Oatlands - Dundas Valley

Population growth drivers in Oatlands - Dundas Valley are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Oatlands-Dundas Valley's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 20,475. This figure represents a growth of 1,967 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 18,508. The increase is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 19,270 in June 2024 and an additional 73 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a population density of 3,367 persons per square kilometer, placing the area in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The growth rate of 10.6% since the 2021 census exceeds both state (7.6%) and Greater Sydney averages, positioning Oatlands-Dundas Valley as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 81.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021, are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends suggest a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas, with Oatlands-Dundas Valley expected to grow by 5,265 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 19.8% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Oatlands - Dundas Valley when compared nationally

Oatlands - Dundas Valley has seen approximately 124 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 623 homes were approved, with an additional 129 approved so far in FY-26. On average, over these five years, about 0.1 new residents moved into each newly approved home annually.

This pace suggests that new housing supply has kept up with or exceeded demand, providing ample buyer options and creating capacity for population growth beyond current projections. The average construction cost value of these new dwellings was $434,000, which is moderately higher than regional levels, indicating a focus on quality construction. In FY-26, approximately $7.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited emphasis on commercial development in the area compared to residential growth. Relative to Greater Sydney, Oatlands - Dundas Valley records around 64% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 72nd percentile nationally when assessed against other areas. The new building activity consists of approximately 28.0% detached houses and 72.0% medium and high-density housing.

This shift towards denser development provides accessible entry options, appealing to downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. This trend represents a notable change from the area's existing housing composition, currently at 52.0% houses. With around 182 people per dwelling approval, Oatlands - Dundas Valley exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is projected to gain approximately 4,060 residents by 2041. Development in the area appears to be keeping pace with projected population growth, although buyers may face increasing competition as the population continues to expand.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 24 projects that could affect the region. Notable initiatives include the 25 Station Street Childcare Facility, the 47-71 Stewart Street Development, the Telopea Renewal Project, and the 18-22 Sophie Street Telopea project. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Oatlands - Dundas Valley shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Oatlands - Dundas Valley has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.0% as of September 2025, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.9%.

As of September 2025, 10,639 residents were in work and workforce participation was on par with Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses showed that 47.2% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.

Finance & insurance had lower representation at 5.7% compared to the regional average of 7.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. During the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.9% and labour force increased by 3.2%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oatlands - Dundas Valley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Oatlands - Dundas Valley SA2 is above the national average. The median assessed income is $55,318 and the average income stands at $71,516. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $60,219 (median) and $77,852 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Oatlands - Dundas Valley, between the 40th and 55th percentiles. Distribution data shows that 30.1% of locals (6,162 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income category, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. High housing costs consume 20.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Oatlands - Dundas Valley, as per the latest Census, consisted of 51.8% houses and 48.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Oatlands - Dundas Valley was 27.0%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (35.3%) or rented (37.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oatlands - Dundas Valley's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.1% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for 25.9%, with lone person households at 23.1% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oatlands - Dundas Valley exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Oatlands-Dundas Valley is notably higher than national averages. As of 2016, 40.5% of residents aged 15 and above had university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in New South Wales (NSW). This educational advantage is reflected in the distribution of degrees: 26.7% hold bachelor degrees, 11.6% have postgraduate qualifications, and 2.2% possess graduate diplomas. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.6% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.8%) and certificates (14.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest census. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 6.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oatlands-Dundas Valley has 100 active public transport stops offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These are served by 36 routes facilitating 4,197 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 179 meters to the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most residents commute outward using cars (85%), with train use at 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 47.2% work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency stands at 599 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 41 weekly trips per stop.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

AreaSearch's assessment shows excellent health outcomes in Oatlands - Dundas Valley. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low, especially among younger cohorts.

Private health cover is high at approximately 55% (~11,240 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (5.8%) and mental health issues (5.8%). A majority of residents (75.6%) report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.0% (3,488 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.3%. While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oatlands-Dundas Valley has a high level of cultural diversity, with 48.2% of its population born overseas and 55.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Oatlands-Dundas Valley, comprising 53.9% of people. Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 4.5% of the population.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (22.0%), Australian (13.8%), and Other (13.2%). Korean (7.3%) and Lebanese (6.7%) populations are notably higher than regional averages.

Oatlands - Dundas Valley's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Oatlands-Dundas Valley has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oatlands-Dundas Valley has an over-representation of the 55-64 cohort (12.7%) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age group (11.1%). Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.6% to 12.8%, while the 0 to 4 cohort has decreased from 5.5% to 4.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Oatlands-Dundas Valley's age profile. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 805 people (an 80% increase) from 1,009 to 1,815. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age group is expected to decrease by 13 residents.