Taren Point

Population growth drivers in Taren Point are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of the suburb of Taren Point is estimated at around 1,887. This reflects an increase of 8 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,879. The change was inferred from the resident population of 1,882, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 5 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,387 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projecting forward, an above median population growth is expected, with the suburb projected to expand by 399 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 20.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Taren Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers derived from statistical area data, Taren Point averaged approximately 15 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 78 homes. As of FY-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 0.3 people moved to the area for each dwelling built. This indicates that new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing buyers with more options and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current expectations.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $698,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been $13.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity relative to residential growth. Compared to Greater Sydney, Taren Point exhibits moderately higher building activity, 21.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This has maintained good buyer choice while supporting existing property values, although construction activity has eased recently. Recent construction in Taren Point comprises 14.0% detached dwellings and 86.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift towards higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This marks a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 49.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With approximately 171 people per dwelling approval, Taren Point exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the suburb is projected to add 394 residents by 2041. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Taren Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region: 117-131 Taren Point Road Specialised Retail Development, Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL), Live Caringbah, and Sans Souci Park Master Plan are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

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Employment drivers in Taren Point are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Taren Point has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 5.2% as of December 2025. Over the past year, employment remained relatively stable.

However, compared to Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%, Taren Point's is 1.0% higher. Workforce participation also lags behind Greater Sydney at 51.8%. A significant proportion of residents work from home, with 39.8% doing so according to Census responses. Key industries for employment include construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance.

Construction is particularly prominent, employing 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance employs only 10.7% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%. The area functions as an employment hub with 1.2 workers per resident, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force increased by 0.1% while employment declined by 0.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest that Taren Point's employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Taren Point had a median taxpayer income of $49,095 and an average income of $77,957 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. Nationally, this is high compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income will be approximately $53,445 and the average will be around $84,864, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census figures show household, family, and personal incomes in Taren Point rank modestly, between the 33rd and 40th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 23.7% of locals (447 people) fall into the $800 - 1,499 category, unlike the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Taren Point, with only 79.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 27th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Taren Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Taren Point, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 49.2% houses and 50.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The level of home ownership in Taren Point was 56.1%, with the remainder being mortgaged (31.8%) or rented (12.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure in Taren Point was recorded at $650, compared to Sydney metro's $470 and the national figure of $375.

Taren Point features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.8% of all households, including 25.0% composed of couples with children, 34.9% consisting of couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.2%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Taren Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 27.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 38.0% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 16.2% and certificates at 21.8%. Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.5% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 5.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Taren Point has 24 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 17 different routes that collectively facilitate 446 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in the area is considered excellent, with residents typically located just 104 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 92% of residents. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 39.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 63 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Taren Point's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Taren Point's health metrics closely match national benchmarks according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are seen at a standard level across both young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population, which totals around 1,089 people. This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and heart disease, affecting 13.6 and 8.1% of residents respectively. 62.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 44.8% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 845 people, which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Taren Point was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Taren Point, as per the 2016 Census, had a higher level of cultural diversity than most local areas, with 23.8% of its population born overseas and 25.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Taren Point, comprising 76.6% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (28.0%), Australian (17.1%), and Greek (10.1%).

Notably, Macedonian ancestry was higher at 2.2%, Croatian at 1.2%, and Hungarian at 0.4%, compared to regional averages of 0.4%, 0.7%, and 0.3% respectively.

Taren Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Taren Point is 58, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and the national norm of 38. The percentage of residents aged 85 and above is notably higher at 16.9% compared to Greater Sydney's average, which is well above the national figure of 2.2%. Conversely, the proportion of 25-34 year-olds is lower at 7.2%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 8.2% to 9.4%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 11.0% to 9.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Taren Point. The number of residents aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 79%, adding 251 residents to reach 570. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 91% of the population growth, underscoring trends towards an aging population. Conversely, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.