Greenacre

Population growth drivers in Greenacre are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The estimated population of the suburb of Greenacre is around 27,650 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 1,336 people from the 2021 Census total of 26,314, reflecting a growth rate of approximately 5.1%. AreaSearch's analysis, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and validation of additional addresses since the Census date, suggests this increase is due to overseas migration contributing around 62% of overall population gains during recent periods. The current population density in Greenacre stands at approximately 3,716 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Comparing its growth rate with the state's 7.1%, Greenacre's 5.1% increase since the Census positions it within 2.0 percentage points of the state average, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Looking ahead, projections based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data (released in 2024 with a base year of 2022) and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections (released in 2022 with a base year of 2021), suggest the suburb is expected to grow by around 6.4% over the next 16 years, reaching an estimated population of approximately 29,476 persons by 2041.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected, with the area expected to grow by 1,816 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting recording a gain of 6.4% in total over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Greenacre when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Greenacre averaged approximately 126 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 632 homes. As of FY-26, 68 approvals have been recorded. On average, between FY-21 and FY-25, 0.7 new residents arrived per new home, indicating that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value of these properties is $504,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In FY-26, there have been $9.2 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Greenacre's primarily residential nature. Building activity shows 44.0% detached houses and 56.0% medium and high-density housing, demonstrating a shift towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This trend contrasts with the area's existing housing composition of 63.0% houses. Greenacre has around 280 people per dwelling approval, indicating low density characteristics.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Greenacre is projected to gain 1,758 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Greenacre has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 43 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Kevin Hill Roberts Park Community Hub, Allum Park New Sports Amenities Building, Salt Pan Creek Channel Repairs, and Compass Centre Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Greenacre faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Greenacre has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 10.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.3%. As of December 2025, 10,486 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 6.2%, higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is lower at 54.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A significant 35.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Major employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have lower representation at 7.2% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited due to the predominantly residential nature of the area. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.3%, labour force grew by 5.4%, causing a slight rise in unemployment rate to 6.3%. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Greenacre's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Greenacre's median income among taxpayers is $38,971. The average income in the suburb is $52,804. Both figures are below the national average. Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Greenacre would be approximately $42,993 (median) and $58,253 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, individual incomes in Greenacre lag at the 3rd percentile ($495 weekly), while household income is at the 32nd percentile. Distribution data shows that 29.4% of locals (8,129 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Greenacre, with only 77.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 23rd percentile.

Greenacre displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Greenacre's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 63.3% houses and 36.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Sydney metro's 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Greenacre stood at 31.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.7% and rented dwellings at 33.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,275, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Greenacre was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Greenacre's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greenacre features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.7% of all households, including 48.1% couples with children, 15.0% couples without children, and 15.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.3%, with lone person households at 18.6% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Greenacre aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 26.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (16.1%). Educational participation is high, with 38.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (13.0%), secondary education (11.3%), and tertiary education (7.2%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Greenacre has 187 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 28 different routes that together facilitate 1,912 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Greenacre is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 145 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuting is outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 85% of residents, while only 7% use trains. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling in Greenacre, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 35.1% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 273 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 10 weekly trips per individual stop. An accompanying map displays the locations of the 100 nearest stops to the area's centerpoint.

Greenacre's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Greenacre residents. AreaSearch's analysis shows mortality rates and health conditions are broadly in line with national benchmarks. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is very low, at approximately 48% of the total population (~13,238 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are diabetes (6.1%) and arthritis (5.9%), with 76.1% of residents declaring themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 15.0% of residents aged 65 and over (4,147 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Greenacre is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greenacre has one of the highest levels of cultural diversity in the country, with 43.0% of its population born overseas and 71.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Greenacre is Islam, accounting for 51.2% of the population, compared to just 6.8% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, Lebanese people make up 29.3% of Greenacre's population, significantly higher than the regional average of 2.6%.

The 'Other' category comprises 26.3%, also substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%. Australian ancestry is notably underrepresented at 12.5%, compared to the regional average of 17.8%. Certain ethnic groups are overrepresented in Greenacre: Korean (1.9% vs regional 1.1%), Vietnamese (2.5% vs regional 1.8%), and Greek (2.9% vs regional 1.9%).

Greenacre's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Greenacre's median age is 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Greenacre has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (15.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.0%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population of those aged 15-24 has increased from 15.1% to 16.7%, while the percentage of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 16.8% to 15.8%. By 2041, Greenacre's population is forecasted to undergo significant demographic changes. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 63%, adding 832 residents to reach a total of 2,160. This growth is part of an overall trend towards demographic aging, with those aged 65 and older representing 65% of the population growth. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.