South Granville

Population growth drivers in South Granville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, South Granville's population is estimated at around 6,691 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 862 people (14.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,829 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 6,447 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 122 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,027 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. South Granville's growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.6%) and metropolitan area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth is projected, with South Granville expected to increase by 1,002 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 9.1% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in South Granville according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

South Granville has seen approximately 56 dwelling approvals annually, with a total of 280 approved over the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25. In FY-26, up until now, there have been 29 dwellings approved. On average, each new home attracts around 0.8 new residents per year over these five years.

This suggests that new construction is keeping pace with demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current expectations. The average construction value of new properties is $345,000. In this financial year so far, $22.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity.

Comparatively, South Granville shows moderately higher new home approvals than the Greater Sydney average, with a 31.0% increase per person over the five-year period ending FY-25. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. The composition of new development is 65.0% standalone homes and 35.0% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments offering options across different price points. South Granville indicates a mature market with around 355 people per approval. Future projections estimate that South Granville will add 611 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

South Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance: Cumberland LED Street Lighting Program, Parramatta Road Urban Amenity Improvement Program Auburn, Rail Service Improvement Program, and LOOP Business Park.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in South Granville face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

South Granville has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 17.6% as of September 2025.

This rate is 13.4 percentage points higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation in South Granville lags significantly at 33.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Employment is particularly specialized in construction, with a share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical employs only 6.0% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels increased by 3.3%, while employment declined by 0.2%, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate by 2.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by only 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to South Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that median income in South Granville is $37,744 and average income stands at $46,376. This is lower than national averages of $51,389 (median) and $71,467 (average). In Greater Sydney, median income is $60,817 and average income is $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income in South Granville would be approximately $41,088 and average income would be around $50,485. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in South Granville fall between the 1st and 7th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution shows that 25.0% of residents (1,672 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 annually, similar to surrounding regions where this group represents 30.9%. Housing affordability is severe in South Granville, with only 75.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 5th percentile nationally.

South Granville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

South Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 69.9% houses and 30.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 62.1% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in South Granville was at 22.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.7% and rented ones at 51.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $263, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, South Granville's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were lower at $263 against the national figure of $375.

South Granville has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.4% of all households, including 42.9% couples with children, 14.1% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.6%, with lone person households at 25.7% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational outcomes in South Granville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 22.7%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 26.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (16.4%). Educational participation is high, with 39.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.9% in primary education, 11.6% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

South Granville has 50 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These are served by a mix of buses on 20 different routes, which together offer 1,011 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 130 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 144 daily trips across all routes, equating to about 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

South Granville's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout South Granville. Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 45% of the total population (~3,035 people), compared to 48.2% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

Diabetes and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 6.8 and 6.3% of residents respectively. 75.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.0% across Greater Sydney. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (903 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

South Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

South Granville has high cultural diversity, with 46.9% of its population born overseas and 74.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Islam is the predominant religion in South Granville, accounting for 57.4%, compared to 29.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Other (33.0%), Lebanese (27.8%), and Australian (10.9%).

Notably, Vietnamese (1.6%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 4.0%. Korean (0.7%) and Sri Lankan (0.4%) populations also exceed their respective regional averages of 0.5% and 0.2%.

South Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

South Granville's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, South Granville has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.2%). According to data from the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 increased from 14.9% to 16.1%, while the proportion of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 14.0% to 13.2%. By 2041, South Granville's age profile is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 72%, adding 197 residents to reach a total of 472. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 53% of the population growth, while populations in the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are projected to decline.