Campsie - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Campsie - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Campsie - South's population is approximately 9,558 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 499 people, a 5.5% rise from the 2021 Census population of 9,059. The change is inferred using the estimated resident population of 9,454 from the ABS in June 2024 and 58 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 8,533 persons per square kilometer, placing Campsie - South in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 region (4.8%) between the 2021 Census and June 2024. Overseas migration contributed approximately 91.0% of overall population gains during this period.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 using a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Campsie - South's population is projected to increase by approximately 755 persons, reflecting an overall growth rate of 6.8% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

The level of residential development activity in Campsie - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Campsie - South averaged approximately seven new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 36 homes approved during this period and one additional approval in FY26. The population has been declining recently, suggesting that the new supply has likely kept pace with demand, providing good options for buyers. The average expected construction cost value for new homes is $537,000.

In terms of commercial development, $711,000 worth of approvals have been recorded in FY26, indicating minimal activity in this sector compared to the region's average. Campsie - South has significantly less development activity overall, with 72.0% fewer approvals per person than the Greater Sydney average. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. When compared nationally, Campsie - South also reflects a market that is highly mature, potentially indicating development constraints. Recent construction comprises 20.0% standalone homes and 80.0% townhouses or apartments, focusing on higher-density living which creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With around 1605 people per dwelling approval, Campsie - South reflects a highly mature market.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Campsie - South is expected to grow by 651 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Campsie - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Sydney Metro City & Southwest, Campsie Private Hospital, Canterbury Hospital Redevelopment, and Campsie Private Hospital. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Campsie - South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Campsie - South has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 4.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1%.

As of June 2025, 4,877 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 44.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food. Health care & social assistance has particularly notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical employs only 6.6% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1%, while labour force grew by 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. State-level data from Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National unemployment was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Campsie - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The median taxpayer income in Campsie - South SA2 was $39,747 and the average was $48,677 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages. In Greater Sydney, the median income was $56,994 and the average was $80,856. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $44,759 (median) and $54,815 (average), based on a 12.61% increase since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Campsie - South fell between the 13th and 26th percentiles nationally. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominated with 32.6% of residents (3,115 people), similar to regional levels at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 76.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 18th percentile.

Campsie - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Campsie-South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 16.1% houses and 83.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 48.7% houses and 51.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Campsie-South was at 19.2%, with dwellings either mortgaged (18.0%) or rented (62.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Campsie-South was $380, compared to Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Campsie - South features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.7% of all households, including 25.7% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households comprising 9.2%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Campsie - South performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

University qualification levels in Campsie - South stand at 33.2%, slightly below Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 22.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational pathways make up 23.5% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above - advanced diplomas account for 12.7% and certificates for 10.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in tertiary education, 7.1% in primary education, and 6.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Campsie-South has 30 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 32 unique routes, offering a total of 6,859 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average being 133 meters from the nearest stop.

Daily service frequency averages 979 trips across all routes, translating to approximately 228 weekly trips per individual stop.

Campsie - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Campsie - South, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~4,387 people), compared to 49.6% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes (5.1%) and arthritis (4.3%).

A significant majority, 82.3%, report being completely free from medical ailments, higher than the Greater Sydney average of 77.7%. As of 2021, 15.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,483 people). Health outcomes among seniors align with those of the general population.

Campsie - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Campsie-South has one of the highest levels of cultural diversity in Australia, with 73.3% of its population born overseas and 81.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Campsie-South, accounting for 32.9% of its population. However, Buddhism stands out with 13.8%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 5.8%.

In terms of ancestry, Chinese residents make up 31.7%, more than twice the regional average of 12.4%. The 'Other' category comprises 28.0% of Campsie-South's population, while English ancestry accounts for 6.3%. Notably, Korean (2.5%) and Lebanese (5.3%) residents are overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Filipino residents (4.4%) are nearly double the regional average.

Campsie - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Campsie-South's median age at 36 years is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37, which is slightly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Campsie-South has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (21.1%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (6.5%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly above the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 65 to 74 has increased from 7.5% to 8.7%, while those aged 75 to 84 have risen from 3.6% to 4.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 7.8% to 6.5%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Campsie-South's age profile. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 95%, adding 429 residents to reach a total of 881. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 76% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.