Oatlands - Dundas Valley

Population growth drivers in Oatlands - Dundas Valley are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Oatlands-Dundas Valley's population is 19,532 as of May 2026. This figure shows an increase of 1,024 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,508. The growth is inferred from ABS' June 2025 estimate of 19,493 and 83 new addresses validated post-Census. This results in a population density of 3,212 persons per square kilometer, placing the area in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. The area's 5.5% growth since the Census is within 1.6 percentage points of the state's 7.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 85.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's projections where ABS data is not available, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas, with Oatlands-Dundas Valley expected to grow by 5,091 persons by 2041, reflecting a 25.9% increase over the 16 years based on latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Oatlands - Dundas Valley when compared nationally

Oatlands - Dundas Valley has seen approximately 124 new homes approved annually on average over the past five financial years. A total of 623 homes were approved between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional 287 approved so far in FY-26. The average number of new residents per year arriving for each new home has been around 0.1 over these five financial years, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand.

This offers ample buyer choice and creates capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new dwellings is $434,000, which is moderately above regional levels, suggesting an emphasis on quality construction. In FY-26, $7.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating limited focus on commercial development compared to residential growth. Relative to Greater Sydney, Oatlands - Dundas Valley records around 65% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 72nd percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered. New building activity shows a trend towards denser development, with 28.0% detached houses and 72.0% medium to high-density housing approved.

This shift provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers, representing a notable change from the area's existing housing composition of 52.0% houses. With around 182 people per dwelling approval, Oatlands - Dundas Valley shows characteristics of a low density area. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, the area is forecasted to gain approximately 5,052 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 24 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include the 25 Station Street Childcare Facility, the development at 47-71 Stewart Street, the Telopea Renewal Project, and the project at 18-22 Sophie Street in Telopea. The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Oatlands - Dundas Valley maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Oatlands - Dundas Valley has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 3.9% as of December 2025, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.5%.

As of December 2025, 10,710 residents were in work and workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Census responses indicated that 47.2% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Finance & insurance showed lower representation at 5.7% compared to the regional average of 7.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.5% and labour force increased by 4.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Oatlands - Dundas Valley's employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that income in Oatlands - Dundas Valley SA2 is above the national average. The median income is $55,318 and the average income stands at $71,516. In Greater Sydney, the median income is $60,817 with an average income of $83,013. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates project median and average incomes to be approximately $61,027 and $78,896 respectively by March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Oatlands - Dundas Valley rank modestly, between the 40th and 55th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 30.1% of locals (5,879 people) fall within the $1,500-$2,999 category, similar to the broader area where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 20.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Oatlands-Dundas Valley, as per the latest Census evaluation, 51.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 48.3% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Sydney metropolitan areas' 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oatlands-Dundas Valley stood at 27.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.3% and rented ones at 37.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Oatlands-Dundas Valley was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.1% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 25.9%, with lone person households at 23.1% and group households making up 2.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oatlands - Dundas Valley exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Oatlands - Dundas Valley, educational attainment exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 40.5% have university qualifications, surpassing Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 26.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent with 25.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.8%) and certificates (14.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary (10.3%), secondary (8.2%), and tertiary (6.6%) education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oatlands - Dundas Valley has 100 active public transport stops offering a mix of light rail and buses. These are served by 36 routes providing 4,197 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 179 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Car remains the dominant mode at 85%, while train accounts for 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 47.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 599 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 41 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results for Oatlands - Dundas Valley, with AreaSearch's assessment revealing low mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, especially among younger cohorts who have a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is high, at approximately 55% of the total population (~10,723 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (5.8%) and mental health issues (5.8%), while 75.6% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.2% (3,365 people), compared to 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatlands-Dundas Valley has a high level of cultural diversity, with 48.2% of its population born overseas and 55.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Oatlands-Dundas Valley, making up 53.9% of people there. However, Buddhism stands out as overrepresented, comprising 4.5% of the population compared to 4.1% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese at 22.0%, Australian at 13.8%, and Other at 13.2%. Notably, Korean is overrepresented at 7.3%, Lebanese at 6.7%, and Russian at 0.4%.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age of Oatlands - Dundas Valley is 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 cohort is notably over-represented in the area at 12.6%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.6% to 13.2% of the population, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 8.8% to 9.9%. Conversely, the 0 to 4 age group has declined from 5.5% to 4.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Oatlands - Dundas Valley's age profile will change significantly. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 819 people (an increase of 85%) from 966 to 1,786.