Taren Point

Population growth drivers in Taren Point are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The suburb of Taren Point's population is estimated at around 2,946 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,067 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,879 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,939 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional four validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,166 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Taren Point's growth of 56.8% since the 2021 census exceeded that of the SA4 region (5.0%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to expand by 344 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 11.4% in total over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Taren Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Taren Point averaged approximately 15 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 78 homes. As of FY26, 10 approvals have been recorded. Between FY21 and FY25, an average of 0.2 people moved to the area per dwelling built annually. New construction has matched or outpaced demand, offering buyers more options while population growth could exceed current expectations.

The average expected construction cost value for new properties is $698,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $13.6 million in commercial approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Taren Point exhibits comparable building activity per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area, though construction activity has recently eased. Recent construction comprises 14.0% detached dwellings and 86.0% townhouses or apartments, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix of 49.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 171 people per dwelling approval, Taren Point exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimate Taren Point will add approximately 337 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Taren Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified two projects that could impact the area's performance: 117-131 Taren Point Road Specialised Retail Development and Sutherland to Cronulla Active Transport Link (SCATL). Other notable projects include Sans Souci Park Master Plan and Sutherland Hospital Redevelopment, though these may be less relevant.

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Employment drivers in Taren Point are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Taren Point has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 5.0% as of December 2024, showing relative employment stability over the past year based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. By December 2025, the unemployment rate had risen to 5.8%, which is 1.6 percentage points above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Taren Point was significantly lower at 34.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, a high proportion of residents, 39.8%, worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. The key industries of employment among residents were construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Taren Point had a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance employed only 10.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. As at the Census, there were 1.2 workers for every resident, indicating that Taren Point functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. During the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.4% and labour force grew by 0.5%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Taren Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Taren Point had a median taxpayer income of $49,095 and an average income of $77,957 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. As of March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $54,162 (median) and $86,002 (average), based on a 10.32% growth in wages since the financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Taren Point rank modestly, between the 33rd and 40th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 23.7% of locals (698 people) in the $800 - 1,499 category, differing from metropolitan patterns where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 27th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Taren Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Taren Point, as per the latest Census data, 49.2% of dwellings were houses while 50.8% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan areas where 55.9% of dwellings are houses and 44.1% are other dwellings. Home ownership in Taren Point stood at 56.1%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 31.8% and rented dwellings making up 12.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, significantly higher than Sydney's metro average of $2,427. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent was recorded at $650 compared to Sydney's metro figure of $470. Nationally, Taren Point's mortgage repayments were notably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Taren Point features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 67.8% of all households, including 25.0% couples with children, 34.9% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.2%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Taren Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 27.4%, considerably lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (16.2%) and certificates (21.8%). Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.5% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 5.2% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Taren Point has 24 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 17 different routes that collectively facilitate 446 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 104 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuting in Taren Point occurs outward. Private cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 92% of residents. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 39.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 63 trips per day, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Taren Point are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Taren Point's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~1,700 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (13.6%) and heart disease (8.1%). 62.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has 36.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,069 people), higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Taren Point was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Taren Point's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 23.8% born overseas and 25.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Taren Point, accounting for 76.6%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestral groups were English (28.0%), Australian (17.1%), and Greek (10.1%).

Notably, Macedonian ancestry was overrepresented at 2.2% in Taren Point versus 0.4% regionally, as were Croatian (1.2% vs 0.7%) and Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.3%).

Taren Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

At 57 years, Taren Point's median age is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, the cohort aged 85+ is notably over-represented at 12.0%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 8.6%. This concentration of the 85+ age group is well above the national average of 2.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows a decrease in median age from 58 to 57 years, indicating rejuvenation. Notably, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 8.2% to 10.6%, and the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 9.7% to 11.4%. Conversely, the 85+ cohort declined from 16.0% to 12.0%, and the 75 to 84 group dropped from 16.5% to 14.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Taren Point's age profile. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 74%, adding 261 residents to reach 615. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 96% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.