Caringbah South

Caringbah South has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Caringbah South as of November 2025 is around 13,723. This reflects an increase of 555 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,168. The change is inferred from the resident population of 13,662 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 188 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,355 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth of 4.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's growth rate of 4.1%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Examining future population trends, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected in Caringbah South, with the area expected to grow by 1,103 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 7.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caringbah South among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates that Caringbah South has experienced around 116 dwellings receiving development approval per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 584 homes. So far in FY-26, 31 approvals have been recorded.

On average, 1.2 people move to the area each year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced market with stable conditions. New properties are constructed at an average value of $655,000, which is somewhat higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development. Relative to Greater Sydney, Caringbah South has slightly more development, 29.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This balances buyer choice while supporting current property values. New building activity shows 23.0% detached houses and 77.0% medium and high-density housing, indicating a trend toward denser development to provide accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, currently 77.0% houses, suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options. With around 131 people per dwelling approval, Caringbah South shows characteristics of a low density area. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates that the area is expected to grow by 1,041 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Caringbah South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Fourteen projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Caringbah Pavilion, St Aloysius College Cronulla Expansion, Live Caringbah, Shop top housing with affordable housing at Willarong Road and President Avenue Caringbah. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Caringbah South places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Caringbah South has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.4% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.0% over the past year.

There were 7,516 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 2.8% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was fairly standard at 64.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Construction shows particularly strong specialization with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 11.5% compared to the regional average of 14.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.0%, labour force increased by 3.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Caringbah South. These projections estimate national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Caringbah South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Caringbah South had a median taxpayer income of $61,136 and an average income of $91,055. These figures are high nationally compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $68,845 (median) and $102,537 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Caringbah South rank between the 82nd and 94th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 33.1% of residents (4,542 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 46.2% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.9% of income while strong earnings place residents in the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Caringbah South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Caringbah South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 76.7% houses and 23.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's breakdown of 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caringbah South stood at 47.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.8% and rented ones at 11.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,380, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,774. The median weekly rent in Caringbah South was recorded as $730, compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Caringbah South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Caringbah South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.0% of all households, including 45.8% couples with children, 27.0% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 16.9% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Caringbah South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Caringbah South trail regional benchmarks, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.6%) and certificates (23.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education. Educational provision includes Caringbah Public School and Laguna Street Public School, collectively serving 846 students as of the latest data available. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1088). Both schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas from 2021 onwards. Limited local school capacity (6.2 places per 100 residents vs 13.8 regionally) means many families travel to nearby areas for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caringbah South has 68 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 732 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents located an average of 158 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 104 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Caringbah South's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Caringbah South. Both young and old age cohorts experience low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (8,623 people), compared to 65.7% across Greater Sydney, which is higher than the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.1 and 6.3% of residents respectively. A total of 73.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 21.2% of residents aged 65 and over (2,909 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Caringbah South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caringbah South had a cultural diversity below average, with 84.9% of its population born in Australia, 93.7% being citizens, and 91.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 65.7% of people in Caringbah South, compared to 61.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (29.6%), Australian (27.2%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Croatian (1.0%) and Maltese (1.1%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively, while Greek was underrepresented at 2.6% versus the regional average of 3.2%.

Caringbah South hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Caringbah South is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group makes up 10.8% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort represents 7.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.9% to 7.0%, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 8.6% to 7.5%, and the 55 to 64 group has dropped from 12.9% to 11.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate that the 85+ age group will grow by 128%, reaching 1,064 people from 466. The combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 76% of total population growth, reflecting Caringbah South's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.