Ermington

Ermington lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Ermington is around 14,992, reflecting an increase of 2,306 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents an 18.2% rise from the previous population of 12,686. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 13,893 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. Ermington's population density is 3,883 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. This high density indicates a highly-sought resource for land in the area. Ermington's growth exceeded both the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney figures since the 2021 Census.

The primary driver for this growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, Ermington is predicted to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. By 2041, the area's population is expected to expand by 11,579 persons, reflecting an increase of 69.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Ermington among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval data, Ermington had approximately 173 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21 and FY25, around 868 homes were approved, with a further 437 approved in FY26 as of the current date. On average, 1.4 new residents arrived annually for each new home over the past five financial years.

This suggests balanced supply and demand dynamics, with an average dwelling development cost of $453,000, slightly above the regional norm, indicating a focus on quality developments. In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $34.1 million, reflecting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ermington had 31.0% more development per person over the five-year period, supporting property values while offering buyer choice. This is significantly above the national average, indicating strong developer interest in the area. New developments consist of 11.0% detached dwellings and 89.0% attached dwellings, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers due to affordable entry pathways. This shift from the existing 60.0% houses suggests decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse housing options.

Ermington's population growth is expected to reach around 91 people per dwelling approval by 2041, indicating its status as a growth area. Currently, construction pace is reasonable but buyers may face increasing competition due to rising population numbers.

Ermington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Melrose Central, Melrose Central, Rivea Rydalmere, and Melrose Park Urban Renewal Precinct, with the following list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Ermington demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Ermington's workforce is well-educated with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 3.8% as of December 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.1%.

As of December 2025, 8,023 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.3% below Greater Sydney's. Workforce participation was 73.6%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.2%. A significant 46.0% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

Ermington specializes in public administration & safety with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level, but has lower representation in professional & technical roles (9.7% vs Greater Sydney's 11.5%). Employment opportunities may be limited locally based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.1%, labour force by 4.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.2% and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ermington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Ermington's median income is $54,100 and average income is $68,559. Greater Sydney has a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003 in the same period. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth suggest Ermington's median income will be approximately $58,893 and average income $74,633. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Ermington are around the 58th percentile nationally. The largest earnings segment is 30.4% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (4,557 residents), similar to metropolitan regions where 30.9% fall into this bracket. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile nationally. Ermington's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Ermington displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The latest Census data shows that in Ermington, 60.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 39.4% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types of dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ermington stood at 22.5%, lower than Sydney's average, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.9% and rented ones at 43.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Ermington was $2,600, higher than the Sydney average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Ermington was $420, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, Ermington's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national average of $375.

Ermington has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7% of all households, including 41.5% couples with children, 21.0% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 21.8% and group households comprising 2.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Ermington performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Ermington trail regional benchmarks, with 36.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 42.7% in the SA3 area as of 2021 data. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 24.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (17.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2021 census. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ermington has 77 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by 25 different routes that collectively facilitate 2,960 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 143 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Ermington being primarily residential. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 83%, while trains account for 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 46% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 422 trips per day, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Ermington is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Ermington shows superior health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 54% (~8101 people) have private health cover, higher than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.3% and 5.5% of residents respectively. About 76.2% report no medical ailments, slightly above Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 15.7% (2353 people) aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, closely aligned with national rankings for the general population.

Ermington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ermington's population shows high cultural diversity, with 44.3% born overseas and 49.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ermington, comprising 53.8%. Islam is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 6.1% of Ermington's population versus 6.8%.

Top ancestry groups are Other (15.9%), Australian (15.7%), and Chinese (15.1%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 8.4%. Notably, Korean (6.3%) and Lebanese (5.1%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.1% and 2.6%, respectively. Filipino population is also slightly higher at 2.3% versus the regional average of 2.0%.

Ermington's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ermington has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Sydney's figure and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 35-44 age group comprises 17.1% of Ermington's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 14.0%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present day, the 35-44 age group has increased from 16.2% to 17.1% of Ermington's population. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 15.6% to 14.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Ermington's age structure. Notably, the 35-44 group is projected to grow by 61%, adding 1,570 people and reaching a total of 4,134 from its current figure of 2,563.