Campsie - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Campsie - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Campsie - South's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 9,593. This figure represents a rise of 534 individuals, marking a 5.9% increase since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 9,059. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 9,592 in June 2025 and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 8,565 persons per square kilometer, placing Campsie - South among the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch, indicating high demand for land in the area. The growth rate of 5.9% since the 2021 Census exceeds that of the SA3 area at 5.2%, positioning Campsie - South as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 90.1% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the national median, with Campsie - South expected to grow by 723 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 7.5% over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Campsie - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Campsie South averaged approximately seven new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 36 homes. As of FY26, three approvals have been recorded. The population has decreased during this period, yet housing supply remained adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with diverse buyer options. New properties are constructed at an average cost of $307,000, aligning with regional trends.

This financial year, there were $711,000 in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Campsie South has significantly less development activity, 72.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, this is also lower, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New developments consist of 20.0% detached dwellings and 80.0% townhouses or apartments, favouring denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. With around 1605 people per approval, Campsie South exhibits characteristics of a mature, established area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add 722 residents by 2041. If current development rates persist, housing supply might not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Campsie - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects likely impacting the area. Major projects include Sydney Metro City and Southwest, Campsie Station Metro Upgrade, Campsie Private Hospital, and Canterbury Hospital Redevelopment. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Campsie - South remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Campsie - South has a skilled workforce with varied sector representation, an unemployment rate of 4.8%, and an estimated employment growth of 4.9% over the past year as of December 2025. There are 4,943 residents in work while the unemployment rate is 0.7% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 60.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 68.8%.

According to Census responses, 28.7% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food services, with a notable concentration in health care & social assistance at 1.4 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services have limited presence at 6.6% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between the Census working population and resident population.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.9%, while the labour force grew by 5.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.2% and the labour force by 2.3%, with a marginal increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Campsie - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Campsie - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $46,094 in financial year 2023, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income for this area stood at $53,653 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Sydney had a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003 in financial year 2023. By March 2026, current estimates suggest that the median income for Campsie - South SA2 would be approximately $50,851, with an average income of around $59,190, based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32%. Census data indicates that incomes in Campsie - South fall between the 13th and 26th percentiles nationally for household, family, and personal incomes. In terms of income distribution, 32.6% of the population (3,127 individuals) had an income within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. This is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region, where 30.9% fall into the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Campsie - South SA2, with only 76.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 18th percentile nationally.

Campsie - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Campsie-South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 16.1% houses and 83.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Campsie-South was at 19.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 18.0% and rented ones at 62.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Campsie-South was $380, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Campsie-South's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Campsie - South features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.7% of all households, including 25.7% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households comprising 9.2%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Campsie - South performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

University qualification levels in Campsie - South stand at 33.2%, slightly below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational pathways comprise 23.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas accounting for 12.7% and certificates for 10.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in tertiary education, 7.1% in primary education, and 6.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Campsie - South has 42 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 32 different routes that together facilitate 5,483 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents located an average of 133 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 48%, followed by trains at 30% and buses at 13%. On average, there are 0.6 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 28.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 783 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 130 weekly trips per stop.

Campsie - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Campsie - South shows excellent health outcomes according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is held by approximately 47% of the total population (~4,470 people), which is lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

Diabetes and arthritis are the most common conditions, affecting 5.1 and 4.3% of residents respectively. 82.3% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. The area has 16.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,533 people). Health outcomes among seniors are strong, similar to national rankings for the general population.

Campsie - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Campsie-South is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 73.3% of its population born overseas and 81.0% speaking a language other than English at home as of 2016 Census data. The predominant religion in Campsie-South was Christianity, comprising 32.9%. However, Buddhism was notably overrepresented, making up 13.8%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Chinese (31.7%), Other (28.0%), and English (6.3%). The Chinese group was substantially higher than the regional average of 8.4%, while Other was also notably higher at 28.0% compared to 16.0%. Meanwhile, the English group was significantly lower at 6.3% versus the regional average of 19.0%. There were notable divergences in other ethnic groups as well: Korean (2.5% vs 1.1%), Lebanese (5.3% vs 2.6%), and Filipino (4.4% vs 2.0%).

Campsie - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Campsie-South's median age is nearly 36 years, closely matching Greater Sydney's average of approximately 37 years, which is slightly below the Australian median of around 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Campsie-South has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (22.0%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (6.2%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of approximately 14.6%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 has increased from 3.6% to 5.0%, while those aged 65-74 have risen from 7.5% to 8.6%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 7.8% to 6.2%, and those aged 0-4 have dropped from 4.7% to 3.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Campsie-South's age profile. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by approximately 84%, adding around 399 residents to reach a total of 877. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive about 75% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.