Denistone East

An assessment of population growth drivers in Denistone East reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Denistone East statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 2,285 as of November 2025. This figure reflects a decrease of 7 people since the Census conducted in 2021, which reported a population of 2,292. The current resident population estimate of 2,282 by AreaSearch is based on an examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and the validation of 20 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,264 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 86.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Denistone East (SA2) is expected to grow by 211 persons to reach a total population of approximately 2,506 by the year 2041, reflecting an increase of 11.0% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Denistone East according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Denistone East recorded approximately 15 residential properties granted approval per year. Around 77 homes were approved over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional three approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline, new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $565,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year, $856,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Sydney. Denistone East has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 72nd percentile nationally. Recent construction comprises 24.0% detached dwellings and 76.0% medium and high-density housing, marking a shift from existing patterns (currently 76.0% houses), possibly due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The location has approximately 178 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Population forecasts estimate Denistone East will gain 251 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Denistone East has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. One project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Ryde Hospital Redevelopment, scheduled for completion on 30th June 2021; 741-747 Victoria Road Mixed Use, expected to finish on 31st December 2022; Denistone Station Upgrade, planned for completion on 15th February 2023; and Chatham West Ryde, with an anticipated completion date of 30th September 2024. These projects are considered most relevant to the area's performance.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Denistone East performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Denistone East has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 10.8% over the past year.

This figure is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. The unemployment rate in Denistone East was 2.5 percentage points lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, while workforce participation was broadly similar at 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, education & training shows a high concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, manufacturing has lower representation at 3.4% compared to the regional average of 5.7%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 10.8% while labour force grew by 9.6%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1%, labour force expand by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate that national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Denistone East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Denistone East had a median income among taxpayers of $54,492 and an average level of $71,849. Nationally, the median was $60,817 and the average was $83,003. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median would be approximately $59,320 and the average $78,215, based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census ranked household incomes in Denistone East at the 88th percentile ($2,424 weekly). Income analysis showed that 29.4% of residents (671 people) fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupied this range. Notably, 39.5% exceeded $3,000 weekly. Housing costs consumed 15.8% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 87th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking was in the 9th decile.

Denistone East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Denistone East's latest Census data shows 75.5% houses and 24.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 42.9% houses and 57.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Denistone East was 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.3% and rented at 18.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,974, higher than Sydney metro's $2,600. Median weekly rent was $650, compared to Sydney metro's $460. Nationally, Denistone East's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Denistone East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.4% of all households, including 51.7% couples with children, 20.6% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.6%, consisting of 15.4% lone person households and 1.1% group households. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Denistone East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Denistone East is notably high, with 48.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to national (30.4%) and NSW state averages (32.2%). The area's educational advantage is evident across various qualification levels: bachelor degrees are most common at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 23.2% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas making up 9.8% and certificates 13.4%. Educational participation is significantly high among residents, with 32.1% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (11.3%), secondary education (8.9%), and tertiary education (6.7%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Denistone East shows 11 active transport stops currently operating. These are served by a mix of buses along 12 different routes. Together, these routes facilitate 851 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 153 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 121 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 77 weekly trips per individual stop.

Denistone East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Denistone East, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~1,264 people), compared to 62.9% across Greater Sydney.

Asthma and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 5.4 and 5.3% of residents respectively. A total of 78.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.6% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 20.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (470 people), which is higher than the 16.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Denistone East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Denistone East has high cultural diversity, with 44.6% of its population born overseas and 52.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Denistone East, comprising 47.9%. Judaism, however, is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 0.5% versus 0.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (30.7%), Australian (13.9%), and English (13.3%). Korean (3.5%) and Lebanese (1.9%) are notably overrepresented, while Sri Lankan is underrepresented at 0.7% compared to the regional average of 0.4%.

Denistone East's median age exceeds the national pattern

Denistone East's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. The 65-74 age group is notably over-represented in Denistone East at 11.1%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.3%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 11.7% to 14.0% of the population, and the 75-84 cohort has risen from 4.3% to 6.1%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 15.7% to 13.7%, and the 55-64 age group has dropped from 14.1% to 12.4%. Demographic modeling suggests that Denistone East's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 84%, adding 117 residents to reach 257. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 67% of the population growth, while the 0-4 and 55-64 age groups are projected to decline in population.