Taren Point

Population growth drivers in Taren Point are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the Taren Point statistical area (Lv2) is around 1,887, reflecting an increase of 8 people since the 2021 Census. The resident population estimate by AreaSearch, based on latest ERP data from ABS (June 2024), stands at 1,882 with additional validation of 3 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,387 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver for population growth in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Applying growth rates by age group from these aggregations to all areas projects an above median population growth for the area, with an expected expansion of 402 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 21.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Taren Point, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Taren Point shows an average of around 13 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 65 homes. In FY-26 so far, 4 approvals have been recorded. The population growth has averaged 0.5 people per year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25. This suggests that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations.

The average value of new properties constructed is $698,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. There have also been $13.6 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Relative to Greater Sydney, Taren Point shows comparable building activity per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. However, construction activity has eased recently. Recent construction comprises 17.0% detached dwellings and 83.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the current housing mix of 49.0% houses.

This change is due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Taren Point shows characteristics of a low density area with around 341 people per dwelling approval. Future projections show Taren Point adding 405 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Taren Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project expected to influence the region: 117-131 Taren Point Road Specialised Retail Development, Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL), Live Caringbah, and Sans Souci Park Master Plan are key initiatives, with the following projects being most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Taren Point has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Taren Point has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. The unemployment rate was 4.7% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 0.8%.

As of September 2025833 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lagged at 38.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents are construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Construction is particularly specialized, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance employs only 10.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. The area functions as an employment hub with 1.2 workers per resident, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.8% and labour force increased by 0.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Taren Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Taren Point had a median taxpayer income of $49,095 and an average of $77,957 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 during the same period. According to Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $53,445 (median) and $84,864 (average). In the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Taren Point ranked modestly, between the 33rd and 40th percentiles. The predominant income bracket was $800 - 1,499, with 23.7% of locals (447 people), differing from metropolitan patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominated with 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 79.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 27th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Taren Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Taren Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 49.2% houses and 50.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Taren Point stood at 56.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.8% and rented ones at 12.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,774. The median weekly rent in Taren Point was $650, higher than Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Taren Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Taren Point features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.8% of all households, including 25.0% couples with children, 34.9% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.2%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Taren Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates at 27.4%, significantly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 38.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (16.2%) and certificates (21.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 24 active stops operating in Taren Point. These are served by buses only. There are 17 routes in total providing 446 weekly passenger trips.

Residents' access to transport is rated excellent, with an average distance of 104 meters to the nearest stop. On average, there are 63 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Taren Point is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows significant challenges for Taren Point, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover rate is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (around 1,089 people), compared to 68.0% across Greater Sydney.

The most frequent medical conditions are arthritis and heart disease, affecting 13.6% and 8.1% of residents respectively. However, 62.5% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 72.3% in Greater Sydney. Taren Point has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 43.4% (818 people), exceeding the 21.1% rate in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, even better than those of the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Taren Point was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Taren Point's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 23.8% born overseas and 25.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Taren Point, accounting for 76.6%, compared to 61.2% across Greater Sydney. The top ancestry groups were English (28.0%), Australian (17.1%), and Greek (10.1%).

Notably, Macedonian ancestry was higher at 2.2% in Taren Point than the regional average of 0.7%, as were Croatian (1.2% vs 0.7%) and Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.3%) groups.

Taren Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Taren Point is 58 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and also above the national norm of 38 years. The percentage of residents aged 85 and above is notably higher at 16.3% compared to Greater Sydney's average, while those aged 25 to 34 are under-represented at 7.7%. This concentration of seniors aged 85 and above is well above the national average of 2.2%. Between 2021 and now, the population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 8.2% to 9.3%, while the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 11.0% to 9.9%. By 2041, the 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 87%, adding 267 residents and reaching a total of 575. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 92% of population growth, demonstrating aging trends in demographics. Conversely, both the 25 to 34 age group and those aged 0 to 4 are expected to decrease in numbers.