South Granville

Population growth drivers in South Granville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Nov 2025, the suburb of South Granville's estimated population is around 6,565. This reflects an increase of 736 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,829. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of resident population at 6,546 following examination of ABS ERP data release in Jun 2024 and additional 122 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of approximately 2,970 persons per square kilometer, placing South Granville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth rate of 12.6% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (6.5%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, South Granville is expected to experience above median population growth, with projections indicating an increase of 1,016 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 11.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees South Granville recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

South Granville averaged approximately 56 new dwelling approvals annually between FY-21 and FY-25. This totals 283 homes approved over these five financial years, with an additional 28 approved in FY-26 to date. The average population increase per dwelling built during this period was 0.8 people annually.

New supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new properties was $345,000, under regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. In FY-26, South Granville recorded $52.1 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting robust local business investment.

Compared to Greater Sydney, South Granville demonstrates moderately higher construction activity, 32.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period ending FY-25. This has preserved reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand, although construction activity has eased recently. New development in South Granville consists of 62.0% detached houses and 38.0% medium to high-density housing. The increasing blend of attached housing types offers choices across price ranges, from spacious family homes to more compact options. As of around FY-25, South Granville reflects a developing area with approximately 207 people per approval. Population forecasts indicate that South Granville will gain 751 residents by 2041 (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

South Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects expected to impact this region. Notable initiatives include Cumberland LED Street Lighting Program, Parramatta Road Urban Amenity Improvement Program Auburn, Rail Service Improvement Program, and LOOP Business Park. The following list details those most pertinent:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in South Granville face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

South Granville has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 17.8%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, 1,910 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 13.6% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in South Granville is significantly lower at 33.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Notably, construction is particularly specialized with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.0% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels increased by 3.2%, while employment declined by 1.9% in South Granville, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate by 4.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with an increase in unemployment rate of only 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insight into potential future demand within South Granville. These projections suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to South Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

South Granville's median taxpayer income was $37,744 and average income was $46,376 in financial year 2022, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is below Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $42,504 (median) and $52,224 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. Census 2021 income data shows South Granville's household, family, and personal incomes fall between the 1st and 7th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 25.0% of locals (1,641 people) predominantly earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with surrounding trends showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 5th percentile nationally.

South Granville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

South Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 69.9% houses and 30.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Sydney metro's 62.1% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in South Granville was at 22.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.7% and rented dwellings at 51.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $263, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, South Granville's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were below the national figure of $375.

South Granville has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.4% of all households, including 42.9% couples with children, 14.1% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.6%, consisting of 25.7% lone person households and 2.0% group households. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational outcomes in South Granville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 22.7%, substantially below the SA4 region average of 39.1%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 26.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (16.4%).

Educational participation is high at 39.8%, including 13.9% in primary education, 11.6% in secondary education, and 6.4% in tertiary education. South Granville's 3 schools have a combined enrollment of 1,444 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 963) offering balanced educational opportunities. The area functions as an education hub with 22.0 school places per 100 residents – significantly above the regional average of 13.2 – attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in South Granville shows that there are currently 49 active transport stops operating within the area. All these stops serve buses, with a total of 21 individual routes providing service. These routes collectively facilitate 1,466 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 130 meters away from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 209 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to approximately 29 weekly trips per individual stop.

South Granville's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout South Granville. Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 45% of the total population (~2,977 people), compared to 47.7% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes and arthritis, impacting 6.8 and 6.3% of residents respectively, while 75.9% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.0% across Greater Sydney. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (886 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

South Granville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

South Granville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 46.9% of its population born overseas and 74.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in South Granville is Islam, accounting for 57.4% of the population, compared to 29.1% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are Other (33.0%), Lebanese (27.8%), and Australian (10.9%).

Notably, Vietnamese (1.6%) and Korean (0.7%) populations are higher in South Granville than regionally (4.0% and 0.5%, respectively). Sri Lankan population is also slightly higher at 0.4%.

South Granville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

South Granville's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, South Granville has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.2%). According to post-2021 Census data, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 14.9% to 16.1%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 14.0% to 13.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests South Granville's age profile will significantly change. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 76%, adding 204 individuals to reach a total of 474. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups.