Dundas Valley

Population growth drivers in Dundas Valley are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the Dundas Valley statistical area's population is estimated at around 6438 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 563 people (9.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5875 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 6093 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 30 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3556 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Dundas Valley's 9.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state's (7.6%) and the metropolitan area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas is forecast, with the Dundas Valley expected to expand by 1547 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 18.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Dundas Valley according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Dundas Valley has seen approximately 42 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending FY-25, totaling an estimated 211 homes. As of FY-26, 38 approvals have been recorded. This results in around 209 people per dwelling approval. The area's population has declined recently, but housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with diverse buyer choices.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost of $639,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment. In FY-26, $2.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to Greater Sydney, Dundas Valley records about 68% of building activity per person and ranks among the 66th percentile nationally. New building activity comprises approximately 25.0% detached houses and 75.0% medium and high-density housing. This shift from the area's existing housing (currently 65.0% houses) suggests decreasing developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles requiring more diverse, affordable housing options.

Population forecasts indicate Dundas Valley will gain around 1,219 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Dundas Valley has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include the 25 Station Street Childcare Facility, the 47-71 Stewart Street Development, the Telopea Renewal Project, and the 1-7 Simpson Street Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Dundas Valley shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Dundas Valley has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 4.6% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.9%.

As of September 2025, 3,405 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 56.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area specializes in wholesale trade with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level, but finance & insurance shows lower representation at 5.4% versus the regional average of 7.3%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. In the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.9% and labour force by 3.3%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. Conversely, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National unemployment is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Dundas Valley's employment mix, local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Dundas Valley's median income among taxpayers was $47,235, with an average of $64,952. These figures were below the national average. In comparison, Greater Sydney had a median income of $60,817 and an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $51,420 (median) and $70,707 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household income ranked at the 55th percentile ($1,835 weekly), while personal income was at the 33rd percentile. Distribution data showed that 30.6% of locals (1,970 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupied this bracket. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 78.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 48th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Dundas Valley displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Dundas Valley, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, consisted of 65.4% houses and 34.6% other dwellings including semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compared to Sydney metropolitan area's dwelling structure which was 57.3% houses and 42.7% other dwellings at the same Census date. Home ownership in Dundas Valley stood at 23.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.0% and rented dwellings at 38.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,672 as of June 2019, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,600. The median weekly rent figure for Dundas Valley was recorded at $428 in March 2020, compared to Sydney metro's $460. Nationally, Dundas Valley's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 reported in January 2021, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 recorded in the same period.

Dundas Valley has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.1% of all households, including 42.4% couples with children, 19.8% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.9%, with lone person households at 21.7% and group households making up 3.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

The educational profile of Dundas Valley exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 39.3% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 25.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 15.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 36 active transport stops in Dundas Valley, with a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 15 individual routes, offering 1,528 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 160 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 218 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 42 weekly trips per stop.

Dundas Valley's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Dundas Valley shows excellent health outcomes, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Its private health cover rate is approximately 53%, which compares to the average SA2 area's 55%.

This area has around 3,388 people. Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 5.7% each of residents. About 77.0% report being completely free from medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 77.3%. Dundas Valley has 14.8% of residents aged 65 and over (952 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 16.6%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Dundas Valley is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Dundas Valley has one of the most culturally diverse populations in the country, with 49.2% of its residents born overseas and 55.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Dundas Valley, comprising 51.9% of the population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 4.6% of Dundas Valley's population.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (23.6%), Australian (14.2%), and Other (13.0%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences in representation: Korean at 8.5%, Lebanese at 3.9%, and Spanish at 0.6%.

Dundas Valley's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Dundas Valley is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Dundas Valley has a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (12.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.3%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 11.8% to 13.1%, while the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has decreased from 13.4% to 12.7%. By 2041, Dundas Valley's age composition is expected to shift significantly. The number of residents aged 65-74 is projected to grow by 38%, reaching 811 from 585. The 35-44 age group is expected to show minimal growth, with an increase of just one resident.