Ermington

Ermington lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

By Nov 2025, Ermington's population is estimated at around 13,623, reflecting an increase of 937 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for the suburb, as validated by AreaSearch in Jun 2024, showed a resident population of 13,562. This increase is attributed to approximately 37 new addresses validated since the Census date. Ermington's population density as of Nov 2025 is 3,529 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb experienced a 7.4% growth from the 2021 Census, exceeding both its SA3 area (6.5%) and the state's growth rate. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.0% of Ermington's population gains during recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, or NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Ermington is projected to expand by 11,288 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 83.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Ermington among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Ermington has experienced around 158 dwellings receiving development approval per year. An estimated 790 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional 169 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 1.6 new residents arrive per new home annually over these five years.

This suggests a balance between supply and demand, contributing to stable market dynamics. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $453,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $1.7 million, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ermington has seen slightly more development, at 19.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years, supporting current property values while offering buyer choice. This is significantly higher than the national average, reflecting robust developer interest in the area. New developments consist of 12.0% detached dwellings and 88.0% attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

This shift from the existing housing composition (currently 60.0% houses) suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse, affordable housing options. With around 100 people per dwelling approval, Ermington exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Ermington is expected to grow by 11,313 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Ermington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely to affect the area. Notable projects include Melrose Central, Rivea Rydalmere, and Melrose Park Urban Renewal Precinct, with the following list providing details on those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Ermington remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Ermington's workforce is highly educated, with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.0% in the past year, showing a 2.2% employment growth.

As of June 2025, 7,939 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.0%, 0.2% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and retail trade. Ermington specializes in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level, but has fewer professionals & technicians (9.7% vs Greater Sydney's 11.5%).

Employment opportunities seem limited locally, as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.2%, labour force by 3.1%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.9 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney's employment grew by 2.6%, labour force expanded by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ermington's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Ermington's median income is $54,100 and average income is $68,559. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. By September 2025, estimates suggest Ermington's median income will be approximately $60,922 and average income around $77,204, based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Ermington cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 30.4% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. This is similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income in Ermington. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 60th percentile nationally, with the area's SEIFA income ranking placing it in the 7th decile.

Ermington displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Ermington, as per the latest Census, consisted of 60.5% houses and 39.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Sydney metro's 60.5% houses and 39.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ermington was at 22.5%, with the rest being mortgaged (33.9%) or rented (43.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, aligning with Sydney metro's average. The median weekly rent figure was $420 compared to Sydney metro's $460. Nationally, Ermington's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,600 against Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ermington has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.7% of all households, consisting of 41.5% couples with children, 21.0% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 21.8% and group households making up 2.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Ermington performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Ermington show that 36.1% of residents aged 15 and above have university degrees, compared to the SA3 area's 42.7%. This indicates potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding them - advanced diplomas account for 11.8% and certificates for 17.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education. Ermington's educational provision includes Rydalmere East Public School and Ermington West Public School, serving a total of 203 students. These schools focus on primary education, with an ICSEA score of 1016, indicating typical Australian school conditions and balanced educational opportunities. Secondary options are available in surrounding areas due to limited local capacity (1.5 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 13.6), leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ermington has 70 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 24 different routes that collectively facilitate 2,443 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 143 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 349 daily trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ermington's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Ermington.

Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population and nearer to the nation's average among older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 54% of the total population (~7,361 people). Mental health issues are the most common medical condition in the area, impacting 6.3% of residents, followed by arthritis at 5.5%. A total of 76.2% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.3% across Greater Sydney. Ermington has 15.0% of residents aged 65 and over (2,043 people), which is lower than the 16.6% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but require more attention than those of the broader population.

Ermington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ermington has a high cultural diversity, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 49.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Ermington, comprising 53.8% of the population. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 6.1% of Ermington's population versus 5.3%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (15.9%), Australian (15.7%), and Chinese (15.1%), which is lower than the regional average of 24.7%. Notably, Korean (6.3%) and Lebanese (5.1%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 6.5% and 3.8%, respectively. Filipino ethnicity is also slightly overrepresented at 2.3% versus a regional average of 1.8%.

Ermington's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ermington has a median age of 37, which is equal to Greater Sydney's figure and comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The population aged 35-44 represents 17.2%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 15-24 age group constitutes 11.6% of Ermington's population. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 16.2% to 17.2%. During this period, the 25-34 cohort decreased from 15.6% to 14.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Ermington's age structure. Notably, the 35-44 group is projected to grow by 73%, reaching 4,056 people from its current figure of 2,343.