Caringbah South

Caringbah South has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of Caringbah South is estimated at around 13,716 as of February 2026. This reflects an increase of 548 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,168 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 13,653 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 191 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,353 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Caringbah South's growth of 4.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's growth rate of 4.0%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate a growth of 1,108 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 7.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caringbah South among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Caringbah South has experienced around 116 dwellings receiving development approval per year over the past 5 financial years ending FY25. This totals an estimated 583 homes. So far in FY26, recorded approvals amount to 61. The average population growth per dwelling built in the area between FY21 and FY25 is 1.2 people per year, suggesting a balanced market with stable conditions.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $654,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. In FY26, commercial development approvals have reached $3.4 million, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Comparatively, Caringbah South shows slightly more development than Greater Sydney, with 28.0% above the regional average per person over the past 5 years. This balance supports buyer choice while maintaining current property values. New building activity consists of 23.0% standalone homes and 77.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living for affordability and suitability to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This shift contrasts with the area's existing housing composition, currently 77.0% houses. Caringbah South reflects a low density area, with approximately 132 people per approval. Future projections estimate a population growth of 1,045 residents by 2041 (AreaSearch quarterly estimate as of latest). Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Caringbah South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 14 projects potentially influencing the region. Notable initiatives include Caringbah Pavilion, St Aloysius College Cronulla Expansion, Live Caringbah, and Shop top housing with affordable housing at Willarong Road and President Avenue Caringbah. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Caringbah South rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Caringbah South has a well-educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.5% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.5%. As of December 2025, 7,522 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 2.7% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 45.6% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level, but has lower representation in health care & social assistance at 11.5% compared to the regional average of 14.1%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. In the 12-month period ending May-25, employment increased by 0.5%, labour force by 0.7%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caringbah South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Caringbah South's median income among taxpayers was $61,138 and average income stood at $91,055 in financial year 2023. These figures were higher than Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth suggest the median income would be approximately $66,555 and average income around $99,122. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Caringbah South rank between the 82nd and 94th percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals that 33.1% of the population falls within the $4000+ range, differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 - 2,999 range dominates with 30.9%. The high proportion of residents earning above $3,000 per week indicates strong economic capacity in Caringbah South. Housing accounts for 14.9% of income, and residents rank within the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Caringbah South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Caringbah South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 76.7% houses and 23.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caringbah South stood at 47.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.8% and rented ones at 11.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,380, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Weekly rent in Caringbah South was $730, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Caringbah South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.0% of all households, including 45.8% couples with children, 27.0% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 16.9% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Caringbah South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Caringbah South trail regional benchmarks, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.6%) and certificates (23.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caringbah South has 69 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that collectively facilitate 761 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing 158 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 92%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 45.6% of residents work from home, which may be partly due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 108 trips per day, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Caringbah South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Caringbah South's health outcomes data shows excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (8,619 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in Caringbah South, affecting 8.1% and 6.3% of residents respectively. Notably, 73.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents in Caringbah South are particularly healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.2% (3,044 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors in Caringbah South are strong, aligning broadly with national rankings.

Caringbah South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caringbah South had a cultural diversity level below average, with 84.9% of its population born in Australia, 93.7% being citizens, and 91.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 65.7% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (29.6%), Australian (27.2%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Croatian (1.0%) and Maltese (1.1%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 1.0%, respectively, while Greek was also higher at 2.6% versus the regional average of 1.9%.

Caringbah South's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Caringbah South is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 11.1% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 7.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 5.9% to 7.4%, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 8.6% to 7.2%, and the 55 to 64 group has dropped from 12.9% to 11.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Caringbah South. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 112%, reaching 1,076 people from 507. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 76% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.