Taren Point

Population growth drivers in Taren Point are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Taren Point is around 1,887, reflecting an increase of 8 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 0.4% change from the previous count of 1,879 residents. The latest estimate by AreaSearch, following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validation of new addresses, is a resident population of 1,882. This results in a population density ratio of 1,387 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver of this growth, being essentially the sole source of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Taren Point are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government SA2-level projections for areas not covered by this data, with a base year of 2021. These projections indicate an above median population growth is expected until 2041, with the suburb's population projected to expand by 401 persons over these 17 years, reflecting a gain of 21.2% in total population during this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Taren Point, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Taren Point has averaged approximately 13 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending FY25. This totals an estimated 65 homes. As of FY26 so far, 4 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, on average, 0.5 people moved to Taren Point for each dwelling built.

New construction has matched or outpaced demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations. The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $698,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY26, there have been approximately $13.6 million in commercial approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Taren Point shows comparable building activity per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area, although construction activity has eased recently. Recent construction comprises 17.0% detached dwellings and 83.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the current housing mix of 49.0% houses due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

Taren Point shows characteristics of a low density area with around 341 people per dwelling approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Taren Point is projected to add approximately 401 residents by 2041. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Taren Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of one project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include the 117-131 Taren Point Road Specialised Retail Development, Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL), Live Caringbah, and Sans Souci Park Master Plan, with the following list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Taren Point has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Taren Point has a well-educated workforce. Professional services are strongly represented, with an unemployment rate of 4.7% as of September 2025. Over the past year, employment growth was estimated at 0.7%.

The area's unemployment rate is 0.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation lags significantly at 52.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 39.8% of residents work from home. Key industries of employment among residents are construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. The area has a particular specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance employs just 10.7% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%.

There are 1.2 workers for every resident, indicating that the area functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. During the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.7% and labour force increased by 0.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a rise in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Taren Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Taren Point has a median taxpayer income of $49,095 and an average income of $77,957 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. Nationally, this is high compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $53,445 and an average income of around $84,864 in Taren Point. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Taren Point rank modestly, between the 33rd and 40th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 23.7% of locals (447 people) predominantly fall within the $800 - $1,499 category, unlike metropolitan patterns where the $1,500 - $2,999 range dominates with 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Taren Point, with only 79.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 27th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Taren Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Taren Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 49.2% houses and 50.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Taren Point stood at 56.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.8% and rented ones at 12.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Taren Point was $650, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Taren Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Taren Point features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.8 percent of all households, including 25.0 percent couples with children, 34.9 percent couples without children, and 6.3 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.2 percent, with lone person households at 31.0 percent and group households comprising 2.0 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Taren Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 27.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (16.2%) and certificates (21.8%). Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.5% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 5.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 24 active transport stops operating within Taren Point. These stops are serviced by 17 individual routes, collectively providing 446 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 104 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward, with car remaining the dominant mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions, a high 39.8% of residents work from home.

Service frequency averages 63 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Taren Point's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Taren Point's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are seen at a standard level across both young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover is high, with approximately 58% of the total population (~1,089 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 13.6% of residents) and heart disease (8.1%). A significant portion, 62.5%, report being completely free from medical ailments, though this is lower than the 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Taren Point has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 43.9% (828 people), compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, ranking broadly in line with the general population nationally.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Taren Point was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Taren Point's population showed significant cultural diversity, with 23.8% born overseas and 25.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Taren Point, accounting for 76.6%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (28.0%), Australian (17.1%), and Greek (10.1%).

Notably, Macedonian (2.2%) was overrepresented in Taren Point compared to the regional average of 0.4%. Similarly, Croatian stood at 1.2% versus 0.7%, and Hungarian at 0.4% against a regional average of 0.3%.

Taren Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Taren Point is 58 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and the national norm of 38 years. The percentage of residents aged 85 and above is notably higher at 16.5% compared to Greater Sydney's average, which is well above the national average of 2.2%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 years is lower at 7.0%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of residents aged 15 to 24 has increased from 8.2% to 9.3%, while the percentages for those aged 45 to 54 have decreased from 11.0% to 9.6% and for those aged 5 to 14, it has dropped from 8.5% to 7.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Taren Point. The number of residents aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 79%, adding 246 residents to reach a total of 558. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 92% of the population growth, underscoring the trend of demographic aging. Conversely, both age groups of 25 to 34 years and 0 to 4 years are projected to have reduced numbers.