Ashbury

Ashbury is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Ashbury is around 3,461 people. This figure reflects a growth of 108 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,353 residents. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,412 based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and an additional 66 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 3,360 persons per square kilometer, placing Ashbury in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Ashbury has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, surpassing the SA3 area's growth rate. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Based on these aggregations, Ashbury is expected to increase by 397 persons to reach approximately 3,858 residents by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 11.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Ashbury, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Ashbury recorded around 14 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 72 homes. So far in FY-26, no approvals have been recorded. Over these five financial years, an average of one new resident per year per dwelling constructed was observed, indicating balanced supply and demand conditions. However, recent data shows this has intensified to 52 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $389,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms.

This financial year, $5.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashbury shows 14.0% lower construction activity per person while it places among the 7th percentile of areas assessed nationally, suggesting limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings. Recent construction comprises 6.0% detached dwellings and 94.0% medium and high-density housing, reflecting a trend toward denser development to provide accessible entry options appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This is a considerable change from the current housing mix of 91.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 3442 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Ashbury is expected to grow by 408 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Ashbury has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to affect this region: Cardinal Freeman Final Release Development - Wattle Building, Canterbury Local Centre Redevelopment, NSW Health Infrastructure Program - Inner West (commencing 2019), and NSW School Infrastructure Program - Inner West (scheduled for completion in late 2023). The following list details these projects in order of relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Ashbury well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Ashbury has a well-educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate was 2.6% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment grew by an estimated 4.4% over the past year. Workforce participation is at 60%, matching Greater Sydney's level. Leading industries include education & training, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Education & training has particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

Retail trade is under-represented with only 5.9% of Ashbury's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 9.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 4.4% while labour force grew by 4.7%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashbury's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Ashbury had a median taxpayer income of $52,420 and an average income of $68,499 in financial year 2022, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was higher than the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $59,030 (median) and $77,137 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes ranked at the 91st percentile ($2,571 weekly), while personal income ranked at the 65th percentile. The earnings profile showed that 29.6% of locals (1,024 people) fell into the $4000+ category, differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominated with 30.9%. Economic strength was evident through 43.3% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retained 87.7% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Ashbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Ashbury, as recorded in the latest Census, 90.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 9.2% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 33.5% houses and 66.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashbury stood at 50.6%, with mortgaged properties at 37.3% and rented dwellings at 12.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,817, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,436. The median weekly rent in Ashbury was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $465. Nationally, Ashbury's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,817 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashbury features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.0% of all households, including 46.1% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Ashbury exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 36.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 49.5%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 23.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 27.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (16.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in secondary education, 9.4% in primary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. The area has two schools serving a total of 762 students: Ashbury Public School and Canterbury Boys High School. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1059). Educational provision follows conventional lines, with one primary and one secondary institution. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs, with 22.0 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.8, indicating that the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 16 active stops operating within Ashbury, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 14 distinct routes, collectively facilitating 655 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically situated 181 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 93 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 40 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Ashbury is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Ashbury demonstrates above-average health outcomes with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 54% of the total population (~1,869 people), compared to 57.3% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.1 and 6.6% of residents respectively, while 72.0% declare themselves as completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.0% across Greater Sydney. As of June 30, 20XX, the area has 19.9% of residents aged 65 and over (688 people), which is higher than the 14.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Ashbury is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashbury has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.6 percent of its population born overseas and 36.2 percent speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Ashbury is Christianity, accounting for 67.3 percent of the population, compared to 41.2 percent across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Australian (17.1%), English (15.5%), and Italian (12.9%).

These percentages are substantially higher than the regional averages of 11.5%, 10.6%, and 5.9% respectively. There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, with Greeks at 8.0 percent (compared to 2.9%), Spanish at 1.3 percent (compared to 0.7%), and Lebanese at 5.7 percent (compared to 3.1%) being notably overrepresented in Ashbury compared to the Greater Sydney region.

Ashbury hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Ashbury's median age is 44, surpassing Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeding the national average of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.3% of Ashbury's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 7.7%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.4% to 14.4%, whereas the 5-14 group has decreased from 13.3% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Ashbury's age profile. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 49%, from 238 to 357 people. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 67% of projected growth. Conversely, the 25-34 and 15-24 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.