Ermington - Rydalmere

Ermington - Rydalmere lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Ermington-Rydalmere's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 26,722. This figure represents an increase of 2,081 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 24,641. The growth from June 2024's estimated resident population of 26,599 and validated new addresses accounts for this change. This results in a density ratio of 2,707 persons per square kilometer, placing Ermington-Rydalmere in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. The area's 8.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeds both its SA3 area (6.5%) and the state average, indicating it is a growth leader regionally. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing Ermington-Rydalmere in the top 10 percent nationally over this period, with an expected expansion of 21,514 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 79.6% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Ermington - Rydalmere among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Ermington-Rydalmere has seen approximately 364 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 1820 homes. As of FY26425 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.3 new residents arrive per new home each year between FY21 and FY25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. The average construction value for new homes is $389,000.

This financial year has seen $49.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ermington-Rydalmere has 42.0% more development per person over the past five years, offering buyer choice while supporting property values. Development activity is significantly above the national average, indicating strong developer interest. Recent construction comprises 12.0% standalone homes and 88.0% townhouses or apartments, shifting from the area's current 56.0% houses. With around 113 people per dwelling approval, Ermington-Rydalmere exhibits growth area characteristics. By 2041, it is projected to add 21,282 residents, potentially leading to increased buyer competition and price support if housing supply struggles to match population growth at current development rates.

Future projections show Ermington - Rydalmere adding 21,282 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Ermington - Rydalmere has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 49 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Melrose Central, Melrose Park High School, Melrose Park Urban Renewal Precinct, and Rivea Rydalmere. The following list details those expected to have most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Ermington - Rydalmere has been broadly consistent with national averages

Ermington-Rydalmere has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 4.0%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

The area saw an employment growth of 2.7% in the year to September 2025. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. Public administration & safety stands out with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. However, professional & technical employs only 9.4%, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Between September 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 2.7% while labour force grew by 3.4%, raising the unemployment rate to 4.6%. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Statewide, NSW saw a slight employment contraction of 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) by 25-Nov-25, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, lower than the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ermington-Rydalmere's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows Ermington - Rydalmere SA2 had a median income of $53,501 and an average income of $67,800. This is higher than the national averages of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average) for Greater Sydney. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, median income is estimated at approximately $60,247 and average income at $76,350. The 2021 Census indicates Ermington - Rydalmere incomes cluster around the 56th percentile nationally. Income brackets show 32.2% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 (8,604 individuals). Housing costs consume 20.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 58th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Ermington - Rydalmere displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The latest Census data shows that in Ermington-Rydalmere, 56.4% of dwellings are houses, with the remaining 43.6% being semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is similar to Sydney's metropolitan area, where 57.3% of dwellings are houses. Home ownership in Ermington-Rydalmere stands at 22.8%, lower than Sydney's metro average. Most dwellings are either mortgaged (35.1%) or rented (42.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area is $2,600, aligning with Sydney's metro average, while the median weekly rent is $430, slightly lower than the metro average of $460. Nationally, Ermington-Rydalmere's mortgage repayments are significantly higher at $2,600 compared to Australia's average of $1,863. Rents in the area are also substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ermington - Rydalmere has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.2% of all households, including 40.8% couples with children, 21.2% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.8%, with lone person households at 21.7% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

The educational profile of Ermington - Rydalmere exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 36.8% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 25.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 17.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.0% in primary education, 7.2% in secondary education, and 6.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ermington-Rydalmere has 161 active public transport stops. These include ferry, light rail, and bus services. There are 37 individual routes operating in total, providing 5,163 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent accessibility to transport, with an average distance of 139 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency is 737 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ermington - Rydalmere's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Ermington-Rydalmere, with younger cohorts experiencing very low prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 53% (~14,269 people) of the total population have private health cover. Mental health issues and arthritis were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 5.9 and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 76.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 14.4% (3,861 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is lower than the 16.6% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average and require more attention than the broader population.

Ermington - Rydalmere is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ermington-Rydalmere has a high level of cultural diversity, with 45.1% of its population born overseas and 50.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Ermington-Rydalmere is Christianity, which accounts for 53.7% of the population. Islam, however, is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, with 5.8% versus 5.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 16.1%, Chinese at 15.8% (significantly lower than the regional average of 24.7%), and Australian at 15.2%. Notably, Korean is also overrepresented at 6.8% compared to the regional average of 6.5%, while Lebanese are at 4.3% versus 3.8%, and Filipino at 2.4% versus 1.8%.

Ermington - Rydalmere's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ermington-Rydalmere has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 35-44 age group constitutes 16.7% of Ermington-Rydalmere's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort makes up 14.6%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 15.6% to 16.7%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 15.5% to 14.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Ermington-Rydalmere's age structure. Notably, the 35-44 group is expected to grow by 70%, reaching 7,600 people from its current total of 4,462.