Auburn - South

Auburn - South has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Auburn - South's population is approximately 9,410 as of May 2026. This figure represents a growth of 550 people (6.2%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 8,860. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 9,372 in June 2025 and an additional 165 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,872 persons per square kilometer, placing Auburn - South within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, indicating high demand for land in the area. The 6.2% growth rate positions Auburn - South close to the state's average (7.1%), reflecting strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 79.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections, Auburn - South is expected to experience a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation, with an anticipated expansion of 759 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 7.7% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Auburn - South according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Auburn South has seen approximately 39 dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 197 homes were approved, with another 31 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 0.2 people moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years.

This suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost of new homes is around $276,000, which is below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY26, approximately $37.6 million worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting significant local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Auburn South has 54.0% less construction per person, suggesting stronger demand and values for established dwellings due to limited new supply. The current housing mix consists of 52.0% standalone homes and 48.0% medium to high-density housing, marking a shift from the existing pattern of 73.0% houses.

This change may indicate diminishing developable land availability and a response to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 261 people per dwelling approval, Auburn South is characterized as a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by approximately 721 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Auburn - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Seven projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly, including Aura by Crown Group, Berala Village Redevelopment, Berala TOD Precinct, and Pippita Rail Trail from Lidcombe to Olympic Park. These are among the key initiatives planned for the region.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Auburn - South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Auburn - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate is 8.9%, with an estimated employment growth of 4.2% over the past year as of December 2025. There are 3,687 residents in work, and the unemployment rate is 4.8% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation lags at 54.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A high proportion of residents, 30.1%, work from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a significant employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have limited presence, at 7.1% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.2%, with labour force growth also at 4.2%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Auburn - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Auburn - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $34,830 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $40,896 during the same period. In Greater Sydney, these figures were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. By March 2026, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 10.32%, estimated median income would be approximately $38,424 and average income $45,116. According to Census 2021 data, individual incomes lagged at the 3rd percentile with weekly earnings of $496, while household income performed better at the 36th percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominated with 30.0% of residents (2,823 people), similar to surrounding regions where 30.9% occupied this range. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 78.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 30th percentile.

Auburn - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As evaluated in the latest Census, dwelling structures in Auburn - South consisted of 72.8% houses and 27.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Auburn - South stood at 30.7%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (32.4%) or rented (36.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Auburn - South was $435, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Auburn - South's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Auburn - South features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.2% of all households, including 48.9% couples with children, 16.9% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.8%, with lone person households at 15.5% and group households comprising 4.4%. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Auburn - South fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 25.6%, significantly lower than the SA3 average of 39.9%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational pathways account for 22.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.0% and certificates at 12.6%. Educational participation is high, with 35.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.2% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 7.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 47 active transport stops operating within Auburn-South. These are served by 20 routes, providing a total of 509 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 129 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuters travel outward due to the residential nature of the area. Cars remain the dominant mode at 83%, while 11% use trains. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 30.1% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 72 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Auburn - South is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

"Auburn-South faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population, around 4,328 people, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are diabetes and arthritis, impacting 5.6% and 5.2% of residents respectively, with 79.3% declaring themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 12.8% of residents aged 65 and over, around 1,208 people, which is lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.".

Auburn - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Auburn-South has a population where 55.5% were born overseas, with 80.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion is Islam, practiced by 47.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 6.8%. The top three ancestry groups are Other (34.4%), Chinese (23.0%), and Lebanese (11.4%).

These percentages are significantly higher than the regional averages of 16.0%, 8.4%, and 2.6% respectively. Notably, Vietnamese (2.7%), Korean (1.4%), and Sri Lankan (0.5%) ethnic groups are overrepresented in Auburn-South compared to their regional counterparts at 1.8%, 1.1%, and 0.3% respectively.

Auburn - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Auburn-South's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Auburn-South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.1%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (3.6%). According to data post the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 grew from 14.0% to 15.4%, while the 35-44 age group increased from 12.5% to 13.8%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group decreased from 11.7% to 10.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Auburn-South's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 82%, adding 275 residents to reach 612. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 61% of the population growth, while declines are projected for the 5-14 and 0-4 age cohorts.