Campsie - North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Campsie - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Campsie - North is approximately 12,785 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 880 people (7.4%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 11,905 people. This shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 12,771 in June 2025 and 65 validated new addresses added since the Census. With these figures, the density of the area stands at 8,143 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality within the highest 10% of all country-wide areas analysed by AreaSearch, pointing to extremely competitive land demand. The 7.4% expansion rate in Campsie - North since the 2021 census outpaced the broader SA3 area (5.2%) as well as the SA4 region, establishing it as a local growth pacesetter. This upward trend was mostly generated by arrivals from overseas, which represented roughly 96.8% of the net population increases in recent times.

For each SA2 territory, AreaSearch uses projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024, utilizing 2022 as the baseline year. For any SA2 regions where this data is unavailable, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 using a 2021 baseline are applied. The growth rates for specific age cohorts derived from these datasets are projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on these expected demographic transitions, population growth is anticipated to run slightly below the national median, with the local population projected to increase by 1,118 persons by 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP statistics, indicating a total expansion of 8.6% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Campsie - North according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

An average of roughly 10 new dwelling approvals has been registered yearly in Campsie - North, amounting to 54 homes over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 10 approvals have been documented so far. With an average of 4.7 new residents added for each completed home over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), local demand is outstripping supply by a wide margin, a situation that commonly puts upward pressure on dwelling prices and intensifies buyer rivalry, even as new residential builds are approved at an average value of $265,000—a level below regional benchmarks that indicates more accessible price points for buyers. Additionally, commercial approvals worth $775,000 have been logged this financial year, underscoring the predominantly residential character of the suburb.

Compared against the wider Greater Sydney region, building development in Campsie - North is notably subdued, tracking at 68.0% below regional average per person. This low volume of new completions generally supports demand and reinforces values for existing properties. This rate of activity is also below the national average, reflecting a mature market environment and indicating potential planning constraints. The mix of new construction consists of 62.0% detached dwellings and 38.0% attached dwellings, offering a diversifying range of townhouses and apartments to suit different budgets, from family residences to more affordable compact options. Notably, builders are focusing more on traditional houses than the historical housing stock would suggest (which stood at 26.0% at Census), showing that demand for detached family residences remains high despite overall density pressures. The area records about 1843 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating the established nature of the local market.

Projecting forward, the population of Campsie - North is set to expand by 1,104 residents by 2041 based on the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. If building activity remains at its current pace, additions to the housing stock may fall behind population growth, which is likely to heighten competition among buyers and support future price appreciation.

Campsie - North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and urban planning changes represent major drivers of local property market trends. In total, AreaSearch has identified 23 projects that are expected to influence the local area. Principal developments include the Sydney Metro City and Southwest, the Canterbury Racecourse Place Strategy, the Campsie Station Metro Upgrade, and the Canterbury Local Centre Planning and Development Controls, with details on the most significant initiatives provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Campsie - North remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

The workforce of Campsie - North is characterized by high levels of education and employment across diverse industries, with an unemployment rate of 4.5% and a 3.0% expansion in estimated employment over the previous year. As of March 2026, there are 6,547 employed residents, with the unemployment rate tracking 0.4% higher than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, while workforce participation is considerably lower (59.7% versus 69.1% in Greater Sydney). Census records indicate that a substantial 31.9% of working residents performed their duties from home, though this figure should be interpreted in the context of pandemic lockdown restrictions.

Local residents are predominantly employed in the health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food sectors. The locality exhibits a strong concentration in accommodation & food, where the employment share is 1.8 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented, accounting for only 7.2% of the local workforce compared to 11.5% across Greater Sydney. Comparing the Census working population against the resident population reveals that this predominantly residential suburb offers relatively few jobs within its own boundaries.

AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics shows that in the 12 months leading to March 2026, the number of employed residents grew by 3.0% and the total labor force grew by 3.5%, resulting in a 0.5 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. This stands in contrast to Greater Sydney, where employment increased by 1.9%, the labor force expanded by 1.9%, and the unemployment rate decreased slightly. National employment projections from May-25 compiled by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding future demand trends in Campsie - North. These five and ten-year projections have been aligned with the local industry profile to model potential expansion. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates of change vary widely by sector. Applying these sectoral trends to the local industry mix suggests that employment for residents of Campsie - North is on track to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, noting that this is a basic weighted projection for illustration and does not incorporate local population forecasts.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

According to the latest postcode-level ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, the median taxpayer income in Campsie - North was $45,944, with an average income of $53,479. These figures are below national averages and stand in contrast to the Greater Sydney median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated figures for March 2026 would be approximately $50,685 for the median and $58,998 for the average. Based on the 2021 Census, individual incomes are low, ranking in the 13th percentile ($613 weekly), while household incomes perform relatively better, sitting at the 35th percentile. The income distribution shows that 33.4% of the local population (4,270 individuals) earn between $1,500 - 2,999, which closely aligns with the regional proportion of 30.9%. Financial pressure from housing costs is significant, leaving residents with only 78.8% of their income, which ranks in the 28th percentile.

Campsie - North features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The mix of housing types in Campsie - North at the time of the latest Census consisted of 25.6% detached houses and 74.3% other dwellings (including semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative options), compared to the metropolitan Sydney split of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Furthermore, home ownership in Campsie - North trailed the metropolitan Sydney average, standing at 24.7%, with the remaining properties either under mortgage (24.2%) or occupied by tenants (51.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment of residents was $2,000, which sits well below the metropolitan Sydney average of $2,427, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $400, compared to the metropolitan Sydney figure of $470. On a national level, mortgage outlays in Campsie - North exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are higher than the national median of $375.

Campsie - North features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families make up the majority of local households at 69.6%, consisting of couples with children (30.2%), couples without children (24.0%), and single parent households (12.8%). The remaining 30.4% are non-family households, which are divided into single-person households (21.1%) and group households (9.1%). The median household size is 2.8 people, which is slightly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Campsie - North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The proportion of residents with tertiary qualifications in Campsie - North is lower than regional averages, with 30.6% of people aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This difference suggests scope for educational growth and training opportunities. Among university graduates, Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational training is held by 23.3% of residents aged 15+, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificate level courses (10.8%).

Enrollment rates in education are high, with 30.1% of the population currently undertaking formal studies. This includes 8.7% of residents studying at a tertiary level, 6.5% enrolled in primary schools, and 5.9% attending secondary schools.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of the local public transport network shows 32 active passenger stops in Campsie - North, which are served by buses. These stops accommodate 24 different routes, which together provide 4,496 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated as excellent, with dwellings situated an average of 184 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, and most working residents commute to other areas, with private vehicles remaining the most common choice of travel at 55%, followed by trains at 27% and buses at 10%. Average vehicle ownership is 0.8 cars per dwelling, which is below the metropolitan average. A high proportion of residents, 31.9%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect public health restrictions in place at that time.

The transport network provides an average of 642 passenger trips daily across all routes, which translates to approximately 140 weekly services at each individual stop.

Campsie - North's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

An assessment of health indicators by AreaSearch reveals positive outcomes across Campsie - North, characterized by low mortality rates and a low prevalence of chronic conditions across all age bands, though the rate of private health insurance coverage is low, with only about 47% of residents (~5,957 people) having cover. This compares to 59.9% of the population in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent health issues diagnosed in the area are diabetes and mental health conditions, affecting 5.2% and 4.3% of the population respectively, while 80.8% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Residents aged 65 and over make up 15.8% of the local population (2,014 people). Seniors in the area exhibit strong health profiles, with national rankings that align closely with the broader community.

Campsie - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Campsie - North ranks highly for cultural diversity on a national scale, with 70.7% of the population born outside of Australia and 80.1% using a language other than English in their homes. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, representing 32.8% of local residents. However, the most pronounced difference compared to broader trends is in Buddhism, which is practiced by 12.3% of residents, a share significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%.

Based on parent country of birth data, the three largest ancestry groups represented in Campsie - North are Chinese at 37.2% (substantially higher than the regional average of 8.4%), Other at 22.6% (compared to the regional average of 16.0%), and English at 6.4% (well below the regional average of 19.0%). Other notable variations in ethnic background include Korean ancestry, which accounts for 4.2% of Campsie - North residents (compared to 1.1% across the region), Lebanese at 5.3% (versus 2.6% regionally), and Vietnamese at 3.1% (compared to 1.8% regionally).

Campsie - North's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Campsie - North is 37, which is identical to the Greater Sydney median of 37 and close to the Australian median of 38 years. The 25 - 34 cohort represents a significant share of the population at 21.2%, which is higher than in Greater Sydney and well above the national average of 14.6%, while children aged 5 - 14 are less common, making up 6.5% of the population. Since 2021, the 25 to 34 age bracket has expanded from 18.8% to 21.2% of the population, and the 15 to 24 group has risen from 13.1% to 14.2%. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 group decreased from 14.3% to 12.4% and the 5 to 14 group fell from 7.8% to 6.5%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic models project significant changes in the local age distribution. The 75 to 84 age bracket is expected to grow by 96% (554 people), rising from 579 to 1,134. This shift highlights an aging demographic trend, with residents aged 65 and over accounting for 69% of the projected growth. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age brackets are projected to contract.