Ashbury

Ashbury is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Ashbury statistical area (Lv2) is around 3,508 people. This reflects an increase of 155 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,353 people in the Ashbury (SA2). The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,468 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 66 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 3,405 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, the Ashbury (SA2) has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with an average annual increase of 1.5%, outpacing its corresponding SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Ashbury (SA2) is expected to increase by 410 persons to reach a total population of approximately 3,918 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 10.7% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Ashbury, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Ashbury recorded around 11 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 55 homes. As of FY26, one approval has been recorded. The average new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25 was 1.4, suggesting a balanced supply and demand creating stable market conditions. However, this intensified to 34.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $389,000.

This year, there have been $152,000 in commercial approvals, demonstrating Ashbury's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashbury has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and places among the 8th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. Recent construction comprises 8.0% detached dwellings and 92.0% medium and high-density housing, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 2295 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Ashbury is expected to grow by 374 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Looking ahead, Ashbury is expected to grow by 374 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Ashbury has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified four projects likely affecting this region: Cardinal Freeman Final Release Development - Wattle Building, Canterbury Local Centre Redevelopment, NSW School Infrastructure Program - Inner West, and Sydney Metro City & Southwest. The following details the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Ashbury ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Ashbury's workforce is well-educated with notable representation in the technology sector. The unemployment rate was 2.7% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment stability has been maintained over the past year. As of that date, 1,855 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate 1.5 percentage points below Greater Sydney's and workforce participation at par with Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include education & training, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. The area has a particularly high concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

Retail trade is under-represented, with only 5.9% of Ashbury's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 9.3%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment remained stable at 0.0%, while labour force increased by 0.5%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashbury's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Ashbury suburb has a median taxpayer income of $52,420 and an average income of $68,498, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Nationally, the median income is $60,817 with an average of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $57,064 and an average of $74,567, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census figures rank household incomes at the 91st percentile ($2,571 weekly) and personal income at the 65th percentile. In Ashbury, 29.6% (1,038 people) fall into the $4000+ earnings category, compared to the regional dominance of the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket with 30.9%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 43.3% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power. After housing costs, residents retain 87.7% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 9th decile.

Ashbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ashbury's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.8% houses and 9.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 33.5% houses and 66.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashbury was 50.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.3% and rented ones at 12.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,817, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,436. Median weekly rent in Ashbury was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $465. Nationally, Ashbury's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashbury features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.0% of all households, including 46.1% that are couples with children, 23.1% that are couples without children, and 12.6% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Ashbury exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 36.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 49.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 23.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 27.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (16.2%). Educational participation is high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.9% in secondary education, 9.4% in primary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Ashbury shows 19 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 14 individual routes providing service. Collectively, these routes facilitate 672 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 181 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 96 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Ashbury is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Ashbury demonstrates above-average health outcomes, with both young and old age cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (around 1,895 people), compared to 57.8% across Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.1 and 6.6% of residents respectively. A total of 72.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.0% across Greater Sydney. As of 30 June 20XX, the area has 19.9% of residents aged 65 and over (698 people), which is higher than the 14.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Ashbury was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashbury has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.6 percent of its population born overseas and 36.2 percent speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ashbury, comprising 67.3 percent of the population, compared to 41.2 percent across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Ashbury are Australian (17.1%), English (15.5%), and Italian (12.9%).

Notably, Greek (8.0%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 2.9%, Spanish (1.3%) is higher than the regional average of 0.7%, and Lebanese (5.7%) also exceeds the regional average of 3.1%.

Ashbury hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Ashbury's median age stands at 44, surpassing Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeding the national average of 38. The age group of 55-64 is well-represented in Ashbury at 14.3%, compared to Greater Sydney. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 7.7%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 13.4% to 14.4% of Ashbury's population, while the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 13.3% to 11.8%. Demographic projections indicate significant changes in Ashbury's age profile by 2041. Notably, the 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 49%, reaching a total of 360 individuals from the current figure of 242. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 67% of projected growth. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.