Taren Point

Population growth drivers in Taren Point are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Taren Point is around 1,887. This figure reflects an increase of 8 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,879. The latest ABS ERP data release (June 2024) and validation of new addresses by AreaSearch indicate this estimate. The population density is 1,387 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver of recent population growth in the suburb.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area (released in 2024 with a 2022 base year) and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data (released in 2022 with a 2021 base year). These projections indicate an above median population growth is expected, with the suburb projected to expand by 402 persons by 2041. This would represent a gain of 21.5% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Taren Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Taren Point has averaged approximately 9 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 48 homes. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. The average number of people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25) is around 0.6 per year. This indicates that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations.

The average value of new properties constructed in Taren Point is approximately $698,000, which is slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In this financial year, there have been $25.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Taren Point shows around 75% of the construction activity per person and places among the 64th percentile of areas assessed nationally. The new building activity shows approximately 17.0% detached dwellings and 83.0% attached dwellings, reflecting a trend towards denser development that provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 49.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

Taren Point has around 221 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Taren Point is projected to add approximately 405 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Taren Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one project likely affecting the area: 117-131 Taren Point Road Specialised Retail Development, Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL), Live Caringbah, and Sans Souci Park Master Plan are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Taren Point recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Taren Point has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 4.8% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.1%.

As of June 2025837 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.8%, 0.6% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 38.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Construction employment share is 1.5 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance has limited presence at 10.7% compared to 14.1% regionally.

The area hosts more jobs than residents with a worker-to-resident ratio of 1.2. In the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, labour force by 2.7%, raising unemployment by 0.6 percentage points. This compares to Greater Sydney's employment growth of 2.6%, labour force expansion of 2.9%, and unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in Sep-22, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Taren Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Taren Point has a median taxpayer income of $49,096 and an average income of $77,929 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $55,287 (median) and $87,756 (average) as of September 2025. From the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Taren Point, between the 33rd and 40th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 23.7% of the population (447 individuals) fall within the $800 - $1,499 income range, which differs from the surrounding region where the $1,500 - $2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Taren Point, with only 79.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 27th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Taren Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Taren Point, as per the latest Census, comprised 49.2% houses and 50.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Taren Point stood at 56.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.8% and rented ones at 12.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,774. The median weekly rent in Taren Point was $650, compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Taren Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,000 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Taren Point features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.8% of all households, including 25.0% couples with children, 34.9% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.2%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Taren Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 27.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 38.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 16.2% and certificates at 21.8%. Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.5% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 5.2% in tertiary education. Taren Point Public School serves the area, enrolling 112 students as of a certain date. The school focuses on primary education, with secondary options available nearby due to limited local capacity (5.9 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 13.8). The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1065).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 17 active stops operating in Taren Point, served by buses. These stops are covered by 17 routes, offering 432 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated excellent with residents typically 105 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 61 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 25 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Taren Point is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Taren Point faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is high at approximately 58% of the total population (~1,088 people), compared to 65.7% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (13.6%) and heart disease (8.1%). 62.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 72.3% in Greater Sydney. As of a recent date, 43.4% of Taren Point's population is aged 65 or over (818 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 21.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average and better than the general population in health metrics.

Taren Point was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Taren Point, as per the 2016 Census, had a higher proportion of overseas-born residents than most local areas, with 23.8%. Additionally, 25.0% spoke languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Taren Point, with 76.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 61.2%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (28.0%), Australian (17.1%), and Greek (10.1%). Notably, Macedonian ancestry was higher at 2.2% than the regional average of 0.7%. Similarly, Croatian ancestry was 1.2%, compared to 0.7% regionally, and Hungarian ancestry was 0.4%, slightly above the regional average of 0.3%.

Taren Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Taren Point is 58 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and the national norm of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 85+ cohort is notably over-represented at 16.3% locally, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 7.7%. The concentration of the 85+ cohort is well above the national figure of 2.2%. Between 2021 and the present, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 8.2% to 9.3% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.0% to 9.9%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Taren Point. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 87%, adding 267 residents to reach a total of 575. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 92% of population growth, emphasizing demographic aging trends. Conversely, both the 25-34 age group and the 0-4 age group are projected to decrease in numbers.