Campsie - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Campsie - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Campsie - South's population is around 9,516 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 457 people (5.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,059 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 9,454 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 8,496 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought resource. Campsie - South's 5.0% growth since the census positions it within 0.7 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 91.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 755 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 7.3% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Campsie - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Campsie - South has averaged around 7 new dwelling approvals per year, with 36 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 3 so far in FY-26. With population declining over recent years, new supply has likely been keeping up with demand, offering good choice to buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $307,000, consistent with regional patterns. Additionally, $711,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Campsie - South shows substantially reduced construction (72.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 20.0% detached houses and 80.0% townhouses or apartments. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The location has approximately 1605 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market.

Looking ahead, Campsie - South is expected to grow by 693 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Campsie - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 26 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Sydney Metro City & Southwest, Campsie Station Metro Upgrade, and Campsie Private Hospital, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Campsie - South remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Campsie - South possesses a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 4.8%, and 4.9% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 4,943 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.7% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation lags significantly (61.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 28.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in health care & social assistance, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. In contrast, professional & technical services employ just 6.6% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increase by 4.9% alongside a labour force increase of 5.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Campsie - South. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Campsie - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Campsie - South SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $46,094 and an average of $53,653 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is lower than average on a national basis, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $50,178 (median) and $58,407 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Campsie - South all fall between the 13th and 26th percentiles nationally. The data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 32.6% of residents (3,102 people), mirroring regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 76.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 18th percentile.

Campsie - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Campsie - South, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 16.1% houses and 83.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Campsie - South lagged that of Sydney metro, at 19.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (18.0%) or rented (62.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $1,950, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $380, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Campsie - South's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Campsie - South features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 67.7% of all households, comprising 25.7% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households comprising 9.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Campsie - South performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

At 33.2%, university qualification levels in Campsie - South sit marginally below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%, though the modest gap indicates reasonable educational competitiveness. Bachelor degrees lead at 22.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational pathways account for 23.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (10.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in tertiary education, 7.1% in primary education, and 6.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 42 active transport stops operating within Campsie - South, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 32 individual routes, collectively providing 5,483 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 133 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 48%, with 30% by train and 13% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 0.6 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 28.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 783 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 130 weekly trips per individual stop.

Campsie - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Campsie - South, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is found to be extremely low at approximately 47% of the total population (~4,434 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be diabetes and arthritis, impacting 5.1 and 4.3% of residents, respectively, while 82.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 16.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,568 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Campsie - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Campsie - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 73.3% of its population born overseas and 81.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Campsie - South is Christianity, which makes up 32.9% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Buddhism, which comprises 13.8% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Campsie - South are Chinese, comprising 31.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 8.4%, Other, comprising 28.0% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, and English, comprising 6.3% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 19.0%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Korean is notably overrepresented at 2.5% of Campsie - South (vs 1.1% regionally), Lebanese at 5.3% (vs 2.6%) and Filipino at 4.4% (vs 2.0%).

Campsie - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 36 years, Campsie - South's median age is nearly matching the Greater Sydney average of 37 and is similarly modestly under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Campsie - South has a higher concentration of 25 - 34 residents (20.3%) but fewer 5 - 14 year-olds (6.5%). This 25 - 34 concentration is well above the national 14.4%. Since the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 7.5% to 9.2% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.6% to 5.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 7.8% to 6.5%. Demographic modeling suggests Campsie - South's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 83%, adding 399 residents to reach 881. Senior residents (65+) will drive 75% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. On the other hand, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.