Campsie - South
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Campsie - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Aug 2025, Campsie - South's population is around 9,516, showing an increase of 457 people (5.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,059. This change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 9,454 as of June 2024 and additional 42 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 8,496 persons per square kilometer, placing Campsie - South in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 5.0% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's 4.6%, making it a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 91.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Campsie - South is expected to increase by just below the median of national areas, expanding by 755 persons reflecting a total increase of 7.3% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Campsie - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Campsie - South averaged approximately seven new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 36 homes approved. In FY26, one home has been approved so far. The population in Campsie - South has declined recently, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, providing good options for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $537,000. This financial year, $711,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to the region's average. When comparing Campsie - South to Greater Sydney, there is significantly less development activity, 72.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Nationally, Campsie - South also reflects lower development activity, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 20.0% standalone homes and 80.0% townhouses or apartments, focusing on higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

With around 1605 people per dwelling approval, Campsie - South reflects a highly mature market. By 2041, Campsie - South is projected to grow by 693 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Campsie - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Sydney Metro City & Southwest, Campsie Station Metro Upgrade, Canterbury Hospital Redevelopment, and 124-142 Beamish Street Residences. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Campsie - South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Campsie - South has an educated workforce with varied sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.6% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.1%.

As of June 2025, 4,877 residents are employed, while its unemployment rate is 0.4% higher than Greater Sydney's at 4.2%. Workforce participation lags behind Greater Sydney's at 44.4%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food services. Health care & social assistance has particularly high concentration, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services employ only 6.6% of local workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1%, labour force grew by 2.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.4 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% during the same period. State-level data from NSW as of Sep-25 shows employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%. Nationally, employment grew by 0.26% and the unemployment rate was 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Campsie - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Campsie - South had a median taxpayer income of $39,747 and an average of $48,677 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was lower than the national average, with Greater Sydney having a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. By March 2025, estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $43,960 and the average income $53,837, based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census figures placed household, family and personal incomes in Campsie - South between the 14th and 26th percentiles nationally. In this area, 32.6% of residents (3,102 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. Housing affordability was severe, with only 76.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 18th percentile nationally.

Campsie - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Campsie - South's dwelling structure, as assessed in the latest Census, had 16.1% houses and 83.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 48.7% houses and 51.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Campsie - South was 19.2%, with the rest either mortgaged (18.0%) or rented (62.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent was $380, compared to Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, Campsie - South's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Campsie - South features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.7% of all households, including 25.7% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households comprising 9.2%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Campsie - South performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

University qualification levels in Campsie - South are at 33.2%, slightly below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 22.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational pathways account for 23.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+.

Advanced diplomas make up 12.7% and certificates account for 10.8%. Educational participation is high with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in tertiary, 7.1% in primary, and 6.0% in secondary education. Campsie Public School and St Mel's Catholic Primary School serve a total of 905 students. These schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1034) with balanced educational opportunities.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Campsie - South has 30 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 32 unique routes that together facilitate 6,859 weekly passenger journeys. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 133 meters to the nearest stop.

On average, there are 979 trips per day across all routes, resulting in about 228 weekly trips per individual stop.

Campsie - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Campsie - South, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~4,367 people), compared to 49.6% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. Diabetes and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 5.1 and 4.3% of residents respectively, while 82.3% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.7% across Greater Sydney.

The area has 15.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,476 people), with health outcomes among seniors being particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Campsie - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Campsie-South is one of Australia's most culturally diverse areas, with 73.3% of its population born overseas and 81.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Campsie-South, comprising 32.9% of its population. Buddhism, however, is significantly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney's average, making up 13.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (31.7%), Other (28.0%), and English (6.3%). Notably, Lebanese (5.3%) Korean (2.5%), and Filipino (4.4%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Campsie - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Campsie-South's median age is nearly 36 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Campsie-South has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (21.1%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (6.5%). This 25-34 concentration is above the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 65 to 74 has grown from 7.5% to 8.7%, while those aged 75 to 84 increased from 3.6% to 4.7%. Conversely, the population aged 5 to 14 declined from 7.8% to 6.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Campsie-South's age profile. The 75 to 84 cohort is projected to grow by 96%, adding 431 residents to reach 881. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 76% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the populations aged 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 are expected to decline.