Rosehill (NSW)

Rosehill lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Rosehill's population is estimated at around 4817 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 770 people (19%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4047 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4811 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 41 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1312 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Rosehill's growth of 19% since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 87% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over this period, placing Rosehill in the top 10% of national statistical areas. The suburb is expected to grow by 2528 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 52.4% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rosehill according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rosehill has recorded approximately 29 residential properties granted approval each year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 149 homes were approved, with a further 5 approved in FY-26 up to the present date. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which could benefit buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $502,000, indicating a focus on premium market developments. This financial year has seen $17.7 million in commercial approvals, suggesting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Rosehill's development levels per person are similar, maintaining market equilibrium with surrounding areas. New development comprises 12.0% detached dwellings and 88.0% medium and high-density housing, catering to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers seeking accessible options.

With around 149 people per dwelling approval, Rosehill exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Rosehill is projected to grow by approximately 2,522 residents by 2041. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Rosehill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 56 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Powerhouse Parramatta, Camellia-Rosehill Place Strategy, Parramatta Metro Station - Sydney Metro West, and Melrose Park South - Holdmark Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Rosehill ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Rosehill has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 2.3%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 5.2%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of December 2025, there are 3,074 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is high at 78.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Notably, 37.5% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Dominant employment sectors include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Rosehill has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average. However, education & training is under-represented, with only 5.7% of Rosehill's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 8.9%. The area functions as an employment hub, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 5.2%, while labour force increased by 4.6%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Rosehill. These projections suggest that local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Rosehill is $53,014, with an average of $63,608, based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is below Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $57,711 and an average of $69,244, accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, personal income ranks at the 67th percentile ($899 weekly), while household income is at the 51st percentile. Income brackets show that 40.0% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, consistent with regional trends where 30.9% fall into this category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 46th percentile. Rosehill's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Rosehill features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Rosehill's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 17.3% houses and 82.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rosehill was at 9.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (20.8%) or rented (70.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,997, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent was $390, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Rosehill's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Rosehill features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households compose 62.7% of all households, including 33.0% couples with children, 20.5% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 37.3%, with lone person households at 29.7% and group households comprising 7.1%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Rosehill shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Rosehill has a notably high level of educational attainment among its residents aged 15 and above, with 53.1% holding university qualifications compared to the national average of 30.4% and the state average of 32.2%. This indicates a significant educational advantage for Rosehill residents. Among these university-qualified individuals, bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 31.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 20.0% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational pathways also contribute significantly to educational attainment in Rosehill, with advanced diplomas accounting for 10.8% and certificates for 10.4%.

The area's educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.3% in tertiary education, and 3.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosehill has 16 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 13 different routes that together facilitate 896 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's home to the nearest transport stop is 155 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 65% of residents, while trains and buses are used by 17% and 9% respectively. On average, there are 0.7 vehicles per dwelling in Rosehill, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion of residents, 37.5%, work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 128 trips per day, equating to approximately 56 weekly trips per individual stop.

Rosehill's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Rosehill, based on AreaSearch's assessment as of March 2023. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts, with a leading rate of private health cover at approximately 52% of the total population (~2,509 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area were mental health issues (4.9%) and asthma (4.0%), while 84.2% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents showed low chronic condition prevalence. As of March 2023, the area had 9.3% of residents aged 65 and over (447 people), lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population as of March 2023.

Rosehill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rosehill has a high level of cultural diversity, with 72.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 67.9% born overseas. The predominant religion in Rosehill is Hinduism, making up 31.9% of the population, significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (26.2%), Indian (22.9%), and Chinese (9.2%), all substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 16.0%, 3.6%, and 4.7%.

Notably, Lebanese, Spanish, and Filipino ethnicities are overrepresented in Rosehill at 7.1% (vs 2.6%), 0.8% (vs 0.6%), and 3.3% (vs 2.0%) respectively.

Rosehill hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Rosehill's median age is 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Rosehill has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (29.2%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (8.8%). This 25-34 concentration is well above the national average of 14.4%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 65 to 74 has grown from 4.3% to 5.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5 to 14 has declined from 10.9% to 8.9%, and the proportion of residents aged 35 to 44 has dropped from 21.6% to 19.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes for Rosehill, with the strongest projected growth in the 35 to 44 age group, which is expected to grow by 76%, adding 724 residents to reach a total of 1,678.