Caringbah South

Caringbah South has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the population of the Caringbah South statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 13,708. This reflects an increase of 540 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,168. The change is inferred from the resident population of 13,653 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 188 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,351 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Caringbah South (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 4.1% since the 2021 Census, exceeding the SA4 region's growth rate of 3.9%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Caringbah South (SA2) is expected to grow by 1,104 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 7.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caringbah South among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Caringbah South had around 116 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 583 homes. So far in FY26, 57 approvals have been recorded. The average population increase per dwelling built was 1.2 people annually between FY21 and FY25, indicating balanced supply and demand conditions. New properties are constructed at an average value of $654,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment.

Commercial development approvals totalled $3.4 million this financial year, reflecting Caringbah South's primarily residential nature. Comparatively, Caringbah South has slightly more development than Greater Sydney, with 28.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. New building activity comprises 23.0% standalone homes and 77.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift towards higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Caringbah South has a population density of around 132 people per approval, reflecting its low-density status. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 1,057 residents by 2041.

Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond projections.

Caringbah South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that could affect this region. Notable initiatives include Caringbah Pavilion, St Aloysius College Cronulla Expansion, Live Caringbah, and Shop top housing with affordable housing at Willarong Road and President Avenue Caringbah. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Caringbah South rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Caringbah South has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.3% in the past year, showing an employment growth of 1.2%.

As of September 2025, 7,536 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.9% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, with workforce participation at 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in construction employment, with a share 1.6 times the regional level, but shows lower representation in health care & social assistance (11.5% vs regional average of 14.1%). Over the past year, employment increased by 1.2%, labour force by 1.3%, and unemployment remained essentially unchanged.

In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted slightly by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but sector-specific projections for Caringbah South suggest local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Caringbah South has an extremely high national income level according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in this suburb is $61,138, with an average income of $91,055. These figures compare to those for Greater Sydney, which are $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $66,555 and the average income around $99,122 as of September 2025. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Caringbah South all rank highly nationally, between the 82nd and 94th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 33.1% of the population (4,537 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.9%. The substantial proportion of high earners (46.2% above $3,000/week) suggests strong economic capacity throughout Caringbah South. Housing accounts for 14.9% of income, and residents rank in the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Caringbah South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Caringbah South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 76.7% houses and 23.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This differed from Sydney metro's composition of 52.4% houses and 47.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caringbah South stood at 47.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.8% and rented ones at 11.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,380, above Sydney metro's average of $2,774. The median weekly rent figure in Caringbah South was $730, compared to Sydney metro's $500. Nationally, Caringbah South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Caringbah South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.0% of all households, including 45.8% couples with children, 27.0% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 16.9% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Caringbah South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Caringbah South trail regional benchmarks, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.6%) and certificates (23.1%). Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.2% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caringbah South has 69 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 761 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located just 158 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 108 trips per day, which equates to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Caringbah South's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows Caringbah South had strong health metrics, with both young and elderly seeing low common health condition prevalence. Private health cover was high at approximately 63% of total population (8,614 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 68.0% and national average of 55.7%. Most common conditions were arthritis (8.1%) and asthma (6.3%), with 73.4% reporting no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 72.3%.

The area has 21.2% residents aged 65 and over (2,906 people), with seniors' health outcomes broadly in line with the general population's profile.

Caringbah South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caringbah South had a cultural diversity below average, with 84.9% born in Australia, 93.7% being citizens, and 91.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 65.7%. This compares to 61.2% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups were English (29.6%), Australian (27.2%), and Irish (9.5%). Notably, Croatian (1.0%) and Maltese (1.1%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively. Greek was underrepresented at 2.6% versus 3.2%.

Caringbah South's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Caringbah South is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 10.8% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 7.5%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 5.9% to 7.0%, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 8.6% to 7.5%, and the 55 to 64 group has dropped from 12.9% to 11.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Caringbah South. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 128%, reaching 1,064 people from 466. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 76% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 25-34 and 5-14 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.