0% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 1.1%.

As of June 2025, 9,840 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 2.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was lower at 53.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food. The area showed strong specialization in health care & social assistance with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 7.4% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities appeared limited locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 1.1%, while labour force grew by 3.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.8 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggested that national employment would expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, applying these projections to Granville's employment mix indicated local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Granville's median income is $45,423 and average income is $55,187. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 are approximately $51,151 (median) and $62,146 (average). The 2021 Census ranks Granville's household income at the 41st percentile ($1,598 weekly) and personal income at the 24th percentile. Income brackets indicate that 34.8% of residents fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket (6,320 people), consistent with broader regional trends showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Granville features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Granville's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 35.0% houses and 65.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 0.0% houses and 0.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Granville was at 18.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.7% and rented ones at 56.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Granville was $1,873, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $0 and $0. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Granville features high concentrations of group households, with a median household size of 2.8 people

Family households constitute 67.5% of all households, including 30.2% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.5%, with lone person households at 22.4% and group households comprising 10.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people.

Educational attainment in Granville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 37.0% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and that of NSW at 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.5% and certificates at 12.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.1% in tertiary education, 7.7% in primary education, and 5.9% pursuing secondary education. Granville's five schools have a combined enrollment of 2,129 students as of the latest data available. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 990) with balanced educational opportunities. Educational provision is split between two primary and three secondary institutions.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Granville has 85 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 39 individual routes, facilitating 6,898 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 127 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes averages 985 trips per day, equating to approximately 81 weekly trips per stop.

Granville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Granville's health outcomes show excellent results with very low prevalence rates for common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 49% (~8,865 people) of Granville residents have private health cover, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes and arthritis, affecting 4.3 and 4.1% of residents respectively. A total of 82.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Sydney. Granville has a senior population (aged 65 and over) of 10.8% (~1,961 people). While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they require more attention than the broader population.

Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 66.0% of its population born overseas and 76.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Granville, accounting for 32.7% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 22.0% compared to None% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (37.9%), Chinese (12.2%), and Lebanese (9.0%). There are significant disparities in the representation of Filipino (3.9%), Indian (7.9%), and Korean (1.2%) ethnic groups compared to None% regionally.

Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Granville has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and significantly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Granville has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (25.1%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.2%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.5%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 has decreased from 16.2% to 15.5%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Granville's age profile, with the 45-54 age cohort expected to expand substantially, increasing by 1,316 people (72%) from 1,816 to 3,133.