Ermington

Ermington lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Ermington statistical area (Lv2) is around 14,993. This figure reflects an increase of 2,307 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,686. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 13,893 in June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS and an additional 37 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,884 persons per square kilometer, placing Ermington (SA2) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Ermington statistical area (Lv2) experienced an 18.2% growth between the 2021 Census and November 2025, surpassing both state (7.6%) and metropolitan area growth rates during this period. This growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 72.0% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, exceptional growth is predicted for Ermington (SA2), placing it in the top 10 percent of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. By 2041, the area is expected to expand by 11,188 persons, reflecting an increase of 65.7% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Ermington among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Ermington has seen approximately 179 dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 895 homes were approved, with a further 218 in FY-26 so far. This results in an average of about 1.4 new residents per new home over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost value for new dwellings is $453,000, slightly above the regional average. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $34.1 million, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ermington has seen 35.0% more development per person over the past five years. New developments consist of 11.0% detached dwellings and 89.0% attached dwellings, suggesting a shift towards compact living. This is expected to continue with an estimated growth of 9,843 residents by 2041. Construction pace has been reasonable so far but may face increased competition as population grows.

Looking ahead, Ermington is expected to grow by 9,843 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers could encounter growing competition as population increases.

Ermington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include Melrose Central, Melrose Central, Rivea Rydalmere, and Melrose Park Urban Renewal Precinct. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Ermington demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Ermington has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 4.0%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.6% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, there are 7,972 residents in work, and Ermington's unemployment rate is 0.2% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's at 60.0%. The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. Ermington has a particular specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 9.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6%, labour force by 3.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points in Ermington. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1%, labour force expand by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. By 25-Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Ermington's employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Ermington's employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that income in Ermington is slightly above average nationally. The median income is $54,100 and the average income stands at $68,559. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Ermington would be approximately $58,893 (median) and $74,633 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Ermington cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 30.4% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, which is similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Ermington displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Ermington, as per the latest Census evaluation, 60.5% of dwellings were houses while 39.4% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments and 'other' dwellings. This compared to Sydney metropolitan area's figures of 57.3% houses and 42.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ermington stood at 22.5%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 33.9% and rented dwellings making up 43.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while median weekly rent was recorded at $420 compared to Sydney metro's $2,600 and $460 respectively. Nationally, Ermington's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ermington has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7% of all households, including 41.5% couples with children, 21.0% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 21.8% and group households making up 2.5%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Ermington performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Ermington trail regional benchmarks; 36.1% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to 42.7% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees lead at 24.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (17.4%). Educational participation is high; 30.9% of residents are currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.4% in primary, 7.0% in secondary, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ermington has 77 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These are all bus stops serviced by 25 different routes that collectively facilitate 2,960 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 143 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 422 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ermington's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Ermington.

The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population and closer to national averages for older, at-risk cohorts. Approximately 54% of the total population (~8,102 people) has private health cover. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.3 and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 76.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.3% across Greater Sydney. Ermington has 15.0% of its residents aged 65 and over (2,248 people), which is lower than the 16.6% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average.

Ermington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ermington has high cultural diversity, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 49.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Ermington, comprising 53.8% of people. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 6.1% of Ermington's population versus 5.3%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (15.9%), Australian (15.7%), and Chinese (15.1%), the latter being lower than the regional average of 24.7%. Korean (6.3%) and Lebanese (5.1%) are notably overrepresented, while Filipino is slightly higher at 2.3% compared to regional averages.

Ermington's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ermington has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Sydney's figure and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 35-44 age group constitutes 17.2% of Ermington's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort makes up 11.7%, which is less prevalent compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 16.2% to 17.2% of Ermington's population. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 15.6% to 14.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Ermington's age structure. Notably, the 35-44 group is projected to grow by 57%, reaching 4,041 people from its current figure of 2,578.